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ANALYSIS OF THE BACKPROPAGATION ALGORITHM IN PREDICTING WATER VOLUME OF PDAM TIRTAULI PEMATANG SIANTAR CITY Saputra Ramadani; Anjar Wanto; M. Safii
JURTEKSI (Jurnal Teknologi dan Sistem Informasi) Vol 10, No 2 (2024): Maret 2024
Publisher : STMIK Royal

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33330/jurteksi.v10i2.2893

Abstract

Abstract: Increasing living standards cause an increase in the need for drinking water. However, current water supply estimates are still not optimal, with water production sometimes being more or less than requirements. To estimate the amount of water, an appropriate method is needed. The method used in this research is the back propagation algorithm artificial neural network method. When developing forecasts, past data is necessary to produce accurate results. This research aims to develop a predictive model that can estimate the volume of water that will be used by PDAM Tirtauli in the future. It is hoped that this predictive model can help PDAMs in planning more efficient water supply management and can reduce the potential for water supply shortages in the future. This research uses water distribution data for the 2015-2022 period. Training data starts in 2015-2021, testing data starts in 2016-2022. In this research, results were obtained using the Matlab R2011a application. In this research, the 5 architectures used are architecture 6-53-1, 6-58-1, 6-61-1, 6-81-1, 6-87-1. Based on these five architectures, the best architecture was obtained, namely architecture 6-87-1 with a root mean square error test value of 0.00010031 and an accuracy of 92%. The results achieved in 2023 are the total water volume of PDAM Tirtauli Pematangsiantar of 189,610,426.                                                                                            Keywords: backpropagation; distribution; PDAM; prediction; water   Abstrak: Meningkatnya taraf hidup menyebabkan meningkatnya kebutuhan akan air minum. Namun, perkiraan pasokan air saat ini masih belum optimal, dengan produksi air kadang-kadang lebih atau kurang dari kebutuhan. Untuk memperkirakan jumlah air diperlukan suatu metode yang sesuai. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah metode jaringan syaraf tiruan algoritma back propagation. Saat mengembangkan perkiraan, data masa lalu diperlukan untuk menghasilkan hasil yang akurat. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengembangkan model prediktif yang dapat memperkirakan volume air yang akan digunakan oleh PDAM Tirtauli di masa mendatang. Model prediktif ini diharapkan dapat membantu PDAM dalam perencanaan pengelolaan pasokan air yang lebih efisien dan dapat mengurangi potensi kekurangan pasokan air pada masa yang akan datang. Penelitian ini menggunakan data sebaran air periode 2015-2022. Data pelatihan dimulai pada tahun 2015-2021, data pengujian dimulai pada tahun 2016-2022. Pada penelitian ini diperoleh hasil dengan menggunakan aplikasi Matlab R2011a. Pada penelitian ini 5 arsitektur yang digunakan adalah arsitektur 6-53-1, 6-58-1, 6-61-1, 6-81-1, 6-87-1. Berdasarkan kelima arsitektur tersebut diperoleh arsitektur terbaik yaitu arsitektur 6-87-1 dengan nilai uji root mean square error sebesar 0,00010031 dan mendapatkan akurasi sebesar 92%. Hasil yang dicapai pada tahun 2023 adalah total volume air PDAM Tirtauli Pematangsiantar sebesar 189.610.426. Kata Kunci: air; backpropagation; distribusi; PDAM; prediksi 
Algoritma K-Means untuk Pengelompokkan Dokumen Akta Kelahiran pada Tiap Kecamatan di Kabupaten Simalungun Napitupulu, Flora Sabarina; Damanik, Irfan Sudahri; Saragih, Ilham Syahputra; Wanto, Anjar
Building of Informatics, Technology and Science (BITS) Vol 2 No 1 (2020): June 2020
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (403.352 KB) | DOI: 10.47065/bits.v2i1.323

Abstract

A birth certificate is a document that must be owned by a citizen. This document contains information about the birth of a person and is an official record of proof of state recognition of the person's existence. The purpose of this study is to group birth certificate documents in each district in Simalungun Regency. The research data was obtained from the Population and Civil Registry Office of Simalungun Regency. The grouping algorithm used is the K-means algorithm which is one of the Data Mining algorithms that is good for the case of grouping. By using this algorithm the data that has been obtained can be grouped into several clusters, where the application of the K-Means Clustering process uses the RapidMiner tool. Data is divided into 3 groups: high (C1), medium (C2) and low (C3). The results obtained from this study are in December entered into a high level cluster (C1), in August, September and October entered into a medium cluster (C2), and in January, February, March, April, May, June, July and November entered into the low cluster (C3).
Prediksi Perkembangan Jumlah Pelanggan Listrik Menurut Pelanggan Area Menggunakan Algoritma Backpropagation Saragih, Irfan Christian; Hartama, Dedy; Wanto, Anjar
Building of Informatics, Technology and Science (BITS) Vol 2 No 1 (2020): June 2020
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (364.497 KB) | DOI: 10.47065/bits.v2i1.341

Abstract

Electricity is one of the vital needs of humanity. Without electricity, it is certain that the wheels of the economy will not be able to run properly. So that electricity customers are increasingly increasing, as they increase the needs and population of the community. Therefore this study aims to determine the development of the number of electricity customers using the backpropagation algorithm. The research data used was electricity customer data by area (customer) in North Sumatra in 2013-2017, obtained from the Central Statistics Agency of North Sumatra. This study uses 5 architectural models, namely 4-2-1, 4-3-1, 4-4-1, 4-5-1, and 4-6-1. Of the five architectural models used, one of the best architectural models is obtained 4-4-1 with an accuracy rate of 88%, epoch 716 iterations in a short amount of time, 15 seconds, with MSE Training 0,00099763 and MSE testing 0.00109935. Based on the best architectural model, this will be used to predict the Development of Electricity Customers by Area Customers in North Sumatra from 2018 to 2020
Pemanfaatan Algoritma Fletcher-Reeves untuk Penentuan Model Prediksi Harga Nilai Ekspor Menurut Golongan SITC Ginantra, Ni Luh Wiwik Sri Rahayu; GS, Achmad Daengs; Andini, Silfia; Wanto, Anjar
Building of Informatics, Technology and Science (BITS) Vol 3 No 4 (2022): March 2022
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (501.887 KB) | DOI: 10.47065/bits.v3i4.1449

Abstract

Conjugate gradient Fletcher-Reeves algorithm, according to some literature, is an optimization method that is suitable when juxtaposed with the backpropagation method because this method can speed up the training time to achieve a minimum convergence value. Therefore, this study aims to prove whether the algorithm has good performance and can provide efficient convergence results when used to solve prediction problems in the case of export values ​​according to the Standard International Trade Classification (SITC) class. The results of this study are a predictive model that can be used and developed to make predictions in seeing the development of the export value of the SITC class based on the US Dollar currency. The research data was taken from the website of the Central Statistics Agency for 2010-2020. Prediction models that will be analyzed using the Fletcher-Reeves algorithm include 5-20-1, 5-25-1, and 5-30-1, with the activation functions of tansig and logsig. Based on the analysis carried out through excel calculations from the training and testing process using the Matlab-2011b application, the results obtained that the 5-25-1 network model is the best model with a performance value or Mean Square Error 0.00287273 compared to the other four models. So it can be concluded that the Fletcher-Reeves algorithm is proven to produce faster convergence; it can be seen from the epoch generated from each model that it is not too large and the time required is relatively short
Utilization of the Profile Matching Method for Recommendations for the Appointment of Honorary Teachers to Become Permanent Teachers Febriyanto, R Tri Hadi; Wanto, Anjar; Damanik, Bahrudi Efendi
JOMLAI: Journal of Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence Vol. 2 No. 2 (2023): June
Publisher : Yayasan Literasi Sains Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55123/jomlai.v2i2.2357

Abstract

This study aims to utilize the Profile Matching method in the recommendation process for hiring honorary teachers to become permanent teachers at Taman Siswa Bah Jambi Private High School. Honorary teachers are an important part of the education system in Indonesia, and recommendations for their appointment as permanent teachers require the right approach to ensure fair and efficient selection. In this study, an analysis of the Profile Matching method was carried out in assessing the feasibility and integrity of honorary teachers. Data collection was carried out by collecting information on academic achievement, teaching experience, and other qualifications of honorary teachers at Taman Siswa Bah Jambi Private High School. The results of the study show that Profile Matching provides recommendations that are quite relevant and can be considered in the appointment of honorary teachers to become permanent teachers. The Profile Matching method tends to place more emphasis on suitability of teaching qualifications and experience. This research is expected to provide valuable information for related parties in choosing the appropriate method for recommendations for hiring honorary teachers to become permanent teachers at Taman Siswa Bah Jambi Private High School.
Prediction of Palm Oil Seed Stock Production Results with the Back-propagation Algorithm Damayanti, Tri Febri; Wanto, Anjar; Tambunan, Heru Satria
JOMLAI: Journal of Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence Vol. 2 No. 2 (2023): June
Publisher : Yayasan Literasi Sains Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55123/jomlai.v2i2.2391

Abstract

Palm oil is the largest plantation export commodity in Indonesia because Indonesia has a soil structure that is suitable for planting oil palms. As is the case with the production of oil palm seed stock, of course, it does not always increase, and the production of oil palm seed stock will undoubtedly decrease. Therefore, an algorithm is needed to predict it so that the company can find out the future development of oil palm seed stock production using the Back-propagation algorithm. The Back-propagation Algorithm is used to predict the yield of oil palm seed stock production using data from the Marihat unit Oil Palm Research Center (PPKS) in 2019-2022. The Back-propagation Algorithm is an algorithm that reduces the error rate by adjusting the weights based on the desired output and target, as well as Testing the Back-propagation algorithm using Matlab. Based on the test results of the five architectural models used, one best architectural model was obtained, namely 2-14-1, using the Back-propagation method, which produced an MSE value of 0.0551030 with a Training time of 08:00 seconds with a test accuracy of 75%. Based on the research results obtained, it is expected to be input, suggestions, and efforts, especially for the Marihat Unit PPKS company, increase the stock of oil palm production seeds in each period to increase company profits more optimally.
Utilization of the C4.5 Algorithm for Classifying Students Who Are Eligible to Apply for Obtaining PIP Fazira, Rizky Nazwa; Wanto, Anjar; Gunawan, Indra
JOMLAI: Journal of Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence Vol. 2 No. 2 (2023): June
Publisher : Yayasan Literasi Sains Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55123/jomlai.v2i2.3187

Abstract

This research aims to optimize the selection process for eligible students for the Smart Indonesia Program (PIP) using the C4.5 algorithm. PIP is a social assistance program aimed at students who meet specific criteria. The C4.5 algorithm was chosen because it can produce a decision model that can be used to classify students based on various assessment factors. This study involved collecting student data based on predetermined PIP criteria. This data is then used as input to train the model using the C4.5 algorithm. The training involves identifying patterns and relationships between significant variables in determining a student's eligibility for PIP. This research resulted in a decision regarding PIP (Smart Indonesia Program) recipients with a low parental income classification who were entitled to assistance. It is hoped that the results of this research can contribute to increasing efficiency and accuracy in the selection process for PIP recipient students. Using the C4.5 algorithm is expected to produce more objective decisions and identify students who qualify for assistance more precisely. Apart from that, this research can also provide new insights regarding implementing algorithms in the context of education policy and social assistance.
Analisis Dan Pemodelan Posisi Access Point Pada Jaringan Wi-Fi Menggunakan Metode Simulate Annealing Wanto, Anjar; Hardinata, Jaya T; Silaban, Herlan F; Saputra, Widodo
J-SAKTI (Jurnal Sains Komputer dan Informatika) Vol 1, No 1 (2017): EDISI MARET
Publisher : STIKOM Tunas Bangsa Pematangsiantar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (955.334 KB) | DOI: 10.30645/j-sakti.v1i1.35

Abstract

Laying the position of the access point on the Wi-Fi network in a room is needed to optimize the signal strength received from the transmitter to the receiver. The parameters that determine the performance of the access point is the value of the signal strength. Strong or weak a signal access point will be affected by distance and barriers that exist between the access point and a client that accesses the access point. This study has been performed several simulations in multiple rooms are placed the access point to the receiver. The parameters used to measure the signal strength using inSSIDer applications that generate value RSSI (Received Signal Strength Indication) of a transmitter to the receiver and barriers (barriers) that may influence the strength of the signal. From this research strength of the signal received by the receiver not only in pengaruhui by the distance between accespoint to the recipient, but rather influenced by barriers (barriers) which is in a room. From the results of the research are expected to be able to obtain appropriate modeling to optimize access point placement position using the Simulate annealing method.
Pelatihan Guru-Guru PAUD “MELEK” Teknologi Kabupaten Simalungun Windarto, Agus Perdana; Parlina, Iin; Wanto, Anjar
Jurnal TUNAS Vol 1, No 1 (2019): Edisi November
Publisher : LPPM STIKOM Tunas Bangsa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (322.946 KB) | DOI: 10.30645/jtunas.v1i1.1

Abstract

This community service aims to improve the knowledge and skills of PAUD teachers specifically software-based and android interactive learning in Simalungun District. This dedication was held during July 2019. This activity was carried out in two days, starting at 08.00- 11.30 WIB (first session), 14.00- 16.30 WIB (second session), on Saturdays, 20 and 27 July 2019, the location of the service was held in kindergarten Sandy Putra Pematangsiantar. The target of this activity is PAUD teachers in Simalungun District. The reason for the selection of service locations was deliberations from representatives of PAUD partner management in Simalungun District. For teachers, PAUD provides transportation to be taken to the location of the service given that this activity has a responsibility for PAUD teachers in educating the children of the nation in the industrial revolution era 4.0. The method used in the implementation is with presentations / lectures, discussions, questions and answers, and simulations / exercises. The results of this community service activity showed that of the 40 participants, PAUD teachers were able to answer all questions with a number of questions 45% (18 participants) after conducting training which previously were only able to answer 9 questions correctly as many as 13% (5 participants) before being asked for training. Therefore, in the future it is expected that further training can be carried out by PAUD teachers so that they can utilize knowledge more optimally and implement it more easily by their students.
PKM Pelatihan Penulisan Karya Ilmiah Bagi Pelajar SMK Di Kabupaten Simalungun Dan Kota Pematangsiantar Wanto, Anjar; Lubis, Muhammad Ridwan; Parlina, Iin
Jurnal TUNAS Vol 1, No 1 (2019): Edisi November
Publisher : LPPM STIKOM Tunas Bangsa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (206.335 KB) | DOI: 10.30645/jtunas.v1i1.2

Abstract

This training aims to foster and increase interest in writing, especially writing scientific papers for vocational students in Simalungun Regency and Pematangsiantar City. This dedication is carried out in 2 different Vocational Schools which are Partners of the dedication team, Partner 1 is the National Children's Vocational School located in Simalungun district and an exemplary Private Vocational School located in Pematangsiantar City. The activity was held for 4 days during July 2019, at the National Private Vocational School. The activity was carried out on Saturday and Sunday 6-7 July 2019, starting at 08.00-17.00 WIB with 52 students participating, while the Exemplary Private Vocational School was held on the 13th -14 July 2019 at the same time, with 25 students. The targets of this activity are vocational students in Simalungun District (SMK Anak Bangsa) and Pematangsiantar City (Exemplary SMK). The reason for the selection of service locations is because of the lack of student interest in these schools in terms of writing scientific papers, as well as the lack of scientific papers produced. This activity uses the method of presentation / lecture, discussion, question and answer, and practice / practice. The results of this community service activity show that out of 52 student participants in the Vocational School Private Nation, 25 students were able to answer the questions (Post Test) correctly as many as 10 questions (48%) where previously only able to answer the questions (Pre Test) correctly 9 questions as many as 8 participants (15%). While from 25 student participants in Exemplary Private Vocational Schools, 12 students were able to answer questions (Post Test) correctly as many as 10 questions (48%) where previously only able to answer questions (Pre Test) correctly 9 questions as many as 2 participants (8%).
Co-Authors Abdi Rahim Damanik Abdullah Ahmad Achmad Noerkhaerin Putra Adnan, Syed Muhammad Agung Pratama Agung Wibowo Agung Yusuf Pratama Agus Perdana Windarto Akbari, Imam Anan Wibowo Andi Sanggam Sidabutar Arifah Hanum Arifin Nur, Khairun Nisa Asro Pradipta Astuti, Wiwik Sri Ayu Artika Fardhani Azwar Anas Manurung Azwar Anas Manurung Bil Klinton Sihotang Cici Astria Damanik, Bahrudi Efendi Damayanti, Tri Febri Daniel Sitorus Dedi Kusbiantoro Dedi Suhendro Dedi Suhendro Dedy Hartama Dedy Hartama Dedy Hartama Dedy Hartama Dedy Hartama Deri Setiawan Desi Insani Natalia Simanjuntak Dewi, Rafiqa Dinda Nabila Batubara Edu Wardo Saragih eko hartato Eko Hartato Eko Kurniawan Eko Purwanto Elfin Efendi Eva Desiana Fajar Ramadan Fazira, Rizky Nazwa Febriyanto, R Tri Hadi Fikri Yatussa’ada Fitri Anggraini GS , Achmad Daengs Gumilar Ramadhan Pangaribuan Hardinata, Jaya T Harly Okprana Hartama, Dedy Hartama, Dedy Heru Satria Tambunan Heru Satria Tambunan, Heru Satria Ht. Barat, Ade Ismiaty Ramadhona Hutapea, Isniar Yaskinah Hutasoit, Rahel Adelina Hutasoit, Rahel Adelina Ihsan Maulana Muhamad Iin Parlina Iin Parlina Iin Parlina Iin Parlina Iin Parlina Iin Parlina Ika Okta Kirana Ika Okta Kirana Ika Okta Kirana Ika Okta Kirana Ika Okta Kirana Ika Purnama Sari Ilham Syahputra Saragih Imelda Asih Rohani Simbolon Indra Gunawan Indra Gunawan Indra Satria Indra Satria Indra Satria Indri Sriwahyuni Purba Irawan Irawan Irfan Sudahri Damanik Jalaluddin Jalaluddin Jalaluddin Jalaluddin Jaya Tata Hardinata Jeni Sugiandi Jonas Rayandi Saragih Jonas Rayandi Saragih Joni Wilson Sitopu Jufriadif Na`am, Jufriadif Juli Wahyuni Khairun Nisa Arifin Nur Khairunnissa Fanny Irnanda Kirana, Ika Okta M Mesran M Safii M. Safii M.Ridwan Lubis Manurung, Azwar Anas MARIA BINTANG Marseba Situmorang Martina Silaban Mesran, Mesran Meychael Adi Putra Hutabarat Mhd Ali Hanafiah Mhd Gading Sadewo Mhd. Billy Sandi Saragih Mhd.Buhari Sibuea Mora Malemta Sitomorang Muhammad Aliyul Amri Muhammad Aliyul Amri Muhammad Julham Muhammad Julham Muhammad Mahendra Muhammad Ridwan Lubis Muhammad Ridwan Lubis Muhammad Ridwan Lubis Muhammad Ridwan Lubis Muhammad Syafiq Muhammad Wijaya Napitupulu, Flora Sabarina Nasution, Rizki Alfadillah Nasution, Zulaini Masruro Nazlina Izmi Addyna Ni Luh Wiwik Sri Rahayu Ginantra Nur Ahlina Febriyati Nur Arminarahmah Nur Arminarahmah Nur, Khairun Nisa Arifin Nuraysah Zamil Purba Nurhayati Nurhayati Okprana, Harly Okta Andrica Putra Parlina, Iin Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih, Poningsih Putrama Alkhairi Rahmat W Sembiring Rahmat W. Sembiring Rahmat Zulpani Ramadani, Saputra Rapianto Sinaga Ratih Puspadini Reza Pratama Rita Mawarni Rizky Khairunnisa Sormin Ronal Watrianthos Roulina Simarmata Roy Chandra Telaumbanua Ruri Eka Pranata S Solikhun S Solikhun S Sumarno Sadewo, Mhd Gading Safii, M. Safruddin Safruddin Saifullah Saifullah Salsabila, Sophia Samuel Palentino Sinaga Samuel Palentino Sinaga Sandy Putra Siregar Saputra Ramadani Saragih, Irfan Christian Saragih, Jonas Rayandi Saragih, Mhd. Billy Sandi Sari, Riyani Wulan Sari, Riyani Wulan Sarjon Defit Setti, Sunil Sigit Anugerah Wardana Silaban, Herlan F Silfia Andini, Silfia Silitonga, Hotmalina Silitonga, Hotmalina Siregar, Sandy Putra Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun, Solikhun Suhada Suhada Suhada Suhada Sumarno Sumarno Sumarno Sumarno Sumarno Sumarno Sundari Retno Andani Sundari Retno Andani Sunil Setti Surya Hendraputra Susi Fitryah Damanik Syafri Maradu Manurung Syafrika Deni Rizki Syahri Ramadhan Teuku Afriliansyah Tia Imandasari Titin Handayani Sinaga Tri Welanda Vasma Vitriani Sianipar Veithzal Rivai Zainal Venny Vidya utari Vitri Roma Sari Wida Prima Mustika Widodo Saputra Widya Tri Charisma Gultom Widyasuti, Meilin Widyasuti, Meilin Winanjaya, Riki Yuhandri Yuhandri, Yuhandri Yuri Widya Paranthy Zulaini Masruro Nasution Zulaini Masruro Nasution Zulaini Masruro Nasution Zulaini Masruro Nasution Zulia Almaida Siregar