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Sumijan
Universitas Putra Indonesia YPTK Padang
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Journal : methods in science and technology studies

 1 
Medical Product Sales Forecasting for Business Optimization Using Double Exponential Smoothing Salsa Fitiansyah; Sumijan; Devia Kartika
Methods in Science and Technology Studies Vol. 1 No. 1 (2025): June
Publisher : PT. Teknologi Futuristik Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.64539/msts.v1i1.2025.24

Abstract

Accurate sales forecasting plays a critical role in inventory management, particularly for medical equipment companies where stock availability directly affects operational efficiency and customer service. However, many small and medium-scale distributors still lack reliable forecasting systems, resulting in overstocking, high storage costs, or stockouts that lead to missed sales opportunities. Addressing this gap, this study aims to develop a web-based sales prediction system for PT Etiqa Prima Utama—a medical equipment distributor in Padang, West Sumatra—by applying the Double Exponential Smoothing method. The system was designed using PHP and MySQL to generate monthly sales forecasts for various medical products based on historical data. Key findings show diverse forecast accuracy across 20 product categories. The Glucose HK product achieved the lowest MAPE value at 10%, indicating excellent predictive performance, while the Clean Chem product showed the highest MAPE at 54%. Several other products, such as Total Bilirubin (12%), Urea (10%), and Diluent 20L (14%), demonstrated favorable accuracy with MAPE values below 60%. These results imply that Double Exponential Smoothing can support inventory optimization by providing reasonably accurate forecasts for most products, enabling better stock planning and more informed decision-making within the company.
Co-Authors A Alfarisdon Abdi Rahim Damanik Adek Putri Adi Gunawan Aflili Sari Ahmad Khomsi Ahmad Zaki Aktavera, Beni Alifia Restu Selvanda Am, Andri Nofiar Amran Sitohang Andre Agasi Andreas Malau Andres Boni Fakio Anjun Dermawan Ardia Ovidius Asep Kurniawan Asri Hidayad Ayu Prima Siska Bias Yulisa Geni Billy Hendrik Budi Jaya Budi Permana Putra Caniago, Deosa Putra Cyntia Lasmi Andesti Daeng Saputra Perdana Darma Yunita Darmawi Dede Pratama Dedi Irawan Devi Maryuni Devia Kartika Dhena Marichy Putri Dhio Saputra Dian Cyntia Dewi Dina Ayudia Dina Selvia Dinul Akhiyar Dwiki Aulia Fakhri Edo Rinaldi Rais Eka Praja Wiyata Mandala Encik Yoega Renaldi Eri Haryadi Eri Haryadi eriwandi Esa Kurniawan Fachriqi Naldes Fachrul Ilmawan Fajri Karim Fajrul Islami Febri Aldi Febri Hadi Feri Irawan Ghea Paulina Suri Gunadi Widi Nurcahyo Hadi Syahputra Hadrila P A Hafid Dwi Adha Hafiz Mursalan hamsiah hamsiah Hardiansyah Putra Haris Kurniawan Hengki Juliansa Ibnu Rasyid Munthe Ieannoal Vhallah Ilham Roni Yansyah Indra Gunawan Irzal Arif Wisky Iskandar Fitri Jeri Wandana Jufriadif Na`am, Jufriadif Julius Santony Julius Santony Julius Santony Julius Santony K Kadrahman Kalfinus Waruwu Khairul Azmi Lc Granadi Suhaidir Lili Amareza Patriani M Syahputra M. Arif M. Rasyid M.Hafiz Alfansury M.Hafizh Mahdiasa Sholihin Mardayulis, Mardayulis Mardison Monsya Juansen Muhammad Habib Yuhandri Muhammad Iqbal MUHAMMAD TAJUDDIN Muhammad Tajuddin Muhammad, Abulwafa Mustopa Husein Lubis Nandra Sunaryo Nella Novrina Doni Nindi Misyahdul Yuzi Nopan Pirsa Nur Aini Nurhidayat Okta Veza Pratama, Muhammad Harits Pratiwi, Fitri Puja M Alca Radillah, Teuku Rahmad Dian Rahmi Fauzana Rakhmad Pribowo Hariputra Rani Yunima Astia Rezki - Riadi, Rahadatul ‘Aisy Rian Kurniawan Riski Randa Hidayatullah Roni Roni Roni Salambue Rubiati, Nur Rusnedy, Hidayati S Salmiati Sabri T Rahman Sahyunan Harahap Salsa Fitiansyah Sarjon Defit Seni Oknora Firza Setiawan, Adil Soeheri Soeheri Sofika Enggari Sovia, Rini Sri Amalia Harahap Sri Handayani Subrianto Chandra Suhefi Oktarian Surmayanti, Surmayanti Surya Aulia Rahman Surya Dwi Putra Syafri Arlis Syahid Hakam Abdul Halim Syaljumairi, Raemon Tio Ramadan Sapto Hari Tukino Tukino Ulia Ulfa Wahyudi Wahid Wardana, Bendra Wendi Boy Widya Febriani Wijaya Hakim Yanto, Musli Yendi Putra Yoga Ananda Putra Yolan Ananda Putri Yosua Ade Pohan Yuhandri Yuhandri, Yuhandri Yuki Saputra Yusma Elda Z Zulvitri ZH, Lina Alfaridah. Zulfitri Yani