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All Journal IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) AKSIOMA: Jurnal Program Studi Pendidikan Matematika Jurnal CoreIT JITK (Jurnal Ilmu Pengetahuan dan Komputer) Dinamisia: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat JURNAL TEKNOLOGI DAN OPEN SOURCE Digital Zone: Jurnal Teknologi Informasi dan Komunikasi J-SAKTI (Jurnal Sains Komputer dan Informatika) IJISTECH (International Journal Of Information System & Technology) JURTEKSI JOURNAL OF SCIENCE AND SOCIAL RESEARCH Zonasi: Jurnal Sistem Informasi Journal of Applied Engineering and Technological Science (JAETS) Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Multidisiplin JPMB: Jurnal Pemberdayaan Masyarakat Berkarakter Jurnal Teknik Informatika (JUTIF) IJISTECH Jutsi: Jurnal Teknologi dan Sistem Informasi J-SAKTI (Jurnal Sains Komputer dan Informatika) Jurnal Pengabdian Inovasi dan Teknologi Kepada Masyarakat J-COSCIS : Journal of Computer Science Community Service Edumatica: Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika Jurnal Pemberdayaan Sosial dan Teknologi Masyarakat SATIN - Sains dan Teknologi Informasi JURNAL KARYA ILMIAH MULTIDISIPLIN Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat dan Riset Pendidikan INOVTEK Polbeng - Seri Informatika Edu Komputika Journal
Ahmad Zamsuri, Ahmad
Universitas Lancang Kuning
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Journal : Jurnal Teknik Informatika (JUTIF)

 1 
Geodetically-Enhanced Hybrid GRU with Adaptive Dropout and Dynamic L2 Regularization for Earthquake Parameter Prediction in Indonesia Mubarak MR, Najmuddin; Susandri, Susandri; Zamsuri, Ahmad
Jurnal Teknik Informatika (Jutif) Vol. 7 No. 2 (2026): JUTIF Volume 7, Number 2, April 2026
Publisher : Informatika, Universitas Jenderal Soedirman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52436/1.jutif.2026.7.2.5478

Abstract

Earthquake prediction remains challenging due to the nonlinear behavior and uncertainty of seismic activity. This study introduces a geodetically-enhanced hybrid GRU model integrating adaptive dropout and dynamic L2 regularization to improve robustness and accuracy in earthquake magnitude prediction. In addition to seismic sequence data, slip-rate values derived from scalar moment distribution were incorporated as a domain-informed feature to represent tectonic strain accumulation across Indonesia. The dataset consisted of BMKG records from 2010–2025 and was processed through outlier removal, normalization, temporal reshaping, and feature integration. The proposed model was evaluated against multiple deep learning baselines including CNN-1D, LSTM, standard GRU, Transformer-based models, and Neural ODE architectures. Performance assessment used RMSE, MAE, and R² metrics. The resulting hybrid GRU achieved improved predictive accuracy with an RMSE of 0.5176, MAE of 0.3973, and an R² score of 0.5997, outperforming both CNN-1D and standard GRU baselines. The integration of slip-rate features contributed to reduced prediction variance across tectonically active zones. These findings demonstrate that combining geodetic information with adaptive regularization strategies improves generalization and model stability for seismic forecasting. The approach offers potential applicability for rapid early-warning scenarios requiring low latency and reliable prediction accuracy.
Co-Authors Abini, Eka Yestira Nita Alkhairi, Putrama Alwan, Hiba Basim Anam, M Khairul Anam, M. Khairul Andi Zahran Budiman Andre Armada Aprilia Milanda Putri Arini Arita Fitri, Triyani Arpan Asparizal, Asparizal Astri Wahyuni Baehaqi Bayu Febriadi, Bayu Bimby, Novia Putri Dadang Juandi Dafwen Toresa Deni Iskandar Diyah Ayu Rizqiani Eko Sediyono Elvira Asril, Elvira Elvira Elvira Fadly Suandi Fajar, Muhammad Al Fajrizal Fajrizal Fajrizal, Fajrizal Febrizal Alfarasy Syam Febrizal Alfarasy Syam Febrizal As-Syam Feldiansyah Feldiansyah Feldiansyah, Feldiansyah Fitri Juliani Gunadi Widi Nurcahyo Guntoro, Guntoro Hamdani Hamdani Hazira, Nadila Hendrawan, Riki Hiba Basim Alwan idel waldelmi, idel Indriati, Mefa Julianti, Dola Keumala Anggraini Khairani Djahara, Khairani Lisnawita Lisnawita Loneli Costaner Mariza Devega Mhd. Arief Hasan, Mhd. Arief Mubarak MR, Najmuddin Muhamad Sadar, Muhamad Muzdalifah, Indah Nurfika Sari Nurliana Nasution Nurliana Nasution, Nurliana Nuroini, Indi Pandu Pratama Putra, Pandu Pratama Pane, Eddissyah Putra Pardede, Akim Manaor Hara Poningsih Rahmiati Rahmiati Ramadani, Indah Ramadhani, Maya Roki Hardianto Sahrul Saputra Saputra, Eko Ikhwan Sari Herlina Sari Herlina Sari Herlina Sarjon Defit Shelydia Martha Suhendra Sumijan , Sumijan Susandri, Susandri Susi Handayani Sutejo Sutejo Syahtriatna D Syahtriatna Djusar Syahtriatna Djusar Syam, Salmaini Safitri Tintien Koerniawati Triyani Arita Fitri Turnandes, Yogo Vebby Vebby Vebby Walhidayat Walhidayat Walhidayat Wenni Syafitri Wirta Agustin Yaya S. Kusumah Yenni, Heda Yogi Yunefri, Yogi Yogo Turnandes Yogo Turnandes Yoyon Efendi Yuhelmi Yuhelmi Yuvi Darmayunata Zamzami, Zamzami