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Yulisda, Desvina
Universitas Malikussaleh
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Journal : Journal Of Artificial Intelligence And Software Engineering

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Power Consumption Prediction Using Support Vector Machine and Particle Swarm Optimization Laila, Dwi Nur'aini; Ula, Mutammimul; Yulisda, Desvina
Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Software Engineering Vol 5, No 3 (2025): September
Publisher : Politeknik Negeri Lhokseumawe

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30811/jaise.v5i3.7433

Abstract

The continuous growth in electricity consumption demands a reliable prediction system to support sustainable energy planning. This study aims to forecast electricity consumption using the Support Vector Machine (SVM) method, in which the parameters are optimized through the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm. PSO is employed to determine the optimal parameters, namely weight and bias, by minimizing prediction errors measured using Mean Squared Error (MSE). The implementation was carried out using Visual Basic for Applications (VBA) in Excel, based on historical electricity usage data from January 2023 to July 2025 The prediction results indicate a high level of accuracy, as evidenced by the lowest Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) value of 0.006, observed in the Mbt District.. The model was then used to predict electricity consumption until December 2027, revealing a gradual increase in usage across all districts. These findings indicate that the integration of SVM and PSO is effective in producing accurate and reliable prediction models to support decision-making in electricity demand management.
Co-Authors -, Badriana -, Bakhtiar Agam Muarif Agus Adi Nursalim Ahmad Fikri Ahmad Fikri Ahmad Fikri Ahmad Nayan Akbar, Anggi Rizki Al Kautsar Aidilof, Hafizh Alfarizi, Reza Amalia, Nabila Ananda Faridhatul Ulva Andik Bintoro Angga Pratama Angga Pratama Apriani Riski Ar Razi Ar Razi Ashari, Muhammad Rayhan Aulia, Rika Baidhawi Baidhawi Balqis Yafis Chairil Anwar Cut Aura Putri K.D Dahlan Abdullah Dedi Fariadi Dini Rizki Ebi Putra Eka Susanti Eka Susanti Emi Maulani Eri Saputra Fadhliani, Fadhliani Fajar, Mutiara Febriandirza, Arafat Habib Muharry Yusdartono Hanif Hanif Himmatur Rijal Hisyam Maulana Hadi Hussain, Azham Ida Ayu Putu Sri Widnyani Iswadi Iswadi Kamila, Raisya Khairul Anshar Khairul Anshar Kurniawati Kurniawati Kurniawati Laila, Dwi Nur'aini Marina Marina Maulida, Fika Melani, Siska Amelia Muhammad Aufa Aslami Muhammad Fauzan MUHAMMAD HABIB Muhammad Ikhwani Mukti Qamal Muliana, Erna Mulyawan, Rizka Munirul Ula Mutammimul Ula Muthmainnah Muthmainnah Muthmainnah Muthmainnah Mutiara Fajar Muzakir Nur Nita, Erlija Nosari, Yulia Nurdin Nurdin Nurfasha , Salsa Nurhasanah Nurhasanah Nurlaila, Rizka Nurmalita Nurmalita Nurul Hayati Harahap Perdinanta, Gita Rafika Rafika Rahayu Rahayu Rahma Fitria Rahma Fitria, Rahma Rahma, Hilmia Rahmah, Chatrine Aulia Razi, Ar Razif, Razif Reza Putra Rizka Mulyawan Rizki Setiawan Rizki, Dini Rizky Putra Fhonna Sahputra, Ilham Salsa Nurfasha Salwan, Defri Sayed Fachrurrazi Sri Wilujeng Susanti Susanti Syakhila, Amanda Syamsul Bahri Sylvie Anastasya Utami Tarigan, Anjasmara Teguh Gunawan Veri Ilhadi Zulnazri, Z Zurhijjah Zurhijjah