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All Journal Ilmu dan Budaya Jurnal Ilmu Sosial dan Humaniora Khasanah Ilmu - Jurnal Pariwisata Dan Budaya Jurnal Ilmiah Pariwisata IJBE (Integrated Journal of Business and Economics) Al-'Adl JURNAL PENDIDIKAN TAMBUSAI At-Tadbir : jurnal ilmiah manajemen JAD: Jurnal Riset Akuntansi & Keuangan Dewantara Jurnal Mantik JURNAL MANAJEMEN Jurnal Ekonomi Manajemen Gema Wiralodra Legalitas: Jurnal Hukum International Journal of Marine Engineering Innovation and Research Jurnal Darma Agung Kepariwisataan: Jurnal Ilmiah Jurnal Manajemen Perhotelan dan Pariwisata Window of Community Dedication Journal Journal La Bisecoman Tafkir: Interdisciplinary Journal of Islamic Education Jurnal Bisnis Hospitaliti ADMA: Jurnal Pengabdian dan Pemberdayaan Masyarakat JURNAL ILMIAH GLOBAL EDUCATION Jurnal Impresi Indonesia Journal of Social Research Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat : Pemberdayaan, Inovasi dan Perubahan Jurnal Pemberdayaan Pariwisata GENIUS JOURNAL (General Nursing Science Journal) Jurnal Bangun Manajemen International Journal of Advanced Multidisciplinary Aurelia: Jurnal Penelitian dan Pengabdian Masyarakat Indonesia Journal of Public Representative and Society Provision Journal of Tourism, Culinary, and Entrepreneurship (JTCE) Jurnal Multidisiplin Sahombu Journal of Business on Hospitality and Tourism Jurnal Akuntan Publik Journal of Halal Research, Policy, and Industry Journal Of Artificial Intelligence And Software Engineering Advances In Social Humanities Research International Journal of Global Sustainable Research Jornal Of Tourism Sciences (Toursci) JURNAL ILMIAH EKONOMI, MANAJEMEN, BISNIS DAN AKUNTANSI Bersama : Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Afeksi: Jurnal Psikologi ABDIMAS Iqtishadia TRJ (Tourism Research Journal) Jurnal Ilmiah Pariwisata Balance: Jurnal Ekonomi
Nurbaeti Nurbaeti
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Journal : Journal Of Artificial Intelligence And Software Engineering

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Comparison of Random Forest, Decision Tree, and XGBoost Models in Predicting Student Academic Success Nurbaeti, Nurbaeti; Sulistiyaningsih, Neny; Rismayati, Ria
Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Software Engineering Vol 5, No 3 (2025): September
Publisher : Politeknik Negeri Lhokseumawe

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30811/jaise.v5i3.7138

Abstract

Students' academic success is influenced by various academic and non-academic factors. Machine learning (ML) offers an effective approach to predicting academic outcomes by analyzing complex data patterns. However, most previous studies are limited to graduation prediction and rarely incorporate non-academic features or multiple feature selection techniques. This study aims to compare the performance of three ML algorithms Random Forest, Decision Tree, and XGBoost in classifying students’ academic success using a dataset from the UCI Machine Learning Repository, consisting of 4424 records and 37 features. The data underwent cleaning, label transformation, and feature selection using PCA, SelectKBest, and Variance Threshold. Models were trained using a holdout method (80% training, 20% testing) and evaluated based on accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score. The results show that Random Forest with Variance Threshold achieved the highest accuracy (0.77) and F1-score (0.84) on majority classes. XGBoost followed with 0.75 accuracy, while Decision Tree showed the lowest performance. All models struggled to classify the minority class, indicating challenges related to data imbalance. This research highlights the importance of algorithm choice and effective feature selection in academic classification tasks. It also emphasizes the need for data balancing strategies to reduce class bias. The findings can help educational institutions design data-driven interventions to improve learning outcomes and reduce dropout rates.
Co-Authors A. Rezky Amelia AP Abdul Bari Abianto, Rafi Adam Rachmatullah Adhi Trirachmadi Mumin Ahmad Badawi Saluy Akhsan, Fitriana Akhsani, Novi Amalia Mustika, Amalia Amrulah, Amrulah Amrullah Amrullah Amrullah Amrullahi Anita Swantari, Anita Anom, Rahmat Indra Pratama Arsita, Muhamad Ariadillah Arsyam, Muhammad Ayu Wahyuningputri, Rode Azikin, Busthan Bando, Nurjannah Betanika Nila Nirbita Boediman, Surya Fadjar Chairunnissa, Nur Darul Harbi, Dani Dedi Pardiansyah Defrita Metasari Derizal, Derizal Devita Gantina Dewantara, Yudhiet Dewantara, Yudhiet Fajar Dewi, Triana Rosalina Dina Mayasari Soeswoyo, Dina Mayasari Dini Selasi Doni Muhardiansyah Emenina Tarigan, Emenina Eriyan, Muhamad Adri Fachrul Husain Habibie, Fachrul Husain Fadlan, Sandy Fetty Asmaniati Fitriani, Yessi Gratia Wirata Laksmi Gunawan, Rohmat Faizal Ade Happy Fitria, Happy Hargiani, Fransisca Xaveria Hasanah, Ade Nurul Henny Saraswati Henny Saraswati Heny Ratnaningtyas Ibrahim Ibrahim Irawati, Wiwit Jajang Gunawijaya Jajang Gunawijaya, Jajang Janianton Damanik Julita Julita Juwita, Rekke Kasim, Erna Kusdian, Eri Zam Zam Latif, B Syarifuddin Levyta, Farah Linda Desafitri RB Malda Komala Marhumi, St Mbura, Helend A Melianah Anggreani Morena, Mochammad Rian Ahdian Muhammad Baiquni Muhammad Kadir Muhardiansyah , Doni Myrza Rahmanita Nopirin Nopirin Nova Putra, Aditya Novianty, Erlinda Novita Widyastuti Sugeng Nuhung, Mahmud Nur Azizah Nurdin Nurdin Nurhayati Nurhayati Nurmalinda, Elda Osman, Ismeth Emier Pambudi, Bondan Pelliyezer Karo Karo Pinontoan, Nexen Alexandre Purwanti Dyah Pramanik Purwanti Dyah Pramanik, Purwanti Dyah Rachman, Arief Faizal Rachmayani, Rima Rahmat Ingkadijaya Ramdani, Nadia Rahma Rasmadan, Dendi Fitrah Renanda, Alfiyyah Zalfah Rengganis, Dafina Mutiara Rhisma Dillawati Ria Rismayati Rina Suprina Rudiansyah, Ahmad Saepuloh, Asep Samsuddin Samsuddin Saptarining Wulan, Saptarining Setyawati, Wiwit Sri Mariati Subaedah, Subaedah Subiyono Subiyono, Subiyono Sugeng, Novita Widyastuti Sulistiyaningsih, Neny Sundring Pantja Djati Surya Fajar Budiman Sutiawati, Sutiawati Suzanalisa Suzanalisa Syahid, Akhmad Syahruni Thamrin, Syahruni Syamara, Marthania Intan Syarifuddin Syarifuddin Tri Djoko Sulistiyo, Tri Djoko Triana Rosalina Dewi Trie Ramadhany Gunawan, Marina Vienna Artina Sembiring, Vienna Artina Wahyu Hidayat Willy Arafah, Willy Yayat Suharyat yunardi yunardi