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Kausalitas Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Daerah, Suku Bunga, dan Permintaan-Penawaran Kredit: Pemodelan Simultan Suriani, Suriani; Seftarita, Chenny
Jurnal Samudra Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol 13 No 1 (2022)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Samudra

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33059/jseb.v13i1.3962

Abstract

This study analyzes the effect of regional economic growth and interest rates on the demand-supply of credit in Aceh Province. The initial objective of the reduction regression is to analyze the effect of loan to deposit ratios, non-performing loans, loan to value, and interest rates on regional economic growth and the final stage is to investigate the causal relationship between regional economic growth and total loans disbursed in Aceh Province. The data period used is 2011-2014 quarterly. The method used was two-stage least square regression. The regression results indicate that regional economic growth has a positive effect on bank lending. However, interest rates do not affect total lending. The results of the causality test explain that regional economic growth has a causal relationship with credit disbursement. The local governments can improve the regional economy by supporting productive economic funding through banking financial institutions.
The Effect of Capital Market and Public Savings on Indonesia's Economic Growth Binanga, Angga; Apridar; Seftarita, Chenny
MSJ : Majority Science Journal Vol. 2 No. 4 (2024): MSJ-November
Publisher : PT. Hafasy Dwi Nawasena

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61942/msj.v2i4.241

Abstract

This study analyzes the impact of the capital market and public savings on economic growth in Indonesia using panel data from 34 provinces over the period 2016 to 2022. It aims to address the gaps in previous research, which showed inconsistent results regarding the effect of real sector investment on economic growth. Through multiple linear regression, this study finds that the capital market and public savings have a positive and significant influence on economic growth. These findings suggest that increasing capital accumulation in the capital market and public savings in banks can be an effective strategy to stimulate economic growth. The best model used in this study is the Fixed Effect Model, selected based on the Chow and Hausman tests. The coefficient of determination indicates that the capital market and public savings variables can explain the variation in economic growth significantly. This study contributes new insights by using data on domestic investor assets at the provincial level and offers policy recommendations to enhance public participation in the capital market and banking sector. The limitations of this study lie in the data coverage, which is restricted to Indonesia and spans a seven-year period, thus caution is needed when generalizing the findings to other countries or longer timeframes. Future research is encouraged to include additional variables and expand the geographical and temporal scope of the analysis.
The Influence of Information and Communication Technology and Demographic Variables on the Indonesian Economy: Before and During COVID-19 Ferayanti, Ferayanti; Varlitya, Cut Risya; Sitepu, Novi Indriyani; Seftarita, Chenny
Grimsa Journal of Business and Economics Studies Vol. 2 No. 1 (2025): January 2025
Publisher : Graha Primera Saintifika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61975/gjbes.v2i1.60

Abstract

Changes in population and advancements in information and communication technology (ICT) have significantly transformed the global economy. While the individual effects of these factors on economic growth have been extensively studied, little is known about their interaction, particularly in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. The pandemic introduced new economic dynamics by altering consumer behavior and accelerating the adoption of digital technology. This study investigates the combined impact of ICT advancements and demographic shifts on Indonesia's economic growth before and after the pandemic. Using panel data from 2015 to 2021, a regression model explores the correlations between these factors. The results reveal that e-commerce, internet usage, and demographic factors positively influence economic growth. However, a negative correlation is observed between economic growth and mobile phone usage. Notably, economic expansion driven by ICT was more pronounced in the pre-COVID-19 period than in the post-pandemic era. To fully harness the potential of digital transformation and sustain growth, government interventions are essential. These include supporting MSMEs in developing digital capabilities, accelerating digital infrastructure development, enhancing digital human resources, streamlining regulations, and leveraging big data to guide policy decisions.
The Analysis of QRIS Usage and Its Impact on the Velocity of Money in Indonesia Fadhil, Muhammad; Dawood, Taufiq C.; Seftarita, Chenny
Grimsa Journal of Business and Economics Studies Vol. 2 No. 2 (2025): July 2025
Publisher : Graha Primera Saintifika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61975/gjbes.v2i2.53

Abstract

QRIS, or Quick Response Code Indonesian Standard, represents one of the key evolutions in the payment system in Indonesia, utilizing QR Code technology to enhance payment system efficiency. QRIS has gained popularity in supporting payment systems in Indonesia and ensuring the velocity of money within the country. The velocity of money plays an important role in enhancing the effectiveness of monetary policy through its influence on the predictability of major monetary aggregates and money demand. This study aims to analyze the impact of QRIS usage on the velocity of money in Indonesia. The study employs a quantitative approach, using quarterly time series data (2019 Q1 - 2023 Q4) and incorporating several additional variables that can influence the velocity of money. The findings indicate that QRIS affects the velocity of money in the long term, as demonstrated through the Error Correction Model, a method capable of analyzing both short-term and long-term economic phenomena and evaluating the consistency of empirical models with economic theory. Based on these empirical results, it is recommended that the government of Indonesia enhance QRIS infrastructure to foster greater confidence and trust among citizens, thereby accelerating transactions.
Dynamic Analysis on the Determinants of Prevalence of Undernourishment in Indonesia: A System GMM Approach Geubrina, Yulia; Suriani, Suriani; Seftarita, Chenny
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 14, No 1 (2025)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University of Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v14i1.42524

Abstract

Research Originality: This original study examines the determinants of undernourishment in Indonesia with mediating variables.Research Objectives: This study examines the impact of food production, inflation, unemployment, and social food assistance on undernourishment with people's purchasing power as a mediating variable.Research Methods: Dynamic panel analysis with the Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) and Sobel test examines direct and mediation relationships for the data period 2018-2023.Empirical Results: The results show the direct and indirect effects of inflation, unemployment, and social food assistance on the prevalence of undernourishment in Indonesia through the mediation of people’s purchasing power. Meanwhile, food production has no effect either directly or indirectly.Implications: This study implies that the government must maintain stable inflation, create jobs, effectively target food assistance, and reduce reliance on social food assistance.JEL Classification: C31, G21, I32, O18How to Cite:Geubrina, Y., Suriani., & Seftarita, C. (2025). Dynamic Analysis on the Determinants of Prevalence of Undernourishment in Indonesia: A System GMM Approach. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 14(1), 111-130. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v14i1.42524.
Government Bonds and Central Bank Assets in Global Crisis Mitigation Efforts in Indonesia Seftarita, Chenny; Suriani; Ferayanti; Fitriyani; Diana, Asri
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 23 No. 1 (2025): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v23i1.23286

Abstract

This study investigates the integrated effectiveness of government bonds and central bank assets within Indonesia's policy mix for mitigating global crises, an area often examined in isolation. Our primary objective is to quantify the short and long-run impacts of these instruments on Indonesia's economic growth during periods of global economic turbulence. Utilizing quarterly data spanning 2009 to 2021, we employ an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. Empirical results reveal that both government bonds and central bank assets positively influence economic growth in both the short and long run. In the short run, these instruments are effective in stimulating economic activity and cushioning the immediate impacts of a global crisis. However, the long-run analysis indicates that while their supportive role persists, over-reliance, particularly through sustained fiscal deficits, can lead to a weakening of macroeconomic performance. Practical implications—prudent and balanced management of fiscal and monetary policies is essential to ensure long-term economic stability. Improving the quality of public spending is essential in strengthening debt governance, and encouraging close collaboration between fiscal and monetary authorities to optimize crisis mitigation strategies and promote sustainable growth.
Economic Growth as a Moderator in the Nexus between Public Finance, Human Development, and Income Inequality in Aceh Royanti, Mella; Nasir, Muhammad; Seftarita, Chenny
Grimsa Journal of Business and Economics Studies Vol. 2 No. 2 (2025): July 2025
Publisher : Graha Primera Saintifika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61975/gjbes.v2i2.90

Abstract

Income inequality continues to pose a significant economic challenge in Indonesia, particularly at the regional level. Although economic growth is regarded as a pathway to improved public welfare, it can either alleviate or exacerbate existing income disparities. This study investigates the moderating role of economic growth in the relationship between public finance, human development, and income inequality, using panel data from 23 districts and cities in Aceh Province over the period 2017-2023. Employing panel data regression with the Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) technique, the analysis focuses on three key independent variables: local tax revenue, village funds, and the Human Development Index (HDI). The results show that local tax revenue is positively associated with income inequality, while village funds have no statistically significant effect. The HDI, on the other hand, is significantly and negatively associated with inequality. However, economic growth does not moderate the effects of local tax revenue or village funds on income inequality. Notably, it does moderate the relationship between HDI and inequality, with the effect of HDI turning positive when interacted with economic growth. These findings highlight the need for local governments to prioritize inclusive development through strengthened fiscal management, more targeted village fund allocations, and sustained investment in human capital.
Dynamic Analysis on the Determinants of Prevalence of Undernourishment in Indonesia: A System GMM Approach Geubrina, Yulia; Suriani, Suriani; Seftarita, Chenny
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 14 No. 1 (2025)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v14i1.42524

Abstract

Research Originality: This original study examines the determinants of undernourishment in Indonesia with mediating variables.Research Objectives: This study examines the impact of food production, inflation, unemployment, and social food assistance on undernourishment with people's purchasing power as a mediating variable.Research Methods: Dynamic panel analysis with the Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) and Sobel test examines direct and mediation relationships for the data period 2018-2023.Empirical Results: The results show the direct and indirect effects of inflation, unemployment, and social food assistance on the prevalence of undernourishment in Indonesia through the mediation of people’s purchasing power. Meanwhile, food production has no effect either directly or indirectly.Implications: This study implies that the government must maintain stable inflation, create jobs, effectively target food assistance, and reduce reliance on social food assistance.JEL Classification: C31, G21, I32, O18How to Cite:Geubrina, Y., Suriani., & Seftarita, C. (2025). Dynamic Analysis on the Determinants of Prevalence of Undernourishment in Indonesia: A System GMM Approach. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 14(1), 111-130. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v14i1.42524.
Enhancing Acehs Fiscal Independence Amid Declining Autonomy Funds Dawood, Taufiq Carnegie; Bunsit, Thanawit; Madiyoh, Abdulhakim; Farlian, Talbani; Seftarita, Chenny; Fitriyani, Fitriyani
Journal of Accounting Research, Organization and Economics Vol 8, No 2 (2025): JAROE Vol. 8 No. 2 August 2025
Publisher : Universitas Syiah Kuala

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24815/jaroe.v8i2.37729

Abstract

Objective This study aims to analyze what factors can influence fiscal independence in Aceh Province, Indonesia, using annual regency and municipality data from 2010 to 2021.Design/Methodology This research uses a dynamic panel regression model with the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimation method to analyze data. This method is employed to overcome the endogeneity problem and is supplemented with corroborating evidence.Results This study found that poverty negatively affects fiscal independence in Aceh. Furthermore, GRDP and the number of taxpayers positively affect fiscal independence in Aceh. This study also found that public capital expenditure positively affects Aceh's fiscal independence. Furthermore, combined with corroborating evidence, this study concludes that more than increasing the amount of public capital expenditure alone is needed to increase Aceh's fiscal independence. Improving the quality of the provision of facilities and infrastructure financed by public capital expenditure is also vital for increasing Aceh's fiscal independence.Research limitations/implications This study's significant implication underscores the importance of improving the quality of the provision of facilities and infrastructure financed by public capital expenditures to enhance regional fiscal independence, which is in contrast to conclusions in the existing literature.Novelty/Originality The state of the art of this study is, it uses a different approach to analyze the determinants of regional fiscal independence in Aceh Province, Indonesia. It employs the panel Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) method combined with corroborating evidence. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study which employs panel GMM to study fiscal independence, taking Aceh as a case study.
The Effects of Monetary Variables on the Growth of Small and Medium Industry in Aceh Province Ade Habya Fijay; Vivi Silvia; Chenny Seftarita
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol. 2 No. 3 (2021): International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v2i3.175

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of inflation, bank credit, and SMI investment on the growth of small and medium industries in Aceh Province. This study uses panel data consisting of 23 districts/cities in Aceh Province during the period 2014 to 2020. The analysis model used in this study is a panel data regression model. The results found in this study are variables that have a significant effect on the growth of SMIs in Aceh Province are inflation and investment in SMIs. Meanwhile, the banking credit variable has not had a statistically significant effect on the growth of SMIs. The inflation variable has a negative and significant effect on the growth of SMIs so that uncontrolled inflation will have a negative impact on the growth of SMIs. Meanwhile, SMI investment has a positive and significant impact on the growth of SMIs so that various targeted investment policies are needed so that they can support the development of SMIs in Aceh Province.