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Fahrudin, Rifqi
Universitas Catur Insan Cendekia
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Journal : JURNAL SISTEM INFORMASI BISNIS

 1 
Sistem Peramalan Kebutuhan Hidup Layak Minimum (Kapita/Bulan) Kota Bandung Fahrudin, Rifqi; Sumitra, Irfan Dwiguna
JSINBIS (Jurnal Sistem Informasi Bisnis) Vol 9, No 2 (2019): Volume 9 Nomor 2 Tahun 2019
Publisher : Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (415.785 KB) | DOI: 10.21456/vol9iss2pp192-203

Abstract

The importance of inflation forecasting is used as a reference for estimating the Need for Living (KHL). If inflation can be predicted with high accuracy, it can certainly be used as the basis for government policy making in anticipating future economic activity. This study aims to produce a model of inflation data forecasting system, the forecasting results can be used as a reference for determining the Decent Living Needs (KHL) of a single worker in one month. The data used in forecasting is inflation data for January 2011 - December 2017 while the KHL data for the food and beverage category is obtained from the food price portal. The method used in this study is the SARIMA-SES hybrid method. In forecasting the inflation rate where the data is in the form of time series, the SARIMA-SES hybrid method can show more accurate forecasting results than using a single method. Based on the comparison of the overall forecasting model and by combining the SARIMA (1,0,1) (1,0,1) 12 and SES models with alpha 0,6 the smallest error value with MAD value 0,114, MSE 0,017 and 0,39% for MAPE. From these results, it was gathered that inflation forecasting in Bandung City using the SARIMA-SES hybrid method has a high accuracy value so that the results of the KHL value calculation with the forecasting inflation value approach the actual value. From these values can be used as a reference for the decision making of a single worker in fulfilling their life needs one month.
Co-Authors Aan Kanivia Abdun Wijaya Adam, Rinaldi Ahmad Fajar Sidik Ahmad Fauzi Al-Farouqi, Kamal Arif Alidzanur, Muhammad Rifqi Alwiyah Alwiyah Amelia Amelia Amroni Amroni Amroni, Amroni Ananda, Fikri Anggara Putra, Dwi Pasha Anis Masruroh, Anis Anissa, Claudia Anjas Perdana Anugrah, Safani Apriliansyah, Yanuar Ardiningrat, Raden Muhamad Rama Poetra Arif Ramadan, Fadli Arrahman, Ade Oktaviano Aryansyah, Dhika Fitra Asih, Victor Astuti, Eka Dian Chandra Lukita Chandra, Aditya Kurniawan Christina, Stefanny Chritviona Parera, Shalom Danang Haryuda Desy Apriani Dewi Iriani Dewi Iriani Dewi Laily Purnamasari DWI CAHYONO Dwi Yulian, Firdaus Eneng Wulan Sari Erwin Erwin fadel, FadelMuhammad Fahrul Firgiana Febima, Mesi Felicia Chandra K Fitri Asih Fitria Fransiska Fedelina Christover Fuji Ayu Lestari, Aidha Genesis Angelia Gidion Aryo Nugraha Pongdatu Hasyim, Faris Henry, Bintang Nanda Hirawan, Kevin Paskah Husni Mubarok Indah Ainun Mutiara Ine Rachmawati Ine Rachmawati Jayawarsa, A.A. Ketut Jerico, Fernand Jessica Felicia Callista Kanivia, Aan Kartika, Viar Dwi Krismeyanto, Samuel Kusnadi Kusnadi Kusnadi Kusnadi Kusnadi Kusnadi Kusnadi Kusnadi Kuusk, Taavi Lena Magdalena Lena Magdalena Lena Magdalena Lena Magdalena, Lena Leni Agustin, Leni Lesmana, Muhammad Angga Lestari, Widyani Ayu Linda Norhan, Linda Lulu Fauziah Marsani Asfi Marsani Asfi Marsani Asfi Martin, Fahriel Valendriana Mesi Febima Mita, Shella Mochamad Rizky Alvin Fernanda Muhammad Hatta Muhammad Hatta Musidiansyah Otto Syaidina Mutohari, A Sobi Nakeisha Wahyudi, Nayla Ningrum, Fanani Islamia Nisa, Nabila Izati Parman, Suhadi Petrus Sokibi Petrus Sokibi Sukanto Petrus Sokibi, Petrus Pranata, Sudadi Putra, Panji Satrio Randika Rachmasari, Melinda Ramdhani, Fathul Reza Ilyasa Rinaldi, Adam Rizky Ramadhan, Rizky Rizqy Imam Saputra Roestamadji, Inne Fitriyani Rohim Kurniwan Elang Saputra ROYANI ROYANI Sahl Sahputra, Illal Dwi Sari, Nabila Rahmatika Shazna Al-Assyah Putri Sinclair, Amelia Sobi Mutohari Solihah, Siti Luthfiatin Solihah, Yuni Awalaturrohmah Sollikhin, Riyadi Suhadi Parman Suhadi Parman Sukma Galih Badriana Sumitra, Irfan Dwiguna Supriyadi, Agung Surya Ramadhan, Hafidz Suwandi Suwandi Syatifa, Audira Freya Tan, Felicia Linggayani Taufiq Subagio, Ridho Tengku Riza Zarzani N Tiomas Simorangkir, Naomi Trivena, Stephani Turini, Turini Unang Solihin Valerian Romero, Ariiq Viar Dwi Kartika Wijaya, Abdun Wijaya, Nikolas Wilson, Ashley Winurcahyono, Alexander Yadi Fauzi, Ahmad Yahya Aladdin Yulianti Yulianti Yuni Awalaturrohmah Solihah Yunia, Laras Maudy Yunika Renatalia Zelene, Aurelie Zidni Ilman Nafi'a