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ANALISIS PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI, INVESTASI, DAN KONSUMSI DI INDONESIA Ernita, Dewi; Amar, Syamsul; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 2 (2013)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ABSTRACT This study aims to analyze (1) Effect of consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports to economic growth in Indonesia, (2) Effect of interest rates, inflation, and economic growth to investment in Indonesia, (3) Effect of disposable income, consumption previously, and the interest  rate on consumption in Indonesia. Data in the form of time series of the first quarter of 2001 to the fourth quarter of 2010. This study using a simultaneous equations model analysis in the form of Two Stage Least Square (2 SLS). The research concludes that (1) consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports have a significant and positive impact on economic growth in Indonesia. If the consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports increased, economic growth will also increase. (2) Interest rates have a significant and negative effect on investment in Indonesia, while inflation is significant and negative effect on investment in Indonesia. If interest  rates and inflation down the investment will rise, while economic growth in significant and positive impact on investment in Indonesia. (3) Disposable income and consumption before significant positive impact on consumption in Indonesia. If disposable income and consumption increases, consumer spending earlier will also increase. And interest rates have a significant negative effect on consumption in Indonesia. Keywords : Government Spending, Net Exports, Interest Rates, inflation,   Disposable Income, Consumption Previously,  Economic Growth,  Investment, and Consumption
ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN KETIMPANGAN PENDAPATAN DI INDONESIA Putri, Yosi Eka; Amar, Syamsul; Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 3, No 6 (2015): Jurnal Kajian EKonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze and determine (1) the influence of the degree of fiscal autonomy, tax ratio and investment on economic growth in Indonesia, (2) the effect of economic growth, labor productivity, investment and human development index (HDI) against income inequality in Indonesia. This research is descriptive and associative. While the type of data is data documentary, the data source is a data panel started in 2008 - 2012 in 33 provinces in Indonesia with the amount of data (n) as much as 6 x 33 = 198. This study using simultaneous equation model analysis with Indirect Least Squared method (ILS) Common Effect. The study concluded that (1) degree of fiscal autonomy , tax ratio and  investment significant effect on economic growth in Indonesia. (2) variable economic growth, labor productivity, investment and Human Development Index (HDI) affect income inequality in Indonesia significantly. Based on the results of the discussion, the policies that can be suggested is the respective local government - each province is expected to maximize the role of fiscal decentralization to perform its functions effectively and efficiently. The trade off between economic growth in Indonesia by unequal distribution of income, the government is expected to focus on the target appropriate policies that spur growth by taking into account the distribution of income. Keywords: income inequality, economic growth, fiscal autonomy, tax ratio, labor productivity, investment, human development index
KONSUMSI DAN INVESTASI SERTA PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI SUMATERA BARAT Shandra, Yosi; Amar, Syamsul; Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 1 (2012)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ABSTRACT The analysis of aggregate consumption growth, investment and economic growth have been carried out in West Sumatra. The purpose of this study was to clarify   the   effect  of  consumption,      investment,    taxation,   government     spending, consumption   of   the   previous   period,   the   interest   rate   and   disposal   revenue   to GDP in West Sumatra. The study was conducted with descriptive and associative with the use of secondary data in the form of time series, 1994 -2010.  The results on    the   First  Hypothesis     suggests    that  the   development     of  consumption,      the development of investment and the development of government spending together influential     significantly   to   economic     growth.    Partially,    the development        of consumption and the growth of government spending significantly and positively to   affect   economic   growth,   then   the   development   of   a   positive   and   significant effect   of  investment     on  economic     growth.    In  the  Second    Hypothesis     together previous period consumption growth and development of disposibel income and significant    positive   impact    on  the  development      of  consumption.     Partially,   the previous period consumption growth and positive impact on the development of consumption   was   not   significant   and   influential   positive   revenue   development disposibel and significant to the development of consumption. Then on the Third Hypothesis jointly the credit interest rate of investment and economic growth has no   effect   on   the   development   of   significant   investment.   Partially,   credit   interest rates negatively and significant investment toward the development of investment and economic growth has positive influence on   the development and significant investment. The Fourth Hypothesis proved to be influential economic growth on the   development   of   the   tax   was   not   significant   in   West   Sumatra. Government efforts   need   to   be   able   to   continue   to   increase   government   spending   or   reduce taxes by increasing the production of regional output. In addition to government efforts are needed to further improve the quality of human resources by providing education      and   training,   scholarships    and   employment      opportunities     in  labor- intensive   system.   To   overcome   the     problem   of    development     of  investment    the government needs to take expansionary monetary action is by controlling interest rates in order to increase investment development. Key words : consumption, investation, government spending, economic growth
ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI NET EKSPOR DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI PROVINSI JAMBI Putra, Sev Eka; Amar, Syamsul; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 3, No 05 (2014): Kajian Ilmu EKonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze (1) Effect of consumption, investment, government spending and net exports to economic growth in Jambi and (2) Effect of production value, exchange rate, foreign income and net exports to economic growth in the province of Jambi. This research is a descriptive study and associative, while the data is the data type of the documentary, the data source is a secondary data as well as data in the form of time series of the first quarter of 2001 to the fourth quarter of 2010. This study using a simultaneous equations model analysis in the form of Two Stage Least Square (2 SLS). Endogenous variables in this study are economic growth and net exports. While the exogenous variables are consumption, investment, government spending, the amount of production, exchange rates and foreign income. The research concludes that (1) the consumption of a significant and positive impact on economic growth, investing a significant and positive impact on economic growth, government spending have a significant and positive impact on economic growth and net exports have a significant and positive impact on economic growth in the province of Jambi. If consumption increases, economic growth will also increase. If the increased investment, economic growth will also increase. If increased government spending, economic growth will increase. (2)  production value and a significant positive impact on net exports, exchange rates have a significant and negative effect on net exports and economic growth have a significant and positive impact on net exports in Jambi Province. While foreign income is not significant and positive impact on net exports in Jambi Province. Keywords : Consumption, Investation, goverment spending, production, exchange rate, foreign income, net exsports and economic growt.
ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PEREKONOMIAN, KONSUMSI DAN INVESTASI DI SUMATERA BARAT Gulanda, Sonya; Amar, Syamsul; Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 03 (2013): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze and determine (1) the influence of consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports to the economy in West Sumatra, (2) the influence of the economy, disposable income of the previous period, the consumption of the previous period and the rate of consumption to consumption in West Sumatra (3) the influence of the economy, the investment rate, and the rate of investments in West Sumatra. Type of data is the documentary data, the data source is a secondary data as well as data in the form of time series from the first quarter of 2000 - the fourth quarter of 2012. This study uses a simultaneous equation model analysis tool with Two Stages Least Squared method (TSLS). Endogenous variables in the study was the economy, consumption and investment. While the disposable income variable is exogeneous previous period, the consumption of the previous period, real interest rates, exchange rates, government spending, and net exports. The research concludes that (1) Variable consumption, investment, government spending and net exports have a significant effect on the economy in West Sumatra. (2) Variable economy, disposable income of the previous period, and previous period consumption in West Sumatra affect consumption significantly. While the real interest rate variable does not significantly influence consumption in West Sumatra. (3) The economy, investment and interest rates have a significant effect on investment in West Sumatra. Whereas no significant effect on the rate of investment in West Sumatra. Based on these results the policies that can be suggested is the Local Government (LG) West Sumatra needs to provide incentives to productive sectors, addition, West Sumatra government needs to provide incentives to investors. Diversty export products needs to be improved as well as the local and export destinations of West Sumatra so that the increase in exports can be realized with either. Keywords: economy, consumption and investment, disposable income the previous period, the consumption of the previous period, real interest rates, exchange rates, government spending, and net exports.
ANALISIS PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN KEMISKINAN DI INDONESIA Jonnadi, Arius; Amar, Syamsul; Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 1 (2012)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ABSTRACT Economic growth and poverty is an important indicator to see the success of a country's development. This study aims to determine and analyze the two-way influence   between   economic   growth   and   poverty   in   Indonesia:   (1)   The   effect   of unemployment,        poverty,   investments      and   economic     growth.     (2)  The   effect   of investment,     life  expectancy,     literacy,   and   length   of  education,     and   economic growth   on   poverty.This   study   uses   panel   data   or   pooled   time-series   crossection using time series data from the years 2005-2009, and the crossection is that there are 33 provinces in   Indonesia. The method used is descriptive and econometric analysis     using   a   model    of   simultaneous      equations     (simultaneous      equations models)   with   two-stage   least   squares   method   (Two-Stage   Least   Square   2SLS) using Indirect Least Square (ILS). The   results   showed   that   there   is   a   two-way   interplay   between   economic growth and poverty. Significant effect on economic growth in poverty reduction, especially   in   rural   areas    there   are   many   pockets    of  poverty.   the   opposite   of poverty is also a significant effect on economic growth. Through improved access to capital, quality of education (literacy and increased length of education) and health (increased life   expectancy) of the poor can increase their productivity in the attempt during the period 2000-2009. The unemployment rate, and significant investment      on   economic     growth.     Furthermore,      investments     in   domestic    and foreign investments,  life expectancy, literacy and school longer a significant effect on the number of poor. Based     on  these   findings    the  policy   the  government      should    do   is  spur economic   growth   through   the   expansion   of   investment   especially   in   agriculture (agribusiness      and    agro-industries)     in  rural    areas   where     many    poor    people depend.   Recommended   to   the   government   in   order   to   spur   economic   growth   in urban areas in order to prioritize employment in which informal sector in general the   poor   do   business.    Whereas     in  rural   areas   run  projects    that  are   capital - intensive    investment     to  open    up   employment      opportunities,     especially    in  the agricultural sector. Furthermore, it also advised the government both at central and   regional   levels   through   the   state   budget   and   regional   budgets   in   order   to further enhance the percentage of budget allocation on health and education to improve   the   quality   of   human   resources   of   Indonesia's   population.   In   order   to improve      the   quality   of   human     resources     in   Indonesia     suggested     that   the government should also  continue to run the program compulsory 9 (nine) years, and scholarships for children from poor families to achieve to improve the quality of their children. Keyword: Economic growth, poverty, unemployment, and investments
ANALISIS PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI, KONSUMSI DAN TABUNGAN DI SUMATERA BARAT Ningsih, Efrida; Amar, Syamsul; Idris, Idris
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 2 (2013)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ABSTRACT This  article focused on  analyze (1) Effect of consumption, investmen, government expenditure and the nett export to the economic growth in West Sumatera. (2) The influence of disposible income, consumption of previous period and the saving on the consumption in West Sumatera (3) Effect  of disposible income, interest rate and consumption  to the saving in West Sumatera. Data used time series of (I year kuartal 2001 – IV year kuartal 2010). This article use analyzer model equation of simultaneous with method of Two Stage Least Squared (TSLS). Th  result of research concludes that (1) the consumption have a significant and positive impact on the economic growth, investment have significant  and positive impact on the economic growth, government expenditure have significantly and positive on the economic growth and nett export have a significant and positive impact on the economic growth in West Sumatera. If  the economic growth increases, the consumption will also increase. (2)  disposible income, economic growth and consumption of previous period significantly influence the consumption in West Sumatera. While the saving is significant and negative effect on consumption in West Sumatera. (3) disposible income and  consumption significantly influence the saving in West Sumatera. While the interest rate is not significant effect on saving  in West Sumatera.   Keywords : Consumtption of Previous Period and Diposible Income
ANALISIS FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI, PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH DAN INVESTASI SWASTA DI INDONESIA Yuliarti, Yuliarti; Amar, Syamsul; Idris, Idris
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 4, No 7 (2015): JuRNAL KAJIAN EKONOMI
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This article focused on analyze (1) Effect of consumption, nett export, labor, government expenditure and the private investment to the economic growth in Indonesia. (2) Effect of interest rate, inflation, kurs and economic growth to the government expenditure in Indonesia (3).Effect  of  interest rate, inflation  and economic growth  to the private investment inIndonesia. Data used time series of (1984–2013). This article use analyzer model equation of simultaneous with method of Two Stage Least Squared (TSLS).The result of research concludes that (1) the consumption  have a significant and positive impact on the economic growth, while net export is not significant and positive impact to the economic growth, labor is not significant and positif impact to the economic growth, government expenditure have significant and positive to the economic growth and private investment have a significant and negative impact on the economic growth in Indonesia. If the economic growth increases, the consumption will also increase. (2) The interest rate is not significant and negative impact to the government expenditure, inflation and kurs have significant and negative impact to the government expenditure, while economic growth have significant and positive impact to the government expenditute in Indonesia. (3)The interest rate and inflation have significant and negatif impact to the private investment, while economic growth have and positive impact to the private investment in Indonesia .  Keywords : Economic growth, government expenditure and private investment
PENGARUH INFLASI, SUKU BUNGA DAN SEKTOR-SEKTOR EKONOMI TERHADAP INVESTASI DOMESTIK DI INDONESIA Yusmarti, Keken; Amar, Syamsul
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 2, No 3 (2020): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (478.076 KB) | DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v2i3.10277

Abstract

This study aims to determine the effect of inflation, interest rates, primary economic sectors and secondary economic sectors on domestic investment in Indonesia. The type of descriptive and associative research which uses secondary data is the quarterly time series from 2008 to 2019. The data comes from related institutions and agencies. Using the method of multiple linear regression is to see the extent to which the independent variables affect the dependent variable. Generating conclusions: (1) inflation does not have a significant relationship to domestic investment in Indonesia (2) interest rates do not have a significant relationship to domestic investment in Indonesia (3) the primary sector economy has a significant influence on domestic investment in Indonesia (4) the secondary sector economy significant effect on domestic investment in Indonesia (5) inflation, interest rates, primary sector economy and secondary sector economy significantly influence domestic investment in Indonesia.Keywords: Investment inflation, interest rates, primary economic sector, secondary economic sector and Ordinary Lest Square (OLS)
HUBUNGAN KAUSALITAS ANTAR KETIMPANGAN PENDAPATAN, PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI, DAN KEMISKINAN DI INONESIA Fernando, Dicky; Amar, Syamsul
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 3, No 1 (2021): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (465.929 KB) | DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v3i1.11542

Abstract

This study aims to explain the causality relationship between income inequality, economic growth, and poverty in Indonesia. In this study using a panel regression model. And data used are time series data from 2011-2017, Consisting of 32 provinces. This data is obtained from BPS annual report. The result of this study indicate that (1) There is no causal relationship between economic growth and poverty (2) There is a causal relationship between income inequality and poverty (3) There is a one-way causal relationship between economic growth and income inequality.