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Journal : International Journal of Global Operations Research

Application of the AHP-TOPSIS Method to Support Stock Investment Decisions Based on Financial Ratio Analysis Pardede, Ester; Susanti, Dwi; Sukono, Sukono
International Journal of Global Operations Research Vol. 4 No. 4 (2023): International Journal of Global Operations Research (IJGOR), Nopember 2023
Publisher : iora

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47194/ijgor.v4i4.260

Abstract

Stock is one form of investment that is currently popular, both for young people, parents, and industry. This can be seen from the increasing number of investors and companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). This makes investors confused in determining the best stock choices. Analysis of stock selection needs to be done before someone invest so that the selected stock does not lose and can generate optimal profits. This study discusses the recommendation for alternative stocks from the IDX30 index. The parameters for selecting alternative stocks considered include the criteria of Earning Per Share (EPS), Return on Assets (ROA), Return on Equity (ROE), and Net Profit Margin (NPM). Then the weight of each criterion will be searched using the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) method and sorted using the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) method to produce stock recommendations from companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The results showed that the Earning Per Share (EPS) criteria became the first priority with a weight of 0,2927, then Return on Equity (ROE) with a weight of 0,2728, followed by Net Profit Margin (NPM) with a weight of 0,2583, and Return on Assets (ROA) with a weight 0,1759. Then alternative results are obtained based on the preference value and ranking 14 companies that have a preference value above 0.5 and can be used as a consideration in making investment decisions, with BBCA as a priority alternative.
Application of Black Scholes Method to Determining Premium Insurance In the Potato Agricultural Based on Price Index Sutisna, Sarah; Sukono, Sukono; Napitupulu, Herlina
International Journal of Global Operations Research Vol. 4 No. 4 (2023): International Journal of Global Operations Research (IJGOR), Nopember 2023
Publisher : iora

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47194/ijgor.v4i4.258

Abstract

Potato is one of the leading horticultural commodities. Potato farming business often experiences price fluctuations that cause losses to farmers.The government is making efforts to minimize the farmers' losses by issuing agricultural insurance programs. This study aims to determine the relationship between potato prices at the provincial level and potato prices at the farmer level and to determine agricultural insurance premiums based on the price index. The data used are potato price data at the West Java Province level and potato price data at the farmer level in Pangalengan District. The correlation between provincial level prices and farmer level prices can be obtained using the Pearson Product Moment correlation method. The price index is calculated using the relative price index method. Determination of the premium to be paid by farmers using the Black-Scholes method. The results of the analysis show that potato prices at the West Java Province level have a very strong correlation with farmer prices in Pangalengan District in October. Based on the Black-Scholes method, the premium value depends on the trigger value obtained with a price range between IDR 9,806,100.00 to IDR 10,267,784.00 for a sum insured of IDR 39,403,000 per one contract period. Various premium values can be a consideration for farmers in choosing an agricultural insurance policy.
Determination of Life Microinsurance Premium Using the Commercial Rate Method Widyani, Azizah Rini; Riaman, Riaman; Sukono, Sukono
International Journal of Global Operations Research Vol. 4 No. 4 (2023): International Journal of Global Operations Research (IJGOR), Nopember 2023
Publisher : iora

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47194/ijgor.v4i4.256

Abstract

Microinsurance is insurance that is intended for people who have low incomes which is made with the aim that all levels of society can have insurance with affordable prices. Life insurance is a protection program for families in the event of unwanted things, such as death or permanent disability, to policy holders. This study aims to determine the life microinsurance premium. The data sample used is data on claim and benefit paid by life insurance company obtained from the official website of Otoritas Jasa Keuangan (OJK) Indonesia, which is assumed to have a log-normal distribution. The research method is to test the distribution of claims from the sample data using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. Then determine the value of the claim distribution parameter, and then calculating life microinsurance premium using the Commercial Rate method. The results obtained in the form of premium for life microinsurance that are payable by low-income people.
An Empirical Research of Critical Incident of Earthquake Disaster Basedon Credible Association Data Mining Suyudi, Mochamad; Sukono, Sukono
International Journal of Global Operations Research Vol. 2 No. 1 (2021): International Journal of Global Operations Research (IJGOR), February 2021
Publisher : iora

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47194/ijgor.v2i1.65

Abstract

Earthquake disasters usually cause panic in the community affected areas, so it is necessary to be analyzed to deal with earthquake events in the future. This paper analyzes data from 9 major earthquakes in Indonesia over the past 4 years and determines 14 critical events. The analysis is based on credible association rules (CAR), data mining, and the maximum clique algorithm. To verify the accuracy of the association relationship and CAR effectiveness, it is performed using a maximum clique algorithm. Based on the results of data mining, that earthquakes have a credible association relationship and have a probability of critical events in various regions in Indonesia. Thus, these results can be used for prediction, early warning, and logistic distribution planning.
Application of Structural Equation Model to Analyze Factors Affecting Financial Planning After Retirement Khairi, M. Ihsan; Susanti, Dwi; Sukono, Sukono
International Journal of Global Operations Research Vol. 2 No. 3 (2021): International Journal of Global Operations Research (IJGOR), August 2021
Publisher : iora

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47194/ijgor.v2i3.87

Abstract

Retirement is something that every working individual will experience. Retirement according to the Big Indonesian Dictionary (KBBI) is not working anymore because the term of office has finished. A person who has retired usually has the right to a pension fund. After retirement, the individual's income will decrease, but the necessities of life can increase. In order to still be able to meet the needs of life after retirement, it is necessary to have financial planning after retirement. There are several factors that influence financial planning after retirement, including income, attitude and culture. Income is an important issue in financial planning. One thing to consider carefully when planning for retirement and setting aside funds for that purpose is the estimate of the amount of money needed to have the expected quality of life in retirement. Attitude towards retirement planning is an internal psychological condition that is influenced by positive or negative assessments related to retirement planning. Cultural differences will result in different financial plans between individuals. In this study, the Structural Equation Model will be used to analyze the factors that influence financial planning after retirement for teachers in several schools in Tanah Datar Regency, West Sumatra. This study uses quantitative methods using a questionnaire as a data collection tool. Based on the collected questionnaires, simulations were carried out to obtain 170 data randomly. To facilitate data analysis, the AMOS application will be used. The results showed that these three factors had a significant effect on financial planning after retirement. The most influential factor on financial planning after retirement is culture with a parameter value of 0.639.
Determination of the Contribution of the Reserve Fund for Flood Natural Disaster Management in the DKI Jakarta Region Nugraha, Dwita Safira; Susanti, Dwi; Sukono, Sukono
International Journal of Global Operations Research Vol. 2 No. 4 (2021): International Journal of Global Operations Research (IJGOR), November 2021
Publisher : iora

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47194/ijgor.v2i4.88

Abstract

Floods are natural disasters that are quite difficult to predict. As a result, there are many losses both materially, morally and even to the point of taking lives. In Indonesia, one of the areas that experience flooding the most is DKI Jakarta. In early 2020, flooding was the biggest cause of loss in the region. The role of the people of DKI Jakarta is very important in collecting contributions to the reserve fund for disaster emergency response. Therefore, this study aims to estimate the amount of reserve fund contributions for community-based flood disaster management in the DKI Jakarta area based on the Collective Risk Model method approach, using Poisson and Log-Normal distributions, including parameter estimates  and (μ,σ) , resulting in an estimate of the expected magnitude of the risk of loss. Based on these expectations, the contribution amount can be calculated using the Individual and Collective Risk Model. The result of this research is the contribution of funds which is calculated based on the principle of expected value
Risk Analysis on Foreign Exchange Using Value-at-Risk Parametric Approach Susanto, Sunarta; Riaman, Riaman; Sukono, Sukono
International Journal of Global Operations Research Vol. 3 No. 4 (2022): International Journal of Global Operations Research (IJGOR), November 2022
Publisher : iora

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47194/ijgor.v3i4.190

Abstract

Foreign Exchange or usually known as Forex are one of the most famous investment objects. When investing in Forex, it is necessary to know the movements of the foreign exchange price as well as the risk that might happen. The purpose of this study is to predict the level of risk, seeing the characteristics of foreign exchange, and compare which foreign exchange is better to invest in. The Value-At-Risk (VaR) models used to predict the risk of the foreign exchange are VaR of standard normal distribution approach, VaR of Student-t distribution approach, and Modified VaR normal. Based on the research, the potential loss for AUD is Rp 9,445.26, CAD is Rp 7,972.62, CHF is Rp 7,073.74, EUR is Rp 6281.90, GBP is Rp 9,234.37, JPY is Rp 10,971.68, SGD is Rp 3,988.65, and USD is Rp 2,896.47 with an assumption that an investor invests as much as Rp 1,000,000.00 to each foreign exchange. USD is the best foreign exchange to choose because it has the lowest potential risk based on its VaR.
The Use of Quasi Monte Carlo Method with Halton Random Number Sequence in Determining the Price of European Type Options: in PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Stock’s Putri, Sherina Anugerah; Subartini, Betty; Sukono, Sukono
International Journal of Global Operations Research Vol. 3 No. 4 (2022): International Journal of Global Operations Research (IJGOR), November 2022
Publisher : iora

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47194/ijgor.v3i4.191

Abstract

An investor must be wise in managing the funds he has to carry out investment activities. Investors can use options as an alternative to investing because they can increase profits and avoid investment risks. Options are one of the most widely used derivative products. The main problem when entering into an option contract is determining the right price to be paid by the option buyer to the option seller. This research was made to determine the price of European-type stock options. Case studies on PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk shares in the 2021-2022 period. The analysis was performed using the Quasi-Monte Carlo method with Halton's random number sequence. Based on the results of this study, it is expected to be a consideration in deciding to buy European-type stock options at PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk
Application of Black Scholes Method for Determining Agricultural Insurance Premiums Based on the Rainfall Index Using the Historical Burn Analysis Method Zahra, Ami Emelia Putri; Riaman, Riaman; Sukono, Sukono
International Journal of Global Operations Research Vol. 4 No. 1 (2023): International Journal of Global Operations Research (IJGOR), February 2023
Publisher : iora

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47194/ijgor.v4i1.209

Abstract

Indonesia is a tropical area where it often rains. Uncertain rainfall conditions can have an impact in the form of losses in agriculture, including for rice farmers. The total rice productivity in Indonesia, one of which is in Majalengka Regency, is thought to be quite high, so the losses will be significant. Therefore, it is necessary to make efforts to reduce the impact of losses experienced by farmers, one of which is through insurance programs in the agricultural sector. Rainfall index-based agricultural insurance provides protection to farmers in the form of capital assistance in the event of crop damage resulting in crop failure due to erratic rainfall. This study aims to calculate the agricultural insurance premium based on the rainfall index. The method used to calculate the premium is the Black-Scholes method, while the Historical Burn Analysis method is used to determine the rainfall index. The data used is rainfall data in Majalengka Regency in 2014–2021. The results showed that the premium price in Majalengka Regency depends on the value of the trigger obtained, with a price range between IDR 1,089,646.39 and IDR 1,266,213.02.
Determination of Credit Insurance Premium Due to Default Using the Black-Scholes-Merton Model Ramdhania, Tya Shafa; Riaman, Riaman; Sukono, Sukono
International Journal of Global Operations Research Vol. 4 No. 1 (2023): International Journal of Global Operations Research (IJGOR), February 2023
Publisher : iora

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47194/ijgor.v4i1.210

Abstract

Banks are vulnerable to the risk of bad credit or default because customers are unable to pay their debts. Risks that may occur in the future can be in the form of unexpected events and can be experienced by anyone, causing the loan to not be fully repaid. Therefore, it is necessary to have insurance to overcome risks due to default in protecting oneself from the risk of unexpected events, namely credit insurance. This study aims to calculate the premium price using the Black-Scholes-Merton model approach. The data used is arrears data of customers PD. Bank Perkreditan Rakyat (BPR) Artha Sukapura in 2003-2020. The data is compiled into a cumulative relative frequency distribution table, resulting in a number of random numbers. Based on the cumulative relative frequency distribution table, data simulation was determined using Monte Carlo. Based on the results of the analysis, the simulation data obtained by the standard deviation are relatively stable and lognormal distributed. Then pricing is done to determine the premium price from the sample data. From the results of the calculations in this study, a premium value of  was obtained for arrears of  with a loan of .
Co-Authors Abdul Talib Bon Abiodun Ezekiel Owoyemi Achmad Bachrudin Adhitya Ronnie Effendie, Adhitya Ronnie Agung Prabowo Agung Prabowo Agung Prabowo Agus Santoso Agus Santoso Agus Sugandha Agustini Tripena Br Surbakti Aisyah Nurul Aini Amalia, Hana Safrina Amitarwati, Diah Paramita Apipah Jahira, Juwita Asep K Supriatna Asep Saepulrohman Asep Solih Awalluddin, Asep Solih Asri Rula Hanifah Audina, Maudy Afifah Aulia Kirana Aziza Ayu Nurjannah Bakti Siregar Banowati, Puspa Dwi Ayu Basuki , Basuki Basuki Bayyinah, Ayyinah Nur Betty Subartini Bimasota Aji Pamungkas bin Mamat, Mustafa Budi Pratikno Candra Budi Wijaya Carissa, Katherine Liora Dara Selvi Mariani Dedy Rosadi Dedy Rosadi Dewi Ratnasari DEWI RATNASARI Dhika Surya Pangestu Diah Chaerani Diah Paramita Amitarwati Diana Ekanurnia Dianti, Estu Putri Dihna, Elza Rahma Dini Aulia Dwi Susanti Dwi Susanti Dwi Susanti Dwi Susanti Dwi Susanti Dwi Susanti Eddy Djauhari Edi Kurniadi Ema Carnia Emah Suryamah, Emah Eman Lesmana Endang Rusyaman Endang Soeryana Hasbullah Fasa, Rayyan Al Muddatstsir Febrianty, Popy Firdaus, Muhammad Rayhan Forman Ivana S. S. S. Gani Gunawan Ghazali, Puspa Liza Grida Saktian Laksito Hadiana, Asep Id Haq, Fadiah Hasna Nadiatul Hasbullah, Soeryana Hasriati Hasriati Hazelino Rafi Pradaswara Herlina Napitupulu Herlina Napitupulu Hidayana, Rizki Apriva Ibrahim M Sulaiman Ihda Hasbiyati Iin Irianingsih Ira Sumiati Ismail Bin Mohd Januaviani, Trisha Magdalena Adelheid Jumadil Saputra Jumadil Saputra Kahar, Ramadhina Hardiva kalfin Kalfin Kalfin, Kalfin Khairi, M. Ihsan Labitta, Kirana Fara Laksito, Grida Saktian M. Ihsan Khairi Maraya, Nisrina Salsabila Maulana Malik Maulida, Ghafira Nur Ma’mur, Lutfi Praditia Melina Melina Mochamad Suyudi Mohamad Nurdin, Dadang Muhammad Arief Budiman Muhammad Iqbal Al-Banna Ismail Mustafa Mamat Mustafa Mamat Mustafa Mamat Mustafa Mamat Mustafa Mamat Nabilla, Ulya Nahda Nabiilah Nita Rulianah Noriszura Ismail Norizan Mohamed Novianti, Saqila Novieyanti, Lienda Novinta S, Fujika Novitasari, Ela Nugraha, Dwita Safira Nur Mahmudah Nurdyah, Himda Anataya Nurfadhlina Abdul Halim Nurul Fadilah Okta Yohandoko, Setyo Luthfi Pardede, Ester Priyatna, Yayat Puspa Liza Ghazali Putri, Aulya Putri, Linda Damayanti Putri, Sherina Anugerah Raharjanti, Amalia Rahman, Rezki Aulia Ramdhania, Tya Shafa Ratih Kusumadewi Riadi, Nadia Putri Riaman Riaman Riaman Riaman Riaman Riaman Riaman Riaman, Riaman Riaman, Riaman Rini Cahyandari Riza Adrian Ibrahim Rosadi, D. - Rulianah, Nita Saefullah, Rifki Salamiah, Mia Salih, Yasir Sampath, Sivaperumal Saputra, Jumadil Shindi Adha Gusliana Sianturi, Sri Novi Elizabeth Sisilia Sylviani Siti Sabariah Abas Soeryana Hasbullah Sri Purwani Stanley Pandu Dewanto Subanar - Subanar . Subanar Subanar Subiyanto Subiyanto Sudradjat Supian Suhaimi, Nurnisaa binti Abdullah Sulastri, S Sumiati, Ira Supian, Sudradjat Supriyanto Supriyanto Suroto Suroto Susanto, Sunarta Sutiono Mahdi Sutisna, Sarah Suyudi, Mochamad Suyudi, Mochammad T.P Nababan Tampubolon, Carlos Naek Tua Tika Fauzia Tiswaya, Waway Titi Purwandari Titin Herawati Umar A Omesa Valentina Adimurti Kusumaningtyas Verrany, Maria Jatu Vimelia, Willen Wahid, Alim Jaizul Wan Muhamad Amir W Ahmad Widyani, Azizah Rini Wiliya Wiliya Yasir Salih Yasmin, Arla Aglia Yhenis Apriliana Yulianus Brahmantyo Yulison Herry Chrisnanto Yuningsih, Siti Hadiaty Yuyun Hidayat Zahra, Ami Emelia Putri Zinedine Amalia Noor Mauludy Reihan