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A Statistical Clustering Approach: Mapping Population Indicators Through Probabilistic Analysis in Aceh Province, Indonesia Sasmita, Novi Reandy; Khairul, Moh; Sofyan, Hizir; Kruba, Rumaisa; Mardalena, Selvi; Dahlawy, Arriz; Apriliansyah, Feby; Muliadi, Muliadi; Saputra, Dimas Chaerul Ekty; Noviandy, Teuku Rizky; Watsiq Maula, Ahmad
Infolitika Journal of Data Science Vol. 1 No. 2 (2023): December 2023
Publisher : Heca Sentra Analitika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.60084/ijds.v1i2.130

Abstract

The clustering, one of statistical analysis, can be used for understanding population patterns and as a basis for more targeted policy making. In this ecological study, we explored the population dynamics across 23 districts/cities in Aceh Province. The study used the Aceh Population Development Profile Year 2022 data, focusing on the total population, in-migrants, out-migrants, fertility, and maternal mortality as variables. The study employed descriptive statistics to ascertain the data distribution, followed by the Shapiro-Wilk test to evaluate normality, which is crucial for selecting the appropriate statistical methods. The Spearman test was used to determine correlations between the total population and the variable as indicators. Probabilistic Fuzzy C-Means (PFCM) method is used for clustering. To optimize clustering, the silhouette coefficient was calculated using the Euclidean Distance and the elbow method, with the results analyzed using R-4.3.2 software. This study's design and methods aim to provide a nuanced understanding of demographic patterns for targeted policy-making and regional development in Aceh, Indonesia. Based on the data normality test results, only fertility (p-value = 0.45), while the other variables are not normally distributed. Spearman test was used, and the results showed that only in-migrants (p-value = 1.78 x 10-6) and out-migrants (p-value = 2.30 x 10-6) correlated to the Aceh Province population. Using the population variable and the two variables associated with it, it was found that 4 is the best optimum number of clusters, where clusters 1, 2, 3, and 4 consist of three districts/city, nine districts/city, four districts/city and seven districts/city respectively.
Decision Tree versus k-NN: A Performance Comparison for Air Quality Classification in Indonesia Sasmita, Novi Reandy; Ramadeska, Siti; Kesuma, Zurnila Marli; Noviandy, Teuku Rizky; Maulana, Aga; Khairul, Mhd; Suhendra, Rivansyah
Infolitika Journal of Data Science Vol. 2 No. 1 (2024): May 2024
Publisher : Heca Sentra Analitika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.60084/ijds.v2i1.179

Abstract

Air quality can affect human health, the environment, and the sustainability of ecosystems, so efforts are needed to monitor and control air quality. The Plume Air Quality Index (PAQI) is one of the indices to measure and determine the level of air quality. In measuring the accuracy of the air quality level, it is necessary to do the right classification. Some previous studies have conducted classification analysis using the decision tree and K-Nearest Neighbor (k-NN) methods, but only evaluated using accuracy values. Therefore, this study uses both methods to evaluate the results of air quality level classification not only with accuracy but also with precision, recall, and F1-score. Secondary data of pollutant concentration values and PAQI categories based on particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and ozone (O3) derived from Plume Labs for 33 provincial capitals in Indonesia in the time period from July 1 to December 31, 2022, were used in this study. From the results of comparing the performance of the two methods, it is found that the decision tree has a greater performance value than the performance value of k-NN. The decision tree performance values for accuracy, precision, recall and F1-score are 90.67%, 90.61%, 90.67%, and 90.63%, respectively. So, it can be concluded that the decision tree performs better than k-NN in classifying PAQI categories with better overall evaluation metric values.
Backpropagation Neural Network-Based Prediction of Kovats Retention Index for Essential Oil Compounds Safhadi, Aulia Al-Jihad; Noviandy, Teuku Rizky; Irvanizam, Irvanizam; Suhendra, Rivansyah; Karma, Taufiq; Idroes, Rinaldi
Infolitika Journal of Data Science Vol. 2 No. 1 (2024): May 2024
Publisher : Heca Sentra Analitika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.60084/ijds.v2i1.197

Abstract

The identification of chemical compounds in essential oils is crucial in industries such as pharmaceuticals, perfumery, and food. Kovats Retention Index (RI) values are essential for compound identification using gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (GC-MS). Traditional RI determination methods are time-consuming, labor-intensive, and susceptible to experimental variability. Recent advancements in data science suggest that artificial intelligence (AI) can enhance RI prediction accuracy and efficiency. However, the full potential of AI, particularly artificial neural networks (ANN), in predicting RI values remains underexplored. This study develops a backpropagation neural network (BPNN) model to predict the Kovats RI values of essential oil compounds using five molecular descriptors: ATSc1, VCH-7, SP-1, Kier1, and MLogP. We trained the BPNN on a dataset of 340 essential oil compounds and optimized it through hyperparameter tuning. We show that the optimized BPNN model, with an epoch count of 100, a learning rate of 0.1, a hidden layer size of 10 neurons, and the ReLU activation function, achieves an R² value of 0.934 and a Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 76.98. These results indicate a high correlation between predicted and actual RI values and a low average prediction error. Our findings demonstrate that BPNNs can significantly improve the efficiency and accuracy of compound identification, reducing reliance on traditional experimental methods.
A Model-Agnostic Interpretability Approach to Predicting Customer Churn in the Telecommunications Industry Noviandy, Teuku Rizky; Idroes, Ghalieb Mutig; Hardi, Irsan; Afjal, Mohd; Ray, Samrat
Infolitika Journal of Data Science Vol. 2 No. 1 (2024): May 2024
Publisher : Heca Sentra Analitika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.60084/ijds.v2i1.199

Abstract

Customer churn is critical for businesses across various industries, especially in the telecommunications sector, where high churn rates can significantly impact revenue and growth. Understanding the factors leading to customer churn is essential for developing effective retention strategies. Despite the predictive power of machine learning models, there is a growing demand for model interpretability to ensure trust and transparency in decision-making processes. This study addresses this gap by applying advanced machine learning models, specifically Naïve Bayes, Random Forest, AdaBoost, XGBoost, and LightGBM, to predict customer churn in a telecommunications dataset. We enhanced model interpretability using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), which provides insights into feature contributions to predictions. Here, we show that LightGBM achieved the highest performance among the models, with an accuracy of 80.70%, precision of 84.35%, recall of 90.54%, and an F1-score of 87.34%. SHAP analysis revealed that features such as tenure, contract type, and monthly charges are significant predictors of customer churn. These results indicate that combining predictive analytics with interpretability methods can provide telecom companies with actionable insights to tailor retention strategies effectively. The study highlights the importance of understanding customer behavior through transparent and accurate models, paving the way for improved customer satisfaction and loyalty. Future research should focus on validating these findings with real-world data, exploring more sophisticated models, and incorporating temporal dynamics to enhance churn prediction models' predictive power and applicability.
Explainable Artificial Intelligence in Medical Imaging: A Case Study on Enhancing Lung Cancer Detection through CT Images Noviandy, Teuku Rizky; Maulana, Aga; Zulfikar, Teuku; Rusyana, Asep; Enitan, Seyi Samson; Idroes, Rinaldi
Indonesian Journal of Case Reports Vol. 2 No. 1 (2024): June 2024
Publisher : Heca Sentra Analitika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.60084/ijcr.v2i1.150

Abstract

This study tackles the pressing challenge of lung cancer detection, the foremost cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide, hindered by late detection and diagnostic limitations. Aiming to improve early detection rates and diagnostic reliability, we propose an approach integrating Deep Convolutional Neural Networks (DCNN) with Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) techniques, specifically focusing on the Residual Network (ResNet) architecture and Gradient-weighted Class Activation Mapping (Grad-CAM). Utilizing a dataset of 1,000 CT scans, categorized into normal, non-cancerous, and three types of lung cancer images, we adapted the ResNet50 model through transfer learning and fine-tuning for enhanced specificity in lung cancer subtype detection. Our methodology demonstrated the modified ResNet50 model's effectiveness, significantly outperforming the original architecture in accuracy (91.11%), precision (91.66%), sensitivity (91.11%), specificity (96.63%), and F1-score (91.10%). The inclusion of Grad-CAM provided insightful visual explanations for the model's predictions, fostering transparency and trust in computer-assisted diagnostics. The study highlights the potential of combining DCNN with XAI to advance lung cancer detection, suggesting future research should expand dataset diversity and explore multimodal data integration for broader applicability and improved diagnostic capabilities.
Interpretable Machine Learning for Chronic Kidney Disease Diagnosis: A Gaussian Processes Approach Noviandy, Teuku Rizky; Idroes, Ghifari Maulana; Syukri, Maimun; Idroes, Rinaldi
Indonesian Journal of Case Reports Vol. 2 No. 1 (2024): June 2024
Publisher : Heca Sentra Analitika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.60084/ijcr.v2i1.204

Abstract

Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) is a global health issue impacting over 800 million people, characterized by a gradual loss of kidney function leading to severe complications. Traditional diagnostic methods, relying on laboratory tests and clinical assessments, have limitations in sensitivity and are prone to human error, particularly in the early stages of CKD. Recent advances in machine learning (ML) offer promising tools for disease diagnosis, but a lack of interpretability often hinders their adoption in clinical practice. Gaussian Processes (GP) provide a flexible ML model capable of delivering predictions and uncertainty estimates, essential for high-stakes medical applications. However, the integration of GP with interpretable methods remains underexplored. We developed an interpretable CKD classification model to address this knowledge gap by combining GP with Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP). We assessed the model's performance using three GP kernels (Radial Basis Function, Matern, and Rational Quadratic). The results show that the Rational Quadratic kernel outperforms the other kernels, achieving an accuracy of 98.75%, precision of 100%, sensitivity of 97.87%, specificity of 100%, and an F1-score of 98.51%. SHAP values indicate that haemoglobin and specific gravity are the most influential features. The results demonstrate that the Rational Quadratic kernel enhances predictive accuracy and provides robust uncertainty estimates and interpretable explanations. This combination of accuracy and interpretability supports clinicians in making informed decisions and improving patient management and outcomes in CKD. Our study connects advanced ML techniques with practical medical applications, leading to more effective and reliable ML-driven healthcare solutions.
Credit Card Fraud Detection for Contemporary Financial Management Using XGBoost-Driven Machine Learning and Data Augmentation Techniques Noviandy, Teuku Rizky; Idroes, Ghalieb Mutig; Maulana, Aga; Hardi, Irsan; Ringga, Edi Saputra; Idroes, Rinaldi
Indatu Journal of Management and Accounting Vol. 1 No. 1 (2023): September 2023
Publisher : Heca Sentra Analitika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.60084/ijma.v1i1.78

Abstract

The rise of digital transactions and electronic payment systems in modern financial management has brought convenience but also the challenge of credit card fraud. Traditional fraud detection methods are struggling to cope with the complexities of contemporary fraud strategies. This study explores the potential of machine learning, specifically the XGBoost (eXtreme Gradient Boosting) algorithm, combined with data augmentation techniques, to enhance credit card fraud detection. The research demonstrates the effectiveness of these techniques in addressing imbalanced datasets and improving fraud detection accuracy. The study showcases a balanced approach to precision and recall in fraud detection by leveraging historical transaction data and employing techniques like Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique-Edited Nearest Neighbors (SMOTE-ENN). The implications of these findings for contemporary financial management are profound, offering the potential to bolster financial integrity, allocate resources effectively, and strengthen customer trust in the face of evolving fraud tactics.
Assessing the Linkage Between Sustainability Reporting and Indonesia’s Firm Value: The Role of Firm Size and Leverage Hardi, Irsan; Idroes, Ghalieb Mutig; Hardia, Natasha Athira Keisha; Fajri, Irfan; Furqan, Nurul; Noviandy, Teuku Rizky; Utami, Resty Tamara
Indatu Journal of Management and Accounting Vol. 1 No. 1 (2023): September 2023
Publisher : Heca Sentra Analitika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.60084/ijma.v1i1.79

Abstract

Sustainability reporting is widely regarded as an essential factor in enhancing a firm's value. In light of its importance, this study examines the impact of three sustainability reporting indicators - sustainability reporting disclosure, sustainability reporting index, and sustainability reporting score - on firm value, as well as determining the role of firm size and leverage. Utilizing a sample of 200 companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) during the research period from 2013 to 2021, the results of panel data regression reveal that two of the three indicators have a significant impact on firm value. Specifically, the sustainability reporting index exerts a positive impact, while the sustainability reporting score has a negative effect on firm value. Furthermore, path analysis estimations reveal that sustainability reporting mediates the positive relationship between firm size and firm value. This study's empirical findings underscore that sustainability reporting plays a pivotal role in shaping a firm's value, and these insights can be valuable for businesses and investors seeking to understand the financial implications associated with sustainability reporting.
Classifying Beta-Secretase 1 Inhibitor Activity for Alzheimer’s Drug Discovery with LightGBM Noviandy, Teuku Rizky; Nisa, Khairun; Idroes, Ghalieb Mutig; Hardi, Irsan; Sasmita, Novi Reandy
Journal of Computing Theories and Applications Vol. 1 No. 4 (2024): JCTA 1(4) 2024
Publisher : Universitas Dian Nuswantoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62411/jcta.10129

Abstract

This study explores the utilization of LightGBM, a gradient-boosting framework, to classify the inhibitory activity of beta-secretase 1 inhibitors, addressing the challenges of Alzheimer's disease drug discovery. The study aims to enhance classification performance by focusing on overcoming the limitations of traditional statistical models and conventional machine-learning techniques in handling complex molecular datasets. By sourcing a dataset of 7298 compounds from the ChEMBL database and calculating molecular descriptors for each compound as features, we employed LightGBM in conjunction with a set of carefully selected molecular descriptors to achieve a nuanced analysis of compound activities. The model's efficiency was benchmarked against traditional machine-learning algorithms, revealing LightGBM's superior accuracy (84.93%), precision (87.14%), sensitivity (89.93%), specificity (77.63%), and F1-score (88.17%) in classifying beta-secretase 1 inhibitor activity. The study underscores the critical role of molecular descriptors in understanding drug efficacy, highlighting LightGBM's potential in streamlining the virtual screening process. Conclusively, the findings advocate for LightGBM's adoption in computational drug discovery, offering a promising avenue for advancing Alzheimer's disease therapeutic development by facilitating the identification of potential drug candidates with enhanced precision and reliability.
Development of a Web-Based Educational Management System for a Technology Vocational High School in Banda Aceh, Indonesia Idroes, Rinaldi; Afidh, Razief Perucha Fauzie; Zahriah, Zahriah; Noviandy, Teuku Rizky; Sugara, Dimas Rendy; Ahsya, Yahdina; Amirah, Kelsy; Baihaqi, Baihaqi; Dharma, Aditia
Journal of Educational Management and Learning Vol. 2 No. 2 (2024): November 2024
Publisher : Heca Sentra Analitika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.60084/jeml.v2i2.230

Abstract

This study explores developing and implementing a web-based Management Information System (MIS) tailored for SMK Negeri 2 Banda Aceh, a vocational school in Indonesia. To enhance administrative efficiency and address unique challenges in vocational education, the system centralizes tasks such as attendance tracking, academic record management, and internship coordination. Employing the waterfall model, this project proceeded through structured phases, including requirements analysis, system design, development, and usability testing. A sample of 50 users, comprising students, teachers, and school operators, evaluated the system based on usability, interface design, and information clarity through a questionnaire, yielding high satisfaction scores. Reliability testing and correlation analysis revealed strong internal consistency across questionnaire items and identified critical factors influencing user satisfaction, such as interface appeal and effective error resolution. The results indicate that the system meets core user needs and contributes to a streamlined, user-friendly school management process. With implementation planning, user training, and ongoing maintenance, this MIS offers a sustainable solution that can serve as a model for vocational schools across Indonesia, showcasing the potential of digital solutions in advancing educational administration and supporting career readiness in vocational education.
Co-Authors Abas, Abdul Hawil Abd Rahman, Sunarti Abrar , Tajul Adi Purnawarman, Adi Afidh, Razief Perucha Fauzie Afjal, Mohd Ahmad Watsiq Maula Ahmad, Noor Atinah Ahsya, Yahdina Alfharijy, Muhammad Daffa Amalina, Faizah Amirah, Kelsy Amri Amin Anisah Aprianto . Apriliansyah, Feby Asep Rusyana Azhar, Fauzul Azzuhry , Haikal Bahri, Ridzky Aulia BAKRI, TEDY KURNIAWAN Dahlawy, Arriz Dharma, Aditia Dian Handayani Dian Lestari, Nova Dimas Chaerul Ekty Saputra Earlia, Nanda Effendy, Amalia Eko Suhartono El-Shazly, Mohamed Emran, Talha Bin Enitan, Seyi Samson Essy Harnelly Faisal, Farassa Rani Fajri, Irfan Fatani, Muhammad Fauzi, Fazlin Mohd Furqan, Nurul Ghazi Mauer Idroes Hafizah, Iffah Hardia, Natasha Athira Keisha Hewindati, Yuni Tri Hidayatullah, Ferdy Hizir Sofyan Husdayanti, Noviana Idroes, Ghalieb Mutig Idroes, Ghifari Maulana Iin Shabrina Hilal Imelda, Eva Imran Imran Irma Sari Irsan Hardi Irvanizam, Irvanizam Isa, Illyas Md Isra Firmansyah, Isra Kadri, Mirzatul Khairan Khairan Khairul, Mhd Khairul, Moh Khairun Nisa Kruba, Rumaisa Kurniadinur, Kurniadinur Kusumo, Fitranto Lala, Andi Lindawati Lindawati Mahyuddin Mahyuddin Maimun Syukri, Maimun Mardalena, Selvi Maria Paristiowati Marwan Marwan Maulana, Aga Maulydia, Nur Balqis Misbullah, Alim Mohamed Yusof, Nur Intan Saidaah Mohd Fauzi, Fazlin Muhammad Adam, Muhammad Muhammad Faisal Muhammad Subianto Muhammad Yanis Muhammad Yusuf Muhtadin Muhtadin Mukhlisuddin Ilyas Muliadi Mursyida, Waliam Muslem Muslem, Muslem Mutaqin, Raihan Nainggolan, Sarah Ika Niode, Nurdjannah Jane Nizamuddin Nizamuddin Nurleila, Nurleila Patwekar, Faheem Patwekar, Mohsina Rahmawati, Cut Raihan Raihan, Raihan Ramadeska, Siti Raudhatul Jannah Ray, Samrat Razief Perucha Fauzie Afidh Rinaldi Idroes Ringga, Edi Saputra Rizkia, Tatsa RR. Ella Evrita Hestiandari Ryan Setiawan Safhadi, Aulia Al-Jihad Sasmita, Novi Reandy Satrio, Justinus Sofyan, Rahmi Solly Aryza Souvia Rahimah Sufri, Rahmat sufriani, sufriani Sugara, Dimas Rendy Suhendra , Rivansyah Suhendra, Rivansyah Suhendrayatna Suhendrayatna Suryadi Suryadi Syahyana, Ahmad Taufiq Karma Teuku Zulfikar TRINA EKAWATI TALLEI Utami, Resty Tamara Yandri, Erkata Zahriah, Zahriah Zhilalmuhana, Teuku Zuchra Helwani, Zuchra Zulkarnain Jalil Zurnila Marli Kesuma