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TRANSMISI HARGA TEH HITAM GRADE DUST INDONESIA Muhammad Fadhil Adinugroho; Harmini Harmini
Forum Agribisnis Vol 1 No 2 (2011): FA Vol 1 No 2 September 2011
Publisher : Magister Science of Agribusiness, Department of Agribusiness, FEM-IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/fagb.1.2.183-199

Abstract

The objectives of this paper are (1) to analyze the relationship of “dust grade” tea price at Jakarta, Colombo and Guwahati Tea Auction Markets, and (2) to perform Vector Autoregression (VAR) models in order to forecast the “dust grade” tea price at Jakarta Tea Auction Market. Grade dust tea is used to make the tea bag. The average weekly price of dust grade tea from the third week of February 2009 until the second week of April 2011 was used in this analysis. The results showed that firstly, there was no significant price transmission from Colombo and Guwahati Tea Auction Markets to Jakarta Tea Auction Market. There was no significant co-integration among the three markets. As a matter of fact, the price of dust grade tea at Jakarta Tea Auction Market was affected by its price of one week earlier at its own market. Secondly, Naïve model was more accurate compared to VAR model in order to forecast the price of dust grade tea at Jakarta Tea Auction Market. Further research is needed in order to perform the more accurate forecasting model to predict the price of dust grade tea at Jakarta Tea Auction Market.
MODEL DINAMIS SISTEM KETERSEDIAAN DAGING SAPI NASIONAL Harmini Harmini; Ratna Winandi Asmarantaka; Juniar Atmakusuma
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 12, No 1 (2011): JEP Juni 2011
Publisher : Muhammadiyah University Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v12i1.211

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to assess whether the national program on beef self sufficiency could be achieved at 2014. A dynamic system model with Vensim computer program is applied. The model validated by Mean Absolute Percentage Error. The results shows high accuracies of the model. The assessment show that, first, the beef self sufficiency would not be achieved at 2014 if the program are treated and running as usual (Scenario I). Second, the beef self sufficiency would be achieved at 2015 if government increase the cow population by reducing the slaughter of local cows and expanding the cross breeding program through artificial insemination (Scenario II). Third, the beef self sufficiency would not be achieved at 2014 if the actual beef consumption are higher than the supply that produce through Scenario II (Scenario III). Another innovative solution for increasing local cow population is needed.
KARAKTERISASI POPULASI DAN POTENSI CACING TANAH UNTUK PAKAN TERNAK DARI TEPI SUNGAI KAHAYAN DAN BARITO M. A. Firmansyah; Suparman Suparman; Harmini Harmini; I.G.P. Wigena; Subowo Subowo
BERITA BIOLOGI Vol 13, No 3 (2014)
Publisher : Research Center for Biology-Indonesian Institute of Sciences

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14203/beritabiologi.v13i3.677

Abstract

The spread of earthworm habitat much larger on the banks of the rivers in Central Kalimantan.The aim of this study was to characterize the habitat of earthworm located on banks of the rivers of Kahayan and Barito. Preparation of soil profile with dimension 1x1 m and a depth of 20 cm was conducted using transect procedure and positioned from dried riverbed up to river embankment. The results showed that earthworms with a larger size identified as Lumbriscus terrestris was mainly found in Kahayan river, while for relatively smaller species, it was found at Barito river identified as Lumbriscus rubellus. The number of L .rubellus populations is more 12 and 522 earthworms per layer than L. terrestris. The shallow of water level for ground water and rough texture was not suitable condition for earthworm habitat at both location. The level of protein and ash content are 30.30 % and 42.78 % respectively and higher compared to L. rubellus i.e 13.28 % and 6.27% respectively.
PENGARUH KUOTA EKSPOR TERHADAP HARGA KARET DOMESTIK INDONESIA Alfi Nurdina; Harmini; Amzul Rifin
Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan Vol 15 No 2 (2021): .
Publisher : Trade Analysis and Development Agency, Ministry of Trade of Republic of Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30908/bilp.v15i2.609

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Abstrak Agreed Export Tonnage Scheme merupakan kebijakan pembatasan kuota ekspor karet alam oleh Indonesia, Malaysia dan Thailand. Kebijakan ini diduga memengaruhi harga karet alam di tingkat petani. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh kebijakan kuota ekspor terhadap harga karet alam domestik Indonesia di tingkat petani. Penelitian menggunakan data time series bulanan dari Januari 2013 sampai Desember 2019 menggunakan Error Correction Model. Dalam jangka panjang, harga karet alam pada periode sebelumnya, nilai tukar, konsumsi, produksi dan harga karet alam dunia signifikan. Sementara itu, dalam jangka pendek, harga karet alam pada periode sebelumnya, nilai tukar, dan harga karet alam dunia juga signifikan. Variabel total ekspor dan dummy kebijakan tidak signifikan baik dalam jangka panjang maupun jangka pendek. Hal ini diduga karena harga karet alam tidak lagi bergantung pada faktor fundamental tetapi disebabkan oleh faktor eksternal lainnya. Perbaikan diperlukan, termasuk desain kebijakan yang komprehensif, implementasi dan evaluasi teknis yang jelas, serta kolaborasi tambahan dengan produsen karet alam lainnya. Selain itu, sejalan dengan kebijakan pembatasan ekspor, Indonesia perlu mendorong pertumbuhan industri pengolahan karet alam menjadi produk hilir. Kata Kunci: ECM, Karet Alam, Harga Domestik, AETS Abstract Agreed Export Tonnage Scheme is a policy of limiting natural rubber export quotas by Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand. This policy is suspected to affect the price of natural rubber at the farm level. This study aims to analyze the effect of the export quota policy on Indonesia's domestic natural rubber prices at the farm level. The study uses monthly time series data from January 2013 to December 2019 used Error Correction Model. In the long term, natural rubber prices in the previous period, exchange rate, consumption, production, and world natural rubber prices are significant. Meanwhile, in the short term, natural rubber prices in the previous period, exchange rates, and world price natural rubber were significant. The variable total exports and the policy dummy are not significant both in the long and short term. This is presumably because natural rubber prices no longer depend on fundamental factors but are caused by other external factors. Improvements are needed, including comprehensive policy design, clear technical implementation, and evaluation, as well as additional collaboration with other natural rubber producers. In addition, in line with the export restriction policy, Indonesia needs to encourage the growth of the natural rubber processing industry into downstream products Keywords: ECM, Natural Rubber, Domestic Price, AETS JEL Classification: Q17, Q18, Q21
DAYA SAING USAHA TERNAK SAPI PERAH RAKYAT DI KECAMATAN PUJON KABUPATEN MALANG JAWA TIMUR Harmini adibowo; Feryanto willcharo
Media Ekonomi Vol. 22 No. 1 (2014): April
Publisher : Lembaga Penerbit Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (2401.814 KB) | DOI: 10.25105/me.v22i1.2818

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Up to present, the dairy farmers only able to meet 25-30 percent of all milk demand in Indonesia, although milk and its derivatives continues to increase steadily. This condition occurs due to low milk productivity, small-scale dairy farm unit, inadequate government policies as well as economic globalization. The objectives of this study are, first, to measure the competitiveness of the small-scale dairy farm. Second, to evaluate the impact of government policies. Third, lastly, to analyse the implication of price changes on input-output. A Policy Analysis Matrix (PAM) for data is applied. The results show that, first, the small-scale dairy farms operate in competitiveness. Second, so far government policies did not provide adequate incentives and directly promote the dairy farms’ competitiveness. Third, high import tariff (15 percent) could significantly protect the competitiveness of the small-scale dairy farms.
Biaya Kebakaran Gambut yang Ditanggung oleh Rumah Tangga Petani di Kecamatan Air Sugihan, Kabupaten Ogan Komering Ilir Novi Anggraini; Harianto Harianto; Harmini Harmini
Jurnal Ilmu Pertanian Indonesia Vol. 28 No. 2 (2023): Jurnal Ilmu Pertanian Indonesia
Publisher : Institut Pertanian Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18343/jipi.28.2.305

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The purpose of this study is to estimate the costs borne by farming households due to peatland fires. The research location was Air Sugihan District, Ogan Komering Ilir Regency, and 3 villages were selected representing the district i.e., Rengas Abang Village, Nusa Karta Village, and Jadi Mulya Village. Twenty samples of farmer households were taken as respondents. Data collection activities were carried out in August‒September 2021. Data analysis methods used Cost of Illness, Loss of Earnings, Equivalency Analysis, and Loss on Farming. Economic losses due to forest and peatland fires in Air Sugihan District, Ogan Komering Ilir Regency amounted to IDR773.338.080 with 1.91% of medical expenses, 0.27% of additional cost of drinking water, 41.91% of increase in farming costs, and losses of farmer income by 55.91%, or IDR557,160/week/farmer household with a total of 1,388 households. The costs paid by farming households in Air Sugihan District, Ogan Komering Ilir Regency due to peatland fires, increased substantially compared to the cost paid before the fire was occurred. It is concluded that in minimizing the impact of forest and peatland fires it is necessary to carry out interventions so that similar incidents do not recur in the future. Keywords: cost, farmers, impact of fire, peatland fires
TRANSMISSION OF SHALLOT PRICE VOLATILITY IN INDONESIA Soraya Astia Putri; Anna Fariyanti; Harmini Harmini
Agrisocionomics: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Vol 7, No 2 (2023): June 2023
Publisher : Faculty of Animal and Agricultural Science, Diponegoro University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/agrisocionomics.v7i2.17405

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Shallots are one of the most volatile food commodities. The volatility of shallot prices can cause volatility for other commodities, coupled with the existence of shallot distribution channels in various markets, allowing volatility to flow between domestic markets. This research aims to analyze shallot price volatility and the transmission of shallot price volatility. This study uses the monthly price of shallots at the consumer level for the period January 2010 - December 2020. To analyze price volatility using the GARCH method and the transmission of volatility using the VAR method. The analysis results show that the level of volatility in the price of Indonesian shallots in East Java has the highest value, followed by DKI Jakarta, Central Java, and West Java. It was found that there is a two-way transmission of shallot price volatility in Indonesia which tends to fluctuate in the long run. Shallot price volatility in DKI Jakarta contributes to price volatility in other regions. A policy from the government is needed that is focused on stabilizing shallot prices in DKI Jakarta so that it does not spread to other region.
PENGARUH PENGGUNAAN BENIH BERSERTIFIKAT TERHADAP EFISIENSI TEKNIS USAHATANI BAWANG PUTIH Lalu Hendri Setiawan; Amzul Rifin; Harmini
Jurnal Penelitian Pertanian Terapan Vol 23 No 3 (2023)
Publisher : Politeknik Negeri Lampung.

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.25181/jppt.v23i3.2974

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The use of certified seeds can increase productivity and technical efficiency of garlic farming. This study aimed to examine the effect of using certified seeds on the technical efficiency and productivity of garlic farming. This study uses secondary data in the form of cross-sections from the Horticultural Plant Household Survey (SHR, 2014) conducted by the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS). The number of samples used is the same as the number of SHR 2014 samples. These data were analyzed using stochastic production frontier sample correction (SC-SPF) combined with propensity score matching (PSM) to eliminate observed and unobserved biases. The average treatment effect on the treated (ATET) used to directly calculate the effect of using certified seeds on productivity and technical efficiency. The average productivity of farmers using certified seeds was higher than that of farmers who did not use certified seeds. Meanwhile, the average technical efficiency (ET) of farmers who use certified seeds is lower than that of farmers who do not use certified seeds. This shows that the use of certified seeds has no effect on the technical efficiency of garlic farming. There are two alternative policies that can be taken, the first is advising farmers not to use certified seeds or the second alternative is improving the mechanism for distributing garlic seed assistance and developing the garlic seed industry.
Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Memengaruhi Ekspor Ikan Tuna Beku Indonesia Veronica do Carmo da Silva; Bayu Krisnamurthi; Harmini
Forum Agribisnis Vol 13 No 2 (2023): FA VOL 13 NO 2 SEPTEMBER 2023
Publisher : Magister Science of Agribusiness, Department of Agribusiness, FEM-IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/fagb.13.2.164-178

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This study aims to analyze the factors affecting Indonesia's frozen tuna exports. The data used in this study is panel data from 2005 to 2020 to export destination countries, such as Thailand, Japan, China and Vietnam. The method used in this research is panel data regression with a gravity model approach. According to the gravity model analisys the variables that have a positive and significant effect are importer population, exchange rate, coverage ratio SPS and TBT, while export price have a negative and significant effect. Otherwise, the variables that have no significant effect was GDPpercapita importer, economic distance and dummy variable impor tariffs. Based on these results, Indonesia needs to focus on increasing frozen tuna export to Thailand, China, Jepang and Vietnam because it will provide great benefits for Indonesia because Indonesia has been able to meet the criteria of standard and regulations imposed by importing countries, besides frozen tuna has high demand, highly export price and than exchange rate is also high in these countries. Furthermore the government always colaborate with producers (exporter) in producing frozen tuna to maintaining the quality of frozen tuna to be maintaned and exsist in export destination countries.
DAMPAK PANDEMI COVID-19 TERHADAP KINERJA EKSPOR CENGKEH INDONESIA Erna Wahdiana; Netti Tinaprilla; Harmini
Forum Agribisnis Vol 13 No 2 (2023): FA VOL 13 NO 2 SEPTEMBER 2023
Publisher : Magister Science of Agribusiness, Department of Agribusiness, FEM-IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/fagb.13.2.193-202

Abstract

Meskipun pada saat pandemi Covid-19 tahun 2020 ekspor sektor pertanian meningkat, namun pada awal tahun 2021 sektor perkebunan kembali mengalami penurunan. Hal ini disebabkan karena terganggunya sistem distribusi di tingkat lokal, domestik, maupun internasional. Hal tersebut juga mempengaruhi harga-harga komoditas perkebunan, salah satu produk perkebunan yang mengalami penurunan harga adalah cengkeh.Tujuan penelitian ini yaitu untuk mengetahui factor yang mempengaruhi kinerja ekspor cengkeh Indonesia. Analisis data menggunakan Gravity model dengan alat abantu eviews 9. Data yang digunakan bersumber dari UN Comtrade. Hasil penelitian yaitu faktor yang berpengaruh positif adalah PDB Indonesia, PDB negara tujuan, populasi dan pandemi covid. Artinya setiap peningkatan 1% akan mempengaruhi kenaikan sebanyak angka koefisien. Dapat disimpulkan bahwa pandemi covid tidak berdampak negatif terhadap kinerja ekspor Indonesia.
Co-Authors Ake Wihadanto Alfi Nurdina Amzul Rifin Ardie Ariyono Ardie Ariyono Ardina, Elfira Nureza Aryadi, Ricky Bambang Haryanto Bayu Krisnamurthi Cahyo, Mukti Dwi Dalimunthe, Nina Rahmida Derman, Derman Diana Andrianita Kusumaningrum, Diana Andrianita Dwi Utami, Anisa Dwi Yulistiani Efendi, Zul Endang Sutedi Erna Wahdiana Ery Sadewa Farah Ratih Farah Ratih Fariyanti, Anna Ferry Firmawan Feryanto Feryanto Feryanto willcharo Firison, Jhon Fitriyan, Moh Tamam Edy Hardja, Adiva Fitri Khalishah Tjiptara Harianto Harianto Harianto Harianto Harianto Harianto Herawati Herawati I.G.P. Wigena Ishak, Andi Ismawati Ismawati Iwan Herdiawan Juniar Atmakusuma Juniar Atmakusuma Juniar Atmakusuma Khairil Anwar Kristiani, Mikha Lailandra, Andjani Lalu Hendri Setiawan Lestari, Puspita Mardika M. A. Firmansyah M. A. Firmansyah Maryono Maryono Mudjiastuti Handajani Muhammad Fadhil Adinugroho Muhammad Fadhil Adinugroho Muthmainnah Firdausa, Mutiara Netti Tinaprilla Novi Anggraini Nunung Kusnadi Nurhaita Nurhaita Prabawa Eka Soesanta Priyo Adi Sesotyo Puspito, Sigit Putra, Aditya Perdana Putri, Tursina Andita Raihan, Putu Kania Ramon, Erpan Ratna Winandi Ratna Winandi Asmarantaka Ratna Winandi Asmarantaka Rita Nurmalina Rosbarnawan, Ferdy Rosiana, Nia Satria Pinandita Soraya Astia Putri Sri Heranurweni Subowo Subowo Subowo Subowo Suharno Suharno Supari Supari Supari, Supari suparman suparman Suparman Suparman Supratman Supratman, Supratman Suprehatin Suprehatin Suryana, Anggita Tresliyana Tarigan, Anita Carolin Aprilia Taufik Hidayat Taupik Rahman Titik Nurhayati Titik Nurhayati Tresia, Gresy Eva Veronica do Carmo da Silva Vinami Yulian Wahyu Adi Nugroho Wardi Wardi Widodo, Dias Wigena, I.G.P. Wisri Puastuti Yanti Nuraeni Muflikh Yanuar, Rahmat Yusman Syaukat