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Journal : IJISTECH

Implementation of Backpropagation Artificial Neural Networks to Predict Palm Oil Price Fresh Fruit Bunches Edi Ismanto; Noverta Effendi; Eka Pandu Cynthia
IJISTECH (International Journal of Information System and Technology) Vol 2, No 1 (2018): November
Publisher : Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Komputer (STIKOM) Tunas Bangsa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30645/ijistech.v2i1.17

Abstract

Riau Province is one of the regions known for its plantation products, especially in the oil palm sector, so that Riau Province and regional districts focus on oil palm plants as the main commodity of plantations in Riau. Based on data from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) of Riau Province, the annual production of oil palm plantations, especially smallholder plantations in Riau province has always increased. So is the demand for world CPO. But sometimes the selling price of oil palm fresh fruit bunches (FFB) for smallholder plantations always changes due to many influential factors. With the Artificial Neural Network approach, the Backpropagation algorithm we conduct training and testing of the time series variables that affect the data, namely data on the area of oil palm plantations in Riau Province; Total palm oil production in Riau Province; Palm Oil Productivity in Riau Province; Palm Oil Exports in Riau Province and Average World CPO Prices. Then price predictions will be made in the future. Based on the results of the training and testing, the best Artificial Neural Network (ANN) architecture model was obtained with 9 input layers, 5 hidden layers and 1 output layer. The output of RMSE 0000699 error value and accuracy percentage is 99.97% so that it can make price predictions according to the given target value.
Co-Authors Abdul Fadlil Adam Ramadhan Afandi Alsyar Agus Satria Ajeng Safitri Al Amien, Januar Al Rian, Rahmad Ambiyar, Ambiyar Amran, Hasanatul Fu'adah Anton Yudhana Bella, Bella Fitria Sari Celvin Arafat Davie Rizky Akbar Delopinli, Crystian Deprizon, Deprizon Diah Eka Ratna Diva Arifal Adha Dwi Sanggar Wati, Anisa Effendi, Noverta Eka Pandu Cynthia Eka Pandu Cynthia Erik Suanda Handika Fadli Rahmad Hidayatullah Fatihul Ihsan, Tengku Fawwaz Fikri Abdul Jafar Gunawan, Rahmad Habil Maulana Hadhrami Ab Ghani Hadhrami Ab. Ghani Hammam Zaki Harun Mukhtar Herdani, Inka friska Herlandy, Pratama Benny Herman Ilham Ramadhan Januar Al Amien Januar Al Amien Januar Al Amien Khairul Anshari Kitagawa, Kodai Lisman, Muhammad Maulana, M.Rizky Melly Novalia Melly Novalia Melly Novalia, Melly Mohamad, Mohd Saberi Muhammad Cavin Ramadhan Muhammad Ridwansyah Nuraeni, Eneng Nurul Izrin Binti Md Saleh Nurul Izrin Md Saleh Nurul Safira, Natasya Oriana, Larisa Patlan Putra Humala Harahap Pramudya, Muhammad Rayenra Azthi Pratama Benny Herlandi Pratama Benny Herlandy Putri Ramahdani, Anggi Rahmad Al Rian Rahmad Al Rian Rahmad Alrian Rahmad Gunawan Gunawan Rahmadani, Delia Syaf Ramadani, Tasya Remli, Muhammad Akmal Renita Rahmadani Resmi Darni Ridhollah, Farhan Riski Amin Putra Rohima Zalti, Ulfani Rose Darmakusuma, Dinda Safitri, Ajeng Septian Alza Septiawan, Raffi Siti Niah Soni Sri Fitria Retnawaty Sunanto Sunanto Suryadila, Lusi Tri Wahono Vitriani Vitriani Vitriani Vitrian Vitriani, Vitriani Wan Salihin Wong, Khairul Nizar Syazwan Wandi Syahfutra Winson Ardhika Ramadhani Yeeri Badrun