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Indriastiningsih, Erna
Teknik Industri Universitas Sahid Surakarta
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Journal : JURNAL LENTERA BISNIS

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PENGGUNAAN PROYEKSI TREN DI UMKM NN UNTUK MEMENUHI PERMINTAAN KONSUMEN Nur Safina; Erna Indriastiningsih; Agung Widiyanto Fajar Sutrisno
JURNAL LENTERA BISNIS Vol. 13 No. 1 (2024): JURNAL LENTERA BISNIS, Januari 2024
Publisher : POLITEKNIK LP3I JAKARTA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34127/jrlab.v13i1.1016

Abstract

MSMEs (Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises) in Indonesia have a major influence in terms of economic growth. NN MSMEs are MSMEs engaged in culinary. One type of NN MSME product is ready-to-eat emping. Often during the Eid al-Fitr holiday experience overwhelmed in terms of meeting the demand for ready-to-eat emping. This study aims to assist NN MSMEs in estimating the amount of consumer demand for ready-to-eat emping, as well as to find out the best results and methods in calculating forecasting in trend projection methods. The trend projection method used in forecasting calculations in this case is linear regression and least squares. Meanwhile, to calculate the error value from the forecasting results using the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD), Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) methods. The best method from the results of this study is to use a linear regression method with demand values for 2024, 2025 and 2026 during Eid al-Fitr are 1771.23 kg, 1914.24 kg, and 2057.25 kg respectively with error values of MAD, MSE and MAPE respectively are 612.0781, 525807.4 and 48.83%. Keywords: Forecasting, Trend Projections, MSMEs, Consumer Demand
Co-Authors Afif Mar'ah Iftinan Nur Firdaus Afif Mar'ah Iftinan Nur Firdaus Agung Widiyanto Agung Widiyanto Fajar Sutrisno Ahmad Khoirul Anwar Ahmad Khoirul Anwar Alvin Aprillia Alvin Aprillia Anang Novida Harinurdin Andrik Purwasito Anita Oktavia Trisna Devi Anita Oktaviana Trisna Devi anitaotd Annisa Indah Mutiasari Annisa Indah Mutiasari Aqsal Faiz Al Hayy Ardyanto, Slamet Ariastuti, Reni Asri Ady Bakri Bekti Nugrahadi Bekti Nugrahadi Bekti Nugrahadi3 Dahlan Susilo Darsini Darsini Devi, Anita Oktavia Trisna Devi, Anita Oktaviana Trisna Devi, Anita Oktaviana Trisna Dwi Wahyu Hidayat, Dwi Wahyu Dzul Arnendy Muhammad Edi Sutanto Eka Hendrayani Erwin Kartinawati Fadilah Qonitah Fajar Sutrisno, Agung Widiyanto Fauzan, Zulfahmi Fauzi, Afif Febriansyah, Mohamad Dwiky Fitriyadi, Farid Fitriyadi, Farid Fortmonty Yusmanda Putri Galih Oktavian Giyanti, Ida Hendy Tannady I Ketut Suada Ida Giyanti Imron Natsir, Imron Indriani, Lely Isna Nugraha Jeryco Etwan Resha Putra Karnawi Kamar, Karnawi Khamaludin, Khamaludin Kholifah, Anis Nur Kusnadi, Iwan Henri Kusumawati, Nita Machvira Laksono, Muflih Adi Lisdiyanto, Eri Litazary, Faradila Loso Judijanto M. Syaifuddin, M. Marenda Julian Wibowo Marmo, Suryatno Moh. Erkamim Muhammad Hafid Ridlo Nugroho Muhammad Syafri Muqorobin, Muqorobin Musran Munizu Mustofa As'ady Nabila, Jihan Nanding Arief Ekhsandy Nanding Arief Ekhsandy Nasyita Vivi Amalia Nelson Pardede Nelson Pardede, Nelson Nugrahadi, Bekti Nugroho, Muhammad Hafid Ridlo Nur Safina Parmini Primasanti , Yunita Primasanti, Yunita Puspandari, Adinda Rahmawati, Nofa Dwi Retnawati Siregar Rezky Nurbakti Sadewa, Rifky Ian Saroafifa Indriani Sekar Ayu Kartikaning Bonde Semtandi Darmawan Sihombing, Dina Agnesia Suryatno Marmo Sutomo . Tri Ngudi Wiyatno Trisna Devi, Anita Oktaviana Utami, Eva Yuniarti Vivid Violin Wahyuningsih, Dewi Hermawati Widagdo, Arisena Widiyono, Widiyono Yoga Pribadi Putra Yovani Ririsa Sitanggang Yudhi Feri Kurniawan Yunanto, Bekti Yunita Primasanti Yunita Primasanti Yunita Primasanti Zia Ulhaq