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All Journal MEKTEK MUST: Journal of Mathematics Education, Science and Technology Journal of Dedicators Community Journal of Health, Education, And Literacy (J-Healt) Jurnal Manajemen Informasi Kesehatan Indonesia (JMIKI) Community Development Journal: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Jurnal Kesmas Untika Luwuk: Public Health Journal Insan Cita Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Jurnal Skripta MARISEKOLA: Jurnal Matematika Riset Edukasi dan Kolaborasi Media Publikasi Promosi Kesehatan Indonesia (MPPKI) COMSERVA: Jurnal Penelitian dan Pengabdian Masyarakat Journal of Innovation Research and Knowledge Jurnal Pendidikan Transformatif Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Bhinneka Venn: Journal of Sustainable Innovation on Education, Mathematics and Natural Sciences Indonesian Journal of Health Information Management Services (IJHIMS) Buletin Kesehatan MAHASISWA Edutainment : Jurnal Ilmu Pendidikan dan Kependidikan BAKTARA Journal Of Nutrition Care And Food Science PRIMER: Jurnal Ilmiah Multidisiplin Journal of Multidisciplinary Inquiry in Science, Technology and Educational Research Jurnal Ilmu Multidisiplin Jurnal Ekonomi Akuntansi Manajemen Agribisnis Journal of Literature Review
Lilis Handayani
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Journal : MUST: Journal of Mathematics Education, Science and Technology

 1 
PEMODELAN RISIKO EPIDEMI PADA BUDIDAYA MASSAL MAGOT (HERMETIA ILLUCENS) MENGGUNAKAN MODEL SIR Anggriani, Nita; Handayani, Lilis; Ermita, Ermita
MUST: Journal of Mathematics Education, Science and Technology Vol 10 No 2 (2025): DECEMBER
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Surabaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30651/must.v10i2.28034

Abstract

Hermetia illucens, or the Black Soldier Fly  (BSF) maggot, is widely cultivated due to its ability to convert organic waste into economically valuable biomass; however, high colony density increases the risk of disease transmission. This study aims to analyze infection dynamics in maggot colonies using a mathematical modeling approach based on the Susceptible–Infected–Removed (SIR) epidemiological model. A system of differential equations was formulated by incorporating transmission rate (β), recovery or isolation rate (γ), and mortality rate (μ). Simulations were conducted on an initial population of 10,000 larvae with 100 infected larvae on the first day, evaluating three control scenarios: no control, improved sanitation, and rapid quarantine. Model parameters were assumed based on insect epidemiology literature. The results show that without control, an R₀ of 3.50 leads to a rapidly spreading outbreak with a peak infection of approximately 3,600 larvae. The sanitation scenario reduces R₀ to 2.00 with a peak of around 1,500 infected larvae, whereas rapid quarantine lowers R₀ to 1.40 and results in only about 500 infected larvae with a shorter outbreak duration. These findings indicate that sanitation measures and rapid quarantine are effective in reducing outbreak risks in BSF cultivation, with rapid quarantine being the most efficient strategy. The study provides an early theoretical contribution to applying simple epidemiological modeling to support biosafety practices in the BSF industry.
Co-Authors -, Agustina Pujilestari Adam, Deysi Ajeng Ayu Nur Fitriyani Alia, Alia Zulfa Ramadanti Andriyani Andriyani Anggriani, Nita Angmalisang, Helen Y. Anissatussa’diyah, Anissatussa’diyah Aristiani, Mira Aryani, Riski Asmawi, Ahmad Asnidar Asnidar Asrafil Pilomangu Beu, Sriwahyuni Bilondatu, Maimun Bilondatu, Maimun I. Cahyani Daud, Ayudhita Daud, Ayudhita Cahyani Dina Septiani Putri Dwi Apriliani, Vera Dwi Ardisa Lestari Ermita Ermita Fenni Valianda Amelia Ramadhan Fitri Fitri Ghozali, Salismiati Gunarsih, Lutfia Gunawan Santoso Hadju, Trilaila Haikalinnur, Muhammad Hartati Inaku Hatta, Herman Hidayani, Hidayani Ichsanurrahmah, Dina Indah Sri Wahyuni Intan Dwi Putri Intan Widiastuti Irsyam, Irsyam Fajar Attaulloh Joy Fredi Batti Kaharu, Rosdiana Kurniadewi, Meinasari Laelati Noer, Ade Husni Layalya, Laili Alya Lestari, Dwi Ardisa Maesarah, Maesarah Maga, Ninda S. Mantu, Ferawati Mardiani, Risti Mashuri Mashuri Meiliza, Shella Modanggu, Tirsa Mohammad, Inggrid Anggraini A. Muhammad Firdaus Muhammad Isbar Pratama Mustikawati, Deswy Nirmala, Prita Nisa Nisriana Nurhasanah Noneng, Noneng Ntobuo, Fadillah Aulia Nurwono, Annisa Dikna Pawa, Ira Deseilla qosim qosim, qosim Rahim, Rachma Rahmah, St. Mutiatu Ramanitya Hasanah Khoironnisa Rauly Sijabad Retno Sugesti Riki Gana Suyatna Rita Nataliawati Rizkiyah, Annisa Rosauli Novalina Samosir Sahrul, Ahmad Sari, Lidia Saud, Nur Pratiwi Rahmawaty Siti Musyarofah St. Mutiatu Rahmah Tondako, Inka Noverita Umar, Basri Waluyo, Darmayanti Widiastuti, Intan Widiyanti, Tri Wini Iswandini Wiranti, Dwiana Asih Wirna Gani Wulandari, Rezah Sofia