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All Journal Nominal: Barometer Riset Akuntansi dan Manajemen Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Jurnal Akuntansi & Auditing Indonesia JURNAL SISTEM INFORMASI BISNIS Wahana Riset Akuntansi Optimum : Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Wiraraja Medika: Jurnal Kesehatan Journal of Accounting and Investment Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Sistemasi: Jurnal Sistem Informasi Jati: Jurnal Akuntansi Terapan Indonesia Jurnal Administrasi dan Manajemen Pendidikan Jurnal Ekonomi & Keuangan Islam Jurnal Analisis Bisnis Ekonomi JMM (Jurnal Masyarakat Mandiri) EKUITAS (Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan) Jurnal Bisnis Terapan Jurnal Maternitas Kebidanan Akurasi : Jurnal Studi Akuntansi dan Keuangan Journal of Contemporary Accounting JURNAL ILMIAH OBSGIN : Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Kebidanan & Kandungan JURNAL MEDICAL JAMP : Jurnal Administrasi dan Manajemen Pendidikan Abdi Masyarakat The Indonesian Journal of Accounting Research Abdi Laksana : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Journal On Teacher Education (Jote) Jurnal Perangkat Lunak MURHUM : JURNAL PENDIDIKAN ANAK USIA DINI Jurnal Kesehatan Tambusai International Journal of Engagement and Empowerment (IJE2) Journal of Basic Education Research Al-Ashr : Jurnal Pendidikan dan Pembelajaran Dasar KARYA: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Jurnal Saintekom : Sains, Teknologi, Komputer dan Manajemen Telaah Bisnis Jurnal Keperawatan J-Intech (Journal of Information and Technology) Jurnal Pusat Inovasi Masyarakat Jurnal Studi Ilmu Sosial dan Politik Rahmatan Lil’alamin Journal of Community Services (RLA) Media Riset Akuntansi Auditing & Informasi Medic Nutricia : Jurnal Ilmu Kesehatan IQTISHADUNA: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Kita Journal of Nursing Update Jurnal Ners Lentera Jurnal Analisis Bisnis Ekonomi
Marfuah Marfuah
Accounting Department, Faculty Economics, Universitas Islam Indonesia
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Journal : JURNAL SISTEM INFORMASI BISNIS

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Early Detection of Patient Surge Anomalies in Hospitals: A Comparative Analysis of Gradient Boosting, Random Forest, and SVM Masparudin, Masparudin; Marfuah, Marfuah; Abdullah, Abdullah
Jurnal Sistem Informasi Bisnis Vol 15, No 4 (2025): Volume 15 Number 4 Year 2025 (In Press)
Publisher : Diponegoro University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/vol15iss4pp%p

Abstract

Unpredictable fluctuations in patient visits often lead to resource unpreparedness and decreased service quality in hospitals. This study aims to develop an early warning system for patient surges across 110 healthcare service units. Unlike conventional approaches utilizing static thresholds, this study proposes a Statistical Anomaly Detection method based on Z-Score for dynamic labeling and applies Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique (SMOTE) to address extreme data imbalance. Three classification algorithms—Gradient Boosting Classifier (GBC), Random Forest (RF), and Support Vector Machine (SVM)—were compared using time-series lag features and volatility trends. Experimental results demonstrate that Gradient Boosting outperformed other methods, achieving the highest F1-Score of 37.35% and a Recall of 48.98%, proving its robustness in detecting anomalies within imbalanced data. This study concludes that integrating statistical anomaly-based labeling with ensemble boosting algorithms effectively mitigates noise in heterogeneous hospital visit data, thereby serving as a reliable basis for proactive managerial decision-making.
Co-Authors Abda Abda Abdullah Abdullah Adam, Steffi Afifah, Ummul Afifah, Ummul Fitri Afuan Fajrian Putra Ahmad Suriansyah Ainul Yaqin Salam Akbar Handoko Alfarizi, Muhammad Alfiani, Yulisa Alifia Rachma Diani Alminanda, Putri Alminanda, Putri Amanda Pramesti Nimaswara Amanda, Febrina Ananda, Rizky Andri Puren Noor Azizah Anggini Asmara Dewati Anton Nasrullah, Anton Ardiansyah, Ahmad Risdan Ardiarmi, Kinanthi Putri Ari, Yuseva Gita Arifah, Medisa Roro Putri Nur Ayun, Ayun Bibet, Bibet Bily, M. Arda Cahniyo Wijaya Kuswanto Cempaka, Sinta Chivalrind G Ayuntari Chivalrind Ghanevi Ayuntari Crismono, Prima Cristi Damanik, Syahroni Dinar, Canita Rismatika Ditama, Richza Ariyo Dodik Hartono Elfiani, Fitri Elga Yanuardianto Elvira Sari Dewi Furtasan Ali Yusuf Ghozalba, Iqbal Maulana Hamsyah, Erica Mariah Salma Hanafi, Syadely Hanifiyah, Fitriyatul Hermanu Widjaja, Hermanu Hermin Endaryati Hidayah, Annisa Nur Hudi, Saman Inayah, Selvia Indah Utami, Lutfianah Indriyani, Damayanti Isnawati, Iin Aini Jani, Ariyan Jannah, Riska Raudhatul Khairunissa, Adinda Khansa Khusaini, Ahmad Komarudin Komarudin Koswara, Risandi Kristianingrum, Niko Dima Kumboyono Kumboyono Kurniyanti, Novia Laila Rahmawati Laila Tiffani Lubis, Romadhan Luthfiani, Asri Pangesti Machfud, Savinka Salsabiela Iriana Maharani, Yestias Maharani, Yestias Mardiyana Mardiyana Mariani Mariani Marlina Marlina Marsela, Helen Masparudin, Masparudin Mujahidin, Brilianza Azharul Mutoharoh, Mutoharoh Nadhilah Riswina Hilda Nailussaada, Diah NISA, AN Nulipyeni, Riana Nurakhmawati, Eva Nurdifanti, Afhia Nurfatulloh, Nurfatulloh Nursuhaida, Haffa Syafana Nuryati Nuryati Padri, Jerri Yan Pasha Hilman Ismail Permatasari, Berlyana Priyono Puji Prasetyo Priyono Puji Prasetyo Priyono Puji Prasetyo Priyono Puji Prasetyo, Priyono Puji Purnawati, Sinta Qauli, Ismayan Queroda, Phillip G. Ratnaningrum, Devi Rediana, Made Yunia Riswandha, Sofyan Rizka Yunita Ro’isah, Ro’isah Sakilah Sakilah Salsabilla, Selfira Sanintya Mayantya Sasmika, Nanda Selfira Salsabilla Sembiring, Elya Rosa Br Septi Nurhayati Septiani, Shifa Septiasih, Wike Siahaan, May Frinsiska Sinta Purnawati Siti Rahma Solehah, Imratu Solehudin, Solehudin Sri Soenarti Sri Wahyuni Suhaida, Suhaida Suneri, Suneri Suparna, Dade Supriadi Supriadi Sururi Sururi, Sururi Sutrisna, Endi Tanjaya, David Tarmizi, Masetah Ahmad Teuku Heriansyah, Teuku Tiara, Tiara Vivi Surohmawati Widia Astuti Widiantoro, Suryo Wijaya, Gabriel Alan Wulansari, Mely Wulansari, Mely Yuliana Yuliana Yuliawan Dwi Cahyono Yuliezar Perwira Dara, Yuliezar Perwira Zulhilmi, Ardan