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All Journal Rotasi Bulletin of Electrical Engineering and Informatics Journal of Mechanical Engineering Science and Technology INTENSIF: Jurnal Ilmiah Penelitian dan Penerapan Teknologi Sistem Informasi Knowledge Engineering and Data Science Journal of Energy, Mechanical, Material and Manufacturing Engineering Jurnal Elektronika dan Telekomunikasi Journal of Electronics, Electromedical Engineering, and Medical Informatics Buletin Ilmiah Sarjana Teknik Elektro Journal of Robotics and Control (JRC) Jurnal Teknik Informatika (JUTIF) International Journal of Robotics and Control Systems Mechanical Engineering for Society and Industry Proceeding International Pelita Bangsa Journal of Environment and Sustainability Education Control Systems and Optimization Letters Indonesian Journal of Electronics, Electromedical Engineering, and Medical Informatics Jurnal Teknokes
Wahyu Caesarendra
Dosen Jurusan Teknik Mesin, Fakultas Teknik, Universitas Diponegoro
Aerospace Engineering Automotive Engineering Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Chemistry Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Environmental Science Health Professions Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mechanical Engineering Physics Transportation Other

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Journal : Jurnal Teknik Informatika (JUTIF)

 1 
Comparison of Time Series Algorithms Using SARIMA and Prophet in Predicting Short-Term Bitcoin Prices Brilliant, Muhammad Zidan; Widiyaningtyas, Triyanna; Caesarendra, Wahyu
Jurnal Teknik Informatika (Jutif) Vol. 6 No. 4 (2025): JUTIF Volume 6, Number 4, Agustus 2025
Publisher : Informatika, Universitas Jenderal Soedirman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52436/1.jutif.2025.6.4.4773

Abstract

Digital finance, particularly Bitcoin, has become a global phenomenon with high volatility, posing great challenges for traders in predicting short-term prices. This study compares the performance of the SARIMA and Prophet algorithms in predicting short-term Bitcoin prices using daily closing price data from October 1, 2014, to October 1, 2024. The study utilizes two different data timeframes, a 10-year dataset (2014-2024) and the last 5 years (2019-2024) for comparative analysis. The SEMMA methodology is used to analyze and compare the two algorithms, which consist of the stages Sample, Explore, Modify, Model, and Assess. The experimental results show that SARIMA provides more stable and consistent results with an MAPE value of 1.24% and RMSE of 896.15 in Scenario 1 and an MAPE value of 1.27% and RMSE of 920.24 in Scenario 2. In contrast, Prophet shows different performance in each scenario. In Scenario 1, Prophet shows optimal results but not so good with an average MAPE of 1.74% and an RMSE value of 1214.86. On the other hand, Prophet showed good performance in Scenario 2 with a lower average MAPE of 0.71% and a smaller RMSE of 489.94, indicating Prophet's ability to handle newer and more dynamic datasets. Both models show their respective advantages; SARIMA is better for long and stable historical data, while Prophet is more effective for shorter and dynamic data. This research provides practical insights for traders and investors in choosing the right prediction model, with results for further study in predicting crypto asset prices.
Optimizing Type 2 Diabetes Classification with Feature Selection and Class Balancing in Machine Learning Wantoro, Agus; Yuliana, Aviv Fitria; Andini, Dwi Yana Ayu; Awaliyani, Ikna; Caesarendra, Wahyu
Jurnal Teknik Informatika (Jutif) Vol. 6 No. 4 (2025): JUTIF Volume 6, Number 4, Agustus 2025
Publisher : Informatika, Universitas Jenderal Soedirman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52436/1.jutif.2025.6.4.5166

Abstract

Type 2 Diabetes (T2DM) is a crucial factor in patient survival and treatment effectiveness. Errors in diabetes detection lead to disease severity, high costs, prolonged healing time, and a decline in service quality. Additionally, a major challenge in developing Machine Learning (ML)-based detection decision support systems is the class imbalance in medical data as well as the high feature dimensionality that can affect the accuracy and efficiency of the model. This research proposes an approach based on feature selection (FS) and handling class imbalance to improve performance in type 2 diabetes. Several feature selection techniques such as Information Gain (IG), Gain Ratio (GR), Gini Decrease (GD), Chi-Square (CS), Relief-F, and FCBF can perform feature selection based on weighting ranking. Furthermore, to address the imbalanced class distribution, we utilize the Synthetic Minority Over-Sampling Technique (SMOTE). ML classification models such as Support Vector Machine (SVM), Gradient Boosting (GB), Tree, Neural Network (NN), Random Forest (RF), and AdaBoost were tested and evaluated based on the confusion matrix including accuracy, precision, recall, and time. The experimental results show that the combination of strategies for handling imbalanced classes significantly improves the predictive performance of ML algorithms. In addition, we found that the combination of feature selection techniques IG+AdaBoost consistently demonstrates optimal performance. This study emphasizes the importance of data preprocessing and the selection of the right algorithms in the development of machine learning-based T2DM detection systems. Accurate detection can reduce the severity of disease, lower treatment costs, speed up the healing process, and improve healthcare services.
Comparative Analysis of LSTM and GRU for River Water Level Prediction Faris, Fakhri Al; Taqwa, Ahmad; Handayani, Ade Silvia; Husni, Nyayu Latifah; Caesarendra, Wahyu; Asriyadi, Asriyadi; Novianti, Leni; Rahman, M. Arief
Jurnal Teknik Informatika (Jutif) Vol. 6 No. 5 (2025): JUTIF Volume 6, Number 5, Oktober 2025
Publisher : Informatika, Universitas Jenderal Soedirman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52436/1.jutif.2025.6.5.5054

Abstract

Accurate river water level prediction is essential for flood management, especially in tropical areas like Palembang. This study systematically analyzes the performance of two deep learning models, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), for real-time water level forecasting using hourly rainfall and water level data collected from automatic sensors. A series of experiments were conducted by varying window sizes (10, 20, 30) and the number of layers (1, 2, 3) for both models, with model performance assessed using RMSE, MAE, MAPE, and NSE. The results demonstrate that both window size and network depth significantly influence prediction accuracy and computational efficiency. The LSTM model achieved its highest accuracy with a window size of 30 and a single layer, while the GRU model performed best with a window size of 20 and two layers. This work contributes by systematically analyzing hyperparameter configurations of LSTM and GRU models on hourly rainfall and water level time series for flood-prone regions, offering empirical insight into parameter tuning in recurrent neural architectures for hydrological forecasting. These findings highlight the importance of careful parameter selection in developing reliable early warning systems for flood risk management.
Co-Authors Abdullayev, Vugar Achmad Widodo Ade Silvia Handayani Admi Syarif Agus Sudarmanto Agus Wantoro Ahmad Rofii Ahmad Taqwa Ahmed, Abdussalam Ali Alfian Ma’arif Amrinsani, Farid Anant Athavale, Vijay Andini, Dwi Yana Ayu Anita Miftahul Maghfiroh Ariesma Githa Giovany Ariswati, Her Gumiwang Aryananda, Rangga Laksana Asriyadi Asriyadi Aviv Fitria Yulia Baharsyah, Baharudin Adi Brilliant, Muhammad Zidan Busono Soerowirdjo Dewi, Deshinta Arrova Dian Setioningsih, Endang Dian Setioningsih1 Dita Musvika, Syevana Dwi Kartini Dwi Kartini, Dwi DWI RAMADHANI Dyah Titisari, Dyah Edison, Rizki Edmi Endro Yulianto Eva Yulia Puspaningrum Fadillah, Wa Ode Nurul Faikul Umam Faiza, Linda Ziyadatul Fara Disa Durry Faris, Fakhri Al Fatma Indriani Fitriana, Lutfatul Forra Wakidi, Levana Furizal, Furizal Gołdasz, Iwona Gupta, Munish Kumar Hari Soetanto Herianto Herianto Hidayat, Fathur Rachman Humairah, Sayyidah Ichwan Dwi Nugraha Ikna Awaliyani Irwan Budiman Irwan Budiman Joga Dharma Setiawan Krolczyk, Grzegorz Kusnanto Mukti Wibowo Leni Novianti Luthfiyah, Sari Maharani, Siti Mutia Mahmood, Muhammad Azim Mahmud Mahmud MAJDOUBI, Rania Mas Diyasa, I Gede Susrama Mochammad Ariyanto Mochammad Denny Surindra Muhammad Abdillah Muhammad Fuad Muhammad Reza Faisal, Muhammad Reza Muliadi Nugraha, Priyambada Cahya Nyayu Latifah Husni, Nyayu Latifah Pamanasari, Elta Diah Prakoso, Bagas Angger Pranoto, Kirana Astari Putri, Farika Radityo Adi Nugroho Rahardja, Dimas Revindra Rahman, M. Arief Ramadhan, Bahrurrizki Ramadhan, Yogi Reza REKIK, Chokri Rozaq, Hasri Akbar Awal Rudi Irawan Sagita, Muhamad Rian Samudra, Alan Saragih, Triando Hamonangan Seno Darmanto Septiani, Fahira Setiawan, Joga D Setiawan, Nurman Setioningsih, Endang Dian Siena, Laifansan Silvian, Fawaida Sitompul, Carlos R Sri Hastuty, Sri Sri Utami Handayani Sumarti, Heni Sumber, Sumber Suryanta, Made Dwi Pandya Suwarno, Iswanto T P, Moch Prastawa Assalim Triwiyanto , Triwiyanto Triyanna Widiyaningtyas Utomo, Bedjo V.H, Abdullayev Wahyu Dwi Lestari Wakidi, Levana Forra Wulandari, Dessy Tri YILDIZ, Oktay Zy, Ahmad Turmudi