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All Journal IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) International Journal of Advances in Applied Sciences Jurnal Presipitasi : Media Komunikasi dan Pengembangan Teknik Lingkungan Jurnal Kesehatan Lingkungan indonesia Media Statistika JURNAL SISTEM INFORMASI BISNIS Jurnal Gaussian Jurnal Statistika Universitas Muhammadiyah Semarang Jurnal Sains dan Teknologi Jurnal Simetris TELKOMNIKA (Telecommunication Computing Electronics and Control) Jurnal Ilmiah Teknik Elektro Komputer dan Informatika (JITEKI) Jurnal Ilmiah Kursor Jurnal Teknologi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer Jurnal Transformatika JUITA : Jurnal Informatika WARTA Register: Jurnal Ilmiah Teknologi Sistem Informasi Journal of Information System E-Dimas: Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat Sinkron : Jurnal dan Penelitian Teknik Informatika Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi) International Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research Jurnal Informatika INTENSIF: Jurnal Ilmiah Penelitian dan Penerapan Teknologi Sistem Informasi Seminar Nasional Variansi (Venue Artikulasi-Riset, Inovasi, Resonansi-Teori, dan Aplikasi Statistika) Jurnal Sisfokom (Sistem Informasi dan Komputer) ILKOM Jurnal Ilmiah KOMPUTIKA - Jurnal Sistem Komputer JTP - Jurnal Teknologi Pendidikan Indonesian Journal of Community Services Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Journal of Applied Data Sciences Jurnal Riset Teknologi Pencegahan Pencemaran Industri Indonesian Journal of Librarianship Proceeding Biology Education Conference Media Pustakawan STATISTIKA PROCEEDINGS OF THE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON DATA SCIENCE AND OFFICIAL STATISTICS Journal of Bioresources and Environmental Sciences Scientific Journal of Informatics

Budi Warsito

Departemen Statistika, Fakultas Sains Dan Matematika, Universitas Diponegoro

Author-ID : 413102

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Chemistry Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Environmental Science Library & Information Science Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mathematics Medicine & Pharmacology Physics Public Health Social Sciences Other

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MODEL FEED FORWARD NEURAL NETWORK (FFNN) DENGAN ALGORITMA PARTICLE SWARM SEBAGAI OPTIMASI BOBOT (Studi Kasus : Harga Daging Sapi dari Bank Dunia Periode Januari 2007 – Desember 2018) Faisal Fikri Utama; Budi Warsito; Sugito Sugito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 8, No 1 (2019): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Beef is one of the important food commodities to fulfill the nutritional adequacy of humans. The World Bank notes the beef prices that are exported worldwide every month. For this reason, those data becomes a predictable series for the next period. Feed Forward Neural Network is a non-parametric method that can be used to make predictions from time series data without having to be bound by classical assumptions. The initiated weight will be evaluated by an algorithm that can minimize errors. Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) is an optimization algorithm based on particle speed to reach the destination. The FFNN model will be combined with PSO to get predictive results that are close to the target. The best architecture on FFNN is obtained with 2 units of input, 1 unit of bias, 3 hidden units, and 1 unit of output by producing MAPE training 11.7735% and MAPE testing 8.14%. According to Lewis (1982) in Moreno et. al (2013), the MAPE value below 10% is highly accurate forecasting. Keywords: Feed Forward Neural Network (FFNN), Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), neurons, weights, predictions.

PEMODELAN JUB DAN BI RATE TERHADAP INFLASI DAN KURS RUPIAH MENGGUNAKAN REGRESI SEMIPARAMETRIK BIRESPON BERDASARKAN ESTIMATOR PENALIZED SPLINE Siti Fadhilla Femadiyanti; Suparti Suparti; Budi Warsito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 9, No 2 (2020): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Some indicators of the Indonesian economy are inflation and the exchange rate of rupiah against US dollar. Inflation and the rupiah exchange rate are thought to be influenced by the money supply (JUB) and the BI Rate. The money supply has a nonparametric relationship pattern to inflation and the rupiah exchange rate, while the BI Rate has a parametric relationship pattern to inflation and the rupiah exchange rate. The right method for detecting the relationship between inflation and the exchange rate with JUB and BI Rate is birespon semiparametric regression with a splined penalized estimator. The semiparametric regression coefficient of birespon spline penalized is estimated using the Weighted Least square (WLS) method which is determined based on the degree of polynomials, the number and location of the optimal knot points, and the optimal lambda determined based on the minimum of Generalized Cross Validation (GCV). This research uses the R Program. Based on the results of the analysis, the best spline penalized birespon semiparametric regression model is located in the number of knots is 5 at the knot points of 5257,783; 6649,469; 8976,871; 11099,19 and 13535,51 found in the first degree of response is 1 and the second degree of response is 2 with an optimal lambda of 99,99. The results of the performance evaluation of the model produce value of is 99,9007%, meaning that the model's performance is very good for out samples of the data and the MAPE value of 2.89169% is less than 10% which means the model's performance is very good.

KLASIFIKASI PERUSAHAAN DI INDONESIA DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN PROBABILISTIC NEURAL NETWORK (Studi Kasus: Perusahaan yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia Tahun 2016) Adi Waridi Basyirudin Arifin; Hasbi Yasin; Budi Warsito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 6, No 4 (2017): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v6i4.30383

Classification of company performance can be judged by looking at it’s financial status, whether poor or good state. In order to classifying the financial status, annual financial report will be required. By learning financial status of company, it would be useful to evaluate the performance of the company itself from management cause, or as an investor, making strategy for investment to certain company would be easier. Classification of company performance can be achieved by some approach, either parametric or non-parametric. Neural Network is one of non-parametric method. One of the models in Artificial Neural Network is Probabilistic Neural Network (PNN). PNN consists of four layers, i.e. input layer, pattern layer, addition layer, and output layer. The distance function used is the euclid distance and each class share the same values as their weights. By using the holdout method as an evaluation in honesty, the results show that modeling the company performance with PNN model has a very high accuracy. This is confirmed by the level of accuracy of the data model built on the training data is 100%, while trial data also got 100% accuracy. Keywords : Classification of Company Performance, PNN, Holdout.

ANALISIS KLASIFIKASI REKAPITULASI PENGADUAN PELANGGAN UP3 PT. PLN SEMARANG MENGGUNAKAN ALGORITMA QUEST (QUICK, UNBIASED, AND EFFICIENT STATISTICAL TREE) Sang Nur Cahya Widiutama; Budi Warsito; Sudarno Sudarno
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 11, No 1 (2022): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v11i1.34000

Every company must have a way to solve the problems faced by its customers, PT. PLN Persero, the Indonesian national energy utility, must have a method to handle consumer complaints. PT. PLN Persero has a recovery time strategy for resolving consumer concerns, but it is not always effective in doing so. The QUEST algorithm (Quick, Unbiased, and Efficient Statistical Tree) approach is used to classify the problem of the recovery time policy failing on specific complaints. Classification of complaint data in order to obtain characteristics and factors as the main influence on the complaints and be able to provide new opinions for PT. PLN to address customer complaints. The QUEST method is a classification tree technique with two nodes per split that yields an unbiased variable. The QUEST method may be used with both category and numerical data. QUEST uses three stages to create a classification tree: picking the splitting variable, identifying the split point, and pausing the split. The classification tree generated has a tree depth of four layers and obtained three essential factors in the classification, namely weather, the number of customers experiencing the same event, and distance from the site. The classification tree accuracy level is 0.851 (or 85.1%), with a prediction error rate of 0.149 (or 14.9%).Keywords: binary classification tree, recovery time, QUEST algorithm.

KLASIFIKASI STATUS KEMISKINAN RUMAH TANGGA DENGAN ALGORITMA C5.0 DI KABUPATEN PEMALANG Fatiya Nur Umma; Budi Warsito; Di Asih I Maruddani
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 10, No 2 (2021): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v10i2.29934

Pemalang regency is a district which has amount of poverty around 16.04%. One of the effort that must be improved in tackling poverty is increasing the accuracy of the government program’s target. The improvement of target accuracy is expected to give the better impact on the welfare of the population. This study classified the poverty status of households in Pemalang regency using C5.0 Algorithm. The poverty status of households is divided into two classes, namely poor and non-poor. There was an imbalance of data in both classes. Data imbalances were handled by using Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE). From the research that has been done, SMOTE application in classification of household poverty status affected the evaluation value of the model. Previously the model could not classify the minority class and after using SMOTE the model produced an average value of sensitivity 25.80%. SMOTE application increased the average value of specificity from 91.16% to 94.91%. However, SMOTE application decreased the average value of accuracy which originally 91.16% down to 82.2%.Keywords : C5.0, Household poverty, Classification, SMOTE

PEMODELAN WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK UNTUK PREDIKSI NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH TERHADAP DOLAR AS Tri Yani Elisabeth Nababan; Budi Warsito; Agus Rusgiyono
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 9, No 2 (2020): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Each country has its own currency that is used as a tool of exchange rate valid in the transaction process. In the process of transaction between countries often experience problems in terms of payment because of the difference in the value of money prevailing in each country. The price movement of the exchange rate or the value of foreign currencies that fluctuate from time to time it encouraged predictions of the value of the rupiah exchange rate against the U.S. dollar. Wavelet Neural Network (WNN) is a combination of methods between wavelet transforms and Neural networks. WNN modeling begins with wavelet decomposition resulting in wavelet coefficients and scale coefficients. Selection of inputs is based on PACF plots and divides into training data and testing data. To determine the final output by calculating the value of MAPE in data testing. The best architecture on WNN model for prediction of the value of the rupiah exchange rate against the U.S. dollar is a model with sigmoid logistic activation function, 2 neurons in the input layer, 10 neurons in the hidden layer, and 1 neuron in the output layer. The MAPE value is obtained at 0.2221%.

PERAMALAN INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN DENGAN METODE LOGISTIC SMOOTH TRANSITION AUTOREGRESSIVE (LSTAR) Gayuh Kresnawati; Budi Warsito; Abdul Hoyyi
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 7, No 1 (2018): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Smooth Transition Autoregressive (STAR) Model is one of time series model used in case of data that has nonlinear tendency. STAR is an expansion of Autoregressive (AR) Model and can be used if the nonlinear test is accepted. If the transition function G(st,γ,c) is logistic, the method used is Logistic Smooth Transition Autoregressive (LSTAR). Weekly IHSG data in period of 3 January 2010 until 24 December 2017 has nonlinier tend and logistic transition function so it can be modeled with LSTAR . The result of this research with significance level of 5% is the LSTAR(1,1) model. The forecast of IHSG data for the next 15 period has Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) 2,932612%. Keywords : autoregressive, LSTAR, nonlinier, time series

IMPLEMENTASI ALGORITMA MODIFIED GUSTAFSON-KESSEL UNTUK CLUSTERING TWEETS PADA AKUN TWITTER LAZADA INDONESIA Ratna Kencana Putri; Budi Warsito; Mustafid Mustafid
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 8, No 3 (2019): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Online social media is a new kind of media which is steadily growing and has become publicly popular. Due to its ability to spread informations rapidly and its easiness to access for internet users, social media provides new alternative to conduct advertising and product segmentation. Twitter is one of the most favored social media with 19.5 million users in Indonesia to the date. In this research, the application of text mining to cluster tweets from the @LazadaID Twitter account is done using the Modified Gustafson-Kessel clustering algorithm. The clustering process is executed five times with the number of cluster starts from two to six cluster. The results of this research indicate that the optimum number of clusters formed based on the Partition Coefficient and Classification Entropy validation index are three clusters. Those three clusters are tweets containing electronic stuff offers, discounts, and prize quizes. Tweets with the most retweets and likes are prize quiz tweets. PT Lazada Indonesia could use this kind of tweet to conduct advertising on social media Twitter because the prize quiz tweets are liked by the @LazadaID Twitter account followers.Keywords: Twitter, advertising, Lazada Indonesia, Gustafson-Kessel Clustering algorithm, validation index

PENERAPAN GRADIENT BOOSTING DENGAN HYPEROPT UNTUK MEMPREDIKSI KEBERHASILAN TELEMARKETING BANK Silvia Elsa Suryana; Budi Warsito; Suparti Suparti
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 10, No 4 (2021): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v10i4.31335

Telemarketing is another form of marketing which is conducted via telephone. Bank can use telemarketing to offer its products such as term deposit. One of the most important strategy to the success of telemarketing is opting the potential customer to create effective telemarketing. Predicting the success of telemarketing can use machine learning. Gradient boosting is machine learning method with advanced decision tree. Gardient boosting involves many classification trees which are continually upgraded from previous tree. The optimal classification result cannot be separated from the role of the optimal hyperparameter. Hyperopt is Python library that can be used to tune hyperparameter effectively because it uses Bayesian optimization. Hyperopt uses hyperparameter prior distribution to find optimal hyperparameter. Data in this study including 20 independent variables and binary dependent variable which has ‘yes’ and ‘no’ classes. The study showed that gradient boosting reached classification accuracy up to 90,39%, precision 94,91%, and AUC 0,939. These values describe gradient boosting method is able to predict both classes ‘yes’ and ‘no’ relatively accurate.

APLIKASI NAÏVE BAYES CLASSIFIER (NBC) PADA KLASIFIKASI STATUS GIZI BALITA STUNTING DENGAN PENGUJIAN K-FOLD CROSS VALIDATION Riza Rizqi Robbi Arisandi; Budi Warsito; Arief Rachman Hakim
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 11, No 1 (2022): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v11i1.33991

The case of stunting in Indonesia is a problem that has been discussed for a long time. One of many efforts to overcome this problem is through an accelerated stunting reduction program to improve the nutritional status of the community and also to reduce the prevalence of stunting or stunted toddlers. Generally, the index used to determine the nutritional status of stunting toddlers height compared to age. This study aims to identify the classification results, evaluate the model, and predict the nutritional status of stunting toddlers using the Naïve Bayes Classifier algorithm with K-Fold Cross Validation testing. The data processing system used is the GUI-R (Graphical User Interface) in order to facilitate the analysis process by implementing the Shiny Package in the Rstudio program. The results of accuracy using Naïve Bayes Classifier with 10-Fold Cross Validation test obtained the highest accuracy on the 6th iteration with an accuracy 94.39%, while the lowest accuracy on the 8th iteration with an accuracy 82.08%. Overall, the average accuracy in each iteration is 88.46%, so it can be concluded that Naïve Bayes Classifier model considered good enough to classified data on the nutritional status of stunting toddlers.Keywords: Stunting, Data Mining, Naïve Bayes Classifier, K-Fold Cross Validation, Shiny Package

Co-Authors . Widayat Abdul Hoyyi Adi Waridi Basyirudin Arifin Adi Wibowo Adi Wibowo Agus Pamuji Agus Rusgiyono Agus Winarno, Agus Ahmad Lubis Ghozali Ahmed, Kamil Alan Prahutama Anindita Nur Safira Arafa Rahman Aziz Arbella Maharani Putri Arief Rachman Hakim Arief Rachman Hakim Arief Rachman Hakim Aries Susanty Aris Sugiharto Arsyil Hendra Saputra Atmaja, Dinul Darma Atur Ekharisma Dewi Aurum Anisa Salsabela Bagus Dwi Saputra Bayastura, Shahnilna Fitrasha Bayu Surarso Bimastyaji Surya Ramadhan Budiyono Budiyono Calvin, Esagu John Catur Edi Widodo Chrisna Suhendi Cintika Oktavia Di Asih I Maruddani Di Mokhammad Hakim Ilmawan Dian Mariana L Manullang Dinar Mutiara Kusumo Nugraheni Dwi Ispriyanti Dyna Marisa Khairina eka rahmawati Ekky Rosita Singgih Wigati Endang Fatmawati Endang Fatmawati Fachry Abda El Rahman Faisal Fikri Utama Faliha Muthmainah Fath Ezzati Kavabilla Fatiya Nur Umma Ferry Hermawan Fiqria Devi Ariyani Firdonsyah, Arizona Gayuh Kresnawati Gertrude, Akello Ghifar Rahman Handayani, Sri Hanif Kusumasasmita Haritsa, Rifda Tsaqifarani Harjum Muharam Hasbi Yasin Hendri Setyawan Henny Widayanti, Henny Heriyanto Hizkia Christian Putra Setiadi Indra Jaya Infan Nur Kharismawan Intan Monica Hanmastiana Jafron Wasiq Hidayat Junta Zeniarja Kadarrisman, Vincensius Gunawan Slamet Kiswanto Kiswanto M. Afif Amirillah M. Andang Novianta Maharani, Chintya Ayu Mahrus Ali Maori, Nadia Annisa Maryono Maryono Maryono Maryono Masruroh, Fitriana Maulida Najwa, Maulida Mifta Ardianti Moch. Abdul Mukid Mochamad Arief Budihardjo Moh Ali Fikri mohamad jamil muhammad shodiq Muliyadi Muliyadi Munji Hanafi Mustafid Mustafid Mustaqim Mustaqim, Mustaqim Nisa Afida Izati Noor Azizah Nur Fitriyah Nurcahyanti, Tri Meida Nurul Hidayati Oktavia, Cintika Oky Dwi Nurhayati Pandu Anggara Paul, Gudoyi M Perdana, Ery Purwanto Purwanto Puspita Kartikasari Putri, Nitami Lestari R Rizal Isnanto R. Rizal Isnanto Rachmat Gernowo Rachmat Gernowo Rahmat Gernowo Rahmatul Akbar Ratna Kencana Putri Rini Nuraini Rita Rahmawati Rita Rahmawati Riva Amrulloh Riza Rizqi Robbi Arisandi Royani, Noorhanida Rukun Santoso Rully Rahadian Safitri, Adila Salma Farah Aliyah Sang Nur Cahya Widiutama Sari, Juwita Dwinda Silvia Elsa Suryana Siti Fadhilla Femadiyanti Sri Endah Moelya Artha Sri Sumiyati Sudarno Sudarno Sudarno Sudarno Sudarno utomo Sugito Sugito Sulardjaka Sulardjaka Suparti Suparti Syafrudin Syafrudin Tarno Tarno Tarno Tarno Tatik Widiharih Tatik Widiharih Ta’fif Lukman Afandi Tri Yani Elisabeth Nababan Ummayah, Putri Qodar Vincensius Gunawan Slamet Kadarrisman Wahyul Amien Syafei Whisnumurti Adhiwibowo Wibowo, Catur Edi Widiyatmoko, Carolus Borromeus Winahyu Handayani Winarno, Bowo Yanuar Yoga Prasetyawan Yundari, Yundari

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