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All Journal Jurnal Ilmu Komputer Jurnal Media Infotama PIKSEL : Penelitian Ilmu Komputer Sistem Embedded and Logic EXPERT: Jurnal Manajemen Sistem Informasi dan Teknologi CESS (Journal of Computer Engineering, System and Science) InfoTekJar : Jurnal Nasional Informatika dan Teknologi Jaringan JOURNAL OF INFORMATICS AND TELECOMMUNICATION ENGINEERING Jurnal Ilmiah Matrik Insect (Informatics and Security) : Jurnal Teknik Informatika Indonesian Journal of Information System IJIS - Indonesian Journal On Information System Jurnal Informatika Universitas Pamulang Applied Information System and Management Technomedia Journal JurTI (JURNAL TEKNOLOGI INFORMASI) Jiko (Jurnal Informatika dan komputer) Query : Jurnal Sistem Informasi Zero : Jurnal Sains, Matematika, dan Terapan ALGORITMA : JURNAL ILMU KOMPUTER DAN INFORMATIKA JISTech (Journal of Islamic Science and Technology) Jurnal Penelitian Medan Agama JURNAL TEKNOLOGI DAN OPEN SOURCE Jurnal Teknologi Sistem Informasi dan Aplikasi JURNAL PENDIDIKAN TAMBUSAI IJISTECH (International Journal Of Information System & Technology) JOURNAL OF SCIENCE AND SOCIAL RESEARCH KOMPUTA : Jurnal Ilmiah Komputer dan Informatika Simtek : Jurnal Sistem Informasi dan Teknik Komputer JOISIE (Journal Of Information Systems And Informatics Engineering) EDUMATIC: Jurnal Pendidikan Informatika JUSIM (Jurnal Sistem Informasi Musirawas) METIK JURNAL Jutisi: Jurnal Ilmiah Teknik Informatika dan Sistem Informasi Kumawula: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat JURNAL Al-AZHAR INDONESIA SERI SAINS DAN TEKNOLOGI IJAIT (International Journal of Applied Information Technology) Jurnal Ilmiah Sains dan Teknologi Jurnal Mnemonic JTIK (Jurnal Teknik Informatika Kaputama) Jurnal Sistem Komputer & Kecerdasan Buatan JISA (Jurnal Informatika dan Sains) Jatilima : Jurnal Multimedia Dan Teknologi Informasi Jurnal E-Komtek Jurnal Teknik Informatika C.I.T. Medicom JOURNAL OF INFORMATION SYSTEM RESEARCH (JOSH) TIN: TERAPAN INFORMATIKA NUSANTARA Journal of Computer Networks, Architecture and High Performance Computing Idealis : Indonesia Journal Information System Jurasik (Jurnal Riset Sistem Informasi dan Teknik Informatika) IJISTECH RESOLUSI : REKAYASA TEKNIK INFORMATIKA DAN INFORMASI Jurnal Responsif : Riset Sains dan Informatika Jurnal Abdi Mas Adzkia Jurnal Teknologi Sistem Informasi dan Sistem Komputer TGD Bulletin of Computer Science Research KLIK: Kajian Ilmiah Informatika dan Komputer Journal of Information Technology (JIfoTech) Journal of Students‘ Research in Computer Science (JSRCS) Jurnal Sains Teknologi dan Sistem Informasi Journal of Dinda : Data Science, Information Technology, and Data Analytics Jurnal Saintekom : Sains, Teknologi, Komputer dan Manajemen Jurnal IPTEK Bagi Masyarakat Bulletin of Information Technology (BIT) Jurnal Sistem Informasi Bisnis (JUNSIBI) Journal of Computer Science and Informatics Engineering Green Intelligent Systems and Applications Journal Of Human And Education (JAHE) sudo Jurnal Teknik Informatika Hello World Journal of Information Systems and Technology Research Jurnal Sistem Informasi Triguna Dharma (JURSI TGD) Balance : Jurnal Akuntansi dan Manajemen Jurnal Algoritma Jurnal Sains dan Teknologi Sistem Pendukung Keputusan dengan Aplikasi Journal of Computers and Digital Business Blend Sains Jurnal Teknik International Conference on Sciences Development and Technology Inspiration: Jurnal Teknologi Informasi dan Komunikasi Journal Of Informatics And Busisnes Jurnal INFOTEL Jurnal Sistem Informasi dan Manajemen Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Sistem Informasi Bigint Computing Journal Jurnal Accounting Information System (AIMS) Jurnal Garuda Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Jurnal Ilmiah Sistem Informasi INOVTEK Polbeng - Seri Informatika JuTISI (Jurnal Teknik Informatika dan Sistem Informasi)
Muhammad Dedi Irawan
Universitas Islam Negeri Sumatera Utara
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Journal : Applied Information System and Management

 1 
Bitcoin Price Forecasting Using Random Forest and On‑Chain Data Samsudin, Samsudin; Irawan, Muhammad Dedi; Nasution, Muhammad Irwan Padli; Putri, Raissa Amanda
Applied Information System and Management (AISM) Vol. 8 No. 2 (2025): Applied Information System and Management (AISM)
Publisher : Depart. of Information Systems, FST, UIN Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/aism.v8i2.46690

Abstract

Bitcoin’s extreme price volatility has long posed challenges for both investors and researchers seeking reliable forecasting models. Conventional financial approaches often fail to capture the highly complex, nonlinear, and fast-moving nature of cryptocurrency markets. To address this gap, this study develops a Bitcoin price prediction model using Random Forest Regression based on on-chain market data. The dataset was obtained from publicly available historical Bitcoin daily trading records spanning more than five years. Key features include opening price, daily high and low ranges, trading volume, and percentage change. The research was carried out in several stages. First, data preprocessing was conducted through normalization, handling of missing values, and feature engineering. Second, model training was performed with Random Forest, including parameter tuning to optimize predictive accuracy. Third, model evaluation employed R² and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) as primary performance indicators. Fourth, visualization was implemented using interactive charts to allow users to observe short-term price fluctuations and long-term market patterns. The system development followed an iterative methodology inspired by the Streamlit Framework, which is an open-source Python library that simplifies building interactive web applications for data science and machine learning. This approach provides flexibility, enabling rapid experimentation and adaptation to evolving market conditions. The results show that the proposed model achieves near-perfect R² values (approaching 1.0) with consistently low MAPE, highlighting its reliability. Beyond predictive performance, the framework is designed to be scalable, supporting future integration with deep learning methods such as LSTM and external macroeconomic indicators, thus offering both practical utility for investors and academic contributions to decentralized finance research.
Co-Authors Abdillah, Muhammad Imam Adam Syahputra Adi Widarma Adi Widarma Adinda, Sity Tree Adnan Buyung Nasution Afridayani Afridayani Agung Hazarin Aulia Chaniago Ahmad Hariandy Harahap Ahmad Raihan Azizi Ahyat Perdana Utama Aini, Nuriah Ali Akbar Lubis Ali Ikhwan Ali Ikhwan Ali Ikhwan Aliya Tasya, Nabilah Alpath Abimanyu Alya Seraya Alya, Nadila AMALIA, NOVITA Anggika Wardani Anggreini Aninda Muliani Aprilia, Rima Arafah, Maharani Arifianda, Reza Rizki Ariyanto, Arya Armansyah, Armansyah Armayani, Cici Aryo Pratama Asyilah, Nurul Atika Sari Br Pa Aulansari, Suwinda Aulia, Hasypa Barus, Nurizni Beni Frandian Bi Rahmani , Nur Ahmadi Cipta Amandha, Azrah Diah Sawitri Diana, Dwi Rahmadani Ivan Dina Amalia Putri Lubis Dinda Permana Srg, Dinda Dita Indah Pratama Putri Dwi Saphira Dwi Yanti Laily Dwika Sherliyanda Eka Lestari Eka, Muhammad Eli Rosmita Ritonga Ellysa Syafitri Evan Alfian Syahnur Fajri Nurhidayahti Fajri Nurhidayahti Fakhriza, M Fakhriza, M. Fasya, Muhammad Rezeki Fatyana, Nadya Fauzi, Reza Dwi Fazira Syafitri Hutasuhut H. Aly, Moustafa Habib Asy Muhyi Habib, Maulana Hafizd, Sefian Habil Hanafiah Daniel Nawar Harahap, Frans Adetya Harahap, Imam Zarkasih Harahap, Putri Sari Febrianty Harold Situmorang Hasibuan, Aidillia Adha Hasibuan, Muhammad Imbalo Zaki Hasibuan, Wahyu Helmi Fauzi Siregar Heri Santoso Heri Santoso Heri Santoso Herviana Herviana Hibrizi, Muhammad Naufal Fathin Ihsan Saraini Ilham Prabowo Ilka Zufria Imam Ahmad Imanita, Yulia Indira Febiana Ira Murni Irawati, Novica Juliani, Riri Kartika Dara Ayu Khairina, Nadia Luthfiah Khairrun Nisa Khairul Hafidz Koto, Muhammad Hendrik Laila Hasni Laila Turrubiah Ila Laylan Syafina Lesmana, Reza Kurnia Liana, Tika Listiani, Irma Lubis, Tiara Arzhety Luh Made Indah Sri Handari Adiputra M. Fakhriza M. Fakhriza M. Fakhriza M. Zulfadli Azmi Maharani, Uci Mahzuro Supianti P Mangunsong, Ikhwanda Buyung Manik, Hazizah W.S Maulana, Dimas Krisna Maurico Liang Melsya, Laura Merliana Putri Hasibuan Mia Nurjannah Muarif, Risdani Muhamad Alda Muhammad Alda Muhammad Alfarisi Muhammad Artha Ardika Muhammad Fakhriza Muhammad Fakhriza, Muhammad Muhammad Hendrik Koto Muhammad Khairi Ikhsan Nasution Muhammad Khoir Al Alim Manurung Muhammad Siddik Hasibuan Muhammad Wahyu Hidayah Muhammad Yasin Simargolang Muklas Adi Putra Muthi, Dimas Ibnu Nabila Salsabila Naila Umniati Naryama Harahap Nasution, Adnan Buyung Nasution, Muhammad Irwan Padli Nasution, Ratna Sabrina Nasution, Rukiah Navea, Roy Francis Novita Amalia Nst, Muhammad Taufik Akbar Nuha, Salsabila Isnain Nur Jamiyyah Nuri Aslami Nurkosrina Aisah Nurlangga, Rama Nopan Nurul Wahdina ‘Ain Siregar Okta Yuliardi Oris Krianto Sulaiman Pane, Ogie Ariansah Pasaribu, Afifah Balqis Pinka, Maura Morena Prabowo, Eko Heri Pradika, Ade Risky Pratama, Aryo Pratama, Dian Agus Pulungan, Rudi Ismail Puspa Ramadhani Putri Febriana Aulia Putri Ramadhani Putri Ratricia Putri, Sabrina Raflikha Aliana A. Raof Raflikha Aliana A. Raof Rahma Azizah Lubis Rahman, Fazlur Rahmat Juniarif Zendrato Raissa Amanda Putri Ramadan, Chafiz Rambe, Siska Mayasari Ranis Hsb Rasyad, Ismi Hamidah Raynaldi, Ahmad Razvan Serban Relita Theresia Reza Rizki Arifianda Rianto Sitanggang Rika Pirmasari Purba Rina Sari, Diah Ayu Risdayanti, Monica Rissa Azzahra Damanik Ritonga, Nola Putri Rizky Akbar Siregar Rizky Akbar Situmeang Rizky Khairuna Safitri, Mayang Sahputra, Arfi Andi Samsudin Samsudin, Samsudin Samsul Bahri Siagian Sandy Akbar Siregar Sanjaya, Bima Saputri, Indah Sari, Anggy Permata Selli Aprilla Simargolang Sembiring, Dita Sucinta Septiana Dewi Andriana, Septiana Dewi Seraya, Alya Shinta Fadhillah Silvia Paramita Simargolang, Muhammad Yasin Siregar, Muzakkir Rizky Siska Mayasari Rambe Sity Tree Adinda Tambunan Suendri Suendri Suendri Suendri, Suendri Suendri, Suendri Sweety, Miana Syahputra, Adam Syahputra, Muhammad Zarwin Tasya Annisa Simatupang Tika Liana Triase Triase Triase Triase Triase, Triase Triska Andini Ulhaque, Nida Umniati, Naila Utama, Huzefah Valerry, Adele WidyaWahyu Cahyani Wildani, Wildani Wisaksono, Aizat Yahfizham Yahfizham Yudhistira, Yudhistira Yun Betry Siagian Yustria Handika Siregar Yusuf Hanifiah Zakiyah Khalilah Daulay Zarkasih Harahap, Imam