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ZERO INFLATED POISSON REGRESSION MODELS TO ANALYZE FACTORS THAT INFLUENCE THE NUMBER OF MEASLES CASE IN JAVA Weni Utomo, Candra R. W. S; Efendi, Achmad; Wardhani, Ni Wayan Surya
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 19 No 2 (2025): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Application
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol19iss2pp721-732

Abstract

Measles is an infectious disease that often occurs in children and is caused by the measles virus (morbillivirus) which can cause death. Thus, it is important to identify the factors that cause measles. The number of measles cases is used as response variable in the form discrete data so that Poisson Regression is commonly used. However, some assumptions are sometimes not met, such as overdispersion and excess zero so that can use Zero Inflated Poisson Regression to meet these assumptions. Because the model can overcome two common characteristics that are often found in count data, which are excess zero and overdispersion. The purpose of this study was to determine the factors that influence the number of measles cases in East Java. The data in the study used secondary data obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS). The predictor variables used were the number of population, percentage of vaccination, percentage of poor people, and percentage of adequate sanitation. The results showed that the data is overdispersed because the variance is greater than the mean. There were four predictor variables, The -value of the total population variable is <0.01, the percentage of vaccinations is 0.914, the percentage of poor people <0.01 and the percentage of proper sanitation is 0.014 so it can be concluded that the percentage of vaccinations has no effect on the number of measles cases and the other three variables affect the number of measles cases in East Java. The best model of affect the number of measles cases in East Java is Zero Inflated Poisson with AIC value 326.24. The ZIP model for measles case in East Java is .
THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATING FACTORS IN STUNTING: LOGISTIC PATH ANALYSIS OF ORDINAL DATA Yulianto, Shalsa Amalia; Solimun, Solimun; Efendi, Achmad; Fernandes, Adji Achmad Rinaldo
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 19 No 2 (2025): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Application
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol19iss2pp1119-1132

Abstract

Logistic path analysis is used to analyze direct and indirect causal relationships between exogenous-endogenous variables with categorical data types. This study aims to apply logistic path analysis to ordinal categorical data and model the relationship between exogenous variables that affect nutritional status and physical status (stunting) in toddlers in Sumberputih Village, Wajak District. The data used is secondary data obtained from the results of filling out questionnaires in Sumberputih Village at the time of data collection in 2022-2023. The sample used in the study was 100 housewives who had toddlers. The sampling technique used was judgment sampling. However, the study only selected the variables of Birth Weight, Dietary Habits, Nutritional Status, and Physical Status (Stunting). The result of this study is that the variable of Birth Weight has a significant direct effect on Nutritional Status. The variable of Birth Weight has an indirect effect, and the total effect on Physical Status (Stunting) mediated by Nutritional Status is not significant. Meanwhile, the Diet variable has a significant direct effect on Physical Status. In addition, the Socioeconomic Condition variable can moderate the relationship between the Birth Weight variable and Physical Status. The diversity of data that can be explained by the model is 80.36%, while the rest is explained by other variables outside the model by 19.64%.
Pengaruh Aspek Psikomotorik Terhadap Prestasi Akademik Mahasiswa Akbar, Sa'idah; Efendi, Achmad; Damingun, Damingun
Journal of Accounting and Finance Management Vol. 6 No. 2 (2025): Journal of Accounting and Finance Management (May - June 2025)
Publisher : DINASTI RESEARCH

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.38035/jafm.v6i2.1864

Abstract

Prestasi akademik mahasiswa merupakan indikator utama keberhasilan dalam proses pendidikan tinggi, yang tidak hanya dipengaruhi oleh kemampuan kognitif, tetapi juga oleh faktor-faktor lain seperti aspek psikomotorik. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh aspek psikomotorik terhadap prestasi akademik mahasiswa pada Program Studi S1 Manajemen Universitas Muhammadiyah Kalimantan Timur. Penelitian ini menggunakan jenis pendekatan kuantitatif. Populasi penelitian adalah seluruh mahasiswa semester 8 yang berjumlah 328 orang, dan sampel diambil sebanyak 180 responden menggunakan teknik simple random sampling. Data primer diperoleh melalui kuesioner dan observasi, sedangkan data sekunder diperoleh dari dokumen akademik. Instrumen penelitian divalidasi melalui uji validitas dan reliabilitas, serta dianalisis menggunakan regresi linear sederhana. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa aspek psikomotorik berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap prestasi akademik mahasiswa. Model regresi menunjukkan koefisien positif dengan nilai signifikansi di bawah 0.05, yang mengindikasikan bahwa semakin tinggi kemampuan psikomotorik mahasiswa, maka semakin tinggi pula prestasi akademiknya. Temuan ini menegaskan pentingnya pengembangan keterampilan psikomotorik sebagai bagian dari strategi pembelajaran di perguruan tinggi untuk meningkatkan hasil belajar mahasiswa.
Pemberdayaan Remaja Dengan Edukasi HIV AIDS Untuk Mengurangi Dampak Pergaulan Bebas Firmanti, Tria Anisa; Wilujeng, Atik Pramesti; Putri, Novita Surya; Syahbana, Ali; Supriyanto, Supriyanto; Efendi, Achmad; Sholihin, Sholihin
Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Bhinneka Vol. 3 No. 4 (2025): Bulan Juli
Publisher : Bhinneka Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58266/jpmb.v3i4.240

Abstract

Peningkatan angka kejadian HIV AIDS di Banyuwangi terus terjadi pada tiga tahun terakhir dan tertinggi nomer didominasi oleh usia remaja yang sebagain besar berjenis kelamin laki-laki. Kasus HIV AIDS di Banyuwangi berada pada peringkat ke 4 di Provinsi Jawa Timur setelah Surabaya. Masalah utamanya adalah motivasi masyarakat untuk melaksanakan pemeriksaan dan pengetahuan yang kurang terkait pencegahan dan penularan penyakit HIV AIDS. Tujuan pengabdian masyarakat ini adalah meningkatkan pengetahuan tentang edukasi HIV AIDS untuk mengurangi dampak pergaulan bebas. Metode pengabdian masyarakat menggunakan 2 tahap yaitu tahap persiapan dan tahap pelaksanaan. Pengabdian masyarakat dilaksanakan dengan mitra MAN 1 Banyuwangi pada 36 siswa-siswi pengurus OSIS dalam bentuk ceramah, PPT dan diskusi interaktif yang diawali pemberian kuesioner sebelum edukasi dan diakhiri dengan kuesiner setelah edukasi. Hasil kuesioner menunjukkan sebelum diberikan edukasi kesehatan sebagain besar kurang 63,9% dan Setelah diberikan edukasi kesehatan menunjukkan hampir seluruhnya baik 88,9%. Remaja yang diberikan pendidikan kesehatan dalam jangka waktu lama minimal 1 bulan dapat meningkatkan pengetahuan dan perubahan sikap dalam mencegah dan penularan HIV AIDS menjadi lebih baik.
The Influence of Cognitive and Psychomotor Aspects on Students’ Academic Achievement Anggriawan, Muhammad Verry; Efendi, Achmad; Damingun
Jurnal Manajemen Pendidikan Vol. 16 No. 1 (2025): Jurnal Manajemen Pendidikan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21009/jmp.v16i1.55604

Abstract

Background Many students struggle to understand complex academic material, which negatively impacts their academic performance Purpose This study aims to examine the influence of psychomotor and cognitive aspects on the academic achievement of management students at Muhammadiyah University of East Kalimantan. Design/method/approach This study uses a quantitative research design. Data were collected through structured questionnaires distributed directly to the selected students, as well as documentation of their academic records. The sample of 180 students was determined using the Slovin formula and selected by random sampling from a total population of 328 students. The collected data were analyzed statistically using SPSS 27 software, employing classical assumption tests, multiple linear regression, and hypothesis testing to assess the relationship between cognitive factors and academic achievement. Results The analysis revealed that cognitive aspects have a significant positive influence on the academic achievement of eighth-semester management students at Universitas Muhammadiyah Kalimantan Timur. Students who demonstrated stronger cognitive skills—such as critical thinking, understanding, and the ability to analyze material—tended to achieve higher academic performance, as reflected in their GPA and other academic indicators. The statistical results from multiple linear regression showed that the cognitive variable contributed meaningfully to variations in students’ academic success. These findings suggest that efforts to enhance cognitive abilities among students can lead to improved academic outcomes in higher education settings. Contribution/value This study provides valuable insight into the specific role of cognitive aspects in shaping academic achievement among eighth-semester management students at Universitas Muhammadiyah Kalimantan Timur. The findings offer practical recommendations for educators to design learning strategies that better support students’ cognitive growth.
Pengaruh aspek afektif terhadap prestasi akademik mahasiswa Achmad Efendi; Dahlia
Jurnal Pendidikan Ekonomi (JUPE) Vol. 13 No. 2 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Surabaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26740/jupe.v13n2.p116-126

Abstract

This study is motivated by the phenomenon that student academic achievement is not only determined by cognitive abilities, but also influenced by affective aspects such as motivation, self-confidence, emotional regulation, and academic engagement. This study aims to determine and analyze the influence of affective aspects on student academic achievement. This study uses a quantitative approach with a survey method. The number of samples used was 185 students using the slovin formula, a simple linear regression analysis tool which became the analysis technique.  The results showed that there is a positive and significant influence between affective aspects on student academic achievement. This finding also shows the importance of maximizing affective aspects in improving academic achievement and supporting student academic success.
Perbandingan Metode Jaringan Saraf Tiruan, Fuzzy, Dan Anfis Pada Peramalan Data Inflasi Indonesia Lusia, Dwi Ayu; Semathea, Karen; Sumarminingsih, Eni; Efendi, Achmad
Jurnal Teknologi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer Vol 12 No 3: Juni 2025
Publisher : Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.25126/jtiik.2025128613

Abstract

Peramalan adalah teknik penting untuk mengestimasi nilai masa depan berdasarkan data historis. Namun, metode peramalan sering menghadapi tantangan dalam memilih model dengan tingkat akurasi terbaik. Penelitian ini bertujuan membandingkan kinerja metode Jaringan Syaraf Tiruan (JST) dan Fuzzy Metode Sugeno serta gabungan kedua metode yang disebut Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). Ketiga metode digunakan untuk meramalkan inflasi bulanan Indonesia. Penerapan ketiga metode membutuhkan penentuan input yang berdasarkan stasioner dan PACF. Data tidak stasioner lag 2 sehingga Differencing lag 2 kemudian tidak ada lag yang keluar pada PACF. Berdasarkan kedua hal tersebut ditentukan inputnya ialah  dan . Hasil menunjukkan bahwa metode JST dengan 3 lapisan tersembunyi dengan banyak neuron (2,1,1) memberikan kinerja terbaik (nilai RMSE terkecil sebesar 1,16127 pada data testing). Metode terbaik tersebut digunakan untuk meramalkan Inflasi bulan September 2023 hingga Desember 2024 cenderung konstan antara 2,68879% hingga 2,68887%. Kontribusi riset ini adalah metode advance (ANFIS) dengan menggabungankan dua metode (JST dan Fuzzy) belum tentu lebih baik daripada metode tanpa penggabungan (JST atau Fuzzy).   Abstract Forecasting is an important technique for estimating future values ​​based on historical data. However, forecasting methods often face challenges in choosing a model with the best level of accuracy. This study aims to compare the performance of the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Fuzzy Sugeno Method methods and a combination of the two methods called the Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). The third method is used to predict Indonesia's monthly inflation. The application of the third method requires input determination based on stationary and PACF. The data is not stationary lag 2 so that Differencing lag 2 then there is no lag that comes out in PACF. Based on these two things, the input is determined to be Y_(t-1) and Y_(t-2). The results show that the ANN method with 3 hidden layers with many neurons (2,1,1) gives the best performance (the smallest RMSE value is 1.16127 on the test data). The best method used to predict inflation from September 2023 to December 2024 tends to be constant between 2.68879% to 2.68887%. The contribution of this research is that the advanced method (ANFIS) by combining two methods (ANN and Fuzzy) is not necessarily better than the method without combining (ANN or Fuzzy).
Pengaruh Beban Kerja dan Lingkungan Kerja Terhadap Kinerja Pegawai Pada Inspektorat Daerah Kalimantan Timur reiszasro, jingga; Efendi, Achmad; ., Damingun
Jurnal Ekonomika Dan Bisnis (JEBS) Vol. 5 No. 3 (2025): Mei-Juni
Publisher : CV. ITTC INDONESIA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47233/jebs.v5i3.2809

Abstract

The main problem in this study lies in the imbalance of workload, especially in the distribution of tasks in the work environment. This imbalance causes some employees to experience fatigue due to excessive workload, while others lack responsibility. In addition, problems also arise in aspects of the work environment, especially related to the instability of working time caused by the limited number of workers. This condition hinders work flexibility and reduces opportunities for interaction between teams, which in turn has the potential to reduce overall organizational effectiveness. This study aims to analyze the effect of workload and work environment on employee performance at the Regional Inspectorate of East Kalimantan Province. The research method used is a quantitative approach with multiple linear regression analysis techniques, using the help of SPSS software version 29. This analysis is complemented by validity, reliability, and classical assumption tests, which include normality, multicollinearity, and heteroscedasticity tests. To measure the influence on variables, a partial test (t test), simultaneous test (F test), and calculation of the coefficient of determination (R²) are used. The results of the study stated that: (1) Workload has a positive and significant effect on employee performance. (2) The work environment has a positive and significant effect on employee performance. (3) Workload and environment together have a positive and significant effect on employee performance at the Regional Inspectorate of East Kalimantan Province.
Pengaruh Aspek Kognitif Terhadap Prestasi Akademik Mahasiswa Ulandari, Efy; Efendi, Achmad; Damingun
JEMSI (Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, dan Akuntansi) Vol. 11 No. 3 (2025): Juni 2025
Publisher : Sekretariat Pusat Lembaga Komunitas Informasi Teknologi Aceh

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35870/jemsi.v11i3.4182

Abstract

This study aims to examine the influence of cognitive aspects on students' academic achievement. Cognitive aspects include the ability to think, understand, remember, analyze, and apply knowledge in the learning process. The research employs a quantitative approach, with a population consisting of 328 eighth-semester students from the Management undergraduate program at Universitas Muhammadiyah Kalimantan Timur. A sample of 180 respondents was selected using random sampling based on the Slovin formula. Data were collected through questionnaires and academic records (GPA). The data were analyzed using simple linear regression with the assistance of SPSS version 25. The results indicate that cognitive aspects have a positive and significant effect on students' academic achievement. These findings highlight the importance of developing cognitive abilities to support academic success in higher education.
Pengaruh Beban Kerja Terhadap Kinerja Karyawan Pada Generasi Z di Pizza Hut Kota Samarinda Rusty, Atnin Sintania Aprilla; Efendi, Achmad
JEMSI (Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, dan Akuntansi) Vol. 11 No. 3 (2025): Juni 2025
Publisher : Sekretariat Pusat Lembaga Komunitas Informasi Teknologi Aceh

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35870/jemsi.v11i3.4183

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of workload on the performance of Generation Z employees at Pizza Hut outlets in Samarinda City. The formulation of the problem in this study is whether workload has an influence on the performance of Generation Z employees. The research method used is quantitative with a positive approach. The data collection technique was carried out through distributing questionnaires to Generation Z employees at Pizza Hut Samarinda outlets. Data analysis using simple linear regression test to see the influence between workload on employee performance. The results showed that workload had a positive and significant effect on the performance of Generation Z employees. A balanced workload can encourage improved performance, but too much load often tends to reduce productivity and cause stress. The conclusion of this study is that proportional workload management is important to maintain and improve employee performance, especially for Generation Z who are still in the adaptation stage to the world of work.
Co-Authors ., Damingun Achmad Wicaksono Adji Achmad Rinaldo Fernandes Adji Ahmad Rinaldo Fernandes Akbar, Sa'idah Al Amin, Muhammad Alfiyah Hanun Nasywa Ali Syahbana Aliani, Ardia Anggriawan, Muhammad Verry Ani Budi Astuti Anita Dwi Ariyani Anitarini, Fani Anitarini, Fany Ardhi Khoirul Hakim Arditama Putra Rochmanullah Arini, Luthfia Hanun Yuli Atiek Iriany Atik Pramesti Wilujeng, Atik Pramesti Atika Putri, Tiara Aulia Rahman Balqis, Rani Diana Bestari Archita Safitri Candra Rezzing Weni Utomo Dahlia Damayanti, Fransiska Erna Damingun Damingun, Damingun Danang Ariyanto Daniswara, Respati Satya Dellawaty Supraba Dewi Yuniar Eni Sumarminingsih Ermi Utami Fachira Haneinanda Junianto Fachri Faisal Farhan, Muhammad Hisyam Fauziah, Fenty Fernandes, Adji Achmad Rinaldo Firmanti, Tria Anisa Fitriani, Suci Handayani, Sopiah Hardiana, Ameilia Heni Kusdarwati Henny Pramoedyo Henny Pramoedyo Ivan Rachmawan Iwanegbe, Izuwa Jubaidi Kamelia Hidayat Kusumawati, Diana Laili, Roudlotun Nurul Lidia Hastuti Loekito Adi Soehono Ludfi Djakfar Lusia, Dwi Ayu Luthfatul Amaliana M. Dziqri nur Rohiim Miftaviana Zahira Zavy Mochammad Hisyaam Darwin Mujiono Mujiono Nanda Rizqia Pradana Ratnasari, Nanda Rizqia Pradana Nasution, Angellica Christine Ni Wayan S. Wardhani Ni Wayan Surya Wardhani Novi Nur Aini Nurjannah Nurjannah Nurjannah Nurjannah Perwitasari, Elisa Prasetyawan, Riyan Dwi Putri, Dea Anggraini Putri, Novita Surya Qosimah, Dahliatul reiszasro, jingga Renita Yuniar Reny Ramahdani Reny Ramahdani Rohmah, Devi Azarina Manzilir Roshanti, Dian Rusty, Atnin Sintania Aprilla Santi Wahyu Salsabila Santi Wahyu Salsabila Satria Putra, Pramadhita Wika Semathea, Karen Septi Nafisa Ulluya Zahra Septi Nafisa Ulluya Zahra Setiawati, Ananda Sholihin Sholihin Soekardjo Solimun Solimun Solimun, Solimun Suci Astutik Sukma, Melya Syahrianto Ulandari, Efy Ullah, Mohammad Ohid Vera Anitra Warsi, Nawang Weni Utomo, Candra R. W. S Wigbertus Ngabu Wiryanti, Ni Ketut Ledi Wuriani, Wuriani Yulianto, Shalsa Amalia Zahrany, Naura Nisrina