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Wanto, Anjar
STIKOM Tunas Bangsa, Pematangsiantar, Indonesia.
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Journal : JURNAL SISTEM INFORMASI BISNIS

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Optimalisasi Parameter dengan Cross Validation dan Neural Back-propagation Pada Model Prediksi Pertumbuhan Industri Mikro dan Kecil Windarto, Agus Perdana; Defit, Sarjon; Wanto, Anjar
JSINBIS (Jurnal Sistem Informasi Bisnis) Vol 11, No 1 (2021): Volume 11 Nomor 1 Tahun 2021
Publisher : Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21456/vol11iss1pp34-42

Abstract

It is important for us to predict what will happen in future and to reduce uncertainty. Various analyzes are therefore necessary in order to optimize or improve the prediction results by several methods. The objective of this research is to analyze predictive results by optimizing the training and testing by means of cross validating parameters on the growth of micro and small-scale production in Indonesia through the exactness of the return-propagative method. The method of reproduction is used. These results are compared with results of backpropagation during training and testing without optimisation of the same architectural model. The dataset is based on the growth in production in micro and small businesses by province from the Central Statistical Agency(BPS). There were 34 records in which data from 2015-2019 for growth of production were collected. The results with optimisation have surpassed without optimisation the back propagation model by looking at RMSE, in which the best RMSE in the 3-2-1 architectural model was obtained and the side type is mixed sampling. The obtained RMSE value is 0.1526, or a difference between the best background architectural model, 3-2-1 and 0.0034. (0.157). The results of this model were 94 percent.
Co-Authors Abdi Rahim Damanik Abdullah Ahmad Achmad Noerkhaerin Putra Adnan, Syed Muhammad Agung Pratama Agung Wibowo Agung Yusuf Pratama Agus Perdana Windarto Akbari, Imam Anan Wibowo Andi Sanggam Sidabutar Arifah Hanum Arifin Nur, Khairun Nisa Asro Pradipta Astuti, Wiwik Sri Ayu Artika Fardhani Azwar Anas Manurung Azwar Anas Manurung Bil Klinton Sihotang Cici Astria Damanik, Bahrudi Efendi Damayanti, Tri Febri Daniel Sitorus Dedi Kusbiantoro Dedi Suhendro Dedi Suhendro Dedy Hartama Dedy Hartama Dedy Hartama Dedy Hartama Dedy Hartama Deri Setiawan Desi Insani Natalia Simanjuntak Dewi, Rafiqa Dinda Nabila Batubara Edu Wardo Saragih eko hartato Eko Hartato Eko Kurniawan Eko Purwanto Elfin Efendi Eva Desiana Fajar Ramadan Fazira, Rizky Nazwa Febriyanto, R Tri Hadi Fikri Yatussa’ada Fitri Anggraini GS , Achmad Daengs Gumilar Ramadhan Pangaribuan Hardinata, Jaya T Harly Okprana Hartama, Dedy Hartama, Dedy Heru Satria Tambunan Heru Satria Tambunan, Heru Satria Ht. Barat, Ade Ismiaty Ramadhona Hutapea, Isniar Yaskinah Hutasoit, Rahel Adelina Hutasoit, Rahel Adelina Ihsan Maulana Muhamad Iin Parlina Iin Parlina Iin Parlina Iin Parlina Iin Parlina Iin Parlina Ika Okta Kirana Ika Okta Kirana Ika Okta Kirana Ika Okta Kirana Ika Okta Kirana Ika Purnama Sari Ilham Syahputra Saragih Imelda Asih Rohani Simbolon Indra Gunawan Indra Gunawan Indra Satria Indra Satria Indra Satria Indri Sriwahyuni Purba Irawan Irawan Irfan Sudahri Damanik Jalaluddin Jalaluddin Jalaluddin Jalaluddin Jaya Tata Hardinata Jeni Sugiandi Jonas Rayandi Saragih Jonas Rayandi Saragih Joni Wilson Sitopu Jufriadif Na`am, Jufriadif Juli Wahyuni Khairun Nisa Arifin Nur Khairunnissa Fanny Irnanda Kirana, Ika Okta M Mesran M Safii M. Safii M.Ridwan Lubis Manurung, Azwar Anas MARIA BINTANG Marseba Situmorang Martina Silaban Mesran, Mesran Meychael Adi Putra Hutabarat Mhd Ali Hanafiah Mhd Gading Sadewo Mhd. Billy Sandi Saragih Mhd.Buhari Sibuea Mora Malemta Sitomorang Muhammad Aliyul Amri Muhammad Aliyul Amri Muhammad Julham Muhammad Julham Muhammad Mahendra Muhammad Ridwan Lubis Muhammad Ridwan Lubis Muhammad Ridwan Lubis Muhammad Ridwan Lubis Muhammad Syafiq Muhammad Wijaya Napitupulu, Flora Sabarina Nasution, Rizki Alfadillah Nasution, Zulaini Masruro Nazlina Izmi Addyna Ni Luh Wiwik Sri Rahayu Ginantra Nur Ahlina Febriyati Nur Arminarahmah Nur Arminarahmah Nur, Khairun Nisa Arifin Nuraysah Zamil Purba Nurhayati Nurhayati Okprana, Harly Okta Andrica Putra Parlina, Iin Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih, Poningsih Putrama Alkhairi Rahmat W Sembiring Rahmat W. Sembiring Rahmat Zulpani Ramadani, Saputra Rapianto Sinaga Ratih Puspadini Reza Pratama Rita Mawarni Rizky Khairunnisa Sormin Ronal Watrianthos Roulina Simarmata Roy Chandra Telaumbanua Ruri Eka Pranata S Solikhun S Solikhun S Sumarno Sadewo, Mhd Gading Safii, M. Safruddin Safruddin Saifullah Saifullah Salsabila, Sophia Samuel Palentino Sinaga Samuel Palentino Sinaga Sandy Putra Siregar Saputra Ramadani Saragih, Irfan Christian Saragih, Jonas Rayandi Saragih, Mhd. Billy Sandi Sari, Riyani Wulan Sari, Riyani Wulan Sarjon Defit Setti, Sunil Sigit Anugerah Wardana Silaban, Herlan F Silfia Andini, Silfia Silitonga, Hotmalina Silitonga, Hotmalina Siregar, Sandy Putra Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun, Solikhun Suhada Suhada Suhada Suhada Sumarno Sumarno Sumarno Sumarno Sumarno Sumarno Sundari Retno Andani Sundari Retno Andani Sunil Setti Surya Hendraputra Susi Fitryah Damanik Syafri Maradu Manurung Syafrika Deni Rizki Syahri Ramadhan Teuku Afriliansyah Tia Imandasari Titin Handayani Sinaga Tri Welanda Vasma Vitriani Sianipar Veithzal Rivai Zainal Venny Vidya utari Vitri Roma Sari Wida Prima Mustika Widodo Saputra Widya Tri Charisma Gultom Widyasuti, Meilin Widyasuti, Meilin Winanjaya, Riki Yuhandri Yuhandri, Yuhandri Yuli Andriani Yuri Widya Paranthy Zulaini Masruro Nasution Zulaini Masruro Nasution Zulaini Masruro Nasution Zulaini Masruro Nasution Zulia Almaida Siregar