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DYNAMIC ANALYSIS OF THE MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF THE SPREAD OF CHOLERA WITH VACCINATION STRATEGIES Abdul, Nur Safitri; Yahya, Lailany; Resmawan, R.; Nuha, Agusyarif Rezka
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 16 No 1 (2022): BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (982.889 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol16iss1pp279-290

Abstract

This research discusses the math model of spreading cholera disease with a mathematical strategy of math model constructed by considering a vaccination strategy. In addition, there is a population of hyperinfectious and lessinfectious bacteria so that the model of SVIR-BhiBli type, by. The model formed in the form of determination of fixed point, determination of basic reproductions numbers, analyzing the equilibrium point and sensitivity analysis. The equilibrium analysis produces two equilibrium points of a immediate-free equilibrium point of aceletotic local if and endemic equilibrium points will be stable local asymptotics if . Furthermore, numerical simulation that the increase in vaccination rate influences on the decline in value while increased rate of vaccine depreciation can increase the value of . In addition, sensitivity analysis shows that if the parameter is enhanced while other contrast parameters will contribute to the increase in value, as a result can increase the rate of transmission of cholera disease. Whereas if the parameter is enhanced while other contrast parameters will contribute to the decrease in value, as a result of the dissemination of the disease can be pressed very significantly.
DYNAMIC ANALYSIS OF THE MATHEMATICAL MODEL FOR THE CHOLERA DISEASE SPREAD INVOLVING MEDICATION AND ENVIROMENTAL SANITATION Resmawan, R; Yahya, Lailany; Mahmud, Sri Lestari; Nuha, Agusyarif Rezka; Laita, Nazrilla Hasan
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 17 No 1 (2023): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (656.125 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol17iss1pp0341-0360

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the mathematical model of the cholera disease spread involving medicationnd environmental sanitation. The model was analyzed by determining the equilibrium point and the basic reproduction number. The next step was to analyze the equilibrium point, sensitivity, and simulate numerically. Analysis of the stability of the disease-free and endemic equilibrium points usedhe Routh-Hurwitz criteria and the Castillo-Chaves and Song Theorem. The Analysis resultf the model produced two equilibrium points; namely the disease-freequilibrium point for local asymptotic stability and the endemic equilibrium point for local asymptotic stability if . Furthermore, the sensitivity analysis indicated the most sensitive parameters for basic reproductive number changes in succession are the parameters for natural birth rates , the transmission rate of bacteria from the environment to humans , the saturated concentration of bacteria in water , an increase in the bacterial population caused by environmental pollution rate by humans . Numerical simulations suggest an increase to give vaccine can contribute to slowing the transmission of cholera where as the reduction of a vaccine able to promote the transmission of cholera diseases.
ROBUST LEAST MEDIAN OF SQUARE MODELLING USING SEEMINGLY UNRELATED REGRESSION WITH GENERALIZED LEAST SQUARE ON PANEL DATA FOR TUBERCULOSIS CASES Adityaningrum, Amanda; Resmawan, Resmawan; Brahim, Annisa Maharani; Isa, Dewi Rahmawaty; Nashar, La Ode; Asriadi, Asriadi
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 18 No 4 (2024): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Application
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol18iss4pp2293-2306

Abstract

Tuberculosis, primarily affecting the lungs and other organs, was the leading cause of death worldwide before the COVID-19 pandemic and continues to be a significant health concern. This research examined tuberculosis (TB) using a panel dataset. As a consequence, the datasets may contain outliers and contemporaneous correlations. A Robust Least Median of Square (LMS) model was developed in this research by combining Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) with Generalized Least Square (GLS) on panel data to provide an analysis overview to overcome outliers and contemporaneous correlations. Based on secondary data obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics of the Gorontalo Province and the Ministry of Health of the Gorontalo Province, this research examines TB cases between 2017 and 2021. The Chow test result suggests that CEM is the most appropriate model for analyzing panel data for TB cases in Gorontalo Province between 2017 and 2021. Due to the presence of outliers and influential observations in the data, robust LMS is employed. Furthermore, there is a problem of contemporaneous correlation in this research. Each regency or city can mitigate this problem by implementing robust LMS using SUR with GLS.
Stability Analysis and Numerical Simulation of Prey-Mesopredator-Apex Predator Dynamic Model with Supplementary Food for Apex Predator Resmawan, Resmawan; Handayani, Rizka Putri; Rosydah, Binti Mualifatul; Qur'ani, Fahma Mu'jizatil
Jambura Journal of Mathematics Vol 7, No 2: August 2025
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37905/jjom.v7i2.31345

Abstract

This study formulates and mathematically analyzes a three-species dynamic model involving prey, mesopredator, and apex predator, considering the presence of supplementary food available only to the apex predator. The model is expressed as a three-dimensional nonlinear differential equation system and analyzed by proving the existence and uniqueness of solutions, positivity, and solution limitations to ensure mathematical validity in the biological domain. Furthermore, we study the local stability of the six equilibrium points of the system using the eigenvalue approach and the Routh-Hurwitz criterion. We perform numerical simulations and find that the stability of the system is highly sensitive to the parameters of predation efficiency and the capacity to utilize additional food. In addition, species extinction, dominance, or long-term coexistence also occur. The model shows how the relationships between different species and the support from external energy sources can change the community structure and affect whether predator species survive.
DYNAMICS OF A PREY-PREDATOR MODEL WITH ALLEE EFFECTS AND HOLLING TYPE IV FUNCTIONAL RESPONSE: LOCAL STABILITY AND NUMERICAL EXPLORATION OF BIFURCATIONS Resmawan, Resmawan; Suryanto, Agus; Darti, Isnani; Panigoro, Hasan S.
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 19 No 4 (2025): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Application
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol19iss4pp2891-2906

Abstract

This study presents a prey-predator model incorporating the Allee effect and Holling Type IV Functional Response. The model identifies three equilibrium points: the zero-equilibrium, the predator extinction equilibrium, and the positive equilibrium. Under specific conditions, all these points exhibit local asymptotic stability. The Allee effect is an important factor in determining the stability of the equilibrium point. A weak Allee effect can destabilize the zero-equilibrium point, while a strong Allee effect ensures its local asymptotic stability, potentially leading to the extinction of both species. Additionally, forward and Hopf bifurcation under weak Allee conditions occur at the predator extinction equilibrium point. In contrast, a strong Allee effect may cause bistability between the zero-equilibrium and predator extinction equilibrium points. This evidence suggests that prey can survive without predators; however, a strong Allee effect might result in prey extinction if the population decreases significantly. The Holling Type IV functional response illustrates the impact of prey group defense, which diminishes predation pressure as prey density increases, thereby facilitating the development of limit cycles and establishing a positive equilibrium under specific parameter conditions. This mechanism is crucial for managing predator-prey cohabitation and influencing the system's bifurcation structure. The final section of the study includes numerical simulations to support the analytical findings. The interplay between the Allee effect and the Holling Type IV functional response yields complex dynamics, encompassing bistability, oscillation behavior, and sensitivity to initial conditions. Their collaborative interaction amplifies the system's nonlinearity, enabling the creation of various dynamic behaviors that are extremely sensitive to fluctuations in parameter values.
Dynamical Analysis of a Predator-Prey Model Involving Intraspecific Competition in Predator and Prey Protection Resmawan, Resmawan; Nuha, Agusyarif Rezka; Nasib, Salmun K.; Nashar, La Ode
JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) Vol 8, No 3 (2024): July
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31764/jtam.v8i3.22154

Abstract

This article explains the interaction of the prey-predator model in the presence of wild harvesting and competition intra-specific predator populations and prey protection zones.  Model construction is based on literature studies related to the basic theory of the model and the biological properties between predator and prey populations. This study aims to look at the dynamic conditions of the predator-prey model in the form of the existence of prey and predator populations and the impact that occurs in the long term for both populations due to changes in parameter values. The model analysis begins with the formulation of the solution conditions and boundaries model, and next with the determination of the equilibrium point. Every equilibrium point is analyzed by the characteristic of its stability is neither local or global. The model owns three equilibrium points, namely the equilibrium point of population extinction (E_0), the equilibrium point of predator extinction (E_1), and the equilibrium point of persistence of the two populations (E_2). These equilibrium points are stable locally or globally if certain conditions are met. Next, it is shown that bifurcation proceeds Which describes the changing of characteristic stability point equilibrium Which depends on the threshold parameter values h_1, Ω^*, and ρ^*. In the end, numerical simulations are presented in the form of phase, time-series, and bifurcation diagrams to support the analytical results of the model, as well as to visually show the dynamic behaviour of the interaction between the two populations based on changes in predation levels, illegal harvesting, prey refuge zones, and intra-specific competition.
Model Course Review Horay : Upaya Meningkatkan Hasil Belajar Matematika Bentuk Aljabar Dangkua, Sri Rahayu; Resmawan, Resmawan; Zakiyah, Siti
Euler : Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika, Sains dan Teknologi EULER: Volume 11 Issue 2 December 2023
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37905/euler.v11i2.22448

Abstract

This research aims to improve students' mathematics learning outcomes in the Algebraic Form material using the Course Review Horay learning model. This study is a classroom action research (CAR) conducted in two cycles, involving students from SMP Negeri 1 Kabila as the research subjects. Each student is considered successful if their mathematics learning outcome test meets the minimum completeness criteria, which is 75. The research results show that in the first cycle, the completeness rate was 67.86% out of 28 students, and it increased in the second cycle, with 24 students achieving a completeness rate of 85.71%. This indicates that implementing the Course Review Horay learning model is believed to improve students' mathematics learning outcomes in the Algebraic Form material.
Komparasi Skema Numerik Euler, Runge-Kutta dan Adam-Basforth-Moulton untuk Menyelesaikan Solusi Persamaan Osilator Harmonik Resmawan, Resmawan; Rosydah, Binti Mualifatul; Handayani, Rizka Putri
Euler : Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika, Sains dan Teknologi EULER: Volume 11 Issue 2 December 2023
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37905/euler.v11i2.22420

Abstract

This article discusses the comparison of different numerical schemes to visualize the solution of 2nd-order differential equations. One-step methods such as the Euler method and the 4th-order Runge-Kutta method are combined with the 3rd-order Adam-Bashforth-Moulton method to solve the solution of 2nd-order differential equations. This combination of methods solves the Harmonic Oscillator equation, an 2nd-order differential equation widely applied in various oscillation contexts. The order of accuracy and order of approximation error are determined analytically. Finally, simulations are given with different steps for the three methods to confirm the behavior of the solution to the Harmonic Oscillator equation. The results show that the Euler method with the lowest order of accuracy has good accuracy at the beginning of the oscillation but not when time t is increased. The Runge-Kutta method, with the highest order of accuracy, shows excellent and consistent accuracy and solution stability, while the Adam-Bashforth-Moulton method, although it has a lower accuracy than the Runge-Kutta method of order 4, can be improved by choosing a one-step method with a high order of accuracy to approximate some of the required initial solutions. All three methods can provide approximation values with excellent accuracy and stability if a small step, h, is chosen, but this step can increase the time duration to display the solution. Thus, it is necessary to choose the right h according to the context of the equation and the method used to obtain accurate solutions with optimal time duration.
DISTRIBUTED LAG MODEL PENGARUH JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR TERHADAP NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH MENGGUNAKAN METODE KOYCK DAN ALMON LIHAWA, SRIRAPI H; RESMAWAN, RESMAWAN; ISA, DEWI RAHMAWATY; NASHAR, LA ODE
Jambura Journal of Probability and Statistics Vol 3, No 1 (2022): Jambura Journal Of Probability and Statistics
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/jjps.v3i1.11805

Abstract

A regression model that contains the dependent variable which is influenced by the current independent variable, and is also influenced by the independent variable at the previous time is called a distributed lag model. Distributed lag model is a dynamic model in econometrics that is useful in empirical econometrics because it makes a static economic theory dynamic by taking into account the role of time explicitly. There are two distributed lag models, namely the infinite lag model and the finite lag model using the Koyck method and the Almon method in determining the estimated Distributed lag model. This study aims to determine the Distributed lag model for the effect of the money supply on the rupiah exchange rate and determine the best model based on the Koyck method and the Almon method. From the results of selecting the best model based on the SIC value and judging by the more precise R2 of the Koyck method, the resulting model ist  = 7958 + 0.0002Xt + 0.000177Xt-1+ 0.000157Xt-2+ 0.000139Xt-3 + 0.0000123Xt-4
The existence of Neimark-Sacker bifurcation on a discrete-time SIS-Epidemic model incorporating logistic growth and allee effect Sidik, Amelia Tri Rahma; Panigoro, Hasan S.; Resmawan, Resmawan; Rahmi, Emli
Jambura Journal of Biomathematics (JJBM) Volume 3, Issue 2: December 2022
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/jjbm.v3i2.17515

Abstract

This article investigates the dynamical properties of a discrete time SIS-Epidemic model incorporating logistic growth rate and Allee effect. The forward Euler discretization method is employed to obtain the discrete-time model. All possible fixed points are identified including their local dynamics. Some numerical simulations by varying the step size parameter are explored to show the analytical findings, the existence of Neimark-Sacker bifurcation, and the occurrence of period-10 and 20 orbits
Co-Authors Abdul Djabar Mohidin Abdul Djabar Mohidin Abdul Wahab Abdullah Abdul, Nur Safitri Achmad, N Adrian Patingki Agus Suryanto Agusyarif Rezka Nuha Ainun Sukmawati Al Idrus Akolo, Ingka Rizkiyani Al Idrus, Ainun Sukmawati Amalia Tatu Amanda Adityaningrum Amelia Tri Rahma Sidik Andi Agung Anissa Dwi Wijayanti Apon Ismail Arianto A. Diu Asriadi Asriadi Asriadi Asriadi Bertu Rianto Takaendengan Binti Mualifatul Rosydah Binti Mualifatul Rosydah, Binti Mualifatul Boby Rantow Payu Brahim, Annisa Maharani Cabelita Husuna Dangkua, Sri Rahayu Dewi Rahmawati Isa Dewi Rahmawaty Isa Dewinta Mamula Djihad Wungguli Eka, M Endar Hasafah Nugrahani Evi Hulukati Febriolah Lamusu Gaib, Muhammad Bachtiar Gledisya Polontalo Handayani, Rizka Putri Hasan S. Panigoro Hawai Abas Kue Hayatun Napsia R. Tangahu Hendra Andrianto Yusuf Husain, Moh Rizal Ibrahim, Rusdianto Ingka Rizkiyani Akolo Ismail Djakaria Isnani Darti Isran K Hasan Jefriyanto Ibrahim Kartin Usman La Ode Nashar Lailany Yahya Laita, Nazrilla Hasan LIHAWA, SRIRAPI H Lindrawati Abdjul Mahading, Tria Susilowati Mahmud, Sri Lestari Majid Majid Megawati Megawati Moh. Wahyu Warolemba Moh. Wahyu Warolemba Mohamad, Regina Muthahharah, Isma Napui, Ismawanti Napui, Ismawanti NISKY IMANSYAH YAHYA Novianita Achmad Nuha, A R Nurdia Walangadi Nurfajria Rahim Nurhalis Hasan Nurmala Niode Nursiya Bito Nurwan Nurwan Nurwan Nurwan, Nurwan Olii, Isran R. Paian Sianturi Pakaya, Revandi S. Pauweni, Khardiyawan A.Y. Perry Zakaria Qur'ani, Fahma Mu'jizatil Rafika Pomalingo Rahasia, Zulaiha Rahasia, Zulaiha Rahmat Hidayat Rahmawati Yusuf RAHMAWATY AHMAD Rahmi, Emli RAJAK, SANDIKA S. Rasmawati Rasmawati Rasyid, Kamelia Rizka Putri Handayani Rosiana Jupri Rusniwati S. Imran Salmun K. Nasib Saltina, Saltina Sari, Septi Rahmita Sarson W DJ Pomalato Sartika Sari Dewi Selfiani Selfiani Sembiring, Rinawati Sidik, Amelia Tri Rahma Siti Hardiyanti Arsyad Siti Maisaroh Siti Zakiyah Siti Zakiyah Sitti Khadijah Sofyan Nuna Sri Istiyarti Uswatun Chasanah Sri Lestari Mahmud Sri Maryam Mohungo Sri Meylanti S. Ali Sumarno Ismail Susanti Susanti Syamsu Qomar Badu Taki, Febriani Tedy Machmud Tria Susilowati Mahading Vemsi Damopolii WA SALMI WD Rifqah Amalliah Ndangi Yamin Ismail Yusuf, Hendra Andrianto Zian Bula