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Journal : Jurnal Gaussian

PENGENDALIAN KUALITAS PRODUK MINO DI HOME INDUSTRY “SARANG SARI” BANYUMAS Winahyu Handayani; Tatik Widiharih; Budi Warsito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 6, No 4 (2017): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v6i4.30386

Abstract

Mino is Banyumas’s signature souvenir that is fancied by the public. High competitiveness makes mino manufacturers are prosecuted to improve the quality of their products. One of the ways to ascertain whether a product has a good quality is by looking at the number of defective products, the less the number of defective products the better the quality. The objective of the study is to minimize broken and burnt products and also size faultiness of the mino. Control Charts   and R are used to view defectiveness data from mino’s diameter and mino’s weight respectively, where as Control Chart p is used to see the data of burnt and broken mino. Furthermore, the value of process capability (Cpk) used to review whether the process is considered capable or not capable. The result and analysis at “Sarang Sari” Nopia and Mino’s Home Industry Banyumas show attribute data in the form of broken and burned defects is restrained after eliminating seven observations data. Thereupon, the variable data in the form of mino’s weight data is restrained after omitting the three observations data with Cpk value is 1.1180, and for mino’s diameter data process has been restrained with Cpk value of 0.9559. Factors that are affecting mino’s defectiveness are equipment, method and measurement. Meanwhile, the profit value of this mino home industry business is Rp 9.276.110 per month. Keywords: Mino, Chart Control, Process Capability, Economic Analysis
PEMODELAN REGRESI POISSON BIVARIAT PADA JUMLAH KEMATIAN IBU HAMIL DAN NIFAS DI JAWA TENGAH TAHUN 2017 Arbella Maharani Putri; Alan Prahutama; Budi Warsito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 8, No 3 (2019): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (988.358 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v8i3.26677

Abstract

The maternal mortality rate is one of the indicators that determine the prosperity level of society in a country. Most of the maternal mortality caused by pregnancy maternal mortality and postpartum maternal mortality. Central Java is one of the provinces with the biggest number of pregnancy maternal mortality and postpartum maternal mortality in Indonesia. The number of pregnancy maternal mortality and postpartum maternal mortality follow Poisson Distribution and it has a significant correlation. Therefore, the writer analyzed factor that influences the number of pregnancy maternal mortality and postpartum maternal mortality using Univariate and Bivariate Poisson Regression method. Results from this study obtained that in the Univariate Poisson Regression variables that significantly influence pregnancy maternal mortality and postpartum maternal mortality are the percentage of pregnant women implementing K1 (X1), percentage of childbirth women that has puerperal health service (X6) and percentage of household with clean and healthy behavior (X7). In the Bivariate Poisson, the best model is the second model which assuming that covariance is an equation.Keywords: Pregnancy of Maternal Mortality, Postpartum Maternal Mortality, Bivariate Poisson Regression.
PENERAPAN ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK DENGAN OPTIMASI MODIFIED ARTIFICIAL BEE COLONY UNTUK MERAMALKAN HARGA BITCOIN TERHADAP RUPIAH Di Mokhammad Hakim Ilmawan; Budi Warsito; Sugito Sugito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 9, No 2 (2020): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (579.085 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v9i2.27815

Abstract

Bitcoin is one of digital assets that can be used to make a profit. One of the ways to use Bitcoin profitly is to trade Bitcoin. At trade activities, decisions making whether to buy or not are very crucial. If we can predict the price of Bitcoin in the future period, we can make a decisions whether to buy Bitcoin or not. Artificial Neural Network can be used to predict Bitcoin price data which is time series data. There are many learning algorithm in Artificial Neural Network, Modified Artificial Bee Colony is one of optimization algorithm that used to solve the optimal weight of Artificial Neural Network. In this study, the Bitcoin exchage rate against Rupiah starting September 1, 2017 to January 4, 2019 are used. Based on the training results obtained that MAPE value is 3,12% and the testing results obtained that MAPE value is 2,02%. This represent that the prediction results from Artificial Neural Network optimized by Modified Artificial Bee Colony algorithm are quite accurate because of small MAPE value.
ANALISIS SENTIMEN GOJEK PADA MEDIA SOSIAL TWITTER DENGAN KLASIFIKASI SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINE (SVM) Nur Fitriyah; Budi Warsito; Di Asih I Maruddani
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 9, No 3 (2020): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v9i3.28932

Abstract

Appearance of PT Aplikasi Karya Anak Bangsa or as known as Gojek since 2015 give a convenience facility to people in Indonesia especially in daily activities. Sentiment analysis on Twitter social media can be the option to see how Gojek users respond to the services that have been provided. The response was classified into positive sentiment and negative sentiment using Support Vector Machine method with model evaluation 10-fold cross validation. The kernel used is the linear kernel and the RBF kernel. Data labeling can be done with manually and sentiment scoring. The test results showed that the RBF kernel gets overall accuracy and the highest kappa accuracy on manual data labeling and sentiment scoring. On manual data labeling, the overall accuracy is 79.19% and kappa accuracy is 16.52%. While the labeling of data with sentiment scoring obtained overall accuracy of 79.19% and kappa accuracy of 21%. The greater overall accuracy value and kappa accuracy obtained, the better performance of the classification model. Keywords: Gojek, Twitter, Support Vector Machine, overall accuracy, kappa accuracy
PENERAPAN METODE WAVELET NEURO-FUZZY SYSTEM (WNFS) DALAM MEMPREDIKSI HARGA BERAS DUNIA (Studi Kasus: Harga Beras Thailand sebagai Harga Acuan Dunia) Sri Endah Moelya Artha; Hasbi Yasin; Budi Warsito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 6, No 4 (2017): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v6i4.30381

Abstract

Rice trade is one of the food resistance components in terms of its availability. The comprehensive integration between international commodity rice prices and domestic prices encourage the prediction of world rice prices, using the Thai rice price as the world's reference price. In this study, the wavelet neuro-fuzzy system which combines the wavelet transform and the neuro-fuzzy technique has been applied to monthly predict the world rice price. The observed monthly rice price data are decomposed into some sub-series components by maximal overlap discrete wavelet transform (MODWT), and then the appropriate sub-series that have higher correlation to the real data are used as inputs of the neuro-fuzzy model for monthly predicting world rice prices for six months in advance. The neuro-fuzzy model is begun with determining the membership value of each data using Fuzzy C-Means, followed by fuzzy inference procedure of the Sugeno zero-order model. Obtained results showed that the WNFS method can be used to predict the world rice price, with the error value resulted from learning process of MSE 20,69097 and MAPE 0,65584%. While the error measurement results for the six months in advance prediction shows the acquisition of MSE 3610,14847 and MAPE 13,62334%. Keywords : Prediction of Monthly World Rice Price, Maximal Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform, Neuro-fuzzy System.
PENGARUH TRANSFORMASI DATA PADA METODE LEARNING VECTOR QUANTIZATION TERHADAP AKURASI KLASIFIKASI DIAGNOSIS PENYAKIT JANTUNG Arafa Rahman Aziz; Budi Warsito; Alan Prahutama
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 10, No 1 (2021): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v10i1.30933

Abstract

Learning Vector Quantization (LVQ) is a type of Artificial Neural Network with a supervised learning process based on competitive learning. Despite the absence of assumptions in LVQ is an advantage, it can be a problem when the predictor variables have big different ranges.This problems can be overcome by equalizing the range of all variables by data transformation so that all variables have relatively same effect. Heart Disease UCI dataset which used in this study is transformed by several transformation methods, such as minmax, decimal scaling, z-score, mean-MAD, sigmoid, and softmax. The result show that the six transformed data can provide better LVQ classification accuracy than the raw data which has 75.99% for training performance accuracy. LVQ classification accuracy with data transformation of minmax, decimal scaling, z-score, mean-MAD, sigmoid, and softmax are 89.16%, 88.22%, 89.7%, 90.1%, 88.17% and 92.18%. Based on the One-way ANOVA test and DMRT post hoc test  known that there are significant differences between the results of the classification with data transformations and raw data in 0,05 significant level of α. It is also known that the best data transformation methods are softmax for training and sigmoid for testing. Keywords: heart disease, neural network, learning vector quantization, classification, data transformation
IMPLEMENTASI K-MEDOIDS DAN MODEL WEIGHTED-LENGTH RECENCY FREQUENCY MONETARY (W-LRFM) UNTUK SEGMENTASI PELANGGAN DILENGKAPI GUI R Ta’fif Lukman Afandi; Budi Warsito; Rukun Santoso
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 11, No 3 (2022): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.11.3.429-438

Abstract

The k-medoids algorithm is a partition-based clustering algorithm that groups n objects as much as k clusters. The algorithm uses medoids as the center point (partition) of the cluster. Medoids are actual objects that are randomly selected as the most centered object in a cluster so that the k-medoids algorithm is robust against outliers. Grouping objects in cluster analysis based on similarities between objects. Measurement of similarity between objects can use the euclidean and manhattan distances. The use of distance in cluster analysis can affect cluster results. Validation of cluster results using internal validation, namely the silhouette index. The Weighted-Length Recency Frequency Monetary (W-LRFM) model is a model that applies the relative importance (weight) of the LRFM model according to the importance of each variable in the LRFM model. LRFM model is a model used for customer segmentation based on customer behavior which consists of variables length, recency, frequency, and monetary. The relative importance (weight) of the W-LFRM model uses the Analytics Hierarchical Process (AHP) method. The W-LRFM model is used to calculate the Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) of each cluster. The implementation of k-medoids and the W-LFRM model in this study are used for customer segmentation based on the length, recency frequency, and monetary variable. The formation of these variables is the result of transformation of customer behavior data such as transaction id, date of purchase, and a total amount of 41,073 rows into variable length, recency, frequency, and monetary as much as 5,108 rows. The criteria of the best cluster formed are k = 2 using the manhattan distance with the average of coefficient values = 0.62. The weights on the W-LRFM model produced based on the AHP method are 0.16, 0.29, 0.47, and 0.08 for the variable length, recency, frequency, and monetary. CLV formed from two clusters, namely 0.158 and 0.499. CLV in the second cluster is bigger so that the second cluster becomes the main priority in the marketing strategy. The second cluster has the characteristics 0.29, 0.47, and 0.08 for the variable length, recency, frequency, and monetary. The second cluster has the characteristics  means a loyal customer group. The first cluster has characteristics  means a potential customer group. This research is assisted by using Graphical User Interface (GUI) R to facilitate analysis
ANALISIS SUPPORT VECTOR REGRESSION (SVR) DENGAN ALGORITMA GRID SEARCH TIME SERIES CROSS VALIDATION UNTUK PREDIKSI JUMLAH KASUS TERKONFIRMASI COVID-19 DI INDONESIA Anindita Nur Safira; Budi Warsito; Agus Rusgiyono
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 11, No 4 (2022): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.11.4.512-521

Abstract

Coronavirus Disease 2019 or Covid-19 is a group of types of viruses that interfere with the respiratory tract associated with the seafood market that emerged in Wuhan City, Hubei Province, China at the end of 2019. The first confirmed cases of Covid-19 in Indonesia on March 2, 2020, were 2 cases and until the end of 2021, it continues to grow every day. The purpose of this study was to predict the number of confirmed cases of Covid-19 in Indonesia using the Support Vector Regression (SVR) method with linear kernel functions, radial basis functions (RBF), and polynomials. Support Vector Regression (SVR) is the application of a support vector machine (SVM) in regression cases that aims to find the dividing line in the form of the best regression function. The advantage of the SVR model is can be used on time series data, data that are not normally distributed and data that is not linear. Parameter selection for each kernel used a grid search algorithm combined with time series cross validation. The criteria used to measure the goodness of the model are MSE (Mean Square Error), MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) and R2 (Coefficient of Determination). The results of this study indicate that the best model is Support Vector Regression (SVR) with a polynomial kernel and the parameters used include Cost = 1, degree = 1, and coefficient = 0.1. The polynomial kernel SVR model produces a MAPE value of 0.4946215%, which means the model has very good predictive ability. The prediction accuracy obtained with an R2 value of 85.65011% and an MSE value of 161606.1.
ANALISIS SENTIMEN PADA ULASAN APLIKASI INVESTASI ONLINE AJAIB PADA GOOGLE PLAY MENGGUNAKAN METODE SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINE DAN MAXIMUM ENTROPY Fath Ezzati Kavabilla; Tatik Widiharih; Budi Warsito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 11, No 4 (2022): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.11.4.542-553

Abstract

Investment is money or asset to earn profits in the future. Online investment applications are already available, one of which is Ajaib. A review of Ajaib’s application is needed to find out reviews given are positive or negative. Sentiment analysis in Ajaib is used to see the user's response to Ajaib’s performance which is divided into positive and negative classes. Sentiment analysis of the Ajaib’s reviews classification can be used with the Support Vector Machine and Maximum Entropy methods. Support Vector Machine on non-linear problems inserts the kernel into a high-dimensional space, to find a hyperplane that can maximize the distance between classes. The kernel used in SVM is the Radial Basis Function (RBF) kernel with gamma parameters of 0.002 and Cost (C) of 0.1; 1; 10. Maximum Entropy is a classification technique that uses the entropy value to classify data with the evaluation model used, namely 5-fold cross-validation. The algorithm which has the highest accuracy and kappa statistics is the best algorithm for classifying the sentiments of Ajaib users. The results using the Support Vector Machine algorithm show the overall accuracy is 85.75% and the kappa accuracy is 58.07%. The results using the Maximum Entropy algorithm show an overall accuracy of 83% and kappa accuracy of 50.5%. This shows that sentiment using the Support Vector Machine has a better performance than Maximum Entropy.
PREDIKSI TINGKAT TEMPERATUR KOTA SEMARANG MENGGUNAKAN METODE LONG SHORT-TERM MEMORY (LSTM) Rahmatul Akbar; Rukun Santoso; Budi Warsito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 11, No 4 (2022): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.11.4.572-579

Abstract

Temperature is one of the most important attributes of climate, temperature affects life in many different ways such as in agriculture, aviation, energy, and life in general. Temperature prediction is needed to make the right step to prevent the negative impact of climate change. Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is the method that can predict time series data, using the unique design of neural networks, LSTM can help to prevent vanishing gradient from happening which allows LSTM model to use more data from the past to predict the future. Hyperparameters like LSTM unit, epochs, and batch size are used to make the best model, the best model is the one with the lowest loss function. This research used climate data from 1 January 2019 until 31 December 2021 consist of 1096 data in total. The best prediction in this research is made by the model with 70% training data, 0,009 learning rate, 128 LSTM unit, 16 batch size, and 100 epochs with the lowest loss function of 0,013, this model gives MAPE value of 1,896016% and RMSE value of 0,725.
Co-Authors . Widayat Abdul Hoyyi Adi Waridi Basyirudin Arifin Adi Wibowo Adi Wibowo Agus Pamuji Agus Rusgiyono Agus Winarno, Agus Ahmad Lubis Ghozali Ahmed, Kamil Alan Prahutama Anindita Nur Safira Arafa Rahman Aziz Arbella Maharani Putri Arief Rachman Hakim Arief Rachman Hakim Arief Rachman Hakim Aries Susanty Aris Sugiharto Arsyil Hendra Saputra Atmaja, Dinul Darma Atur Ekharisma Dewi Aurum Anisa Salsabela Bagus Dwi Saputra Bayastura, Shahnilna Fitrasha Bayu Surarso Bimastyaji Surya Ramadhan Budiyono Budiyono Calvin, Esagu John Catur Edi Widodo Chrisna Suhendi Cintika Oktavia Di Asih I Maruddani Di Mokhammad Hakim Ilmawan Dian Mariana L Manullang Dinar Mutiara Kusumo Nugraheni Dwi Ispriyanti Dyna Marisa Khairina eka rahmawati Eka Rahmawati Ekky Rosita Singgih Wigati Endang Fatmawati Endang Fatmawati Fachry Abda El Rahman Fadhilah, Husni Faisal Fikri Utama Faliha Muthmainah Fath Ezzati Kavabilla Fatiya Nur Umma Ferry Hermawan Fiqria Devi Ariyani Firdonsyah, Arizona Gayuh Kresnawati Gertrude, Akello Ghifar Rahman Handayani, Sri Hanif Kusumasasmita Haritsa, Rifda Tsaqifarani Harjum Muharam Hasbi Yasin Hendri Setyawan Henny Widayanti, Henny Heriyanto Hizkia Christian Putra Setiadi Indra Jaya Infan Nur Kharismawan Intan Monica Hanmastiana Jafron Wasiq Hidayat Junta Zeniarja Kadarrisman, Vincensius Gunawan Slamet Kiswanto Kiswanto M. Afif Amirillah M. Andang Novianta Maharani, Chintya Ayu Mahrus Ali Maori, Nadia Annisa Maryono Maryono Maryono Maryono Masruroh, Fitriana Maulida Najwa, Maulida Mifta Ardianti Moch. Abdul Mukid Mochamad Arief Budihardjo Moh Ali Fikri mohamad jamil muhammad shodiq Muliyadi Muliyadi Munji Hanafi Mustafid Mustafid Mustaqim Mustaqim, Mustaqim Nani Ratnaningsih Nisa Afida Izati Noor Azizah Nur Fitriyah Nurcahyanti, Tri Meida Nurul Hidayati Oktavia, Cintika Oky Dwi Nurhayati Pandu Anggara Paul, Gudoyi M Perdana, Ery Purwanto Purwanto Puspita Kartikasari Puspita Kartikasari Putri, Nitami Lestari R Rizal Isnanto R. Rizal Isnanto Rachmat Gernowo Rachmat Gernowo Rahmat Gernowo Rahmatul Akbar Ratna Kencana Putri Rini Nuraini Rita Rahmawati Rita Rahmawati Riva Amrulloh Riza Rizqi Robbi Arisandi Royani, Noorhanida Rukun Santoso Rully Rahadian Safitri, Adila Salma Farah Aliyah Sang Nur Cahya Widiutama Sari, Juwita Dwinda Silvia Elsa Suryana Siti Fadhilla Femadiyanti Sri Endah Moelya Artha Sri Sumiyati Sudarno Sudarno Sudarno Sudarno Sudarno utomo Sugito Sugito Sulardjaka Sulardjaka Suparti Suparti Suwardi, Dede Syafrudin Syafrudin Tarno Tarno Tarno Tarno Tatik Widiharih Tatik Widiharih Ta’fif Lukman Afandi Tri Yani Elisabeth Nababan Ummayah, Putri Qodar Vincensius Gunawan Slamet Kadarrisman Wahyul Amien Syafei Whisnumurti Adhiwibowo Wibowo, Catur Edi Widiyatmoko, Carolus Borromeus Winahyu Handayani Winarno, Bowo Yanuar Yoga Prasetyawan Yundari, Yundari