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Hadiah Fitriyah
Universitas Muhammadiyah Sidoarjo
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Journal : International Journal of Economics Development Research (IJEDR)

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Forecasting the Impact of Increasing Regency/City Minimum Wage on the Total Open Unemployment Rate in Sidoarjo Regency for 2024-2030 Pramesari, Alifia Hayunda; Setiyono, Wisnu Panggah; Fitriyah, Hadiah
International Journal of Economics Development Research (IJEDR) Vol. 5 No. 4 (2024): International Journal of Economics Development Research (IJEDR)
Publisher : Yayasan Riset dan Pengembangan Intelektual

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37385/ijedr.v5i3.5622

Abstract

The increase in the minimum wage for Sidoarjo Regency from 2013 to 2023 shows a sharp increase. This makes open unemployment even higher and places Sidoarjo Regency in first place with the highest number of unemployed in East Java. If the minimum wage in Sidoarjo Regency experiences a very significant increase in the following years, more companies will go bankrupt or even move outside Sidoarjo Regency to prevent greater losses, resulting in more unemployment in Sidoarjo Regency. This research aims to determine the impact of forecasting increases in the minimum wage on open unemployment in Sidoarjo Regency every year 2024 to 2030. This research uses the ARIMA (0,1,0) model, which is then analyzed using IBM SPSS Statistics 25 version. The research results show that open unemployment in Sidoarjo Regency over the next 6 (six) years is likely to increase by 0.43% every year. This happens because of the increase in the minimum wage which tends to get higher every year.
Co-Authors - Sutrisno Agung Indra Lesmana Ahmad Qomarudin Ahmad Qomarudin Ais Fauziah Aisha Hanif Al arif, Mohammad Anam Anggraini, Titania Arief Senja Fitrani, Arief Senja Arisanto, Sefi Lefberti Arista, Sintha Wahyu ASMARANINGTYAS, LUSSY WIDIA Azis, Nadia Ismayanti Bambang Tjahjadi Bayu Wardhana Choiri, Ika Choirina Nurlaila Cut Ami Rahmah Dainy, Zilba Vara Deddy Arief Himawan Dedy Rahmat Saleh Dedy Rahmat Saleh Dessy Kartika Yudityawati Detak Prapanca Dina Dwi Oktavia Rini Divtita Sofia Dwi Prihandoko Ekawati Ekawati Etica Aprillia Eva Hidayatul Khusnah Fauzan, Risqi Rachmadi Fitri Wulandari Handayani, Henna Helita, Widia Hendarti, Gracia Angelina Hermansyah, Mamad Hernanda, Ary Setya Hidanah, Sri Hidayat, Anastasya Putri Ida Agustini Saidi Imelda Dian Rahmawati Indiani, Ayunia Suci Ira Sari Yudaniayanti Irawan, Yuriza Rahayu Iriawan, Andi Ita Sri Mulyani Kafa Bayu Ismoyo Khasanah, Syafa’atul Kurniati, Novita Yuli Kusnaini Sulchan Leny Rahma Ayunda Lukman Hudi Lussy Widia Asmaraningtyas Madihah, Siham Marissa Grace Haque, Marissa Grace Meilisa Fani Herdiati, Meilisa Fani Miarsono, Sigit Mirni Lamid Mohammad Taufan Prassetiyo Muflihah, Imroah Muhammad Fajrul Mushoffi muhammad rizky, muhammad Mujiawati, Gishelia Anastasya Murtiningrum, Susi Mutia Hanna Masitha Nabilla Putri Nabilla, Dewi Ayu Ningrum, Surya Noorlailie Soewarno Nur Lailatul Hidayah Nur Ravita Hanun Nurasik Nurasik Nurul Yaqin Pramesari, Alifia Hayunda Pramudita Putri Rizqianti Prasetyo, Wahyu Eko Puspitasari, Devina Eka Putra, Herdyansyah Falendra Putri Febriana Putri, Nabilla Rahmat, Wijaya Ramadhin Setyawanatra, Ede Rihlatus Saidah RIMA AZARA Rita Ambarwati Sukmono Rizky Eka Febriansah Rizqi Silviati Rosyada, Zulfi Nur Amrina Sabdoningrum, Emy Koestanti Saiful Ukamah Sakdiyah , Ni’matus Sampurno, Feri D. Santi Rimadias Sari, Eka Septiana Sarpangga Putri, Fierda Lestari Sarwenda Biduri Setiyono, Wisnu Panggah Sigit Hermawan Silmi, Fahmi Amil Siti Choirun Nisa Siti Ulfah Soeharsono Soeharsono Sriyono Sriyono Sriyono Sriyono Sriyono Sriyono Sriyono Suci Meilia Setyarini Supardi Supardi Supardi Supardi Surya Ningrum Suryono, Gatot Tukfa Qurotalain Ula, Adinda Lafilatul Valerina stasia putri Vidya Dwi Asma Murni Wahyu Eko Prasetyo Warsito, Sunaryo Hadi Widodo, Oky Setyo Widya Paramita Lokapirnasari Wiwik Sulistiyowati Yuriza Rahayu Irawan Yusril Ihza Mahendra