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All Journal Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi) JURNAL MEDIA INFORMATIKA BUDIDARMA KOMIK (Konferensi Nasional Teknologi Informasi dan Komputer) Building of Informatics, Technology and Science JOURNAL OF INFORMATION SYSTEM RESEARCH (JOSH) Journal of Computer System and Informatics (JoSYC) Jurnal Sistem Komputer dan Informatika (JSON) Journal of Applied Data Sciences JPM: JURNAL PENGABDIAN MASYARAKAT Bulletin of Computer Science Research Journal of Social Responsibility Projects by Higher Education Forum KLIK: Kajian Ilmiah Informatika dan Komputer J-SAKTI (Jurnal Sains Komputer dan Informatika) EXPLORER Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Gemilang (JPMG) Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Inovasi Jurnal Bangun Abdimas Jurnal Informatika dan Teknologi Informasi Journal of Computing and Informatics Research Buletin Ilmiah Informatika Teknologi DUNIA KEPERAWATAN: JURNAL KEPERAWATAN DAN KESEHATAN Jurnal Pengabdian Harapan Bangsa Jurnal Teknologi Ilmu Komputer Jurnal INFOTEL Journal Global Technology Computer Management of Information System Journal Portal Riset dan Inovasi Sistem Perangkat Lunak Journal of Decision Support System Research Jurnal Mitra Pengabdian Farmasi
Abdul Karim
Universitas Labuhanbatu
Aerospace Engineering Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Astronomy Automotive Engineering Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Environmental Science Health Professions Immunology & microbiology Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Medicine & Pharmacology Neuroscience Nursing Public Health Social Sciences Transportation Other

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Journal : journal global technology computer

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Optimizing Agricultural Commodity Price Forecasts Using an Ensemble Stacking Method Based on Market and Product Characteristics Abdul Karim; Kusmanto Kusmanto
Journal Global Technology Computer Vol 5 No 3 (2026): Agustus 2026
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi (FKPT)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47065/jogtc.v5i3.11033

Abstract

Commodity price prediction is a vital aspect of supporting decision-making because price fluctuations can create uncertainty for businesses and stakeholders. This study aims to compare the performance of several machine learning algorithms for commodity price prediction, namely Random Forest, XGBoost, Support Vector Regression (SVR), Gradient Boosting, and Stacking Ensemble. Model performance was evaluated using Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), and the coefficient of determination (R²). The experimental results show that Gradient Boosting achieved the best overall performance, with an RMSE of 219.07 and an R² of 0.9968, while Random Forest had the lowest MAE of 65.98. The Stacking Ensemble also demonstrated competitive performance, achieving an RMSE of 253.07 and an R² of 0.9958. In contrast, SVR produced the lowest performance, with an RMSE of 1,919.65 and an R² of 0.7555. Based on these results, Gradient Boosting was selected as the most optimal model because it provided the lowest prediction error and the highest ability to explain data variation. These findings demonstrate that selecting an appropriate machine learning algorithm plays a crucial role in improving commodity price prediction performance.
Co-Authors . Roslidar Afrendi, Mohammad Agus Perdana Windarto Agustina Sidabutar Agustina, Asri Widya Ahyuna Ahyuna, Ahyuna Aldiansyah, Ferry Alfarisi Pasaribu, Ahmad Ambiyar, Ambiyar Andi Ernawati Andi Ernawati Andi Ernawati Andriani, Titi Aritonang, Putri Armasari, Selly Arridha Zikra Syah Asyahri Hadi Nasyuha Awfa, Qifari Bangun, Budianto Bernadus Gunawan Sudarsono Bobbi Kurniawan Nasution, Muhammad Chairul Rizal Cheylani Lukito, Salwa Christiorenfa Br Haloho, Agatha Daulay, Nelly Khairani Dayu Sari, Arini Dhea Ananda, Tasya Dito Putro Utomo Dwika Asrani Dwika Assrani Efendi Hutagalung, Jhonson Efendi, Safri Erlin Windia Ambarsari Erwin Mardinata Fadli, Muhammad Bagus Fadlina Fahmi Rizal Febriani, Budi Fifto Nugroho Garuda Ginting Guidio Leonarde Ginting Harahap, Armyka Pratama Hasibuan, Awaludin Heni Pujiastuti Hersatoto Listiyono Hidayatullah, Muhammad I Wayan Sugianta Nirawana Imam Saputra Indah Sari, Leni Indrayani, Puput Iwan Purnama Jahril Jeperson Hutahaean Jeperson Hutahaean Kraugusteeliana Kraugusteeliana Kurniawan Nasution, Muhammad Bobbi Kusmanto Kusmanto Kusmanto Kusmanto Kusmanto Kusmanto Lambardo, Fakhri M. Rafi Mardinata, Erwin Marha As, Pawa Niassa Meryance Viorentina Siagian Mesran, Mesran Mhd Ali Hanafiah Mhd Bobbi Kurniawan Nasution Moustafa H. Aly Muhammad Bobbi Kurniawan Nasution Muhammad Hamka Muhammad Hidayatullah Muhammad Syahrizal Muhammad Syahrizal Nababan, Dosmaida Nasution, Mhd Bobbi Kurniawan Nasution, Muhammad Bobbi Kurniawan Natalia Silalahi Nona Oktari Nurlela Nurlela Nurliadi Pane, Rahmadani Pane, Siddik Pohan, Tatang Hidayat Poningsih Pratama, Armyka Prayetno, Sugeng Prayetno, Sugeng Prayetno Purba, Elvitrianim Purba, Elvitrianim Putra Juledi, Angga Putri, Nathania Rahman, Ben Rizqi Elmuna Hidayah Rohani Rohani Roslidar Saidi Ramadan Siregar Saludin Muis Sartika Br Siregar, Amanda Sempurna, Teguh Shinta Esabella Siagian, Yessica Siddik Siregar, Anwar Sinulingga, Raja Ingata Siregar, Feby Khairunnisya Siti Sahara Nasution Soeb Aripin Sofya, Nora Dery Suha Alvita Suhada, Karya Sundari Retno Andani Supiyandi Supiyandi Suryadi, Sudi Sutrino Dwi Raharjo Syahputra Harahap, Hasmi Syahrial Syahrial, Syahrial Tengku Mohd Diansyah, Tengku Mohd Triana, Dewi Trianovie, Sri Trianovie, Sri Unung Verawardina Uswatun Hasanah Vita S. Siregar, Siony William Ramdhan Wilson, Eric Yessica Siagian Yessica Siagian Yulizar, Isma Ahmad Yuwaldi Away Zebua, Yuniman Zulham Sitorus Zulkifli Zulkifli Zuly Budiarso