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Nurdin Nurdin
Universitas Malikussaleh
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Journal : Jurnal Informatika

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Comparison of Logistic Regression and Random Forest Methods in Predicting Vehicle Tax Payment Compliance Khairul Fuadi; Taufiq Taufiq; Arnawan Hasibuan; Dahlan Abdullah; Nurdin Nurdin
Jurnal Informatika Vol. 13 No. 1 (2026): April
Publisher : Universitas Bina Sarana Informatika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31294/informatika.v13i1.11944

Abstract

Motor vehicle tax is a major source of Regional Original Income (PAD). However, the level of motor vehicle tax payment compliance in North Aceh Regency is still suboptimal, particularly related to late payments. A data-driven approach is needed to predict and understand taxpayer compliance patterns more accurately. This study aims to compare the performance of the Logistic Regression and Random Forest methods in predicting motor vehicle tax payment compliance, as well as to identify factors that influence taxpayer compliance behavior at the North Aceh Samsat (Sat). This study uses secondary data in the form of motor vehicle tax payment transactions at the North Aceh Samsat for the 2022–2024 period, totaling 100,000 observations. The response variable is the tax payment compliance status (compliant and non-compliant), while the predictor variables include vehicle age, type of ownership, vehicle type, and vehicle brand. The data is divided into 70% training data and 30% testing data. The performance evaluation model is conducted using accuracy, precision, recall, and Area Under Curve (AUC) metrics. The analysis results show that Random Forest has better predictive performance than Logistic Regression, with higher accuracy and AUC values. Vehicle age and type of ownership are the most influential variables in predicting tax payment compliance, while vehicle brand has a relatively smaller influence. Logistic Regression provides a clear interpretation of the variable relationship, but has lower discrimination ability than Random Forest. Random Forest has proven to be more effective as a prediction model for motor vehicle tax payment compliance at the North Aceh Samsat. The application of machine learning-based predictive models has the potential to support more targeted policy making in an effort to improve motor vehicle tax payment compliance, especially in reducing late payments.
Co-Authors - Miranda ., Muthmainah Abdurraafi, Muthrib Adi Prasetyo Afif Diapari Ma'aruf Lubis Afif Diapari Afrilia, Yesy Aidilof, Hafizh Al Kautsar Al Khaidar Alaiya, Azna Alqhifari, Azka Ama Zanati Amalia, Nova Amin Munthoha Aminsyah, Ansharulhaq Ananda Faridhatul Ulva Anas, Mukhtar Andri Alfitra Anggara, Aji Annisa Karima Ar-Razi, Ar-Razi Arnawan Hasibuan Aynun, Aynun Aynun, Nur Azzanna, Maghriza bhakti wan khaledy Bustami Bustami Bustami Bustami Cesilia, Yolinda Chaeroen Niesa Chicha Rizka Gunawan Cut Agusniar Dadang Priyanto Dahlan Abdullah Darmansyah, Arif Desky, Muhammad Aulia Dewi Astika Erni Susanti Eva Darnila Fadlisyah Fadlisyah Fadlisyah Fahrozi, Fazar Fajriana Fajriana Fajriana, Fajriana Fasdarsyah Fasdarsyah fatimah Fatimah Fikhri, Aditya Aziz Fikran, Rifzan Fikri Fikri Gavinda, Virza Ginting, Andriyan gunawan, chicha rizka Gunawan, Chichi Rizka Hafizh Al Kautsar Aidilof Hafizh Al-Kautsar Aidilof Hamdhana, Defry Herman Fithra Hermansyah Hermansyah I Made Ari Nrartha Ilyana, Anis Imanda, Nanda Intan Nuriani Isa, Muzamir Ismun Naufal Jessika, Jessika Jikti Khairina Julia Ulfah Khaidar, Al Khairina, Jikti Khairul Fuadi Khairul Khairul, Khairul Khairuni Khairuni Kurnia, Sri Kurniawati M Farhan Aulia Barus M Rizwan M Suhendri M. Ali, Rahmadi Marleni Marleni Maryana Maryana Maryana Maryana Maryana Maryana Maryana, Maryana Maulita, Maya Maya Juwita Dewi Maysura Meriatna Meriatna Muchlis ABD Muthalib Muchlis Abdul Muthalib Muhammad Daud Muhammad Daud Muhammad Faisal Muhammad fauzan Muhammad Fikry Muhammad Furqan, Muhammad Muhammad Hutomi Muhammad Iqbal Muhammad Johan Setiawan Muhammad Nasir Muhammad Riansyah Muhammad Ridha Mukti Qamal Muliana, Syarifah Munirul Ula Mutammimul Ula Muzakir Nur Nadilla Baimal Puteri NELI SUSANTI, NELI Nunsina, Nunsina Nur, Muzakir Pradita, Cindy Cika Rahmad Rahmad Rahmad Rahmat Rahmat Raihan Putri Rasyada, Reza Dian Reza, Restu Rini Meiyanti Risawandi, Risawandi Riza Mirza Rizal S.Si., M.IT, Rizal Rizki Setiawan Rizki Suwanda Rizky Putra Fhonna Rizkya, Ghinni Robi Kurniawan Rusadi, Athirah salamah salamah Salimuddin, Salimuddin Salsabila, Thifal Samudera, Brucel Duta Sapitri, Anggri Sari, Cut Jora Sayuti, Muhammad Siagian, Tania Annisa Siregar, Widyana Verawaty Sri Kurnia Suci Fitriani, Suci Suhaili Sahibul Muna Sujacka Retno Sultan, Kana Suryana, Fitra Syahputra, Wawan Syandriani Harahap Taufik Taufik Taufiq Taufiq Taufiq Taufiq Taufiq Taufiq Taufiq Taufiq Uci Mutiara Putri Nasution Ulfah, Julia Ulva Fitriani Wahdana, Aldi Wan, Syahputra Wawan Wawan Yani, Muhamamd Yeni Yeni Yesy Afrilia Yesy Afrillia Yulisda, Desvina Zahrah, Violita Aditya Zahratul Fitri Zahratul Fitri, Zahratul Zalfie Ardian Zara Yunizar Zuraida Zuraida