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Journal : Media Statistika

STRUCTURAL EQUATION MODELING FOR ANALYZING THE TECHNOLOGY ACCEPTANCE MODEL OF STUDENTS IN ONLINE TEACHING DURING THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC Suwardi Annas; Ruliana Ruliana; Wahidah Sanusi
MEDIA STATISTIKA Vol 15, No 1 (2022): Media Statistika
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/medstat.15.1.104-115

Abstract

Online teaching can be a solution in the learning process during the pandemic to stop the spreading of the Covid-19 infection. Universitas Negeri Makassar (UNM) as an educational institution provided a Learning Management System (LMS) to support the online teaching and learning process with the platform name SYAM-OK. In this research, we examine the behavioral model of a student's acceptance of the use of an information system SYAM-OK in online teaching. 120 students in the sample used online teaching fully during the pandemic. The data was obtained from an online questionnaire using a google form whose contents were based on Technology Acceptance Model (TAM).  The variable of TAM consists of Perceived Ease of Use, Perceived Usefulness, Attitude Towards, Behavioral Intention, and Actual Use. The Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) PLS method was used in this research for modeling the relationship between TAM variables. Based on the results of the SEM we obtained that Perceived Usefulness significantly affects the Attitude Towards and Attitude Towards significantly affects the behavioral intention. By using the bootstrapping and T statistics, we conclude that SEM has identified the significant effects between variables of TAM. 
ESTIMATING AND FORECASTING COVID-19 CASES IN SULAWESI ISLAND USING GENERALIZED SPACE-TIME AUTOREGRESSIVE INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE MODEL Sukarna Sukarna; Nurul Fadilah Syahrul; Wahidah Sanusi; Aswi Aswi; Muhammad Abdy; Irwan Irwan
MEDIA STATISTIKA Vol 15, No 2 (2022): Media Statistika
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/medstat.15.2.186-197

Abstract

A range of spatio-temporal models has been used to model Covid-19 cases. However, there is only a small amount of literature on the analysis of estimating and forecasting Covid-19 cases using the Generalized Space-Time Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (GSTARIMA) model. This model is a development of the GSTARMA model which has non-stationary data. This paper aims to estimate and forecast the daily number of Covid-19 cases in Sulawesi Island using GSTARIMA models. We compared two models namely GSTARI and GSTIMA considering the root mean square error (RMSE). Data on a daily number of Covid-19 cases (from April 10, 2020, to May 07, 2021) were used. The location weight used is the inverse distance weight based on the distance between airports in the capital cities of each province. The appropriate models obtained based on the data are the GSTARIMA (1;0;1;1) model and the GSTARIMA (1;1;1;0) model. The results showed that the forecast for the number of new Covid-19 cases is accurate and reliable only for the short term.
CONWAY-MAXWELL POISSON REGRESSION MODELING OF INFANT MORTALITY IN SOUTH SULAWESI Oktaviana, Oktaviana; Sanusi, Wahidah; Aswi, Aswi; Sukarna, Sukarna; Folorunso, Serifat Adedamola
MEDIA STATISTIKA Vol 17, No 1 (2024): Media Statistika
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/medstat.17.1.45-56

Abstract

Overdispersion is a common problem in count data that can lead to inaccurate parameter estimates in Poisson regression models. Quasi-Poisson and negative binomial regressions are often used to address overdispersion but have limitations, especially with small samples. The Conway-Maxwell Poisson (CMP) regression model, an extension of the Poisson distribution, effectively addresses both overdispersion and underdispersion, even with limited data, due to additional parameters that better control data dispersion. The Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) is a critical public health indicator, reflecting healthcare quality and broader social, economic, and environmental factors. Accurate IMR estimation is essential for evaluating health policies. This study aims to (1) identify overdispersion in IMR data from South Sulawesi, (2) model IMR using CMP regression, and (3) identify factors influencing IMR. The dataset includes IMR, Low Birth Weight (LBW), diarrhea, asphyxia, pneumonia, and exclusive breastfeeding. Analysis showed significant overdispersion with a ratio of 4.639, making CMP the optimal model with an AIC of 186.845. Significant factors identified were LBW, asphyxia, pneumonia, and exclusive breastfeeding. These findings advance statistical methodologies for count data analysis and offer a more accurate approach to evaluating public health policies, supporting efforts to reduce infant mortality in South Sulawesi Province.
Co-Authors A. Armansyah AHMAD FAUZAN RIDHA SUJIONO ahmad yani Ahmad Zaki Ahmad Zaki AHMAD ZAKI Ahmad Zaky Alimuddin Alimuddin Tampa Amal Amal Amal Amal Amal Arfan, Amal Amni Rasyidah Andi Abidah Andi Diki Nurbaldatun Islam Andini, Reski Anggi Ananda Putri Annas, Suwardi Arkas, Amaliah Nurul Asdar Asdar Asdar Asmi, Nurul Asni, Asriani Arsita Asriani Arsita Asni Astuti - Aswi, Aswi Aswi, Aswi Aulia, Hikma Awi Dassa, Awi Beby Fitriani Besse Nur Afni Besse Nur Afni Bohari, Nurul Aulia Bohari, Nurul Aulia Diki Nurbaldatun Islam Elma Selviana Darwis Febriyanto Saman Fitriyani Fitriyani Fitriyani Folorunso, Serifat Adedamola H. Hasriani Haekal, Muh. Fahri Hafilah Hardiono Hafilah. H Harisahani, Nur Hasan Basri Hasanah, Afifatun Hasnawiyah, Hasnawiyah Hasriani Hikma Aulia Hisyam Ihsan Ihsan U, Wa Irma Al Ika Pratiwi Ilham Minggi Irham Aryandi Basir Irham Aryandi Basir Irma Aswani Ahmad, Irma Aswani Irwan Irwan Irwan Irwan Irwan Irwan Irwan Janide, Anugrah Kahvi Nurani Kaito, Nurlaila Katrina Pareallo Lisca Palerina Mudinillah, Adam Muh. Idris Muhammad Abdy Muhammad Abdy Muhammad Abdy Muhammad Abdy Muhammad Abdy Muhammad Abdy Muhammad Arif Tiro, Muhammad Arif Muhammad Danial Muhammad Danial Muhammad Danial Muhammad Farhan Muhammad Isbar Pratama Muhammad Rakib Muhammad Rakib Muhammad Rakib Muhammad Syahrir Muhjria, Muhjria Mukarram, Trys Musliati Musliati Mustati'atul Waidah Maksum N Nurfadillah N Nurwakia Nasrullah Nasrullah Nirwana, St. Risma Ayu Nur Anny S. Taufieq Nur Anny S. Taufieq Nur Anny S. Taufieq Nur Anny Suryaningsih Taufieq Nur Fajri Setiawan Nur Hikmayanti Syam Nur Khaerati Rustan Nur Ridiawati Nur Ridiawati Nurani, Kahvi Nurazizah Nurdin, Nur Izzah Nurfadillah Nurhilaliyah, Nurhilaliyah Nurul Aulia Bohari Nurul Fadilah Syahrul Nyulle, Rusdianto Oktaviana Oktaviana Padjalangi, Andi Muhammad Ridho Yusuf Sainon Andi Palarungi, Andi Gagah Patasik, Ghadytha Marie Lucia Pertiwi, Ika Pince Salempa Putri, Siti Choirotun Aisyah R. Rusli Rabiatul Adawiyah Rabiatul Adawiyah Rahman, Muhammad Fatur Rahmat Setiawan Rahmat Syam Rahmawati, Rahmawati Reski Andini Risna Ulfadwiyanti Rosidah Rosidah Ruliana Rustan, Nur Khaerati S Sukmawati Sahlan Sidjara Saiful Bahri Saiful Bahri Saman, Febriyanto Sari, Yulfiana Serly Diliyanti Restu Ningsih Serly Diliyanti Restu Ningsih Setiawan, Nur Fajri Sidjara, Sahlan Siti Helmyati Sudarmin Sudarmin Sukarna Sukarna Sukarna Sukarna Sukarna Sulaiman Sulaiman Suwardi Annas Syafruddin Side SYahnur, Andi Aulia Syuhri, Ajrian Takdir, Nurfajri Hamdani Talib, Dr. Ahmad Tampa, Alimuddin Taty Sulastri Taty Sulastri Taty Sulastri Thaha, Irwan Trys Mukarram Ulfadwiyanti, Risna Usman Mulbar Utami Priono Wahyuliani, Dwi Wahyuni, Maya Sari Wulandari, Natalia Puspita Yusuf S.A.P., Andi Muh. Ridho