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Journal : Building of Informatics, Technology and Science

Optimasi Prediksi Harga Sawit Menggunakan Teknik Stacking Algoritma Machine Learning dan Deep Learning dengan SMOTE Karim, Abdul; Bangun, Budianto; Prayetno, Sugeng; Afrendi, Mohammad
Building of Informatics, Technology and Science (BITS) Vol 7 No 1 (2025): June (2025)
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47065/bits.v7i1.7239

Abstract

The prediction of palm oil prices plays a strategic role in decision-making within the agribusiness sector, particularly in addressing market volatility and imbalanced historical data distribution. This study aims to optimize the accuracy of palm oil price prediction by applying a stacking approach that combines machine learning and deep learning algorithms, while integrating the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) to address class imbalance issues. Three main models were employed in this study: Random Forest, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and a model enhanced with SMOTE. The evaluation was conducted using accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score metrics, supported by confusion matrix analysis. The results indicate that the model integrated with SMOTE outperforms the others, achieving an accuracy of 0.5447, precision of 0.5512, recall of 0.5447, and F1-score of 0.5462. This model also demonstrates a more balanced classification performance compared to the LSTM and Random Forest models. These findings confirm that the application of oversampling techniques such as SMOTE, when combined with appropriate algorithms, can significantly enhance predictive performance in imbalanced datasets. The study contributes to the development of predictive models for commodity prices based on historical data and opens opportunities for further exploration of more adaptive hybrid methods in future research.
Studi Perbandingan Metode Dempster-Shafer dan Teorema Bayes dalam Sistem Pakar Diagnosa Penyakit Sistem Pernapasan Kusmanto, Kusmanto; Esabella, Shinta; Karim, Abdul; Bobbi Kurniawan Nasution, Muhammad; Hidayatullah, Muhammad
Building of Informatics, Technology and Science (BITS) Vol 7 No 1 (2025): June (2025)
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47065/bits.v7i1.7317

Abstract

Respiratory system disease diagnosis often faces challenges in ensuring the accuracy of results due to the complexity of overlapping symptoms. In particular, a method is needed that is able to handle data uncertainty and utilize existing evidence optimally. This study aims to compare two methods, namely Bayes' Theorem and Dempster-Shafer, in diagnosing three types of respiratory diseases: Asthma, Tuberculosis, and Bronchitis. The solution is done by analyzing the percentage of confidence produced by each method based on symptom data. The results show that Bayes' Theorem produces the highest confidence for Tuberculosis (74.92%), while Dempster-Shafer provides the highest confidence for Bronchitis (80%). This comparison indicates that the selection of methods must be adjusted to the characteristics of the data and the needs of the analysis. This study contributes to providing insight into the advantages and disadvantages of each method, which can be used as a reference in developing a more accurate disease diagnosis decision support system.
Decision Support System for Selecting the Best Head of Study Program Using the MOORA and MOOSRA Methods Karim, Abdul; Hidayatullah, Muhammad; Kurniawan Nasution, Muhammad Bobbi; Esabella, Shinta
Building of Informatics, Technology and Science (BITS) Vol 7 No 3 (2025): December 2025
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47065/bits.v7i3.8928

Abstract

The Head of the Study Program is one of the most important parts of a university. The Head of the Study Program is also the highest leader within the study program structure. The role of the Head of the Study Program is as an organizational unit that is responsible for the administration of the study program they lead. The Head of the Study Program is tasked with coordinating all study program activities, as well as managing lecture schedules, practicum schedules, and lecture evaluation results. The selection of the Head of the Study Program requires precise accuracy to avoid errors in the selection process. The stability of a study program heavily depends on the role and reputation of its lecturers, especially the lecturer responsible for the core courses of that study program. Therefore, the participation of lecturers is highly necessary in the selection of the Head of the Study Program. Since the higher education management is also interested in the selection process, methodological assistance is needed to accommodate the aspirations of the lecturers and the interests of the university management. The reward system is a crucial element for motivation toward a better direction, aiming to further increase performance. This reward system is expected to encourage the performance of the Head of the Study Program to be more productive, so that the vision and mission for achieving the development of a university can be properly attained and implemented.
Co-Authors Afrendi, Mohammad Agustina Sidabutar Agustina, Asri Widya Ahyuna Ahyuna, Ahyuna Aldiansyah, Ferry Alfarisi Pasaribu, Ahmad Ambiyar, Ambiyar Andi Ernawati Andi Ernawati Andriani, Titi Aritonang, Putri Armasari, Selly Arridha Zikra Syah Asyahri Hadi Nasyuha Awfa, Qifari Bangun, Budianto Bernadus Gunawan Sudarsono Bobbi Kurniawan Nasution, Muhammad Cheylani Lukito, Salwa Christiorenfa Br Haloho, Agatha Daulay, Nelly Khairani Dayu Sari, Arini Dhea Ananda, Tasya Dito Putro Utomo Efendi Hutagalung, Jhonson Efendi, Safri Fadli, Muhammad Bagus Fadlina Fahmi Rizal Febriani, Budi Fifto Nugroho Garuda Ginting Harahap, Armyka Pratama Hasibuan, Awaludin Heni Pujiastuti Hersatoto Listiyono Hidayatullah, Muhammad I Wayan Sugianta Nirawana Imam Saputra Indah Sari, Leni Indrayani, Puput Iwan Purnama Iwan Purnama Jeperson Hutahaean Kraugusteeliana Kraugusteeliana Kurniawan Nasution, Muhammad Bobbi Kusmanto Kusmanto Kusmanto Kusmanto M. Rafi Mardinata, Erwin Marha As, Pawa Niassa Meryance Viorentina Siagian Mesran, Mesran Mhd Ali Hanafiah Mhd Bobbi Kurniawan Nasution Moustafa H. Aly Muhammad Bobbi Kurniawan Nasution Muhammad Hamka Muhammad Syahrizal Nababan, Dosmaida Nasution, Mhd Bobbi Kurniawan Nasution, Muhammad Bobbi Kurniawan Natalia Silalahi Nona Oktari Nurlela Nurlela Nurliadi Pane, Rahmadani Pane, Siddik Pohan, Tatang Hidayat Poningsih Pratama, Armyka Prayetno, Sugeng Purba, Elvitrianim Purba, Elvitrianim Putra Juledi, Angga Putri, Nathania Rahman, Ben Rizal, Chairul Rohani Rohani Saidi Ramadan Siregar Saludin Muis Sartika Br Siregar, Amanda Sempurna, Teguh Shinta Esabella Siagian, Yessica Siddik Siregar, Anwar Sinulingga, Raja Ingata Siregar, Feby Khairunnisya Siti Sahara Nasution Soeb Aripin Suha Alvita Suhada, Karya Sundari Retno Andani Supiyandi Supiyandi Suryadi, Sudi Sutrino Dwi Raharjo Syahputra Harahap, Hasmi Tengku Mohd Diansyah, Tengku Mohd Triana, Dewi Trianovie, Sri Trianovie, Sri Unung Verawardina Uswatun Hasanah Vita S. Siregar, Siony Wilson, Eric Yessica Siagian Yulizar, Isma Ahmad Zebua, Yuniman Zulham Sitorus Zulkifli Zulkifli Zuly Budiarso