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Enhancing the Efficiency of Jakarta's Mass Rapid Transit System with XGBoost Algorithm for Passenger Prediction Harriz, Muhammad Alfathan; Akbariani, Nurhaliza Vania; Setiyowati, Harlis; Santoso, Handri
Jambura Journal of Informatics VOL 5, NO 1: APRIL 2023
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37905/jji.v5i1.18814

Abstract

This study is based on a machine learning algorithm known as XGBoost. We used the XGBoost algorithm to forecast the capacity of Jakarta's mass transit system. Using preprocessed raw data obtained from the Jakarta Open Data website for the period 2020-2021 as a training medium, we achieved a mean absolute percentage error of 69. However, after the model was fine-tuned, the MAPE was significantly reduced by 28.99% to 49.97. The XGBoost algorithm was found to be effective in detecting patterns and trends in the data, which can be used to improve routes and plan future studies by providing valuable insights. It is possible that additional data points, such as holidays and weather conditions, will further enhance the accuracy of the model in future research. As a result of implementing XGBoost, Jakarta's transportation system can optimize resource utilization and improve customer service in order to improve passenger satisfaction. Future studies may benefit from additional data points, such as holidays and weather conditions, in order to improve XGBoost's efficiency.
Predicting Supply Chain Risks Using Machine Learning for Resilient Operations Widayanti, Riya; Setiyowati, Harlis; Yusup, Muhamad; Rodriguez, Marta
ADI Journal on Recent Innovation (AJRI) Vol. 7 No. 2 (2026): March
Publisher : ADI Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34306/ajri.v7i2.1376

Abstract

Rising supply chain disruptions highlight increasing vulnerabilities in global logistics networks caused by geopolitical conflicts, fluctuating demand, transportation failures, and environmental instability. These challenges reveal the limitations of conventional risk assessment approaches that rely heavily on manual analysis and historical data. Machine Learning (ML) offers a promising approach to enhance predictive intelligence and support more accurate decision making in complex supply chain environments. This study aims to develop and evaluate a Machine Learning based risk prediction model capable of identifying potential supply chain disruptions and enabling early detection of critical risk factors in global logistics operations. A quantitative experimental approach was employed using supply chain datasets integrated with disruption indicators from international logistics activities. The dataset consisted of more than 5,000 operational records collected between 2018 and 2024. Several machine learning algorithms were implemented and compared, including Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, and Support Vector Machines. Experimental results indicate that the Gradient Boosting algorithm achieved the highest predictive performance with an accuracy of 94.2%. The model successfully identified key determinants of supply chain risk, including demand variability, supplier reliability, and transportation delays. These findings confirm that machine learning based predictive models can enhance supply chain resilience by enabling early risk detection and supporting proactive decision making in global logistics operations.