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Journal : Bulletin of Computer Science Research

Prediksi Penjualan Barang Menggunakan Metode K-Means dan Regresi Linear Henry Adam; Tukino; Elfina Novalia; Hananto, April Lia
Bulletin of Computer Science Research Vol. 5 No. 4 (2025): June 2025
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi (FKPT)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47065/bulletincsr.v5i4.541

Abstract

Sales data analysis plays an important role in supporting business decision making, especially to optimise stock management and improve operational efficiency. the main problem faced by Vapestore XYZ in Karawang is the difficulty in accurately predicting the number of product sales, so there is often an imbalance between inventory and market demand. This can cause losses due to overstocks or shortages of goods. Currently, the estimation of stock requirements still relies on intuition and personal experience, without the support of objective data analysis. This research aims to build a sales prediction model by combining the K-Means method for product clustering and Linear Regression for sales quantity prediction. Sales data is taken directly from the store POS application, then goes through the stages of cleaning, labelling, and clustering into three groups, namely ‘Less Sold’, “Sold”, and ‘Very Sold’. Sales prediction is performed using Linear Regression by utilising the clustering results and time variables as inputs. Model performance evaluation is performed using error metrics, namely Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE). Based on the test results, the developed Linear Regression model obtained MAE of 3.20, MSE of 52.34, and RMSE of 7.23. These error values indicate that the model is able to provide sales estimates that are close enough to the actual data to be reliable in stock planning. Visualisation of the prediction results in the form of tables and heatmaps makes it easy to identify sales trends and compare performance between products. The findings of this study prove that the combination of K-Means and Linear Regression methods is effectively used to support stock decision making and marketing strategies in vape retail stores. Further development is recommended by enriching the dataset and exploring other prediction methods to improve model performance.
Co-Authors - Faqih AA Sudharmawan, AA Abdullah Abdullah Abdullahi Tanko Mohammed Abdullahi Tanko Mohammed Adittia Agustian Afra, Alfina Fadhilah Agneresa Agneresa Ahmed Sule Ahnaf, Naufal Zubdi Ajie, Prasetyo Alparizi, Muhamad Iqbal Alpian, Yayan alzahra, alika aziza Anthony Chukwunonso Opia Aprilia Putri Nardilasari Arkan Hilman Hakim Asep Haris Atmaja, Rashelin Zahra Aulia, Aldi Aviv Yuniar Rahman Aviv Yuniar Rahman Aviv Yuniar Rahman Aviv Yuniar Rahman Baenil Huda Baenil Huda Baenil Huda Baenil Huda Bagus Setyawan Baihaqi, Kiki Ahmad Bayu Priyatna Bayu Priyatna Bayu Priyatna Berkah*, Kamila Candra Zonyfar Catur Nugroho Danny Manongga Dean Ariesta Aziz Deddy Prihadi Detrie Noviani Dhany Hermansyah Dien Noviany Rahmatika Edrina Christine, Natalie Eichler, Luiz Eko Pramono Eko Sediyono Esam Abu Baker Ali Fadli, Muhammad Abil Fatlun, Aulia Fatmanisa Mumpuni Delta Maharani Fauzi Ahmad Muda Firdaus, Mohamad Ricky Firman Nurdiansyah Firman Nurdiyansyah Fitri Nur Masruriyah, Anis Fitria Nur Apriani Fitria Nurapriani Guntur, Muhamad Hananto, Agustia Hanny Hikmayanti Handayani Hayati, Cucu Hendry Henry Adam Hibatullah, Muhammad Hafizh Hilabi, Shofa Shofia Hilabi, Shofa Shofiah Hilabi, Shofa Shofiah Hindriyanto Dwi Purnomo Huda Huda Huda, Baenil Ihsan, Mohammad Maftuh Ihwan Ghazali Ilman Kadori Indra Kurniawan Indri Oktapiani Irawan, Bei Harira Irwan Sembiring Istiadi Isyanto, H. Puji Iwan Setiawan Iwan Setyawan Joko Purwanto Kamila Berkah* Kurnia, Nisa Lutfiah, Siti Mega Tri Kurnia Melisa Miswadi Miswadi Moh Hasan Basri Mohamad Ricky Firdaus Mubarok, Piky Muhamad Djaka Permana Muhammad Idris Muhammad Idris Muhammad Idris Muhammad Nova Muhammad Zacky Asy'ari Muthia Nur Rizky Fitriani Nisa Kurnia Novalia, Elfina Novia Cahya Utami Nurapriani, Fitri Nurapriani, Fitria Nurapriani, Nurapriani Nurfajria, Dera Paryono, Tukino Permana Andi Paristiawan Permana Andi Paristiawan Pradana Rizki Maulana Prasetya, Rafli Pratama, Daffa Agung Priatna, Bayu Priyatna , Bayu Priyatna, Bayu Purnomo, Hendryanto Dwi Putri Indraswari Reformasi, Era Rieke Retnosary Rosalina, Elsa Rukmanta Jayawiguna Ruliansyah Ruliansyah Ruliansyah Ruliansyah, Ruliansyah Saepul Aripiyanto Safarudin Gazali Herawan Sari, Nurnilam Sarina Sulaiman Sarina Sulaiman Setiawan, Feddy Wanditya Setiawan, Pratama Wahyu Shofa Shofia Hilabi Shofa Shofia Hilabi Shofa Shofia Hilabi Shofa Shofiah Hilabi Shofa Shofiah Hilabi Shofa Shofiah Hilabi Shofa Sofiah Hilabi Shofiah Hilabi, Shofa Shuaibu Alani Balogun Sigit Widiyanto Silva, Tiago Siti Masruroh Soleman, Soleman Sopian, Jajang Sri Mumpuni Ngesti Rahaju Sudrajat, Deden Renhad Suhada, Karya Surala, Lyvia Susilawati, Agnes Dwita Syah Alam Tita Puspita Sari Tukino Tukino Tukino Tukino Tukino Tukino, Tukino Tukino, Tukino tukino, tukino Wahiddin, Deden Yazid, Muhammad Abi Yovika Aprianti Yoviyardi, Rama yuwono, Fuad anwar