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All Journal HAYATI Journal of Biosciences Jurnal Agronomi Indonesia (Indonesian Journal of Agronomy) MANAJEMEN HUTAN TROPIKA Journal of Tropical Forest Management Jurnal Ilmu Pertanian Indonesia Jurnal Silvikultur Tropika (JST) MEDIA KONSERVASI Jurnal Ilmu dan Teknologi Kelautan Tropis Forum Pasca Sarjana Indonesian Journal of Geography Jurnal Ilmu Lingkungan BIOTROPIA - The Southeast Asian Journal of Tropical Biology Jurnal Keteknikan Pertanian TELKOMNIKA (Telecommunication Computing Electronics and Control) Geoplanning : Journal of Geomatics and Planning Jurnal Penelitian Hutan dan Konservasi Alam Jurnal Pengelolaan Sumberdaya Alam dan Lingkungan (Journal of Natural Resources and Environmental Management) Forum Geografi REINWARDTIA BERITA BIOLOGI JURNAL BIOLOGI INDONESIA ZOO INDONESIA JOIV : International Journal on Informatics Visualization Jurnal Biodjati Omni-Akuatika MAJALAH ILMIAH GLOBE Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan IPA (JPPIPA) Jurnal Nusa Sylva Biosaintifika: Journal of Biology & Biology Education Journal of Tropical Crop Science International Journal of Remote Sensing and Earth Sciences (IJReSES) Jurnal Entomologi Indonesia Jurnal Permukiman Journal of Information Systems and Informatics Jurnal Tanah dan Iklim Zoo Indonesia Journal of Applied Data Sciences Jurnal Sylva Lestari Jurnal Penelitian Kehutanan Wallacea Reinwardtia Wana Lstari The International Journal of Remote Sensing and Earth Sciences (IJReSES)
LILIK BUDIPRASETYO
Departemen Konservasi Sumberdaya Hutan Dan Ekowisata, Fakultas Kehutanan, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Kampus IPB Darmaga Bogor, 16680, Indonesia
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Chemistry Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Energy Environmental Science Immunology & microbiology Library & Information Science Materials Science & Nanotechnology Physics Social Sciences Veterinary Other

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Journal : Journal of Information Systems and Informatics

 1 
Logistic Regression Modeling of Peatland Fire Hotspots in Bengkalis District Using Integrated Environmental and Anthropogenic Drivers Hayati, Nur; Sitanggang, Imas Sukaesih; Prasetyo, Lilik Budi; Syaufina, Lailan
Journal of Information System and Informatics Vol 8 No 2 (2026): April
Publisher : Asosiasi Doktor Sistem Informasi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.63158/journalisi.v8i2.1560

Abstract

Peatland fires occur almost annually in Bengkalis District, Riau Province, Indonesia, where peatlands cover about 65% of the area and contribute significantly to carbon emissions and regional haze, highlighting the need for improved fire risk prediction. This research aims to apply a probabilistic logistic regression approach to predict peatland fire hotspot occurrence and identify its key drivers. Hotspot data from 2015–2023 were derived from VIIRS satellite observations and classified into low (l), nominal (n), and high (h) confidence levels. Then hotspot confidence levels are classified into two scenarios: (1) the nh scenario (l = 0; n–h = 1) and (2) the h scenario (l–n = 0; h = 1), representing different fire thresholds. The predictor variable was modeled using anthropogenic and environmental, with multicollinearity testing to ensure model stability. The results show that the nh scenario performs better, with Nagelkerke R² = 0.0681, Hosmer–Lemeshow χ² = 5.7663, AUC = 0.69, and accuracy = 95.19%, indicating acceptable fit and moderate discrimination. Significant predictors include plantation land use, peat characteristics, and precipitation. These findings suggest that the approach can support peatland fire risk assessment, although further refinement is required.
Co-Authors . Pairah A Hadi Syafrudin ABDUL HARIS MUSTARI Abdul Rahim Achmad Machmud Thohari Ade Rahmat Iskandar Adhi Harmoko Saputro Agung Siswoyo Agung Siswoyo Agus Hikmat Agus Priyono Kartono Agusrinal AHMAD JUNAEDI Ahmad Munawir Akhmad Rizali Al-Reza, Dimaz Danang Alan Purbawiyatna Alan Purbawiyatna Amri Muhammad Saadudin Amrizal Yusri Andi Gunawan Andi N. Cahyana Andi Sri Wahyuni Andita Minda Mora Andry Indrawan Andryan, Ricky Ani Mardiastuti Anika Putri Annisa Dyra Shamila Anton Ario Anton Ario Anton Ario Aria Nusantara Arief Prasetyo Arif Imam Suroso Arif Kurnia Wijayanto Arif Kurnia Wijayanto Arif Prasetyo Arif Prasetyo Ario, Anton Aronika Kaban aronika kaban Arya Hadi Dharmawan Arzyana Sunkar Astekita Ardiaristo Aswin Rahadian Aswin Rahadian Azar Rachdian Bambang Hero Saharjo Bambang Setio Budianto BANDUNG SAHARI Basuki Wasis Bisman Nababan Boedi Tjahjono Budi Arif Dermawan Budi Indra Setiawan Carolyn, Rully Dhora Cecep Kusmana DAMAYANTI BUCHORI Deasy Fitria Dede Kosasih Desantoro, Tri Giyat Desi Suyamto Diah Irawati Dwi Arini Diah Irawati Dwi Arini Didi Darmadi Didi Usmadi, Didi Dietriech Geoffrey Bengen Dimyati, Ratih Dewanti Dolly Priatna Dones Rinaldi Dony Kushardono DWI ANDREAS SANTOSA Dwi Putra Aprianto Dwi Putro Tejo Baskoro DYAH PERWITASARI -FARAJALLAH Edy Sambas Endang Koestati Sri Harini Muntasib Endes N Dahlan Endes N Dahlan Endes N Dahlan Endes Nurfilmarasa Dachlan Entang Iskandar Entang Iskandar Entang Iskandar Entang Iskandar Erny Jumilawaty Ervizal A. M. Zuhud Ervizal A.M. Zuhud Ervizal AMZU Fata Habiburrahman Faz Fauziah Fauziah Femei Rahmilija FERY KURNIAWAN Fitriana, Fifin gede tragya suartika pramana Hadi S Alikodra Harahap, Adiansyah Hari Prayogo Hariyadi Harnios Arief Hartrisari Hardjomidjojo Helianthi Dewi Hermansyah Putra Hermawan, Rachmad Hernawati Hernawati Herry Purnomo Herwasono Soedjito Hesty, Rein Susinda Hidayat Pawitan Hidayat Pawitan Higuchi, Horoyoshi Hudi, Firdaus Alam Hultera Hultera Husni dan Zulfanazli Pudjianto Alfian Rusdy I Made Haribhawana Wijaya I Nengah Surati Jaya I.F. Poernomosidhi Poerwo Idung Risdiyanto Imas Sukaesih Sitanggang Indri Febriani Irawan, Yosi Irlan Irman Hermadi Izzawati Nurrahma, Arinal Haq Jamil, Awaludin Jarulis Jarulis Jarulis Jarulis Jarulis Jarulis Jarulis Jarwadi B. Hernowo JARWADI BUDI HERNOWO Jatna Supriatna Jito Sugardjito Joko Ridho Witono Judin Purwanto Kamarudin Abdulah Kartodihardjo, Hariadi Ketut Wikantika Kooswardhono Mudikdjo Kooswardhono Mudikdjo Kurnia Sofyan Kustiyo Kustiyo, Kustiyo Kusumanegara, Agus Kuswandono . Lailan Syaufina Lailan Syaufina Lila Juniyanti Liyantono . Luky Adrianto Luna Raftika Khairunnisa M. Bismark Malta Daerangga Mansyur, Fadhilah Iqra Mardiana Wachyuni Marimin , May Parlindungan Meirani, Utami Mirza Dikari Kusrini Moch. Erlan Sodahlan Mora, Andita Minda Muflihatul Maghfiroh Islami Muh Iksan Muhamad Rizal Muhammad Bismark Muhammad Buce Saleh MUHAMMAD IRFANSYAH LUBIS Muhammad Nur Aidi Muhammad Wiharto Munandar, Aris Munawir, Ahmad Nahlunnisa, Hafizah Nana Mulyana Arifjaya Nandi Kosmaryandi Nandi Kosmaryandi Nitya Ade Santi NIZAR NASRULLAH Novi Tri Ayuningrum Nur Hayati Nurdin Sulistiyono Nyoto Santoso Omo Rusdiana Pablo Pacheco Pahlevi, Farhan Reza Pairah Pairah Pairah, Pairah Patria Rachman Hakim Pramatana, Fadlan Prita Ayu Permatasari, Prita Ayu PURNAMA HIDAYAT Purwanto, Yanuar Jarwadi Purwono Rahmad Hermawan Ramdani Manurung Ramdani Manurung Rika S. Santoso Rina Marina Masri Rina Marina Masri, Rina Marina Rinekso Soekmadi Rizka Amalia Rizki Widiyatmoko Rois Mahmud Rokhmatuloh, Rokhmatuloh Romie Jhonnerie Rosikin, Rosikin Rosima Wati Dewi Rudi Hermawan Sahid Agustian Hudjimartsu Sahid Hudjimartsu Sam Wouthuyzen Sambas Basuni Sambas, Edy Sandhi Imam Maulana Santun R.P. Sitorus Santun R.P. Sitorus SATRIYAS ILYAS Sawaki, Morgan Wayne Luther Shamila, Annisa Dyra Siti Badriyah Siti Badriyah Rushayati Siti Nurjannah Slamet Suprayogi Sodahlan, Moch. Erlan Soeryo Adiwibowo Sudianto, Sudianto Supartono, Toto SYAFRIDA MANUWOTO Syarif Indra S.P Syartinilia . TARUNI SRI PRAWAST MIEN KAOMINI ANY ARYANI DEDY DURYADI SOLIHIN Tatang Tiryana Taufik Setiawan Tazkiyatul Syahidah Teddy Rusolono Titiek Setyawati Tornando, Hengki Tri Atmoko Tri Atmoko Tri Satyatama Tukirin Partomihardjo Tukirin Partomihardjo Turmudi U Mamat Rahmat U Mamat Rahmat Vella Putikasari Vella Putiksari Vella Putiksari, Vella Vincentius P Siregar Wahyu Indah Astriani Wardani, Tiara Pratiwi Kusumah Wardi Septiana Wardi Septiana, Wardi Wawan Gunawan Widiatmaka WIDYASTUTI, SALMAH Wim Ikbal YAHER WANDI YANTO SANTOSA Yeni A. Mulyani Yeni Aryati Mulyani Yohana Maria Indrawati Yoko Untoro Yosi Irawan Yudi Setiawan Yudi Setiawan Yudi Setiawan Yudi Setiawan Yumarni . Yuniar Pratiwi Zuhud, Ervizal A. M.