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All Journal Agromet Jurnal Buana Informatika Pembangunan Pedesaan JURNAL HAMA DAN PENYAKIT TUMBUHAN TROPIKA Jurnal Penelitian Pertanian Terapan Sistemasi: Jurnal Sistem Informasi International Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research Jurnal Agrotek Tropika ILKOM Jurnal Ilmiah Informasi Interaktif Jurnal Ilmiah Biologi Eksperimen dan Keanekaragaman Hayati (J-BEKH) Techno Xplore : Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Teknologi Informasi Jurnal Tecnoscienza Respati JOURNAL OF INFORMATION SYSTEM RESEARCH (JOSH) Jurnal Agrotropika Jurnal Agama Buddha dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Devotion: Journal of Research and Community Service Journal of Education, Religious, and Instructions (JoERI) SmartComp Jurnal Pengabdian Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Lampung Jurnal Kajian & Reviu Jinarakkhita: Jurnal Gerakan Semangat Buddhayana (JGSB) Manajemen Pendidikan Applied Information Technology and Computer Science (AICOMS)
Eko Pramono
SD Negeri Soka Wonosari
Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Mathematics Physics Social Sciences Other

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Journal : Agromet

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Climate Change Impact On Rice Productivity Using FAO AquaCrop Model: A Case Study in Lampung Priatama, Rizki; Katarina Manik, Tumiar; Benyamin Timotiwu, Paul; Pramono, Eko; Alimuddin
Agromet Vol. 39 No. 1 (2025): JUNE 2025
Publisher : PERHIMPI (Indonesian Association of Agricultural Meteorology)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/j.agromet.39.1.48-55

Abstract

Climate change impacts global food productions, but its local effect on rice production, particularly on monsoon dominated regions remain less understood. Here, we assess climate change impact on rice production situated on Lampung Province, as one of the largest rice productions in Indonesia. The FAO AquaCrop model was used to predict rice productivity, incorporating climate projections from the CMIP5 model under medium (RCP 4.5) and high (RCP 8.5) emission scenarios. We simulated the model for fifteen locations representing districts in Lampung Province. Our results show that by 2050, the decreased rainfall is projected during the dry season and early rainy season, but the average monthly temperatures and evapotranspiration rates are expected to increase across all districts. AquaCrop simulated an increased rice productivity by +0.25 and +0.74 tons/ha for both scenarios in April planting season, but it decreased by -0.41 and -0.75 tons/ha in November planting season due to water stress. This research is important to provide a deeper understanding of the impact of climate change on rice productivity in Lampung Province. These findings highlight the need for adaptive strategies to sustain rice production under future climate conditions.
Co-Authors *, Pramono , Agustiansyah Agus Karyanto Agustiyansyah, Agustiyansyah Aji, Kresno Kresno Alimuddin Alimuddin Yasin Alva Hendi Muhammad Andi Sunyoto Andreyestha Andreyestha Andri4, Rum Anjani, Dia Ardian Ardian Ari Wibisono, Bagas Arief Setyanto Atmadja, Bambang Soedijono Wiria Ayu, Sukma Azis, Azizah Bambang Soedijono W A, Bambang Soedijono Bayu Setiaji Benyamin Timotiwu, Paul Bernadhed, Bernadhed Billyam Budi Witjaksana, Budi Budiono, Arifin Nur Burmansah Burmansah Damo, Saca Dimas Sasongko Ditama, Septian DWI HAPSORO Ema Utami Ermawati Ermawati Fauzi, Moch Farid Franciscus Xaverius Susilo, Franciscus Xaverius Ginting, Yohannes Cahya Gusnadi, Gunawan Hadi , Muhammad Syamsoel Hadi, Muhammad Syamsoel Hadjar Aswad, Fatqul Hidayat Pujisiswanto Jaka Purnama Jeki Kuswanto JULIANTI, MEGA Karpen Katarina Manik, Tumiar Komang Sutawan Kukuh Setiawan Kurnianti, Vidia Dwi Kusrini, Kusrini Kusuma, Yosep Riando Lia Lia Lidya Purnamasari, Lidya Loekas Soesanto M. Kamal Maharina, Maharina Merlita, Bella Muhammad Kamal Muhammad Khoiruddin Harahap Muktafin, Elik Hari Nababan, Erick Mikhail Vialli Nisa, Citra Khoirrun Novita, Hilda Yulia Nurastuti6, Wiji Oktavia, Rahma Paul Benyamin Timotiwu Poniman Poniman Prayoghi, M. Lukman Priatama, Rizki Priono, Priono Putra, Andriyan Dwi Rafika, Eni Rapiadi, Rapiadi Richky Faizal Amir Saddhadika, Adhi Khumara Safitri, Pipit Kurnia Sakti, Alfiana Revo Salsabila, Erika Fadia Sanjaya, Purba Selawati, Indria Sembodo, Dad Resiworo Jekti Setiawan, Wawan A Setyo Dwi Utomo Sidartha Adi Gautama SISWOYO Slameto, Andika Agus Sugata, Ary Suka Edah Angkat Sumiyanto, Ahmad Sumiyanto5, Ahmad Susanto Susanto Sutiyono sutiyono sutiyono Tejo Ismoyo, Tejo Tribiakto, Herlandro Tumiar Katarina Manik Tundjung Tripeni Handayani, Tundjung Tripeni Utomo, Dimas Prasetyo Wajar Bimantoro, Wajar Widjiyati, Nur Wiwi Widayani, Wiwi Yayuk Nurmiaty Yossy Ariyanto YUSNITA YUSNITA Zahrowani, Rizal Zonyfar, Candra