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All Journal Jurnal Pendidikan dan Pemberdayaan Masyarakat Jurnal Prima Edukasia EXPOSURE JOURNAL Vision: Journal for Language and Foreign Language Learning Jurnal Dimensi Anglo-Saxon : Jurnal Ilmiah Program Studi Pendidikan Bahasa Inggris Edcomtech Jurnal Kajian Teknologi Pendidikan UICELL Conference Proceeding Minda Baharu Jurnal Inovasi Pendidikan dan Sains International Journal of Educational Management and Innovation (IJEMI) JOLLT Journal of Languages and Language Teaching Society : Jurnal Pengabdian dan Pemberdayaan Masyarakat Multidiciplinary Output Research for Actual and International Issue (Morfai Journal) JCP (Jurnal Cahaya Pendidikan) Fakultas Keguruan dan Ilmu Pendidikan
Albert Efendi Pohan
Universitas Riau Kepulauan
Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Chemistry Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Energy Engineering Environmental Science Health Professions Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mathematics Physics Social Sciences Other

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Journal : Jurnal Prima Edukasia

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Forecasting Batam City Secondary School Enrolments in 2035: Implementing Double Brown Exponential Smoothing Pamungkas, Tubagus; Prananto, Irfan Wahyu; Pohan, Albert Efendi; Abd. Ghani, Muhammad Faizal
Jurnal Prima Edukasia Vol. 13 No. 2 (2025): May 2025
Publisher : Asosiasi Dosen PGSD dan Dikdas Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21831/jpe.v13i2.84103

Abstract

Batam City, an industrial hub in the Riau Kepulauan Province, Indonesia, boasts a significant immigrant population and occupies a strategic position along international shipping routes, bordering other nations. The city experiences one of the fastest population growth rates in Indonesia, including a surge in student numbers. The current number of elementary school students and the number of junior high and high school students in the next few years play an important role  for sustainable development, aligning with the government's Golden Indonesia Vision 2045, which aims to cultivate a high-quality and productive generation. To support this initiative, accurate projections of student numbers, particularly in high schools, are essential. This study focuses on forecasting the number of senior secondary school students in Batam City for 2035. Utilizing data from the Batam City Statistics Agency spanning 2019 to 2022. To achieve the research goals, the authors employed the Smoothing Exponential Brown Parameter to project figures for 2023-2035. The optimal projection was achieved with α=0.99, estimating 29,988 high school students in Batam City by 2030 and 34,775 by 2035. The research findings indicate that the Batam City government is highly recommended to formulating the policies and planning to establish 18 new secondary schools, addressing potential shortages in classrooms and educational institutions. Additionally, the study urges the local government need to ensure the availability of 1,879 teachers of secondary school by 2035 in Batam City. These projections can assist the administration in effectively planning for educational resources to deliver quality education by 2025, contributing to the realization of the Golden Indonesia Vision 2045
Co-Authors Abd. Ghani, Muhammad Faizal Abdul Razak, Amirul Fahmie Adam Adam Agus Setiawan Ahmad Rafii Alpino Susanto, Alpino Alsamiri, Yasir Ayed Asmaul Husna Aulia Putri Barus, Nonita Batubara, Silviana Beni Ramadhan Beni, Ramdhan Catur Fatchu Ukhriyawati Celina Cicilia Margaritha Dahrul Aman Harahap Devi Andriyani Dhita, Ferlin Ayp Diah Rina Miftakhi Erwin Ashari, Erwin Fauziah Nasution Fauziah Nasution Fauziah Nasution Febrika Meylani Irwanda Putri Fitri Yanti Ghani, Muhammad Faizal Abd Gharama, Fadhl Mohammed Awadh Hamjah Hamjah, Hamjah Hammas, Mubik Ihtajuddin Harahap, Adek Nilasari Harahap, Darmadi Erwin Harahap, Tinur Rahmawati Heni Pujiastuti Hermansah Irfan Wahyu Prananto Jaya Dwi Putra Juli Rachmadani Hasibuan Koh, Lillian Linayati Lestari, Linayati Linda Uli Napitupulu Lukmanul Hakim M. Yogi Riyantama Isjoni Mahmud Mahmud Mahrani, Mahrani Mery, Santy Mohammed Awadh, Fadhl Mohammed Awadh Muhammad Faizal A. Ghani Muhammad Faizal A. Ghani Nani Hidayati, Nani Norfariza Mohd Radzi Nur Hidayanto Pancoro Setyo Putro Nurdalilah, Nurdalilah Pandhit Isbianti Paras Faturohim Purwatiningsih, Suci Rahmah, Faridah Ramon Zamora Ravika Permata Hati Saimarlina Harahap Saipul, Mukmin Santy Mery Sari, Hartika Shalehoddin Shalehoddin, Shalehoddin Simarmata, Joy Early Wahyuni Soraya, Farah Sri Langgeng Ratnasari Sri Mulyati Sulastri Manurung Sulastri Manurung Suryo Hartanto Susanti, Reny Tri Susanto, Wisnu Febri Tri Nugroho Tri Nugroho Tri Nugroho Tubagus Pamungkas Warno Edi Warno Edi