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All Journal Pythagoras: Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika AdMathEdu : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Ilmu Matematika dan Matematika Terapan JURNAL E-DUMATH GRADIEN AKSIOMA: Jurnal Program Studi Pendidikan Matematika Edu Sains: Jurnal Pendidikan Sains dan Matematika Al-Jabar : Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika NUMERICAL (Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika) Shautut Tarbiyah Union: Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika QALAMUNA: Jurnal Pendidikan, Sosial, dan Agama JMPM: Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika PRISMA Desimal: Jurnal Matematika BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Jurnal Pendidikan Islam Iqra' Pendas : Jurnah Ilmiah Pendidikan Dasar Journal on Education MAJU : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika JKPM (Jurnal Kajian Pendidikan Matematika) MAJAMATH: Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika Al-Khwarizmi: Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Mudir : Jurnal Manajemen Pendidikan Transformasi : Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika dan Matematika Variance : Journal of Statistics and Its Applications JPMI (Jurnal Pembelajaran Matematika Inovatif) PHI: Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika An Naba Jurnal Pemikiran dan Penelitian Pendidikan Islam MANAGERE : Indonesian Journal of Educational Management Attractive : Innovative Education Journal Al-Mal:Jurnal Akuntansi dan Keuangan Islam Journal of Mathematics Education and Science Euler : Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika, Sains dan Teknologi International Journal of Islamic Education, Research and Multiculturalism (IJIERM) Journal of Advanced Islamic Educational Management Managere: Indonesian Journal of Educational Management International Journal of Accounting, Management, Economics and Social Sciences (IJAMESC) JEID
Achi Rinaldi
Universitas Islam Negeri Raden Intan Lampung
Religion Aerospace Engineering Arts Humanities Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Energy Engineering Environmental Science Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Social Sciences Transportation Other

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Journal : BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan

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PREDIKSI PENCURIAN SEPEDA MOTOR MENGGUNAKAN MODEL TIME SERIES (STUDI KASUS: POLRES KOTABUMI LAMPUNG UTARA) Pranata, Meli; Anggraini, Dian; Makbuloh, Deden; Rinaldi, Achi
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 14 No 3 (2020): BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (739.924 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol14iss3pp423-432

Abstract

Crime is a crime that violates the laws of a country or violates the norms in force in society. Theft is a form of crime. The impact of theft is a feeling of insecurity, fear and insecurity. One model used to predict the number of theft cases is the time series model. A time series model is a set of values ​​observed in an activity, event, or event where data is then arranged in chronological order. Generally, in intervals of the same length. This study aims to model the data of criminal acts of motorcycle theft in North Lampung Police with Autoregressive (AR), Moving Average (MA), and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models. Furthermore, the best models will be used for forecasting for the next 6 months. The results of the AR model (1), AR (3) model, MA model (1), ARIMA (1,1,1), and ARIMA model (3,1,1). The MA model (1) has a significant parameter coefficient, fulfills diagnostic tests and has the smallest RMSE and AIC values ​​with an RMSE value of 6.5612926 and an AIC value of 394.82. The predicted results of the MA model (1) for the next 6 months tend to be horizontally different from the original data which tends to decrease.
Co-Authors Abi Fadila Agus Pahrudin Ahmad Fauzan Ahmad Sodiq, Ahmad Ali Murtadho Ali Murtadho Andika Eko Prasetiyo Andika Eko Prasetiyo, Andika Eko Anggraini, Rekasepti Ansely, Ghina Apriyani, Hikma Arfani Manda Tama Asri, Elsa Widya Bilqis, Ratu Ayu Budi Santoso Cantika, Fadiya Puteri Deden Makbuloh Delima Istiani Desi Vitona Dian Anggraini Dian Widi Astuti Dian Widi Astuti, Budi Irawan Prima Putra, Dian Widi Astuti, Diana Yonika Sari Dinda Permata Sari Dona Dinda Pratiwi Dwi Budi Santoso Dyah Arum Puspanaja Elfrida Ratnawati Fatimah, Okis Firmansyah, Mu'min Fitria Adelita Fredi Ganda Putra Gusti Ayu Farah Nabilla Hasan, Masykur Hery Susanto Hery Susanto Husnilawati Iip Sugiharta Ikhtiar Cahya Ajir Ikram Mawar Sari Ilham Fatoni Ima Damayanti Inka Mayelda Putri Kenny Candra Pradana Kiki Ambar Sari KOMARUDIN Laila Puspita Laila Puspita, Laila Lusi Anggraini M. Izzad Khairi Yazdi Maharani Fitriana Melinda, Selva Mu'min Firmansyah Muhamad Syazali Muhammad Akmansyah Muhammad Ilham Jaya Kesuma Mukhtar, Sajida Mutia Mutia Muzekki Nadila, Nadila Nanang Supriadi Novalia Novalia Novalia Novalia Novia Dwi Rahmawati Novian Riskiana Dewi Novitasari Supardi Nurhasanah Leni Nurjanah Nurjanah Nurrasiah, Nurrasiah Okis Fatimah Pranata, Meli Puput Nurmawati R. Suyanto Rahmawati, Yasinta Ramadhani Dewi Purwanti Ramadhani Dewi Purwanti, Ramadhani Dewi Rany Widyastuti Rany Widyastuti Ratu Ayu Bilqis Rekasepti Anggraini Reni Novilia Riska Fitriana Riyanto Adi Kusumah Riyanto Riyanto, Riyanto Adi Kusumah Rizka Pitri Rizki Wahyu Yunian Putra Roby Firdian Ruswanda Rosida Rakhmawati Safitri, Julia Dwi Sakti Aktarim Salih, Dana Taha Mohammed Sari, Dinda Permata Sekar Handayani Sihotang, Donald Harris Sintia Julia Siska Andriani Siti Mardiah Siti Mardiah, Siti Siti Patimah Siti Ulfa Nabila Suci M.Hum SH Hartati Suherman Suherman Suherman Suherman, Suherman Supardi, Novitasari Supriadi Supriadi Susianto, Yuni Syamsul Huda Syamsul Huda Syarifah Sri Rahayu Tama, Arfani Manda Tama, Arfani Manda Tatang Julianto Tri Nurhardina Ulfa Iqoh Wahyu Kusumaningtyas Wahyu Kusumaningtyas Wawan Gunawan Yasinta Rahmawati Yuberti Yuli Yanti Yulia Monica Yulina, Rikka Yulistia Devi Yulistiana Yulistiana Yuni Susianto