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BICLUSTERING APPLICATION IN INDONESIAN ECONOMIC AND PANDEMIC VULNERABILITY Ningsih, Wiwik Andriyani Lestari; Sumertajaya, I Made; Saefuddin, Asep
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 16 No 4 (2022): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (997.792 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol16iss4pp1453-1464

Abstract

Biclustering is an analytical tool to group data from two dimensions simultaneously. The analysis was first introduced by Hartigan (1972) and applied by Cheng and Church (2000) to the gene expression matrix. The Cheng and Church (CC) algorithm is a popular biclustering algorithm and has been widely applied outside the field of biological data in recent years. This algorithm application in economic and Covid-19 pandemic vulnerability cases is exciting and essential to do in order to get an overview of the spatial pattern and characteristics of the bicluster of economic and COVID-19 pandemic vulnerability in Indonesia. This study uses secondary data from some ministries. Forming a bicluster using the CC algorithm requires determining the delta threshold so that several types of delta thresholds are formed to choose the best (optimum) using the evaluation of the average value of mean square residue (MSR) to volume ratios. The similarity of the optimum bi-cluster with the other is also seen based on the Liu and Wang index values. The 0.01 delta threshold is chosen as the optimum threshold because it produces the smallest average value of MSR to volume ratios (0.00032). Based on Liu and Wang Index values, the optimum threshold has a similarity level below 50% with other types of delta thresholds, so the threshold is the best unique threshold. The optimum threshold resulted in six biclusters (six spatial patterns). Most regions in Indonesia (11 provinces) tend to have low economic and COVID-19 pandemic vulnerability in the first spatial pattern characteristic variables.
FACTORS AFFECTING INDONESIAN PADDY HARVEST FAILURE: A COMPARISON OF BETA REGRESSION, QUASI-BINOMIAL REGRESSION, AND BETA MIXED MODELS Kusumaningrum, Dian; Hidayat, Agus Sofian Eka; Notodiputro, Khairil Anwar; Kurnia, Anang; Sartono, Bagus; Sumertajaya, I Made
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 18 No 4 (2024): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Application
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol18iss4pp2611-2622

Abstract

The Paddy harvest failure rate is one of the key aspects in determining the total number of claims in a crop insurance policy. It is also an important factor indicating the fulfillment of targeted total production. Therefore, we proposed Beta Regression, Quasi Binomial Regression, and Beta Mixed Models which can be used to analyze significant variables affecting paddy harvest failure rates. Model selection and evaluations indicated that the Nested Beta Mixed Model is the best. Previous research has shown four significant fixed effect variables: drought, flood, pests, and disease risks. Pests and other types of risks also affect the variability of loss rate. All variables have positive effects, indicating higher values cause a higher possibility of a higher average harvest failure rate. High variability was shown for province, municipality, and farmers' random effects. Hence, to prevent a more significant loss rate, MoA should consider more intensive and innovative participatory activities in farmer groups to enhance good farming practices, especially for farmers who suffer from certain risks. These activities should also consider the local characteristics of each province or municipality. As for AUTP development and improvement, farmers with lower failure risks could be given a discounted premium to make it more appealing.
Biclustering-Based Analysis to Identify Fruit Production Potential in Indonesia Using Plaid Model Algorithm Alwani, Nadira Nisa; Sumertajaya, I Made; Wigena, Aji Hamim
Scientific Journal of Informatics Vol. 12 No. 3: August 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/sji.v12i3.25054

Abstract

Purpose: The application of biclustering using the plaid model aims to simultaneously identify mapping or grouping patterns of provinces and fruit type in Indonesia. The performance evaluation of the plaid model algorithm is used to assess its capability to discover and generate optimal biclusters, thereby representing the relationship between regions and fruit types with similar production characteristics. Methods: The plaid model algorithm produces optimal biclusters by configuring parameter scenarios such as model selection, managing the number of layers, and determining threshold values for rows and columns. The Average Mean Square Residue (MSR) value and the number of biclusters that can provide the most relevant data are used to determine the optimal parameter selection. Result: The plaid model algorithm effectively grouped provinces and fruit varieties into multiple biclusters. The row-constant model was choosen based on the average MSR value of 2.0537, which formed five overlapping biclusters across provinces and fruit types. Several provinces, such as Central Java and West Java, demonstrated a high potential for rose apples, breadfruit, and salak. Other provinces showed comparatively moderate levels of production. Novelty: This study presents a novel way to apply the plaid model biclustering algorithm to data on fruit varieties in various Indonesian provinces. Rarely used in horticulture, this method offers an alternative perspective on structured commodity mapping, especially when identifying specific patterns between fruit varieties and geographic distribution.
Stacking Ensemble RNN-LSTM Models for Forecasting the IDR/USD Exchange Rate with Nonlinear Volatility Pratiwi, Windy Ayu; Sumertajaya , I Made; Notodiputro , Khairil Anwar
Jurnal Teknik Informatika (Jutif) Vol. 6 No. 4 (2025): JUTIF Volume 6, Number 4, Agustus 2025
Publisher : Informatika, Universitas Jenderal Soedirman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52436/1.jutif.2025.6.4.5057

Abstract

Abstract - Predicting exchange rates with high volatility and nonlinear patterns presents a critical challenge in financial analysis. Deep learning models such as RNN and LSTM are widely used for their ability to capture temporal dependencies, yet each has limitations when applied individually. This study aims to enhance the prediction accuracy of the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) to US Dollar (USD) exchange rate by implementing a stacking ensemble approach that combines RNN and LSTM models. The dataset consists of 522 weekly observations from January 2015 to December 2024, sourced from the official website of Bank Indonesia (bi.go.id). In the proposed framework, RNN and LSTM serve as base learners, while linear regression acts as the meta-learner. Model performance is evaluated using RMSE, MAPE, and MSE. The results indicate that the stacking ensemble consistently outperforms the individual models, achieving an RMSE of 117.91, a MAPE of 0.01, and an MSE of 13,901.67. The model effectively captures historical patterns and delivers stable and accurate predictions. In conclusion, the stacking ensemble approach developed in this study contributes to the advancement of ensemble learning techniques in computer science and offers practical value for financial decision-makers, particularly in managing complex and dynamic exchange rate scenarios.
Synergizing Halal and Sustainable Tourism Practices: Their Influence on Tourist Satisfaction Maulida, Annisaturrahmah; Munandar, Jono Mintarto; Sumertajaya, I Made; Jasiulewicz, Anna
Jurnal Aplikasi Manajemen Vol. 23 No. 2 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Brawijaya, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21776/ub.jam.2025.023.2.05

Abstract

As a sector anticipated to prosper in the long run, the Indonesian tourism industry should create a sustainable tourism model that takes into account the social, environmental, and economic impacts both now and in the future, while addressing the needs of local communities, the environment, the industry, and visitors. Considering that Indonesia is a country with a majority Muslim population, implementing halal tourism is very important for Muslim tourists in Indonesia. Halal tourism is a concept that focuses on meeting the essential needs of Muslims at tourist destinations, including provisions for worship, purification, and travel in accordance with Sharia law. This study aims to examine the impact of sustainable and halal tourism on tourist satisfaction within the Mandalika Special Economic Zone. This study was conducted among 200 Muslim tourists who visited the Mandalika Special Economic Zone by administering an online questionnaire via Google Forms. The collected data were analyzed using PLS-SEM (Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling), which revealed that sustainable tourism significantly impacts halal tourism. In turn, halal tourism significantly affects tourists' perceived value, which in turn significantly influences tourist satisfaction. Therefore, to achieve or increase tourist satisfaction, it is necessary to increase sustainable tourism, halal tourism, and tourist perceived value.
Pattern Recognition of Food Security in Indonesia Using Biclustering Plaid Model Hikmah, Nur; Sumertajaya, I Made; Afendi, Farit Mochamad
JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) Vol 7, No 4 (2023): October
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31764/jtam.v7i4.16778

Abstract

Biclustering come in various algorithms, selecting the most suitable biclustering algorithm can be a challenging task. The performance of algorithms can vary significantly depending on the specific data characteristics. The Plaid model is one of popular biclustering algorithms, has gained recognition for its efficiency and versatility across various applications, including food security. Indonesia deals with complex food security challenges. The nation's unique geographic and socioeconomic diversity demands region-specific food security solutions. Identifying province-specific food security patterns is crucial for effective policymaking and resource allocation, ultimately promoting food sufficiency and stability at the regional level. This study assesses the performance of the Plaid model in identifying food security patterns at the provincial level in Indonesia. To optimize biclusters, we explore various parameter tuning scenarios (the choice of model, the number of layers, and the threshold value for row and column releases). The selection criteria are based on the change ratio of the initial matrix's mean square residue to the mean square residue of the Plaid model, the average mean square residue, and the number of biclusters. The constant column model was selected with a mean square residue change ratio of 0.52, an average mean square plaid model residue of 4.81, and it generates 6 overlapping biclusters. The results show each bicluster has unique characteristics. Notably, Bicluster 1 that consist of 2 provinces, exhibits the lowest food security levels, marked by variables X1, X2, X4, and X7. Furthermore, the variables X1, X4, and X7 consistently appear across several biclusters. This highlights the importance of prioritizing these three variables to improve the food security status of the regions. 
Biclustering Performance Evaluation of Cheng and Church Algorithm and Iterative Signature Algorithm Sumertajaya, I Made Sumertajaya; Ningsih, Wiwik Andriyani Lestari; Saefuddin, Asep; Rohaeti, Embay
JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) Vol 7, No 3 (2023): July
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31764/jtam.v7i3.14778

Abstract

Biclustering has been widely applied in recent years. Various algorithms have been developed to perform biclustering applied to various cases. However, only a few studies have evaluated the performance of bicluster algorithms. Therefore, this study evaluates the performance of biclustering algorithms, namely the Cheng and Church algorithm (CC algorithm) and the Iterative Signature Algorithm (ISA). Evaluation of the performance of the biclustering algorithm is carried out in the form of a comparative study of biclustering results in terms of membership, characteristics, distribution of biclustering results, and performance evaluation. The performance evaluation uses two evaluation functions: the intra-bicluster and the inter-bicluster. The results show that, from an intra-bicluster evaluation perspective, the optimal bicluster group of the CC algorithm produces bicluster quality which tends to be better than the ISA. The biclustering results between the two algorithms in inter-bicluster evaluation produce a deficient level of similarity (20-31 percent). This is indicated by the differences in the results of regional membership and the characteristics of the identifying variables. The biclustering results of the CC algorithm tend to be homogeneous and have local characteristics. Meanwhile, the results of biclustering ISA tend to be heterogeneous and have global characteristics. In addition, the results of biclustering ISA are also robust.
Implementation of Gamma Regression and Gamma Geographically Weighted Regression on Case Poverty in Bengkulu Province Azagi, Ilham Alifa; Sumertajaya, I Made; Saefuddin, Asep
JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) Vol 8, No 3 (2024): July
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31764/jtam.v8i3.22930

Abstract

Spatial analysis involves leveraging spatial references inherent in the data being analyzed. The method to be used in spatial analysis is the Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) method. GWR is an extension of the linear regression model at each location by adding a weighting function to the model. Generally, the GWR model uses residuals with a normal distribution in its analysis. One distribution that can be used is the gamma distribution. With the development of methods in statistics, when a response variable follows a gamma distribution, analysis is performed using Gamma Regression (GR). GR analysis is conducted because the response variable meets the gamma distribution assumption. One method used for spatial effects with a gamma-distributed response variable is the Gamma Geographically Weighted Regression (GGWR) method. In 2022, Bengkulu Province was among the ten poorest provinces in Indonesia. Therefore, the main objective is to compare the GR and GGWR models and analyze the factors affecting poverty in Bengkulu Province using these models. The results of this study show that the GR model has an R² accuracy of 87.93%, while the GGWR model has an R² accuracy of 95.87%. This indicates that the best model for the analysis is the GGWR. An example of the GGWR model equation for poverty in Bengkulu Province is Y=exp⁡(-6.039+3.15×〖10〗^(-6) X_1-0.055X_2+0.156X_4-0.00021X_5+0.004X_7-0.021X_8-0.006X_9+4.794×〖10〗^(-5) X_10). The factors influencing the GGWR model in Bengkulu Province are Population, Life Expectancy, Average Years of Schooling, Adjusted Per Capita Expenditure, School Participation Rate, Per Capita Expenditure on Food, Households Receiving Rice for the Poor, and Gross Regional Domestic Product. The benefit of this research is to serve as a reference for the provincial government of Bengkulu regarding the variables that influence poverty. It is expected that this will help the government reduce the poverty rate in Bengkulu Province. 
A Hybrid Sampling Approach for Handling Data Imbalance in Ensemble Learning Algorithms Astari, Reka Agustia; Sumertajaya, I Made; Soleh, Agus Mohamad
Scientific Journal of Informatics Vol. 12 No. 2: May 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/sji.v12i2.19163

Abstract

Purpose: This research aims to address the methodological challenges posed by imbalanced data in classification tasks, where minority classes are severely underrepresented, often leading to biased model performance. It evaluates the effectiveness of hybrid sampling techniques specifically, the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique combined with Neighborhood Cleaning Rule (SMOTE-NCL) and with Edited Nearest Neighbors (SMOTE-ENN) in improving the predictive performance of ensemble classifiers, namely Double Random Forest (DRF) and Extremely Randomized Trees (ET), with a focus on enhancing minority class detection. Methods: A total of eighteen simulated scenarios were developed by varying class imbalance ratios, sample sizes, and feature correlation levels. In addition, empirical data from the 2023 National Socioeconomic Survey (SUSENAS) in Riau Province were employed. The data were partitioned using stratified random sampling (80% training, 20% testing). Models were trained with and without hybrid sampling and optimized through grid search. Their performance was evaluated over 100 iterations using balanced accuracy, sensitivity, and G-mean. Feature importance was interpreted using Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP). Results: DRF combined with SMOTE-NCL consistently outperformed all other models, achieving 87.56% balanced accuracy, 82.17% sensitivity, and 86.75% G-mean in the most extreme simulation scenario. On the empirical dataset, the model achieved 76.37% balanced accuracy and 75.49% G-mean. Novelty: This study introduces a novel integration of hybrid sampling techniques and ensemble learning within an interpretable machine learning framework, providing a robust solution for poverty classification in imbalanced datasets.
Rice Price Forecasting for All Provinces in Indonesia Using The Time Series Clustering Approach and Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition Ilmani, Erdanisa Aghnia; Sumertajaya, I Made; Fitrianto, Anwar
Scientific Journal of Informatics Vol. 12 No. 1: February 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/sji.v12i1.23536

Abstract

Purpose: Accurate forecasting of rice prices is essential to ensure food security and a healthy economy for a country like Indonesia. Problems regarding time-series phenomena, such as trends or seasonality, are problematic for traditional approaches like ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average). This study analyzes the effect of EEMD (Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition) combined with time-series data clustering on forecasting accuracy. Methods: From 2009 until 2023, the thirty-two Indonesian provincial rice prices were grouped monthly into time-series clusters using hierarchical clustering, average linkage, and DTW (Dynamic Time Warping). After clusterization, the time series were decomposed using the ensemble EEMD method to extract their IMFs (Intrinsic Mode Functions) and residual components. Each IMF was assigned an ARIMA model. The model forecast was generated by adding all individual estimates. MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) was used to measure the model's performance. Result: The prices were divided into three clusters with an optimized region. Price changes are well captured through EEMD, where the residual components contributed predominantly to the long-term trends. The validation of the prediction showed MAPE values under 10% for the majority of the provinces, which indicates a relatively accurate prediction. On the other hand, some regions had inaccuracies that were higher than others due to uncontrollable fluctuations. Novelty: This study integrates clustering with EEMD decomposition for monthly rice price forecasting using data from 32 Indonesian provinces from 2009 - 2023, offering a novel approach that improves traditional techniques. The model can capture distinct regional price patterns and provide essential information to policymakers to manage rice supply and price stabilization. Further studies can develop external hybrid models with economic variables.
Co-Authors A Kurnia A. A. Mattjik AA Mattjik Abd. Rasyid Syamsuri Abdu Alifah Abdul Aziz Nurussadad Ade Gusalinda Adelia Putri Pangestika Adiyana, Imam Afendi, Farit M Agus Mohamad Soleh Agustin Faradila Ahmad Anshori Mattjik Ahmad Ansori Matjjik Ahmad Ansori Mattjik Ahmad Ansori Mattjik Aidi, Muhamad Nur Aidi, Muhammad N Aini, Febri Nur Aji Hamim Wigena Akbar Rizki Alfian Futuhul Hadi Alwani, Nadira Nisa Amanda Permata Dewi Anang Kurnia Andi Setiawan Andina Fahriya Andrew Donda Munthe Anggraini Sukmawati Anggriyani, Indah Ratih Anik Djuraidah Arina, Faula Aropah, Vina Da'watul Aropah, Vina Da’watul ASEP SAEFUDDIN Astari, Reka Agustia Azagi, Ilham Alifa Azis, Irfani Bagus Sartono Budi Susetyo Choiriyah, Evita Choirun Nisa CHOIRUN NISA Chrisinta, Debora Cici Suhaeni Cynthia Wulandari Dede Dirgahayu Domiri Dede Dirgahayu Domiri, Dede Dirgahayu Dian Kusumaningrum Dian Kusumaningrum Diki Akhwan Mulya Doni Suhartono Dwi Agustin Nuriani Sirodj Dwi Yulianti Embay Rohaeti Emeylia Safitri Erfiani Erfiani Erfiani Erfiani, Erfiani Erwina Erwina Evita Choiriyah Fadhlia, Sarah Fadilah, Anggita Rizky FAHREZAL ZUBEDI Faqih Udin dan Jono M. Munandar Meivita Amelia Faradila, Agustin Farit M Afendi Farit Mochamad Afendi Fitria Hasanah Fitrianto, Anwar Halimatus Sa'diyah Hari Wijayanto Haryastuti, Rizqi Hengki Muradi Hidayat, Agus Sofian Eka Hilda Zaikarina Huda, Usep Firdaus Humairoh, Andi Zahira Al I Gede Nyoman Mindra Jaya IJSA, Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Its Applications Ilma Nabila Ilmani, Erdanisa Aghnia Imam Adiyana Indahwati Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Its Applications IJSA Iqbal, Teuku Achmad Irfani Azis Irfani Azis Ismah, Ismah Isti Rochayati Itasia Dina Sulvianti Jamaluddin Rabbani Harahap Jasiulewicz, Anna Khairil Anwar Notodiputro Kurnia, A Kusdaniyama, Nunung Kusman Sadik Laradea Marifni Lestari P, Merryanty Linda Sakinah M Afendi, Farit M. Syamsul Maarif Ma'mun Sarma Manuel Leonard Sirait Manuel Leonard Sirait Manuel Leonard Sirait Mattjik, AA Maulida, Annisaturrahmah Mega Pradita Pangestika Meilania, Gusti Tasya Merryanty Lestari P Mintarto Mundandar, Jono Muhamad Nur Aidi Muhammad Amirullah Yusuf Albasia Muhammad N Aidi Muhammad Nur Aidi Muhammad Ulinnuha Mulianto Raharjo Munanda, Jono Mintarto Munthe, Andrew Donda Muradi, Hengki Newton Newton Newton, Newton Nina Valentika Ningsih, Wiwik Andriyani Lestari Noercahyo, Unggul Sentanu Novi Hidayat Pusponegoro Nunung Kusdaniyama Nunung Kusdaniyama Nur Hikmah Nurlia Eka Damayanti Nurpadilah, Winda Nurus Sabani Pasaribu, Sahat M. Pepi Novianti Pika Silvianti Pratiwi, Windy Ayu Pratiwi, Windy Ayu Pudji Muljono Purwaningsih, Siti Samsiyah Puspasari, Novia Rahardiantoro, Septian Rahma Anisa Rahma Anisa Rhesa Adisty, Mohamad Risnawati, I'lmisukma Rita Rahmawati Rizqi Haryastuti Rochayati, Isti Sahat M. Pasaribu Sarah Fadhlia Sarma, Ma’mun Satria Yudha Herawan SATRIYAS ILYAS Setyono Setyono Setyono Sirait, Manuel Leonard Siti Samsiyah Purwaningsih Sri Surjani Tjahjawati Suhaeni, Cici Sunardi Sunardi Sunardi Suruddin, Adzkar Adlu Hasyr Sutomo, Valantino A Syafitri, Utami Syella Sumampouw Tsabitah, Dhiya Tsabitah, Dhiya Ulayya Ulfah Sulistyowati Ulfah Sulistyowati Ulinnuha, Muhammad Utami Dyah Syafitri Valantino A Sutomo Valentika, Nina Wibowo, Dwi Yoga Ari Winda Nurpadilah Windi D.Y Putri Wiwik Andriyani Lestari Ningsih Yenni Angraini Yoga, Ibnu Abi Zaikarina, Hilda Zulkarnain, Rizky