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Journal : Journal of Management and Creative Business

Penerapan Metode Forecasting Dalam Menentukan Persediaan Kopi Susu Pada Usaha Mikro Kecil Menengah Dalam Hal Ini Sir Coffeehouse Bekasi Anisah Anisah; Hadita Hadita
Journal of Management and Creative Business Vol. 2 No. 1 (2024): Januari : Journal of Management and Creative Business
Publisher : Universitas 45 Surabaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30640/jmcbus.v2i1.2070

Abstract

By using mathematical calculations, a situation can be predicted in the future through forecasting or forecasting. Companies often use this forecasting method to calculate future conditions, or to make predictions or predict future conditions that are still unknown for the company's progress. Forecasting can be implemented in various ways. Two methods are used in one example: double exponential smoothing and weighted moving average (WMA). This technique provides future forecasts by dissecting past information and applying different weights to the remaining information. Predicted proportions can also be used to improve quality of life. When a problem arises, it is almost impossible to solve or understand without first recognizing the problem. This forecasting method can be used in various fields, including forecasting at coffee shops or Sir Coffeehouse coffee shops regarding the production of milk coffee drinks. Sir Coffeehouse is a coffee shop or coffee shop that sells various kinds of coffee drinks. Until now, sales and data processing for Sir Coffeehouse Coffee Shop is still manual, which of course results in less efficient management. Because salespeople often have difficulty predicting how many products will be available in the coming month, the number of sales transactions will affect inventory. Of course, by obtaining forecasting data for future coffee drinks, it can provide an overview of future work steps and boost company productivity. In this research, taking coffee milk drink stamps for the manual prediction estimation process, of course, must dominate abilities, especially in the numerical field. The test results of the system created were used to predict coffee sales with a Weighted Moving Average (WMA) of 62 and a Mean Square Error (MSE) of 0.08, while using Double Exponential Smoothing of 51.1 and a Mean Square Error of -38.0. This strategy provides stock determination for the following time period. The Weighted Moving Average (WMA) technique is superior because it has a lower error value.
Co-Authors ACHMAD FAUZI Ade Jumaiah Adilla Tussa'adah Ahmad Firdaus Ahmad Sabandi Akmal Walad Ahkas Ali Imron Anggun Febya Anesti Anis Musarofah Anny Asnita Aprilla Ayu Wulandari arif samsul Asngadi Asngadi Azrial Azrial Chandra Kirana Darman Darman Darmansyah Darmansyah Darmawijoyo, Darmawijoyo Dedy Rizky Bidullah Delpiah Wahyuningsih Denny Asmas Dilva Amanda Dina Maisisri Dita Yuzianah Donna Imelda Dyah Sotyaningtyas Ellya Helmud Ermita Ermita Fadhilla Rahayu S Fadila Larasaty A.S Fairuz Zahid Fajarwati, Noerma Kurnia Fajri Jakfar Farid Farid Fathur Rahman Fatlina Fatlina Ferdiansyah Ferdiansyah Fira Nabila Flora Elvistia Firdaus Geraldo Geraldo Hadita Hadita Hairun Nisah Harini Agusta Harini Agusta Harnida Wahyuni Adda irsyad irsyad Ivani Ivani Jasrial Jasrial Juliana Kadang Juwaeriyah Juwaeriyah Khadijah Khadijah Kusman, Yuskal Kusumo, Bayu Lili Triskomawalat Lola Yolanda Lubena Lubena, Lubena Marna Marna Mas’amatuz Zahrah Maya Saftari Mimi Trida Yanti Mirani Juniar Monika Astria Mudinillah, Adam Mufrih Mufrih Muhammad Hafid Muhammad Hasyim B. Dg. Matutu Muhammad Riyadhi Muhammad Yadriyan Muhardi Darma Mujiyem Sapti Munawara Munawara Murwaldi Murwaldi Muslimin Muslimin Nelfia Adi Nelitawati Nelitawati Nia Novianti Nilam Silfia Nensi Novrita Alfitri Nurhizrah Gistituati Patimah Patimah Popy Yuliarty Pratiwi Nila Sari Prihantono Qurrotul Aini Rahmat Sufri Raihan Wicaksono Rifma Rifma Rineta Visca Rinette Visca Riska Ekfinofriza Riska Yanti Riyya Nelda Putri Rizki Eka Putri Utami Rosmawita Saleh Rosmawita Saleh RR. Ella Evrita Hestiandari Rusdin Rusdin Rusdinal Rusdinal Ryan Setiawan RYINI ANGGRAINI Safira Wahyunita Saiyid Syekh Sakinah AS Sakinah Sakinah Sayuti Sayuti Septi Damai Yanti SINTA S Siti Handayani R. Dahab Siti Nur Assyifa Siti Nurhawiyah Siti Roziana Sri Lastuti Sufyarma Marsidin Sujarwati Sujarwati Sujono Sujono Sulastri Sulastri Supardi Supardi Suryani Toha Susilawati Susilawati Syahril Syahril Syamsuddin Syamsuddin Teuku Rizky Noviandy Tia Ayu Ningrum Tiara Tiara Umi Hainik Vitayanti Fattah Widyawati Widyawati Wisnu Adhi Saputra Yohanes Setiawan Japriadi Yulianto Santoso YUNI ISWANTO Yuskal Kusman Zain Wahyu Ramadhan Ziyadatul Chusna Almabruroh Yuni Alfi Zulkardi Zulkardi