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All Journal ETIKONOMI Jurnal Kajian Informasi & Perpustakaan Indonesian Perspective Journal of Economic, Bussines and Accounting (COSTING) AFRE Accounting Financial Review EKONOMIS : Journal of Economics and Business JURISMA: Jurnal Riset Bisnis & Manajemen Jurnal Manajemen Jurnal Pengabdian Dharma Laksana Jurnal Ekonomi Manajemen Sistem Informasi Jurnal Informatika Ekonomi Bisnis Jurnal Komunitas: Jurnal Pengabidian Kepada Masyarakat BERNAS: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat JBMR: Journal of Business and Management Review Jurnal PADMA: Pengabdian Dharma Masyarakat Golden Ratio of Mapping Idea and Literature Format Golden Ratio of Social Science and Education East Asian Journal of Multidisciplinary Research (EAJMR) Jurnal Bisnis, Ekonomi, dan Sains Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan(KEBAN) Indonesian Perspective English Journal Literacy Utama Relevance: Journal of Management and Business Journal Of Communication Education Media Bina Ilmiah International Journal of Economics (IJEC) Journal Research of Social Science, Economics, and Management Jurnal Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Jurnal Informatika Ekonomi Bisnis Horizon: Indonesian Journal of Multidisciplinary Ekspresi: Publikasi Kegiatan Pengabdian Indonesia Aksi Kita: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Edumaspul: Jurnal Pendidikan
Saputera, Denny
Universitas Widyatama
Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Dentistry Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Health Professions Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Mathematics Neuroscience Nursing Public Health Social Sciences Veterinary Other

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INTEGRASI HARGA EKSPOR UDANG BEKU INDONESIA DAN HARGA IMPOR UDANG BEKU AMERIKA SERIKAT MENGGUNAKAN PENDEKATAN VECTOR ERROR CORRECTION MODEL (VECM) Nabila Azhara Mulyadi; Denny Saputera
Journal of Economic, Bussines and Accounting (COSTING) Vol. 9 No. 4 (2026): Journal of Economic, Bussines and Accounting (COSTING)
Publisher : Institut Penelitian Matematika, Komputer, Keperawatan, Pendidikan dan Ekonomi (IPM2KPE)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31539/9qfbbb05

Abstract

Udang beku merupakan komoditas ekspor perikanan strategis Indonesia, namun fluktuasi harganya selama 2019–2024 menimbulkan ketidakpastian bagi pelaku usaha di tingkat petambak. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis integrasi pasar antara harga domestik Indonesia dan harga impor Amerika Serikat menggunakan pendekatan Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Metode analisis mencakup uji akar unit ADF-PP, uji kointegrasi Johansen, estimasi VECM, uji kausalitas Granger, Impulse Response Function (IRF), dan Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD). Data sekunder bulanan diperoleh dari KKP, BPS, dan USDA. Hasil menunjukkan adanya hubungan kointegrasi jangka panjang yang stabil antara kedua pasar tersebut. Uji kausalitas tidak menunjukkan hubungan dua arah dalam jangka pendek, namun analisis IRF membuktikan bahwa guncangan harga di pasar Amerika Serikat memberikan dampak positif yang persisten terhadap harga domestik. FEVD menegaskan bahwa 89,04% variabilitas harga domestik dijelaskan oleh faktor internal pasar sendiri, sedangkan pengaruh eksternal sebesar 10,96%. Kebijakan stabilisasi harga nasional disarankan untuk berfokus pada penguatan efisiensi rantai pasok domestik daripada sekadar merespons volatilitas global.
Pemberdayaan Pelaku UMKM melalui Penguatan Kompetensi Manajerial dan Adaptasi Digital Muhammad Kosim; Windi Windi; Muhadar Putih; Denny Saputera; Sifa Amalia Afifah
Aksi Kita: Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat Vol. 2 No. 4 (2026): JULI-AGUSTUS
Publisher : Indo Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.63822/jq71n417

Abstract

Pelaku Usaha Mikro, Kecil, dan Menengah (UMKM) di Kabupaten Bekasi memiliki potensi pengembangan yang besar, namun masih menghadapi kendala dalam kompetensi manajerial, pengelolaan keuangan, perencanaan usaha, standardisasi produksi, dan pemanfaatan teknologi digital. Kegiatan pengabdian kepada masyarakat ini bertujuan meningkatkan kapasitas pelaku UMKM melalui penguatan kompetensi manajerial dan adaptasi digital agar pengelolaan usaha lebih terstruktur dan adaptif terhadap perkembangan pasar. Kegiatan dilaksanakan dalam satu hari dengan pendekatan partisipatif, edukatif, dan aplikatif melalui sosialisasi, diskusi, studi kasus, praktik, dan evaluasi. Materi meliputi pencatatan keuangan sederhana, business plan, SOP dan Good Manufacturing Practices (GMP), branding, pembuatan konten, serta pemanfaatan media sosial dan marketplace. Hasil kegiatan menunjukkan peningkatan pemahaman dan keterampilan awal mitra dalam pengelolaan usaha dan pemanfaatan teknologi digital. Mitra juga memperoleh instrumen pendukung berupa format pencatatan keuangan, konsep SOP produksi, dan materi pemasaran digital. Karena kegiatan dilaksanakan dalam satu hari, peningkatan omzet, produksi, dan penjualan digital belum dapat diukur secara kuantitatif. Luaran kegiatan berupa peningkatan kapasitas mitra, dokumentasi, dan naskah artikel ilmiah sebagai bentuk diseminasi hasil pengabdian.
The Effect of Downstream Policies, Exchange Rates, Production and International Prices on Indonesia's Nickel Export Volume with Global Demand as a Mediator Variable for the 2015-2024 Period Safitri, Dewi Ayu; Saputera, Denny
HORIZON: Indonesian Journal of Multidisciplinary Vol. 4 No. 4 (2026): HORIZON: Indonesian Journal of Multidisciplinary
Publisher : Lembaga Intelektual Muda (LIM) Maluku

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.54373/hijm.v4i4.6650

Abstract

The increase in world nickel demand has prompted the Indonesian government to implement downstream policies to increase the added value of mineral commodities before they are exported to the international market. This study aims to analyze the influence of downstream policies, exchange rates, production levels, and international prices on Indonesia's nickel export volume with global demand as a mediating variable. The research uses a quantitative approach with secondary data for the period 2015–2024 obtained from various official institutions such as the Central Statistics Agency, Bank Indonesia, TradeMap, and the World Trade Organization. The analysis was carried out based on international trade theory, comparative advantage theory, Heckscher-Ohlin theory, value-added theory, and derived demand theory. The results of the study show that the downstream policy contributes to increasing the competitiveness of Indonesia's nickel exports through increasing the added value of products. Production levels have an important influence in maintaining the sustainability of export supply, while exchange rates and international prices affect the competitiveness of Indonesian products in the global market. Global demand has proven to be a mechanism that strengthens the relationship between these variables and export volumes. The findings of the study show that the success of Indonesia's nickel exports is not only determined by production and price factors, but also influenced by government policies and international market dynamics.
Determinants of Indonesia's Export Performance: The Role of the Generalized System of Preferences (GSP), Gross Domestic Product, and Export Competitiveness Ramadani, Fitria; Saputera, Denny
HORIZON: Indonesian Journal of Multidisciplinary Vol. 4 No. 4 (2026): HORIZON: Indonesian Journal of Multidisciplinary
Publisher : Lembaga Intelektual Muda (LIM) Maluku

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.54373/hijm.v4i4.6806

Abstract

The decline in the effectiveness of the Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) tariff preference scheme and the dynamics of export product competitiveness raise questions about the factors that influence Indonesia's export performance. This study aims to analyze the influence of GSP tariff preferences, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and export competitiveness as measured by the Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) index on Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil (CPO, HS 1511.10) export performance to India during the 2010–2024 period. The study uses a quantitative associative-causal approach with the Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) method based on secondary data obtained from UNCTAD, the World Bank, and the ITC Trade Map. The results show that GSP tariff preferences have no significant effect on export performance, while GDP and RCA have a positive and significant effect. Simultaneously, the three variables are able to explain 72.1% of the variation in export performance. In addition, RCA does not moderate the relationship between GSP and export performance, but significantly strengthens the influence of GDP on export performance. These findings indicate that Indonesia's improved export performance is more determined by strengthening economic capacity and product competitiveness than by solely utilizing preferential trade facilities. The research's implications emphasize the importance of enhancing industrial competitiveness and refining export policy strategies.
Determinan Neraca Perdagangan Indonesia: Peran Mediasi Pendapatan per Kapita Evan Ozora; Denny Saputera
Jurnal Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Vol. 4 No. 3 (2026): September: JURNAL RISET EKONOMI DAN AKUNTANSI
Publisher : Institut Teknologi dan Bisnis (ITB) Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.54066/jrea-itb.v4i3.4330

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of Indonesian Migrant Workers' (PMI) remittances, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), and nonmigrant labor on Indonesia's trade balance, both directly and through per capita income as a mediating variable. The research applies a quantitative method with a causal associative approach using annual secondary time series data of Indonesia for the 2012–2024 period sourced from the World Bank and Statistics Indonesia. The analysis was conducted using path analysis through two multiple linear regression models with SPSS version 25. The results show that, partially and simultaneously, PMI remittances, FDI, and nonmigrant labor have no significant effect on the trade balance, either directly or through the mediation of per capita income. Per capita income is the variable with the highest coefficient and t-value in the model, thus potentially representing the most economically dominant transmission channel, although it is not yet statistically significant. These findings indicate that the dynamics of Indonesia's trade balance during the study period were largely determined by factors outside the model.
Co-Authors Adi Maryadi Adinda Siti Zahra Aditya Yudanegara Agustine, Merryam Aminudin Andhi Sukma Arsendo, Rio Ayu Widia Chen, Robin Daniyah, Alifa Putri Dede Hertina Delima, Trianita Della Dwinanti Sumpena Dermawan, Denden Dimas Dewi, Rina Ariyanthi Dewiana Novitasari Diah Sri Rejeki Dwi Fauziansyah Moenardi Dwi Fauziansyah Moenardy Dwi Fauziansyah Moenardy Dwi Fauziansyah Moenardy Effendi, Kharisya Ayu Evan Ozora Evi Nursanti Rukmana Evi Rachmawati Fiqih Maria Rabiatul Hariroh Firdaus Putra Firmansyah, Azzahra Putri Fitri Amalia Gilang Nur Alam Gilang Nur Alam Gugup T. Prihatma Hasbi Hawari Ilham Muhammad Mardiputra Jainuri Jainuri John Henry Wijaya Laila, Nida Laila Marcelina Matilda Mingga Dalopez Meilky Partogi Moenardy, Dwi Fauziansyah Muhadar Putih Muhammad Kosim MUHAMMAD KOSIM, MUHAMMAD Muhsoni, Ridwan Muttaqin, Rizqi Nabila Azhara Mulyadi Najiyyah Nur Syahidah Nida Laila Laila Nisawati, Inna Nurjanah, Rina Pana Gelora Pantalo, Stevin Martha Moia Radhi Abdul Halim Rachmat Ramadani, Fitria Ramdani, Cecep Renita Adella Reski Nasvar Azis Madinda Reyhan Ariz Altariq Reyhan Ariz Altariq Reyhan, Felix Rina Ariyanthi Dewi Rina Ariyanthi Dewi Rina Ariyanti Dewi Rina Nurjanah Risca Meyliawati Risca Meyliawati Rizal Budi Santoso Rizal Budi Santoso Rizal Budi Santoso Rizqi Muttaqin Rizqi Muttaqin Rizqi Muttaqin Rizqi Muttaqin Rizqi Muttaqin Safitri, Dewi Ayu Sakina Ichsani Salima Ananda Nabila Santoso*, Rizal Budi Santoso, Rizal Budi Sifa Amalia Afifah Soni A. Nulhaqim Taharuddin, Nurul Shima Taufik Hidayat Taufik Hidayat Whan Augustin Ainul Amri Wijaya, John Henry Windi Windi Wulan Rahma Dewi Yahya, Adibah