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All Journal IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) International Journal of Advances in Applied Sciences Jurnal Presipitasi : Media Komunikasi dan Pengembangan Teknik Lingkungan Jurnal Kesehatan Lingkungan indonesia Media Statistika JURNAL SISTEM INFORMASI BISNIS Jurnal Gaussian Jurnal Statistika Universitas Muhammadiyah Semarang Jurnal Sains dan Teknologi Jurnal Simetris TELKOMNIKA (Telecommunication Computing Electronics and Control) Jurnal Ilmiah Teknik Elektro Komputer dan Informatika (JITEKI) Jurnal Ilmiah Kursor Jurnal Teknologi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer Jurnal Transformatika JUITA : Jurnal Informatika WARTA Register: Jurnal Ilmiah Teknologi Sistem Informasi Journal of Information System E-Dimas: Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat Sinkron : Jurnal dan Penelitian Teknik Informatika Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi) International Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research Jurnal Informatika INTENSIF: Jurnal Ilmiah Penelitian dan Penerapan Teknologi Sistem Informasi Seminar Nasional Variansi (Venue Artikulasi-Riset, Inovasi, Resonansi-Teori, dan Aplikasi Statistika) Jurnal Sisfokom (Sistem Informasi dan Komputer) ILKOM Jurnal Ilmiah KOMPUTIKA - Jurnal Sistem Komputer JTP - Jurnal Teknologi Pendidikan Indonesian Journal of Community Services Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Journal of Applied Data Sciences Jurnal Riset Teknologi Pencegahan Pencemaran Industri Indonesian Journal of Librarianship Proceeding Biology Education Conference J-KIP (Jurnal Keguruan dan Ilmu Pendidikan) Media Pustakawan STATISTIKA PROCEEDINGS OF THE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON DATA SCIENCE AND OFFICIAL STATISTICS Journal of Bioresources and Environmental Sciences Scientific Journal of Informatics Jurnal Informatika
Budi Warsito
Departemen Statistika, Fakultas Sains Dan Matematika, Universitas Diponegoro
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Chemistry Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Environmental Science Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Library & Information Science Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mathematics Medicine & Pharmacology Physics Public Health Social Sciences Other

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Journal : Jurnal Ilmiah Kursor

 1 
GREY FORECASTING MODEL IMPLEMENTATION FOR FORECAST OF CAPTURED FISHERIES PRODUCTION muhammad shodiq; Budi Warsito; Rachmat Gernowo
Jurnal Ilmiah Kursor Vol 9 No 4 (2018)
Publisher : Universitas Trunojoyo Madura

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.28961/kursor.v9i4.170

Abstract

The increasing need for fish causes problems related to production in the fisheries sector. In fisheries production all information related to (fishing ground) is well known, but on the other hand it is not easy to predict the amount of production due to unclear information. This is also related to the number of ships that make trips, the length (time) of the trip, the type of fishing gear, weather conditions, the quality of human resources, natural environmental factors, and others. The purpose of this study is to apply Grey forecasting model or GM (1,1) to predict fisheries production. Grey forecasting models are used to build forecast models with limited amounts of data with short-term forecasts that will produce accurate forecasts. This study employs the data of captured fish from 2010 to 2018 to analyze calculations using the GM model (1,1). The results showed that the Grey forecasting model or GM (1.1) produced accurate forecasts with an ARPE error value of 9.60% or the accuracy of the forecast model reached 90.39%.
A FUZZY TIME SERIES-MARKOV CHAIN MODEL TO FORECAST FISH FARMING PRODUCT Bagus Dwi Saputra; Rachmat Gernowo; Budi Warsito
Jurnal Ilmiah Kursor Vol 9 No 4 (2018)
Publisher : Universitas Trunojoyo Madura

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.28961/kursor.v9i4.167

Abstract

Price is one of the important things that need to concern as defining factor of the profit or loss of product selling as the result of price fluctuations that are very difficult to control. Price fluctuations are caused by many factors including weather, stock availability, demand and others. One of the steps to solve the price fluctuations problem is by making a forecast of fish incoming prices. The purpose of this study is to apply Markov chain’s fuzzy time series to forecast farming fish prices. Markov chain fuzzy time series is one of the prediction methods to predict time series data that has advantages in the implentation of historical data, flexible, and high level of data forecasting accuracy. This study used fish prices at November 2018. The results showed that markov chain fuzzy time series showed very accurate forecasting results with a mean error percentage of absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 1.4% so the accuracy of the Markov chain fuzzy time series method is 98, 6%.
Co-Authors . Widayat Abdul Hoyyi Adi Waridi Basyirudin Arifin Adi Wibowo Adi Wibowo Agus Pamuji Agus Rusgiyono Agus Winarno, Agus Ahmad Lubis Ghozali Ahmed, Kamil Alan Prahutama Anindita Nur Safira Arafa Rahman Aziz Arbella Maharani Putri Arief Rachman Hakim Arief Rachman Hakim Arief Rachman Hakim Aries Susanty Aris Sugiharto Arsyil Hendra Saputra Atmaja, Dinul Darma Atur Ekharisma Dewi Aurum Anisa Salsabela Bagus Dwi Saputra Bayastura, Shahnilna Fitrasha Bayu Surarso Bimastyaji Surya Ramadhan Budiyono Budiyono Calvin, Esagu John Catur Edi Widodo Chrisna Suhendi Cintika Oktavia Di Asih I Maruddani Di Mokhammad Hakim Ilmawan Dian Mariana L Manullang Dinar Mutiara Kusumo Nugraheni Dwi Ispriyanti Dyna Marisa Khairina eka rahmawati Eka Rahmawati Ekky Rosita Singgih Wigati Endang Fatmawati Endang Fatmawati Fachry Abda El Rahman Fadhilah, Husni Faisal Fikri Utama Faliha Muthmainah Fath Ezzati Kavabilla Fatiya Nur Umma Ferry Hermawan Fiqria Devi Ariyani Firdonsyah, Arizona Gayuh Kresnawati Gertrude, Akello Ghifar Rahman Handayani, Sri Hanif Kusumasasmita Haritsa, Rifda Tsaqifarani Harjum Muharam Hasbi Yasin Hendri Setyawan Henny Widayanti, Henny Heriyanto Hizkia Christian Putra Setiadi Indra Jaya Infan Nur Kharismawan Intan Monica Hanmastiana Jafron Wasiq Hidayat Junta Zeniarja Kadarrisman, Vincensius Gunawan Slamet Kiswanto Kiswanto M. Afif Amirillah M. Andang Novianta Maharani, Chintya Ayu Mahrus Ali Maori, Nadia Annisa Maryono Maryono Maryono Maryono Masruroh, Fitriana Maulida Najwa, Maulida Mifta Ardianti Moch. Abdul Mukid Mochamad Arief Budihardjo Moh Ali Fikri mohamad jamil muhammad shodiq Muliyadi Muliyadi Munji Hanafi Mustafid Mustafid Mustaqim Mustaqim, Mustaqim Nani Ratnaningsih Nisa Afida Izati Noor Azizah Nur Fitriyah Nurcahyanti, Tri Meida Nurul Hidayati Oktavia, Cintika Oky Dwi Nurhayati Pandu Anggara Paul, Gudoyi M Perdana, Ery Purwanto Purwanto Puspita Kartikasari Puspita Kartikasari Putri, Nitami Lestari R Rizal Isnanto R. Rizal Isnanto Rachmat Gernowo Rachmat Gernowo Rahmat Gernowo Rahmatul Akbar Ratna Kencana Putri Rini Nuraini Rita Rahmawati Rita Rahmawati Riva Amrulloh Riza Rizqi Robbi Arisandi Royani, Noorhanida Rukun Santoso Rully Rahadian Safitri, Adila Salma Farah Aliyah Sang Nur Cahya Widiutama Sari, Juwita Dwinda Silvia Elsa Suryana Siti Fadhilla Femadiyanti Sri Endah Moelya Artha Sri Sumiyati Sudarno Sudarno Sudarno Sudarno Sudarno utomo Sugito Sugito Sulardjaka Sulardjaka Suparti Suparti Suwardi, Dede Syafrudin Syafrudin Tarno Tarno Tarno Tarno Tatik Widiharih Tatik Widiharih Ta’fif Lukman Afandi Tri Yani Elisabeth Nababan Ummayah, Putri Qodar Vincensius Gunawan Slamet Kadarrisman Wahyul Amien Syafei Whisnumurti Adhiwibowo Wibowo, Catur Edi Widiyatmoko, Carolus Borromeus Winahyu Handayani Winarno, Bowo Yanuar Yoga Prasetyawan Yundari, Yundari