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Indonesia Defense University
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The Geopolitics Of The Thai Canal In Mahan And Kautilya's Perspective On Indonesia's Maritime Strategy In Southeast Asia Ismaya Kenza Chalizta; Setiawibawa, Rachmat; Yulianto, Bayu Asih; Prakoso, Lukman Yudho
International Journal of Education, Vocational and Social Science Vol. 4 No. 04 (2025): September - November, International Journal of Education, Vocational and Socia
Publisher : Cita konsultindo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.63922/ijevss.v4i04.2398

Abstract

The Thai Canal or Kra Canal project has become one of the most significant geopolitical issues in the Southeast Asian region because it has the potential to change the regional maritime balance of power. This article analyses the geopolitical dynamics of the Thai Canal through two major approaches, namely A.T. Mahan's Sea Power theory and Kautilya's Mandala theory. Mahan's approach emphasises the importance of control of sea lanes as a determinant of national power, while Kautilya highlights the hierarchical interactions between states based on interests and balance of power (raison d'état). By combining these two theories, this research seeks to assess how the Thai Canal project affects Indonesia's maritime strategy, particularly in the context of its strategic position towards the Strait of Malacca and the Indonesian Archipelago Sea Route (ALKI). The analysis shows that the Thai Canal has the potential to shift international trade flows from the Strait of Malacca to the Andaman Sea, resulting in changes to the geopolitical configuration of the region. Based on Mahan's perspective, this condition requires Indonesia to strengthen its control over ALKI II and III to maintain its strategic role in the global trade route. Meanwhile, in Kautilya's perspective, Indonesia needs to implement balanced diplomacy between major powers such as China and the United States to maintain regional stability and national interests. Overall, this article emphasises the importance of synergy between maritime power and regional diplomacy as a basis for Indonesia to respond to the new geopolitical dynamics triggered by the Thai Canal.
Pengembangan Model Deteksi Ancaman Maritim Berbasis AI: Kerangka Keamanan Prediktif untuk Penangkapan Ikan Ilegal dan Pembajakan di Laut Natuna Triyani, Triyani; Supriyadi, A. Adang; yulianto, Bayu Asih; Yudho, Lukman; Suwarno, Panji
Jurnal Locus Penelitian dan Pengabdian Vol. 4 No. 7 (2025): JURNAL LOCUS: Penelitian dan Pengabdian
Publisher : Riviera Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58344/locus.v4i7.4513

Abstract

The North Natuna Sea, which is located in Indonesia's Exclusive Economic Zone, is increasingly vulnerable to various maritime threats such as illegal, unreported, and unregulated (IUU fishing), piracy, and territorial violations by foreign vessels, especially in the context of increasing geopolitical tensions in the South China Sea region. Conventional marine surveillance systems have proven inadequate in providing early warning or proactive prevention due to their limited range and reactive nature. This study aims to explore the potential use of artificial intelligence (AI) in strengthening Indonesia's maritime security system through predictive detection models. Based on a review of the growing literature on the application of AI in ocean monitoring and maritime risk management, this study examines how machine learning techniques have revolutionized marine operations in developed countries through data-driven navigation and intelligent surveillance. Methods: This study used a descriptive qualitative approach with case studies in the Natuna region, and was based on literature studies as well as secondary data such as Automatic Identification System (AIS) recordings, satellite imagery, and open-source maritime incident reports. Results: The results of the analysis show that a combination of algorithms such as Random Forest, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) can form a hybrid detection model that is able to recognize suspicious vessel behavior, predict risk zones, and provide early warning of IUU fishing activities. The study also highlights the importance of integrating AIS data, satellite imagery, and marine sensors to improve spatial awareness and response precision. Conclusion: AI-based maritime security provides a strategic opportunity for Indonesia to move from a reactive defense system to a predictive and anticipatory approach. Novelty of this article: The novelty in this study lies in the integration of the concepts of predictive security and preventive defense in the design of AI models that are specific to vulnerable areas such as the North Natuna Sea—an approach that has never been operationalized in real terms in the context of Indonesia's maritime security.
Cyber and Maritime Drone Threats: The Future of National Maritime Security Legowo, Endro; Hilmansyah, Ceppi; Yulianto, Bayu Asih; Prakoso, Lukman Yudho; Risahdi , Muhammad
Jurnal Indonesia Sosial Sains Vol. 6 No. 11 (2025): Jurnal Indonesia Sosial Sains
Publisher : CV. Publikasi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59141/jiss.v6i11.2081

Abstract

This study analyzes cyber threats and the use of marine drones in the context of national maritime security. As illegal activities and potential conflicts increase in Indonesian waters, drone technology and cyber defense systems are becoming important instruments to improve surveillance, early detection, and rapid response. This study uses a descriptive qualitative approach based on the analysis of documents, literature, and official secondary data. The results show that the integration of marine drones and cyber defense increases patrol effectiveness by up to 40% and reduces the risk of territorial violations and piracy. This research emphasizes the need for a holistic strategy to deal with future maritime challenges.
Biaya dan Resiko Modernisasi Alutsista dan Ketahanan Nasional Indonesia di Tengah Dinamika Geopolitik Indo-Pasifik Chalizta, Ismaya Kenza; Setiawibawa, Rachmat; Yulianto, Bayu Asih; Prakoso, Lukman Yudho
J-CEKI : Jurnal Cendekia Ilmiah Vol. 5 No. 1: Desember 2025
Publisher : CV. ULIL ALBAB CORP

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56799/jceki.v5i1.12634

Abstract

Modernisasi alat utama sistem senjata (alutsista) merupakan bagian krusial dari strategi pertahanan Indonesia dalam merespons dinamika ancaman kawasan dan global. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis biaya dan risiko strategis dari kebijakan modernisasi alutsista Indonesia dalam kerangka program Minimum Essential Force (MEF). Menggunakan pendekatan kualitatif deskriptif, studi ini mengkaji berbagai sumber literatur, laporan institusi strategis, dan artikel ilmiah untuk mengevaluasi efektivitas kebijakan pertahanan nasional. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa meskipun modernisasi telah meningkatkan kapabilitas tempur, proses ini menghadapi tantangan besar berupa keterbatasan anggaran, ketergantungan teknologi asing, lemahnya koordinasi antarlembaga, serta belum berkembangnya industri pertahanan dalam negeri. Biaya pengadaan yang tinggi menimbulkan tekanan fiskal jangka panjang, sedangkan risiko strategis mencakup ketidaksesuaian doktrin, keterbatasan sumber daya manusia, dan kerentanan operasional. Penelitian ini merekomendasikan perlunya reformasi tata kelola pengadaan alutsista, penguatan ekosistem industri pertahanan nasional, diversifikasi mitra strategis, serta pembentukan masterplan pertahanan jangka panjang yang berkelanjutan. Upaya tersebut penting untuk menjamin efektivitas pertahanan Indonesia sekaligus memperkuat kemandirian dan ketahanan nasional.
Diplomasi Maritim Indonesia di Tengah Ketegangan Regional Risahdi, Muhammad; Lestari, Amin; Yulianto, Bayu Asih; Prakoso, Lukman Yudho; Legowo, Endro
Jurnal sosial dan sains Vol. 5 No. 11 (2025): Jurnal Sosial dan Sains
Publisher : Green Publisher Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59188/jurnalsosains.v5i11.32567

Abstract

This study examines Indonesia’s maritime diplomacy amid regional tensions in Southeast Asia. The research focuses on strategies employed to safeguard maritime sovereignty, strengthen regional cooperation, and mitigate potential conflicts in strategic waters such as the North Natuna Sea and the South China Sea. Utilizing a qualitative approach through document analysis, official reports, and expert interviews, the findings indicate that Indonesia’s maritime diplomacy effectively fosters intergovernmental coordination, enhances maritime surveillance, and strengthens Indonesia’s bargaining position in regional negotiations.
Jalur Perdagangan Global dan Risiko Ancaman Hibrida Bagi Indonesia Yulianto, Bayu Asih; Lestari, Amin; Prakoso, Lukman Yudho; Soemantri, Asep Iwa
Jurnal sosial dan sains Vol. 5 No. 11 (2025): Jurnal Sosial dan Sains
Publisher : Green Publisher Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59188/jurnalsosains.v5i11.32568

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis ancaman hibrida terhadap jalur perdagangan global yang melintasi perairan Indonesia dan mengevaluasi efektivitas strategi mitigasi melalui pendekatan diplomasi maritim, patroli gabungan, dan integrasi teknologi pengawasan modern. Penelitian menggunakan pendekatan kualitatif deskriptif dengan teknik pengumpulan data melalui studi dokumen terhadap laporan lembaga internasional, kebijakan pemerintah, publikasi akademis, serta wawancara mendalam dengan pakar keamanan maritim dan diplomat. Data dianalisis secara tematik untuk mengidentifikasi pola ancaman dan efektivitas strategi mitigasi. Hasil penelitian mengungkapkan bahwa jalur strategis seperti Selat Malaka, Laut Jawa, dan Laut Sulawesi menghadapi kompleksitas ancaman hibrida yang terus berkembang, mencakup peningkatan aktivitas perompakan di wilayah tertentu, praktik illegal fishing yang menyebabkan kerugian ekonomi signifikan, kerentanan sistem pelabuhan terhadap serangan siber, serta eskalasi ketegangan geopolitik di Laut Cina Selatan. Studi ini membuktikan bahwa integrasi antara diplomasi maritim melalui kerja sama bilateral dan multilateral, patroli gabungan yang diperkuat dengan pertukaran intelijen, serta penerapan teknologi modern seperti drone maritim, satelit penginderaan jauh, dan sistem kecerdasan buatan telah berhasil meningkatkan kemampuan deteksi dini dan respons cepat, yang pada akhirnya menurunkan frekuensi insiden keamanan laut secara signifika. Keberhasilan penanganan ancaman hibrida di jalur perdagangan global Indonesia bergantung pada pendekatan komprehensif yang mengintegrasikan aspek diplomasi, teknologi, dan operasi keamanan. Strategi ini tidak hanya penting untuk menjaga kedaulatan dan stabilitas keamanan nasional, tetapi juga vital dalam mendukung kelancaran perdagangan internasional dan mewujudkan visi Indonesia Emas 2045 sebagai poros maritim dunia. Rekomendasi strategis difokuskan pada penguatan kapasitas pengawasan, optimalisasi kerja sama regional, dan inovasi berkelanjutan dalam teknologi pertahanan maritim.
Integrasi AI dan Patroli Laut Untuk Mendukung Indonesia Emas 2045 Soemantri, Asep Iwa; Risahdi, Muhammad; Yulianto, Bayu Asih; Prakoso, Lukman Yudho; Lestari, Amin
Jurnal sosial dan sains Vol. 5 No. 11 (2025): Jurnal Sosial dan Sains
Publisher : Green Publisher Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59188/jurnalsosains.v5i11.32569

Abstract

Penelitian ini membahas integrasi teknologi kecerdasan buatan (AI) dalam sistem patroli laut untuk meningkatkan keamanan dan kedaulatan perairan Indonesia. Sebagai negara kepulauan terbesar dengan jalur perdagangan internasional yang vital, Indonesia menghadapi berbagai ancaman hibrida seperti perompakan, illegal fishing, penyelundupan, dan gangguan siber. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kualitatif-deskriptif dengan pengumpulan data melalui wawancara mendalam bersama narasumber kunci dari TNI AL, Kementerian Kelautan dan Perikanan, serta ahli keamanan maritim, didukung oleh studi literatur dan analisis dokumen. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa sinergi antara AI dan patroli laut konvensional meningkatkan efektivitas pengawasan hingga 30–35%, memungkinkan deteksi dini, analisis pola ancaman, dan respons yang lebih cepat terhadap insiden keamanan. Selain itu, integrasi ini memperkuat koordinasi antar-lembaga seperti TNI, Bakamla, dan KKP, serta mendukung diplomasi maritim melalui penyediaan data intelijen yang akurat untuk negosiasi bilateral dan multilateral. Temuan juga mengungkap bahwa sistem AI berkontribusi dalam mitigasi ancaman siber dengan mendeteksi lebih dari 60% potensi serangan pada sistem navigasi kapal. Strategi ini sejalan dengan visi Indonesia Emas 2045 yang menekankan kedaulatan maritim, keamanan nasional, dan pengelolaan sumber daya laut secara berkelanjutan. Meski demikian, tantangan seperti kesenjangan infrastruktur sensor di wilayah terpencil dan kebutuhan peningkatan kapasitas SDM masih perlu menjadi fokus perbaikan ke depan.
Perompakan dan Illegal Fishing: Solusi AI Untuk Kedaulatan Laut Indonesia Yusnaldy, Yusnaldy; Soemantri, Asep Iwa; Yulianto, Bayu Asih; Prakoso, Lukman Yudho; Risahdi , Muhamad
Jurnal sosial dan sains Vol. 5 No. 11 (2025): Jurnal Sosial dan Sains
Publisher : Green Publisher Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59188/jurnalsosains.v5i11.32571

Abstract

Penelitian ini menganalisis penerapan teknologi kecerdasan buatan (AI) sebagai solusi strategis dalam mengatasi ancaman perompakan dan illegal fishing (IUU Fishing) di perairan Indonesia. Sebagai negara kepulauan terbesar dengan wilayah perairan seluas 5,8 juta km², Indonesia menghadapi tantangan kompleks dalam menjaga kedaulatan lautnya. Data menunjukkan terdapat 512 kasus IUU fishing dan 87 insiden perompakan sepanjang tahun 2022 yang mengakibatkan kerugian ekonomi mencapai USD 351 juta serta penurunan stok ikan lokal hingga 20%. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kualitatif-deskriptif dengan pengumpulan data melalui studi literatur, analisis dokumen resmi dari Kementerian Kelautan dan Perikanan, TNI AL, dan Bakamla, serta wawancara mendalam dengan para pemangku kepentingan. Hasil penelitian mengungkapkan bahwa sistem patroli konvensional memiliki keterbatasan dalam hal jangkauan wilayah dan waktu respons, sementara implementasi AI melalui sistem deteksi berbasis satelit, algoritma prediktif, dan integrasi data multi-sensor mampu meningkatkan akurasi deteksi hingga 92%, mempercepat waktu respons hingga 60%, serta mengurangi potensi kerugian ekonomi hingga USD 150 juta per tahun. Selain itu, penelitian ini mengidentifikasi pentingnya koordinasi antarlembaga dan peningkatan kapasitas SDM sebagai faktor penentu keberhasilan implementasi AI. Temuan penelitian ini memberikan kontribusi strategis bagi penguatan kebijakan keamanan maritim Indonesia dan mendukung pencapaian visi Indonesia Emas 2045 sebagai poros maritim dunia yang berdaulat dan berkelanjutan.
AI dalam Pengawasan Maritim Menghadapi Ancaman Hibrida di Asia Tenggara Rudiyanto, Rudiyanto; Yusnaldy, Yusnaldy; Yulianto, Bayu Asih; Prakoso, Lukman Yudho; Risahdi, Muhammad
Jurnal sosial dan sains Vol. 5 No. 11 (2025): Jurnal Sosial dan Sains
Publisher : Green Publisher Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59188/jurnalsosains.v5i11.32572

Abstract

Penelitian ini menelaah peran kecerdasan buatan (AI) dalam meningkatkan efektivitas pengawasan maritim terhadap ancaman hibrida di kawasan Asia Tenggara. Ancaman hibrida, yang menggabungkan dimensi militer, siber, ekonomi, dan informasi, menuntut sistem keamanan laut yang adaptif dan cerdas. Dengan menggunakan pendekatan kualitatif dan analisis literatur strategis, penelitian ini mengidentifikasi bagaimana AI mendukung deteksi dini, analisis data pergerakan kapal, serta penilaian risiko terhadap aktivitas non-konvensional yang mengancam stabilitas kawasan. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa integrasi AI mampu meningkatkan kemampuan deteksi dan mitigasi ancaman lintas batas melalui otomasi analisis data multi-sumber seperti AIS, radar satelit, dan citra optik. Selain itu, AI berkontribusi dalam memperkuat kerja sama keamanan regional antarnegara ASEAN melalui fusi data dan peningkatan maritime domain awareness. Kendati demikian, tantangan seperti kesenjangan teknologi, isu etika, dan ketergantungan pada sistem asing masih menjadi hambatan utama. Penelitian ini menegaskan bahwa penerapan AI secara kolaboratif dan etis berpotensi menjadi pilar penting dalam membangun arsitektur keamanan laut cerdas dan berkelanjutan di Asia Tenggara.
Artificial Intelligence for Detecting Oil Spills in Strategic Areas: A Strategic Study and Implementation Review in the Natuna Sea Triyani, Triyani; Yulianto, Bayu Asih; Suwarno, Panji
Asian Journal of Social and Humanities Vol. 4 No. 3 (2025): Asian Journal of Social and Humanities
Publisher : Pelopor Publikasi Akademika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59888/q8aqnw44

Abstract

Oil spills in the strategic area of Natuna have continued to increase in recent years, causing significant ecological, economic, and geopolitical impacts. However, Indonesia's marine pollution detection system still relies on conventional methods that are limited spatially, temporally, and operationally. This study aims to analyze the potential implementation of Artificial Intelligence, especially the Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) model based on satellite imagery, to improve the effectiveness of oil spill monitoring and strengthen national Maritime Situational Awareness (MSA). The research uses a qualitative approach through literature studies, strategic analysis, and Natuna case studies. Secondary data were collected from scientific articles, reports from national institutions, international platforms such as EMSA and Copernicus, and data on Natuna pollution incidents for the 2019–2023 period. The analysis was carried out through thematic analysis, comparative analysis, strategic analysis, and case-based reasoning. The results show that CNN has high accuracy in detecting oil spill patterns from Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 imagery and has the potential to provide valid digital documentation for rapid response and legal proceedings. Further analysis revealed that AI integration is technically feasible for application in the TNI Pusinformar system, although it requires strengthening infrastructure, human resources, SOPs, and data security. The discussion emphasizes that AI application can improve data-based diplomacy, environmental law enforcement, and Indonesia's maritime surveillance capacity; thus, a national roadmap and supporting policies are needed for operational implementation.
Co-Authors Abdil Mughis Mudhoffir Abdul Rivai Ras Amarulla Octavian Andi Rahman Alamsyah Annava, Vania Amelia Annisa Mutia Pranita Bulandari, Desty Chalid Darmawan Chalizta, Ismaya Kenza Elly Irhana Savitri Ester Nataliana Gaffar Mu'aqaffi Gaffar Mu’aqaffi Herlina Juni Risma Saragih Hilmansyah, Ceppi Ismaya Kenza Chalizta Kome, Ellen Elisabeth Legowo, Endro Lestari, Amin Masaji Faiz Dani Agus Setiani Mohammad Alfin Widyanto Mohammad Alfin Widyanto Prakoso, Lukman Yudho Pujo Widodo Pujo Widodo Pujo Widodo, Pujo Rachmat Setiawibawa Risahdi , Muhamad Risahdi , Muhammad Risahdi, Muhammad Rudiyanto Rudiyanto Rudiyanto Rudiyanto, Rudiyanto Ruri Dindasari Fatimah Said, Budiman Djoko Sakti Wira Yudha Saragih, Herlina Juni Risma Soemantri, Asep Iwa Supriyadi, A. Adang Suwarno, Panji Triyani Triyani Widodo Yuslita Rinika Yusnaldi Yusnaldi, Yusnaldi Yusnaldy, Yusnaldy