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All Journal IJCCS (Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems) Jurnal Pendidikan Teknologi dan Kejuruan Teknika Jurnal Simetris Bulletin of Electrical Engineering and Informatics Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Agri-Informatika Proceeding International Conference on Information Technology and Business Journal of Information Systems Engineering and Business Intelligence KLIK (Kumpulan jurnaL Ilmu Komputer) (e-Journal) Informatika Mulawarman: Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Komputer Jurnal Komputasi InComTech: Jurnal Telekomunikasi dan Komputer Jurnal Sains dan Informatika JOURNAL OF APPLIED INFORMATICS AND COMPUTING PROSIDING KOMUNIKASI Jurnal Teknoinfo Jurnal Teknologi Komputer dan Sistem Informasi Building of Informatics, Technology and Science JUTIS : Jurnal Teknik Informatika Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Journal of Computer System and Informatics (JoSYC) Jurnal Sistem Informasi dan Sains Teknologi Buguh: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Jurnal Pepadun Jurnal Siger Matematika AMMA : Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat SULUH ABDI : Jurnal Ilmiah Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat JTKSI (Jurnal Teknologi Komputer dan Sistem Informasi)
Kurnia Muludi
Jurusan Ilmu Komputer FMIPA Universitas Lampung
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Journal : JOURNAL OF APPLIED INFORMATICS AND COMPUTING

 1 
Passenger Density Prediction at the Airport Using LSTM and SARIMA: A Case Study at Radin Inten Airport, Lampung Yugo Prasojo, Diaji; Muludi, Kurnia
Journal of Applied Informatics and Computing Vol. 9 No. 4 (2025): August 2025
Publisher : Politeknik Negeri Batam

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30871/jaic.v9i4.9935

Abstract

Passenger density prediction at airports is a critical aspect of operational planning and strategic decision-making. This study aims to develop a passenger count prediction model for Radin Inten Airport in Lampung using a combination of Seasonal AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and to compare it with Random Forest and XGBoost models. The dataset consists of daily passenger counts from January 2023 to December 2024. The research includes data exploration, preprocessing, separate modeling with SARIMA and LSTM, and their integration through a residual learning approach. Evaluation results show that SARIMA achieved the best performance in capturing seasonal patterns with a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 3.81%, followed by Random Forest with 5.81% and XGBoost with 5.84%. The LSTM model performed less effectively with a MAPE of 6.81%. Although the SARIMA–LSTM combination is theoretically promising, it produced a worse result with a MAPE of 14.27% due to error accumulation in the residual learning stage. This study highlights that the choice of prediction model strongly depends on data characteristics and forecasting objectives, as well as the importance of multi-model integration to improve prediction accuracy in airport passenger density forecasting applications.
Co-Authors ., Rusliyawati Admi Syarif Aflaha Asri Agus Iriawan Agus Wantoro Agus Wantoro Agus, Isnandar Agustinus Eko Setiawan Ahmad Habibullaah Ahyarudin Akbar, Mohammed Raihan Akmal Junaidi Alfabet Setiawan Alfi, Firmansyah Yuni Andika Yuda Andreas Perdana Andri Winata Andrian, Rico Anggun Falianingrum Apri Candra Widyawati Aprilia, Indri Mada Ari Kurniawan Saputra Aristoteles, Aristoteles Asmiati Asmiati Assidik, Reksa Qodri Astria Hijriani Astria Hijriani Astria Hijriani Astria Hijriani, Astria Aulia Putri Ariqa Bayu Ade Candra, Bayu Ade Bernadhita Herindri S. Utami Budiman Ruliansyah candra, bayu ade dedi kurniawan Dian Kurniasari Didik Kurniawan Dimas Aminudin Saputra Djauharie, Arlyandi S Djuadi, Noverman Dwi Hendratmo Widyantoro Dwi Sakethi Eko Priyanto Erlina Ain Andini Eva Diana Sari Evita Fitriasari Fajri Reskanida Fanni Lufiana Fanni Lufiana Fathur Rahmi Febi Eka Febriansyah Febi Eka Febriansyah Heni Sulistiani Heningtyas, Yunda Herlina Herlina Ida Nurhaida Irawati, Anie Rose Jayawarsa, A.A. Ketut Jihan Aferiansyah Kenny Claudie Fandau Khairun Nisa Khalida Zhia Kurnia Muludi KUSPRIYANTO La Zakaria Lia Atika Rani Lumbanraja, Favorisen R M Said Hasibuan Machudor Yusman Machudor Yusman Mahfut Mardiana Mardiana Maya Asterita Meizari, Ary Mohammad Surya Akbar Muhammad Apriansyah Setiawan Muhammad Iqbal Muhammad Irfan Ardiansyah Muharni, Sita Ni Putu Ayu Anesca Noni Kurniasih Noverina Rahmaniyanti Okta Viana Ossy Dwi Endah Wulansari Pratama, Rinaldo Adi Rahmat Safe'i Rangga Firdaus Rangga Firdaus Rendi Irawan Resti Lucyana Reza Aji Saputra Riska Aprilia Romadhoni, Nuzul Rahmat SAIFUL ANWAR Saur Pangihutan Sinurat Saur Pangihutan Sinurat, Saur Pangihutan Shofiana, Dewi Asiah Singagerda, Faurani Santi Siti Maesaroh Sonianto Sonianto Sonianto Sonianto Sri Ratna Sulistiyanti Sri Wahyuningsih Sutyarso Sutyarso Syangap Diningrat Sitompul Tantut Wahyu Setyoko Taqwan Thamrin Tia Ayu Muliana Tiyara Saghira Triloka, Joko Tristiyanto Tristiyanto Tundjung Tripeni Handayani Warsito Warsito Wartariyus Wartariyus Yugo Prasojo, Diaji Yulia K. Wardani Yuni Rahayu Yuni Rahayu, Yuni Zuhri Nopriyanto Zuriana Zuriana