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All Journal TEKMAPRO Journal of Industrial Engineering and Management Jurnal Ilmiah Teknik Industri OPERATION EXCELLENCE: Journal of Applied Industrial Engineering PROSIDING SEMINAR NASIONAL CENDEKIAWAN Journal of Economic, Bussines and Accounting (COSTING) Jurnal ULTIMATICS Krea-TIF: Jurnal Teknik Informatika Jurnal Ilmiah Teknik Industri Abdimas Universal Jurnal Bakti Masyarakat Indonesia JUARA: JURNAL WAHANA ABDIMAS SEJAHTERA Jurnal AKAL: Abdimas dan Kearifan Lokal JURNAL TEKNIK INDUSTRI JURNAL ABDI MASYARAKAT INDONESIA (JAMIN) Logistic and Operation Management Research Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat dan aplikasi Teknologi Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat IIJSE (Journal of Environmental Sustainability Management)
Iveline Anne Marie
Universitas Trisakti
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Automotive Engineering Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Public Health Social Sciences Transportation Other

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Journal : Jurnal ULTIMATICS

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Peramalan harga beras IR64 kualitas III menggunakan metode Multi Layer Perceptron, Holt-Winters dan Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average Anung B. Aribowo; Dedy Sugiarto; Iveline Anne Marie; Jeany Fadhilah Agatha Siahaan
Ultimatics : Jurnal Teknik Informatika Vol 11 No 2 (2019): Ultimatics : Jurnal Teknik Informatika
Publisher : Faculty of Engineering and Informatics, Universitas Multimedia Nusantara

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (364.335 KB) | DOI: 10.31937/ti.v11i2.1246

Abstract

This paper aims to present the analysis of price movements of IR64 quality III at the Cipinang Rice Main Market (PIBC) and the accuracy comparison of forecasting using Multi Layer Perceptron (MLP), Holt-Winters, and Auto Reggressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) method. The data are daily price from 1 January 2016 to 31 May 2018 sourced from PT. Food Station. The analysis shows that the price of IR64 quality III rice tends to rise towards the end of 2016 and 2017. This is related to the decrease in the level of rice supply by January each year which encourages PT Food Station to conduct market operations to control the price of rice in the market. The results of accuracy comparison show that the MLP produces a value of Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 5,67, Holt-Winters exponential smoothing with trend and additive seasonal component produces a value RMSE of 70.71 and ARIMA method with parameters (1,1,2) resulted in RMSE values ​​of 58.71. The RMSE values ​​of the MLP method have smaller values ​​than the Holt Winter and ARIMA methods which indicate that the MLP method is more accurate
Co-Authors A.A. Ketut Agung Cahyawan W Adi Sucipto, Adi Adianto Adianto Adianto Adianto Ahmad Farhan Ahmad Farhan Ahmad Farhan, Ahmad Ahsan Khalfani Sabara Amal Witonohadi Amal Witonohadi Amal Witonohadi Andi Arni Soraya Anni Kholila Harahap Annisa Dewi Akbari, Annisa Dewi Annisa Widya Putri Annisa Widya Putri Annisa Widya Putri Anung B. Aribowo Auliya Dewi Oktriana Baehaqi Bella Suciana Istiqomah Bella Suciana Istiqomah, Bella Suciana Caesar, Marcel Patulus Cindy Claudia Cindy Claudia, Cindy Dadan Umar Daihani Dara Mustika Dedy Sugiarto Dewayana, Triwulandari Satitidjati Dewi Nilamsari Didien Suhardini Djohar Tjintamani Docki Saraswati Dorina Hetharia Dorina Hetharia Emelia Sari Eriyatno . Erna Regina Supriatna Fani Puspitasari Fani Puspitasari Ferian Rizkyka Triswara Gunawan, Akbar Gusni Muharam Habyba, Anik Nur Hartini Henry Candra Idriwal Mayusda Ilham, Ahmad Indah Permata Sari Indah Permata Sari Intan Emeralda Iphov Kumala Sriwana Isnaeni Nabilah Isnaeni Nabilah Iwan Purwanto Iwan Purwanto Jeany Fadhilah Agatha Siahaan Juliana Josephina Alexsandra Kadarsah Suryadi Kemala Sari, Debbie Khairunisa, Rahmi Laser Narindro Lukmanul Hakim Lukmanul Hakim Lussa, Mila Oktaviyani Marcel Patulus Caesar Maulana, Ihram Mohammad Ali Wafa Monika Tangel Muhammad Aditya Putra Muhammad Aditya Putra Muhammad Aditya Putra Muhammad Daffa Alrifqi Muhammad Najih N. Nilla Nabila, Shadrina Putri Najih, Muhammad Nilla Nilla Nilla, N. Nilla, Nilla Nora Azm Nora Azmi Nora Azmi Nora Azmi Novia Rahmawati Novia Rahmawati Novia Rahmawati Nue Jihan Widayanti Nur Azizah Putri Utami Parwadi Moengin Parwadi Moengin Pudji Astuti PUDJI ASTUTI Puspa, Sofia Debi Puspitasari, Fani Rachman Catur Kurniawan Rahmi Khairunisa Ratna Mira Yojana Ratnaningsih Ruhiyat Rina Fitriana Rina Fitriana, Rina Rosi Theresia Rumlaklak, Marchel P Silvi Ariyanti Siska Herliana Sofia Debi Puspa Sucipto Adi Suwiryo Suhartati Agoes Suhendi Suhendi Suprana, Yayang Ade Suryana, Yunita Friscilia Susan Sulaiman Susan Sulaiman Teofilus Nathanael Chaiyadi Teofilus Nathanael Chaiyadi Teofilus Nathanael Chaiyadi Tiena Gustina Amran Tono Sukarnoto Tono Sukarnoto, Tono Triwulandari Satitidjati Dewayana Triwulandari Satitidjati Dewayana Triwulandari SD, Triwulandari Wahyuningsih Santoso Wayan Rendy Armilando Widayanti, Nue Jihan Winnie Septiani Yandra Arkeman Yayang Ade Suprana Yayang Ade Suprana Yojana, Ratna Mira Yudha Melianto Yulius .