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PENERAPAN METODE EXPONENTIAL MOVING AVERAGE PADA PERAMALAN PENGGUNAAN AIR DI PDAM KOTA GORONTALO WA SALMI; ISMAIL DJAKARIA; RESMAWAN RESMAWAN
Jambura Journal of Probability and Statistics Vol 1, No 2 (2020): Jambura Journal of Probability and Statictics
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/jjps.v1i2.7152

Abstract

Facing the dry season, it is probable that there is a lack of water or excess distribution at one point during distribution to every house that uses PDAM water every day. This will result in community instability in using water and inaccurate users. Therefore, forecasting of the amount of water used in PDAM Kota Gorontalo for the next period. The method used to forecast is the Exponential Moving Average method. Criteria in determining the best method is based on the value of Mean Absolute Deviation and Mean Absolute Percentage Error. After forecasting each smoothing constant is compared, the best model. in predicting the amount of water use in PDAM Kota Gorontalo is an Exponential Moving Average with a smoothing constant of 0.15 because it has the smallest MAD and MAPE values.
ANALISIS STATISTICAL QUALITY CONTROL DALAM UPAYA MENGURANGI JUMLAH PRODUK CACAT DI PABRIK ROTI THE LI NO’U BAKERY RAHMAWATY AHMAD; RESMAWAN RESMAWAN; DEWI RAHMAWATY ISA
Jambura Journal of Probability and Statistics Vol 1, No 1 (2020): Jambura Journal of Probability and Statictics
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/jjps.v1i1.4578

Abstract

Quality control is a technical and management activity which measures the quality characteristics of a product or service. Statistical quality control can be used to find production errors that result in defective products so that further corrective action can be taken to overcome them. The objective to be achieved in this research is to determine the Statistical Quality Control (SQC) method with pareto diagrams, control charts, cause and effect diagrams and 5W+1H analysis applied to The Li No'u Bakery in controlling quality to minimize failed products. The data in this study were obtained through direct observation and field interviews. Data analysis tools used are control charts, pareto diagrams, cause and effect diagrams and 5W + 1H analysis. Through a cause and effect diagram, the main factors causing the failure of bakery products at The Li No'u Bakery are manufacturers/employees. This is because the operator fails in making bakery products both the preparation of raw materials, the production process and packaging. So training is needed on making the dough, how to put bread and how to covenant and employee order according to the standard of The Li No'u Bakery.
DETERMINAN SUATU MATRIKS TOEPLITZ K-TRIDIAGONAL MENGGUNAKAN METODE REDUKSI BARIS DAN EKSPANSI KOFAKTOR Rasmawati Rasmawati; Lailany Yahya; Agusyarif Rezka Nuha; Resmawan Resmawan
Euler : Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika, Sains dan Teknologi EULER: Volume 9 Issue 1 June 2021
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/euler.v9i1.10354

Abstract

This paper discusses the determinants of a k-tridiagonal Toeplitz matrix using row reduction and cofactor expansion methods. The analysis was carried out recursively from the general form of the determinant of the tridiagonal Toeplitz matrix, the determinant of the 2-tridiagonal Toeplitz matrix, and the determinant of the 3-tridiagonal Toeplitz matrix. In the end, the general form of the determinant of the k-tridiagonal Toeplitz matrix is obtained.
PERNERAPAN MODEL PERSAMAAN SIMULTAN DENGAN PENDEKATAN TWO STAGE LEAST SQUARE PADA KASUS INFLASI DAN NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH DI INDONESIA Rahmawati Yusuf; Resmawan Resmawan; Boby Rantow Payu
Euler : Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika, Sains dan Teknologi EULER: Volume 9 Issue 2 December 2021
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/euler.v9i2.11173

Abstract

Using the regression model, a method that accommodates variables related to each other is called the simultaneous equation method. The study aims to determine the factors affecting inflation and rupiah exchange rate and model simultaneous equations towards the factors affecting inflation and rupiah exchange rate in Indonesia using Two-Stage Least Square. Data used in this study are secondary data obtained from the website of Statistics of Indonesia. Findings on the simultaneous equation model with two-stage least squares reveal that variables that significantly affect inflation are the Indonesia rupiah exchange rate and money supply. At the same time, variables that significantly affect the Indonesian rupiah exchange rate are inflation and money supply. The predictive value using the inflation and rupiah exchange rate equation indicates that the obtained MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) value does not exceed 50%. In conclusion, the prediction result using the inflation and Indonesia rupiah exchange rate equation is accurate.
KEMAMPUAN SISWA DALAM MENGAITKAN OBJEK MATEMATIKA PADA SOAL POLA BILANGAN Amalia Tatu; Sumarno Ismail; Resmawan Resmawan; Ismail Djakaria; Kartin Usman; Dewi Rahmawati Isa
Euler : Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika, Sains dan Teknologi EULER: Volume 9 Issue 2 December 2021
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/euler.v9i2.12505

Abstract

This research was conducted with the aim of knowing to what extent students' ability to relate mathematical objects to problems number patterns. The method used in this research is a quantitative description. The data collection techniques used are tests and interviews. The data analysis technique uses model miles and hiberman, namely by reducing data, presenting data, and drawing conclusions. The results showed that students' ability to relate mathematical objects to pattern problems numbers is not maximized. This is indicated by the percentage of achievements an indicator of the ability to associate mathematical objects that only reached an average of 55.26% consisting of 48.44% fact indicators, concept 45.50%, principle 63.80%, and operation 63.33%.
Metode Spatial Autoregressive dalam Analisis Kerawanan Demam Berdarah Dengue di Kota Gorontalo Tria Susilowati Mahading; Resmawan Resmawan; Lailany Yahya; Ingka Rizkiyani Akolo
JMPM: Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika Vol 5, No 2 (2020): September 2020 - Februari 2021
Publisher : Universitas Pesantren Tinggi Darul Ulum Jombang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26594/jmpm.v5i2.1916

Abstract

This study was aimed at discussing spatial regression to find out factors influencing the dengue fever vulnerability in Gorontalo city. The spatial regression method used in this study was the Spatial Autoregressive Model (SAR). The SAR model can provide additional information about the effect of the location of the village/village on the incidence of DBD in Gorontalo City. This study concluded that the number of population, number of poor population, educational facilities and the area elevation were factors influencing the dengue fever vulnerability in the city of Gorontalo.
Menentukan Waktu Optimal untuk Pembuatan Kerajinan Sulaman Karawo Menggunakan Aljabar Max-Plus Lailany Yahya; Nurwan Nurwan; Resmawan Resmawan
Vygotsky : Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika dan Matematika Vol 4, No 1 (2022): Vygotsky: Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika dan Matematika
Publisher : Universitas Islam Lamongan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (411.179 KB) | DOI: 10.30736/voj.v4i1.442

Abstract

Kerajinan Karawo merupakan salah satu kerajinan khas Gorontalo. Proses pembuatannya membutuhkan waktu yang sangat lama, mulai dari penyediaan bahan baku dan alat, pembuatan atau persiapan motif, pemotongan, pengaturan motif, mencabut benang, menyulam, merawang/ penenunan dan penyelesaian akhir. Dalam penelitian ini, metode aljabar max-plus digunakan untuk menentukan waktu optimal dalam membuat kerajinan sulaman karawo. Aktivitas pembuatan kerajinan sulaman karawo didesain dalam diagram kemudian ditransformasi dalam matriks max-plus. Berdasarkan matriks  diperoleh , hal ini menggambarkan bahwa waktu optimum pembuatan kerajinan sulaman karawo adalah 34,5 hari.
Analisis Kestabilan Model Eko-Epidemiologi dengan Pemanenan Konstan pada Predator Nurhalis Hasan; Resmawan Resmawan; Emli Rahmi
Jurnal Matematika, Statistika dan Komputasi Vol. 16 No. 2 (2020): JMSK, JANUARY, 2020
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Hasanuddin University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (841.889 KB) | DOI: 10.20956/jmsk.v16i2.7317

Abstract

Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk menganalisis kestabilan model eko-epidemiologi dengan pemanenan konstan terhadap predator. Populasi dalam model terbagi atas tiga populasi yaitu populasi prey rentan  populasi prey terinfeksi , dan populasi predator . Dikonstruksi model eko-epidemiologi dengan pemanenan konstan terhadap predator. Diperoleh dua titik kesetimbangan, yaitu titik kesetimbangan kepunahan populasi prey terinfeksi, dan titik kesetimbangan interior atau semua populasi ada. Eksistensi dari masing-masing titik kesetimbangan bergantung pada  atau akar-akar realnya masing-masing. Sebelum mencari kestabilan dari titik-titk kestimbangan, ditentukan terlebih dahulu matriks Jacobi. Kestabilan dari masing-masing titik diuraikan pada syarat kestabilannya masing-masing. Simulasi numerik dari titik kesetimbangan dilakukan agar terlihat lebih jelas kestabilan dari masing-masing titik kesetimbangan. Simulasi numerik dilakukan menggunakan metode Runge-Kutta orde 4 dan dibantu software Phyton 3.7.
SEIPR-Mathematical Model of the Pneumonia Spreading in Toddlers with Immunization and Treatment Effects Rusniwati S. Imran; Resmawan Resmawan; Novianita Achmad; Agusyarif Rezka Nuha
Jurnal Matematika, Statistika dan Komputasi Vol. 17 No. 2 (2021): JANUARY 2021
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Hasanuddin University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20956/jmsk.v17i2.11166

Abstract

This research discussed the SEIPR mathematical model on the spread of pneumonia among children under five years old. The development of the model was done by considering factors of immunization and treatment factors, in an effort to reduce the rate of spread of pneumonia. In this research, mathematical model construction, stability analysis, and numerical simulation were carried out to see the dynamics of pneumonia cases in the population. The model analysis produces two equilibrium points, which are the equilibrium point without the disease, the endemic equilibrium point, and the basic reproduction number ( ) as the threshold value for disease spread. The point of equilibrium without disease reaches a stable state at the moment , which indicates that pneumonia will disappear from the population, while the endemic equilibrium point reaches a stable state at that time , which indicates that the disease will spread in the population. Furthermore, numerical simulations show that increasing the rate parameters of infected individuals undergoing treatment ( ), the treatment success rate ( ), and the immunization proportion ( ), could suppress the basic reproductive number so that control of the disease spread rate can be accelerated.
Perbandingan Analisis Diskriminan dan Regresi Logistik Multinomial WD Rifqah Amalliah Ndangi; Resmawan Resmawan; Ismail Djakaria
Jambura Journal of Mathematics Vol 1, No 2: Juli 2019
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (381.337 KB) | DOI: 10.34312/jjom.v1i2.2100

Abstract

Penetapan jurusan siswa yang tidak sesuai dengan kemampuan yang dimiliki dapat menyebabkan capaian hasil belajar siswa tidak optimal. Kasus seperti ini sering terjadi karena tidak optimalnya proses pengklasifikasian siswa sesuai dengan kemam puan yang dimiliki. Beberapa analisis statistik telah banyak dikembangkan untuk membantu menyelesaikan masalah-masalah klasifikasi diantaranya analisis diskriminan dan regresi logistik multinomial. Kedua analisis tersebut dapat digunakan sebagai metode pengklasifikasian objek, sehingga keduanya dapat dibandingkan berdasarkan ketepatan pengelompokkanya. Artikel ini membandingkan analisis diskriminan dan analisis regresi logistik multinomial dalam pengklasifikasian siswa ke kelompok IPA, IPS, Bahasa atau Agama. Kriteria perbandingan didasarkan pada kesalahan klasifikasi yang dikenal dengan Apparent Error Rate (APER). Data yang digunakan adalah nilai rata-rata raport, nilai baca alquran, nilai hasil tes, nilai wawancara dan nilai tes potensi akademik siswa. Kedua analisis menunjukkan hasil yang sama bahwa variabel yang secara signifikan mempengaruhi pengklasifikasian siswa adalahnilai rata-rata raport dan nilai tes potensi akademik. Ketepatan klasifikasi yang ditunjukkan pada kedua metode ini juga menunjukkan persentasi yang sama dengan nilai 53.60%. Hal ini menunjukkan bahwa kedua metode ini sama baiknya digunakan dalam proses pengklasifikasian siswa. Analisis regresi logistik hanya lebih mudah digunakan karena tidak mempertimabangkan asumsi yang harus dipenuhi, sementara analisis diskriminan harus mempertimbangkan dua asumsi yaitu data berdistribusi normal multivariat dan kesamaan matriks varians kovarians.
Co-Authors Abdul Djabar Mohidin Abdul Djabar Mohidin Abdul Wahab Abdullah Abdul, Nur Safitri Achmad, N Adrian Patingki Agus Suryanto Agusyarif Rezka Nuha Ainun Sukmawati Al Idrus Akolo, Ingka Rizkiyani Al Idrus, Ainun Sukmawati Amalia Tatu Amanda Adityaningrum Amelia Tri Rahma Sidik Andi Agung Anissa Dwi Wijayanti Apon Ismail Arianto A. Diu Asriadi Asriadi Asriadi Asriadi Bertu Rianto Takaendengan Binti Mualifatul Rosydah, Binti Mualifatul Boby Rantow Payu Brahim, Annisa Maharani Cabelita Husuna Dangkua, Sri Rahayu Dewi Rahmawati Isa Dewi Rahmawaty Isa Dewinta Mamula Djihad Wungguli Eka, M Endar Hasafah Nugrahani Evi Hulukati Febriolah Lamusu Gaib, Muhammad Bachtiar Gledisya Polontalo Handayani, Rizka Putri Hasan S. Panigoro Hayatun Napsia R. Tangahu Hendra Andrianto Yusuf Husain, Moh Rizal Ibrahim, Rusdianto Ingka Rizkiyani Akolo Ismail Djakaria Isnani Darti Isran K Hasan Jefriyanto Ibrahim Kartin Usman Kue, Hawai Abas La Ode Nashar Lailany Yahya Laita, Nazrilla Hasan LIHAWA, SRIRAPI H Lindrawati Abdjul Mahading, Tria Susilowati Mahmud, Sri Lestari Majid Majid Megawati Megawati Moh. Wahyu Warolemba Mohamad, Regina Muthahharah, Isma Napui, Ismawanti Napui, Ismawanti NISKY IMANSYAH YAHYA Novianita Achmad Nuha, A R Nurdia Walangadi Nurfajria Rahim Nurhalis Hasan Nurmala Niode Nursiya Bito Nurwan Nurwan Nurwan Nurwan, Nurwan Olii, Isran R. Paian Sianturi Pakaya, Revandi S. Pauweni, Khardiyawan A.Y. Perry Zakaria Qur'ani, Fahma Mu'jizatil Rafika Pomalingo Rahasia, Zulaiha Rahasia, Zulaiha Rahmat Hidayat Rahmawati Yusuf RAHMAWATY AHMAD Rahmi, Emli RAJAK, SANDIKA S. Rasmawati Rasmawati Rasyid, Kamelia Rosiana Jupri Rusniwati S. Imran Salmun K. Nasib Saltina, Saltina Sari, Septi Rahmita Sarson W DJ Pomalato Sartika Sari Dewi Selfiani Selfiani, Selfiani Sembiring, Rinawati Sidik, Amelia Tri Rahma Siti Hardiyanti Arsyad Siti Maisaroh Siti Zakiyah Siti Zakiyah Sitti Khadijah Sofyan Nuna Sri Istiyarti Uswatun Chasanah Sri Lestari Mahmud Sri Maryam Mohungo Sri Meylanti S. Ali Sumarno Ismail Susanti Susanti Syamsu Qomar Badu Taki, Febriani Tedy Machmud Tria Susilowati Mahading Vemsi Damopolii WA SALMI WD Rifqah Amalliah Ndangi Yamin Ismail Yusuf, Hendra Andrianto Zian Bula