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HUBUNGAN AKREDITASI DAN UJIAN NASIONAL PADA SEKOLAH NEGERI DENGAN GENERALIZED STRUCTURED COMPONENT ANALYSIS Rezi Wahyuni; Budi Susetyo; Anwar Fitrianto
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Applications Vol 3 No 3 (2019)
Publisher : Statistics and Data Science Program Study, SSMI, IPB University, in collaboration with the Forum Pendidikan Tinggi Statistika Indonesia (FORSTAT) and the Ikatan Statistisi Indonesia (ISI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/ijsa.v3i3.342

Abstract

There are several views and tendencies that distinguish between schools and madrasas in several aspects, one of them is the curriculum. Madrasah as islamic educational institution contains more religious lessons compared to public schools. As a result, madrasah are considered less able to provide good result in educational achievement. Overall, the education system which is based on National Education Standards (SNP) is used for assessing the educational accreditation. SNP is the minimum criterion of education system in Indonesia can be evaluated from the National Examination (UN). As latent variable, SNP is measured through 124 items as variable indicators. One of methods which is used to measure the relationship among latent variables, and latent variables with their indicator variables is structural equation modeling (SEM). A component-based SEM is called Generalized Structured Component Analysis (GSCA). GSCA analysis based on measurement model, there were 9 indicators were not significant, in which 1 indicator of standard of education and staff (SPT), 5 indicators on standard of infrastructure (SSP), and 3 indicators on standard of cost (SB). Evaluation of the structural model, it was found that the path coefficient of standard of content (SI) to UN was not significant and standard of competency (SKL) given the biggest direct effect to UN. The overall goodness of fit model showed that the total variance that can be explained of all indicators and latent variables in evaluating model of accreditation and national examinations was 63.9%. The difference in the percentage of accreditation status between schools and madrasas shows different UN results. In the 2017-2018 period, MTsN had a higher percentage of accredited schools, in line with that the average MTsN UN obtained was better than that of SMP in all types of subjects.
PERBANDINGAN MODEL GARCH SIMETRIS DAN ASIMETRIS PADA DATA KURS HARIAN Isna Shofia Mubarokah; Anwar Fitrianto; Farit M Affendi
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Applications Vol 4 No 4 (2020)
Publisher : Statistics and Data Science Program Study, SSMI, IPB University, in collaboration with the Forum Pendidikan Tinggi Statistika Indonesia (FORSTAT) and the Ikatan Statistisi Indonesia (ISI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/ijsa.v4i4.709

Abstract

ARCH and GARCH models are widely used in financial data to describe its volatility pattern. The models assume the positive and negative return residual gives the same or symmetric influence on its volatility. However, in reality, this assumption is frequently violated, which is called heteroscedasticity. Therefore, to deal with heteroscedasticity and asymmetric data, the asymmetric GARCH models, which are EGARCH and GJR-GARCH models are used. This research aims to compare the models between symmetric and asymmetric GARCH to make financial data modeling. It uses daily data on three foreign exchange rates for IDR including IDR/CNY, IDR/JPY, and IDR/USD. The data series to be used here are from January 4, 2016, to January 20, 2020. This research method is started by selecting the best mean model for each data. Based on the best mean model, then modeling the mean and variance function are simultaneously conducted using the GARCH model. To test whether there was an asymmetric effect on the data, a Lagrange multiplier test was applied on the residuals of the GARCH model. The results show that the asymmetric effect was found in the IDR/CNY and IDR/JPY exchange rates. To overcome this asymmetric effect, EGARCH and GJR-GARCH model were applied to the two exchange rates. Then the two models are compared to find out which volatility model is better. Using AIC and BIC we find EGARCH as the best model for IDR/CNY exchange rates daily return and GJR-GARCH as the best model for IDR/JPY exchange rates daily return.
Identification Pharmacodynamic Interactions of Active Compounds of Diabetes Mellitus Type 2 Herbal Plants Using the Random Forest Method: Identifikasi Interaksi Farmakodinamik Senyawa Aktif Tanaman Jamu Diabetes Melitus Tipe 2 Menggunakan Metode Random Forest M. Aiman Askari; Farit M. Afendi; Anwar Fitrianto; Sony Hartono Wijaya
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Applications Vol 6 No 2 (2022)
Publisher : Statistics and Data Science Program Study, SSMI, IPB University, in collaboration with the Forum Pendidikan Tinggi Statistika Indonesia (FORSTAT) and the Ikatan Statistisi Indonesia (ISI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/ijsa.v6i2p245-260

Abstract

Drug-drug interactions is defined as the modification of the effect of a drug as a result of another drug given simultaneously or with an interval or when two or more drugs interact so that the effectiveness or toxicity of one or more drugs changes. Pharmacodynamic interactions are one type of interaction that needs special attention because these interactions work directly on the body's physiological systems and compete on the same receptors so that they can be antagonistic, additive, or synergistic. The use of medicinal plants is becoming an alternative because in addition to their relatively safer side effects, medicinal plants consisting of active compounds are appropriate in treating degenerative metabolic diseases triggered by mutations in many genes. As in the case of polypharmacies, interactions of active compounds in medicinal plants can also lead to phapharmodynamic interactions. Therefore, it is also necessary to identify the active compounds so that it can then be known whether the interaction of the compounds will be beneficial or detrimental. In this study, pharmacodynamic identification was applied to Diabetes Mellitus Type 2 medicinal plant compounds by using the independent variables Target Protein Connectedness (TPC), Side Effect Similarity (SES), and Chemical Similarities (CS) using Random Forest classification method. From a search of various databases, 21 active compounds were obtained and then only 100 compound interactions could be calculated as independent variables. With an accuracy value and AUC of 0,96, there were 93 pairs of compounds that interacted pharmacodynamically and the remaining 7 did not interact.
Sentiment Analysis of Twitter Users’ Opinion Towards Face-to-Face Learning: Analisis Sentimen Tanggapan Masyarakat Pengguna Twitter terhadap Pembelajaran Tatap Muka Silmi Annisa Rizki Manaf; Aam Alamudi; Anwar Fitrianto
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Applications Vol 7 No 1 (2023)
Publisher : Statistics and Data Science Program Study, SSMI, IPB University, in collaboration with the Forum Pendidikan Tinggi Statistika Indonesia (FORSTAT) and the Ikatan Statistisi Indonesia (ISI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/ijsa.v7i1p15-31

Abstract

In early 2022, the government allowed face-to-face learning again after approximately one year of online learning. When face-to-face learning will be held again in several areas, the number of Covid-19 has increased and the government has imposed the enforcement of restrictions on community activities. The pros and cons of face-to-face learning also occur on social media, one of them is on Twitter. This study used twitter data for January 30th – February 7th 2022. Opinions on twitter regarding face-to-face learning were studied by sentiment analysis using the binary logistic regression method with sentiment classes being positive and negative. Labeling uses based on the final score of the difference between the number of positive and negative words. The purpose of this study is to determine the public’s perception of the policy of implementing face-to-face learning in the era of the Covid-19 on social media especially Twitter. From this study, public’s perception tends to be in a negative direction which indicates that they have not agreed enough with the existence of face-to-face learning in the period of February 2022 with the accuracy was 85%, sensitivity was 77%, specificity was 88%, and AUC was 91%.
Comparison Between SARIMA and DeepAR with Optuna Hyperparameter Optimization for Estimating Rice Production Data in Indonesia Muhammad Farhan Zahid; Anwar Fitrianto; Pika Silvianti; Aam Alamudi
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Applications Vol 8 No 2 (2024)
Publisher : Statistics and Data Science Program Study, SSMI, IPB University, in collaboration with the Forum Pendidikan Tinggi Statistika Indonesia (FORSTAT) and the Ikatan Statistisi Indonesia (ISI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/ijsa.v8i2p95-111

Abstract

Forecast is a prediction of future events that had taken a significant role in our society especially when facing time-sensitive issues like food availability. Food is a critical aspect in ensuring people's welfare, especially in a country like Indonesia with a large population. Availability and access to rice are a vital need for the people of Indonesia. Rice is not only the main source of carbohydrates, but also has a central role in the cultural and social aspects of Indonesian society. Forecasting can be a strategy to anticipate fluctuations in food demand and supply. Forecasting can be an important instrument for the government and stakeholders to make the right and effective decisions. The growing period of rice which is heavily influenced by seasonality makes DeepAR and SARIMA techniques a good solution to solve this problem. Both methods offer the ability to address features in rice production such as trends, seasonality, and anomaly effects. This study demonstrates that DeepAR, especially when optimized with Optuna, outperforms SARIMA in forecasting rice production in Indonesia, as evidenced by superior performance in key evaluation metrics such as Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE).
Regresi Logistik Biner dan Support Vector Machine dalam Klasifikasi Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Rupmana Butar Butar; Destriana Aulia Rifaldi; Anwar Fitrianto; Pika Silvianti
Jurnal Teknik Informatika dan Sistem Informasi Vol 12 No 1 (2026): JuTISI
Publisher : Maranatha University Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.28932/jutisi.v12i1.11853

Abstract

Binary Logistic Regression and Support Vector Machine (SVM) are two widely used classification methods in data analysis, especially for problems with categorical target variables. In this study, these two methods are compared to classify the Human Development Index (HDI) status of Indonesia in 2024. The initial data consists of five predictor variables, but after conducting a correlation analysis to avoid multicollinearity, only three variables were used in the modeling. The Synthetic Minority Over-Sampling Technique (SMOTE) was applied to address class imbalance. Binary Logistic Regression was chosen due to its good interpretability, while SVM was used as a comparison due to its robustness against outliers. Evaluation results show that Binary Logistic Regression achieved an accuracy of 87.85%, slightly higher than SVM, which reached 86.92%. Therefore, Binary Logistic Regression is considered more optimal in classifying HDI status on the data that has been balanced and simplified. This study contributes to the application of statistical methods and machine learning in supporting human development analysis based on data.
Analisis Pola Konvergensi Transpor Kelembapan Udara di Indonesia Bagian Barat Menggunakan K-Means dengan Pembobotan Statistik dan Hierarchical Shape-Based Clustering Asri Pratiwi; Tukhfatur Rizmah Azis; Anwar Fitrianto; Erfiani Erfiani; L.M. Risman Dwi Jumansyah
KUBIK Vol 9 No 2 (2024): KUBIK: Jurnal Publikasi Ilmiah Matematika
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Technology, UIN Sunan Gunung Djati Bandung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15575/kubik.v9i2.39753

Abstract

This study analyzes the convergence patterns of Vertically Integrated Moisture Transport (VIMT) in the western region of Indonesia using the K-Means method with statistical weighting and Hierarchical Shape-Based Clustering based on Dynamic Time Warping (DTW). Daily data on specific humidity, zonal wind speed, and meridional wind speed from 2020–2023 were used to calculate VIMT. Clustering methods were utilized to identify grouping patterns in moisture transport data. The results showed that moisture convergence significantly increased during the rainy season (November–February). Using the K-Means method, five clusters with clearer separations were obtained compared to the four clusters produced by the Hierarchical Clustering method. Performance evaluation using Silhouette and Calinski-Harabasz scores indicated that the K-Means method was superior, with scores of 0.37 and 104.88 compared to 0.13 and 96.34 for the Hierarchical method. This provides an understanding of the moisture transport patterns, serving as a reference for predicting weather and climate patterns, thereby supporting efforts to mitigate the impacts of extreme weather in Western Indonesia.
Perbandingan Metode K-Means dan OPTICS dalam Penggerombolan Kemiskinan Multidimensi di Indonesia Devi Permata Sari; Tasya Anisah Rizqi; Anwar Fitrianto; Erfiani M.S; L.M. Risman Dwi Jumansyah
KUBIK Vol 9 No 2 (2024): KUBIK: Jurnal Publikasi Ilmiah Matematika
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Technology, UIN Sunan Gunung Djati Bandung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15575/kubik.v9i2.39877

Abstract

Kemiskinan multidimensi tetap menjadi tantangan serius di Indonesia meskipun telah mengalami penurunan dalam beberapa tahun terakhir. Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis dan membandingkan pola kemiskinan multidimensi di 34 provinsi Indonesia menggunakan metode K-Means dan OPTICS Clustering. Data kemiskinan multidimensi yang digunakan mencakup aspek ekonomi, pendidikan, ketenagakerjaan, dan standar hidup dari Badan Pusat Statistik. Analisis statistik deskriptif mengungkapkan kesenjangan signifikan antar provinsi dalam berbagai dimensi kemiskinan, dengan korelasi tertinggi sebesar 0,4 antara dimensi pendidikan dan status ketenagakerjaan. K-Means Clustering mengidentifikasi 5 cluster provinsi dengan karakteristik beragam, menunjukkan adanya trade-off antara akses fasilitas dan tingkat kemiskinan. Sementara itu, OPTICS Clustering menghasilkan 2 cluster utama, dengan cluster 1 terdiri dari 24 provinsi yang memiliki kondisi cenderung homogen dan cluster 2 terdiri dari 7 provinsi dengan karakteristik yang berbeda secara signifikan. Perbandingan performa menunjukkan OPTICS unggul dengan nilai Silhouette Index dan WCSS yang lebih baik dibandingkan K-Means. Temuan ini memberikan kontribusi penting dalam analisis kemiskinan multidimensi di Indonesia dan dapat dimanfaatkan untuk merancang program pengentasan kemiskinan yang lebih terlokalisasi sesuai karakteristik masing-masing cluster.
Co-Authors -, Salsabila A. A., Muftih Aam Alamudi Abd. Rahman Adeline Vinda Septiani Agus M Soleh Agus Mohamad Soleh Ahmad Syauqi Aimandiga, Carlya Agmis Aji Hamim Wigena Alfa Nugraha Alfa Nugraha Pradana Alfa Nugraha Pradana Alfa Nugraha Pradana Alfa Nugraha Pradana Alfi Indah Nurrizqi Alifviansyah, Kevin Aliu, Mufthi Alwi ALIU, MUFTIH ALWI Amalia Kholifatunnisa Amanda, Nabila Amatullah, Fida Fariha Amelia, Reni Amir Abduljabbar Dalimunthe Amri Luthfi Najih Anadra, Rahmi Anang Kurnia Anang Kurnia Andi Harismahyanti A. Angelia, Riza Rahmah Anik Djuraidah Anisa Nurizki Annissa Nur Fitria Fathina Ardhani, Rizky Arifa, Panji Lokajaya Aristawidya, Rafika Asri Pratiwi Asri Pratiwi, Asri Assyifa Lala Pratiwi Hamid Az-Zahra, Putri Nisrina Azis, Tukhfatur Rizmah Aziza, Vivin Nur Bagus Sartono Budi Susetyo Bukhari, Ari Shobri Cahya Alkahfi Choon, Lai Ming Daswati, Oktaviyani Defri Ramadhan Ismana Deri Siswara Dessy Rotua Natalina Siahaan Dessy Siahaan Destriana Aulia Rifaldi Devi Permata Sari Devi Permata Sari Dian Handayani Dwi Jumansyah, L.M. Risman Erfiani Erfiani Erfiani Erfiani Erfiani Erfiani Erfiani M.S Fadilah, Anggita Rizky Fahira, Fani Farit M Affendi Farit M. Afendi Farit Mochamad Afendi Fatimah Fatimah Fauziah, Monica Rahma Febriati, Baiq Nina Fulazzaky, Tahira Ghina Fauziah Gustiara, Dela Hari Wijayanto Hasnataeni, Yunia Hasnita Hasnita Heri Cahyono I Gusti Ngurah Sentana Putra I Made Sumertajaya Ilham Azagi Ilmani, Erdanisa Aghnia Imam Hanafi Indah, Yunna Mentari Indahwati Indahwati Indahwati Indahwati, Indahwati Irsyifa Mayzela Afnan Irzaman, Irzaman Ismah, Ismah Isna Shofia Mubarokah Iswan Achlan Setiawan Iswati Jamaluddin Rabbani Harahap Jap Ee Jia Jia, Jap Ee Jumansyah, L. M. Risman Dwi Jumansyah, L.M. Risman Dwi Kamila, Sabrina Adnin Kevin Alifviansyah Khairil Anwar Notodiputro Khikmah, Khusnia Nurul Khusnia N. K. Khusnia Nurul Khikmah Kriswan, Suliana Kusman Sadik L.M. Risman Dwi Jumansyah L.M. Risman Dwi Jumansyah La Ode Abdul Rahman La Ode Abdul Rahman Linganathan, Punitha lmam Hanafi M. Aiman Askari M.S, Erfiani Maisa Salsabila Marshelle, Sean Megawati Megawati Muftih Alwi Aliu Muftih Alwi Aliu Muh Akbar Idris Muh. Sunan Muhadi, Rizqi Annafi Muhammad Farhan Zahid Muhammad Irfan Hanifiandi Kurnia Muhammad Rizky Nurhambali Muhammad Syafiq Muhammad Yusran mutiah, siti Mutmainah, Zamrah Nabila Fida Millati Nabila Ghoni Trisno Hidayatulloh Nadira Nisa Alwani Nashir, Husnun Nisa Nur Aisyah Novi Hidayat Pusponegoro Nugraha, Adhiyatma Nur Hidayah Nur Khamidah NURADILLA, SITI Nurizki, Anisa Pangestika, Dhita Elsha Pika Silvianti Pika Silvianti Pika Silvianti Pradnya Sri Rahayu Pratiwi, Nafisa Berliana Indah Punitha Linganathan Putri Auliana Rifqi Mukhlashin Putri, Mega Ramatika Rachmat Bintang Yudhianto Rachmat Bintang Yudhianto Rafika Aufa Hasibuan Rahmasari, Hazelita Dwi Rahmatun Nisa, Rahmatun Rais Ramadhan, Syaifullah Yusuf Reka Agustia Astari Reni Amelia Reni Amelia Retna Nurwulan Reyuli Andespa Riansyah, Boy Rifda Nida’ul Labibah Riska Yulianti, Riska Rizaldi Boer Rizki Manaf, Silmi Anisa Rizki, Akbar Rizqi, Tasya Anisah Rupmana Butar Butar Sachnaz Desta Oktarin salsa bila Sari, Jefita Resti Seta Baehera Setyowati, Silfiana Lis Siau Hui Mah Siau Man Mah Silmi Annisa Rizki Manaf Silmi Annisa Rizki Manaf Siregar, Indra Rivaldi Siti Hafsah Siti Hasanah Siti Nur Azizah, Siti Nur Sofia Octaviana Sony Hartono Wijaya Suantari, Ni Gusti Ayu Putu Puteri Suliana Kriswan Sundari, Marta Tangdilomban, Claudian Tikulimbong Tangke, Nabillah Rahmatiah Tasya Anisah Rizqi Titin Yuniarty Yuniarty Tukhfatur Rizmah Azis Unique DA Resiloy Uswatun Hasanah Utami Dyah Syafitri Utami, Annisa Putri Utomo, Agung Tri Vitona, Desi Vivin Nur Aziza Wahda, Aisya Wina Waliulu, Megawati Zein Wan Muhamad, Wan Zuki Azman Wan Zuki Azman Wan Muhamad Wan Zuki Azman Wan Muhamad Wan Zuki Azman Wan Muhamad Waode, Yully Sofyah Widyawati, Amalia Safira Winata, Hilma Mutiara Xin, Sim Hui Yenni Angraini Yudhianto, Rachmat Bintang Yuniarsyih R.A, Rizqi Dwi Yusuf, Fajar Athallah Zaenal, Mohamad Solehudin Zahra, Latifah Zein Rizky Santoso