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THE ROLE OF HUMAN CAPITAL IN MODERATING THE INFLUENCE OF MSME INVESTMENT AND GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION ON INCLUSIVE ECONOMIC GROWTH IN INDONESIA Yusnidar, Yusnidar; Srinita, Srinita; Abrar, Muhammad
PROCEEDING OF INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON EDUCATION, SOCIETY AND HUMANITY Vol 3, No 1 (2025): First International Conference on Education, Society and Humanity
Publisher : PROCEEDING OF INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON EDUCATION, SOCIETY AND HUMANITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

This study investigates the short-run effects of Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprise (MSME) investment and Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) on inclusive economic growth in Indonesia, with human capital included as a moderating variable. Using annual time-series data from 1990 to 2024 sourced from the World Bank, the analysis applies Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) to evaluate the interaction between investment and human capital. The empirical findings show that MSME investment and human capital exert strong and significant positive influences on inclusive growth, while GFCF demonstrates a positive but relatively modest direct impact. Furthermore, human capital significantly enhances the effects of both MSME investment and GFCF, emphasizing its role as a catalyst in improving investment productivity and inclusiveness. This study provides updated empirical evidence on Indonesia’s investment–growth nexus by applying an interaction-based MRA framework to long-term data, highlighting the strategic importance of integrating human capital development within investment-driven growth policies.
PENGARUH GOVERNMENT BOND YIELD DAN TINGKAT INFLASI TERHADAP INVESTASI ASING LANGSUNG DI INDONESIA satria, wisnu; Nasriyal, Nasriyal; Marfali, Said Raushan; Abrar, Muhammad; Fachrurrozi, Kamal; Kadri, Mirzatul; Ichwan, Ichwan
Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika Vol 10 No 1 (2026): Jurnal Samuka
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Samudra

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33059/jse.v10i1.14137

Abstract

Penelitian ini menganalisis pengaruh imbal hasil obligasi pemerintah (government bond yields) dan inflasi terhadap Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) di Indonesia menggunakan data sekunder periode 2003–2024 dengan metode regresi linier berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa imbal hasil obligasi pemerintah berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap FDI. Artinya, ketika imbal hasil obligasi meningkat, investor asing memandang adanya peningkatan risiko dalam perekonomian, sehingga mereka lebih memilih instrumen keuangan yang dianggap aman dibandingkan melakukan investasi jangka panjang. Akibatnya, arus masuk FDI ke Indonesia cenderung menurun seiring meningkatnya imbal hasil obligasi pemerintah. Sementara itu, inflasi tidak terbukti berpengaruh signifikan terhadap FDI dalam periode penelitian. Hal ini dapat mengindikasikan bahwa fluktuasi inflasi berada dalam rentang yang masih dapat diprediksi atau telah diperhitungkan oleh investor asing, sehingga tidak secara langsung memengaruhi keputusan mereka dalam menanamkan modal. Model regresi yang digunakan telah memenuhi asumsi klasik, seperti normalitas, tidak adanya multikolinearitas, serta tidak terjadi heteroskedastisitas dan autokorelasi. Dengan demikian, hasil penelitian dinilai reliabel. Secara keseluruhan, penelitian ini menegaskan bahwa pergerakan imbal hasil obligasi pemerintah merupakan faktor penting dalam memengaruhi arus masuk FDI ke Indonesia.
Climate Stress, Inflation, and Foreign Investment: Do Growth and Corruption Control Shape Inequality? Zahara, Riska; Majid, M Shabri Abd; Abrar, Muhammad
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 15 No. 1 (2026)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v15i1.46506

Abstract

Research Originality: This study provides a new contribution by examining climate stress, inflation, and foreign investment within a single integrated framework. By uniting environmental, macroeconomic, and governance factors, it offers a clearer understanding of the structural drivers of inequality in ASEAN-4. Research Objectives: The study examines the impacts of climate change, inflation, and foreign investment on inequality and evaluates how economic growth and corruption control moderate these effects. Research Methods: The study uses annual panel data for Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines from 2002 to 2023 and applies moderated panel regression analysis to estimate both direct and interaction effects. Empirical Results: Climate pressures and foreign investment increase inequality, while inflation slightly reduces it. The analysis also shows that economic growth lessens the inequality effect of foreign investment, whereas stronger corruption control unexpectedly amplifies it, suggesting that better governance does not automatically ensure fairer investment outcomes. Implications: These findings suggest that ASEAN-4 policymakers must align inclusive growth, inflation stability, environmental action, and improved governance to effectively reduce inequality and support sustainable development. JEL Classification: D63, E31, F21, O44, O43
The Political Economy of Development: State–Market Relations and Global Capitalism in The Scholarly Literature Abrar, Muhammad; Muladi, Muhammad Aris
JURNAL NAWALA POLITIKA Vol. 4 No. 1 (2026): Jurnal Nawala Politika
Publisher : Department of Political Science, Faculty of Social and Political Science, Udayana University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/jnp.v4i1.2345

Abstract

The political economy of development is a significant field of inquiry that examines the interaction between political power and economic dynamics at the national and global levels. This study aims to map and analyze the development of the political economy of development literature, with a particular focus on state–market relations and global capitalism. The research employs a Systematic Literature Review (SLR) combined with bibliometric co-occurrence analysis of peer-reviewed journal articles published between 2000 and 2025. Bibliographic data were analyzed using VOSviewer to identify thematic clusters, conceptual linkages, and temporal research trends. The findings indicate that the political economy of development literature is structured around several core themes, including the role of the state and public institutions, global capitalism and economic globalization, and state–market relations in the formulation of development policies. The results further suggest that global capitalism shapes national policy spaces asymmetrically, leading state–market relations to be understood as a dynamic arena of negotiation rather than a binary opposition. Moreover, the growing use of bibliometric approaches reflects increasing methodological maturity and reflexivity within the field of political economy of development studies. This study contributes by providing a systematic mapping of the intellectual structure and research trajectories of the political economy of development, while offering a conceptual foundation for future research and the formulation of adaptive development policies in the context of global capitalist dynamics.
Co-Authors . Zulfan Abdul Karim, Bisyri Adam, Chaidir Adrinur, A. Imal Agus Haryono Al-Munawir, Al-Munawir Aliasuddin Aliasuddin Alifia Fadhilah, Devina Amalia, Nuelda Angga, Binanga Arafat, M. Y. Aulianur, Ahlul Corry Corvianawatie, Corry Darmawan Darmawan Diaz Cahyani, Rahma Duyo, Rizal Ahdiyat Firdaus, Adhityas Gatot Nazir Ahmad Geubrina, Yulia Hafitz, Hafitz Hanif, Andriyatno Harahap, Nurhaliza Hariyanti, Tika Ayu ICHWAN ICHWAN Idrus, Ilham Ihza, Muhammad Herizal Indraaryani Suryaalamsah, Inne Isnawati, Putri Kadri, Mirzatul Kamal Fachrurrozi Karim, Firmansyah Khadijah, St Kunto Wibowo Kusumo, Suryo Laksmi Fitriyani, Sri Lawang, Hasanna Lefantri , Leo Luthfiah Azzahra, Fadhelina M. Shabri Abd. Majid Mahmudah, Istiyati Marfali, Said Raushan Maulana Maulana, Maulana Maulana, Harist Mauliani, Nina Mochammad Arifin Monicha, Miranda Muladi, Muhammad Aris Muzzakar, Kahar Nasriyal, Nasriyal NEVIATY PUTRI ZAMANI Ningsih, Febry Claudia Nirwana, Hafsah Nunung Cipta Dainy Oktaviani, Annisa Paipan, Sahrul Permana, Syeprianto Putra, Masteria Yunovilsa Putra, Wahyu Hanafi R, Mhd. Randa Haikal Raja Masbar Regina Rahmi Ridwang Ridwang, Ridwang Rikoh Manogar Siringoringo Rizkiansyah , Rikaz Rossanto Dwi Handoyo Rustam Effendi Safira, Sasha Safrirullah, Safrirullah Salatalohi, Abu Sam Wouthuyzen Sandi, Kurnia Saputra, Jumadil Satria, Wisnu Sekar Maharani, Jihan Shanty Savitri Silvia, Vivi Sofyan Syahnur Srinita, Srinita Sulistyowati Sulistyowati Suprianto, Gaguk Suradi Suradi Surani Tahir, Ilyas Taufiq Carnegie Dawood Tri Aryono Hadi Umi Mardiyati Vivine Nurcahyawati Yanti, Rina Yanuar, Yogi Yennafri, Yennafri Yulianingsih, Kiki Yulianti, Reka Yusnidar Yusnidar Zahara, Riska Zamzamil, Mhd. Madil Zulha, Arienal Martha