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GOLD PRICESFORECASTING USING TRIPLE EXPONENTIAL METHOD Khairawati, Khairawati; Fuadi, Wahyu; Ramadhansyah, Rizki; Fariadi, Dedi
International Journal of Economic, Business, Accounting, Agriculture Management and Sharia Administration (IJEBAS) Vol. 1 No. 2 (2021): December
Publisher : CV. Radja Publika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (376.232 KB) | DOI: 10.54443/ijebas.v1i2.79

Abstract

Governments, organizations, and citizens have taken an interest in gold price fluctuations. Gold price forecasting that is accurate may effectively capture price shift tendencies and reduce the effects of gold market volatility. However, due to the multi-factor and nonlinear nature of the gold market. The triple exponential smoothing strategy is used in this study to predict the rise in a value over time since it can replicate trends and seasonal patterns. according to the gold price swings pattern and seasonal components at the same time To calculate system accuracy, the Mean Absolute Percentage Error is employed (MAPE). With alpha 0.15 and beta 0.85 as parameter values, the triple exponential smoothing (TES) approach achieves an accuracy rate of 86.93 percent and a MAPE of 12.49 percent in this study.
PT. TELEKOMUNIKASI SHARE PRICE PREDICTION ANALYSIS INDONESIA USING THE TRIPLE METHOD EXPONENTIAL Khairawati, Khairawati; Fuadi, Wahyu; Fariadi, Dedi
International Journal of Economic, Business, Accounting, Agriculture Management and Sharia Administration (IJEBAS) Vol. 2 No. 5 (2022): October
Publisher : CV. Radja Publika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.54443/ijebas.v2i5.418

Abstract

The capital market is one of the investment models that is currently growing so rapidly. The amount of interest in investing makes many people who experience losses, due to not understanding the investment risks. This requires technical analysis skills. In this research, we will analyze the prediction of PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia (TLKM) from 2021 to 2022. The variables used in this study are historical prices ranging from Open, High, Low, and Close prices. The stages used are 184 historical data collection, where the data is taken through Google's financial database and yahoo Finance. Then the calculation process uses the Triple Exponential Smoothing method, the system accuracy process is calculated for the forecast error value using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE).
Co-Authors A. Z, Abdullah Ade Ikhsan Kamil Afrah, Afrah Afrizal, Ari Agam Muarif Agustian, Ananda Ahmad Fikri Al Usrah, Cut Rizka Aman, Khairul Ameliany, Nanda Andik Bintoro Aqsa, Dina Alfini Ar Razi Armen Abta Arnawan Hasibuan Asran Asran Asran Asran, Asran Asri Asri Aulia, Faizul Badriana, Badriana Chairil Pratama Dahlan Abdullah Dewi Astuti Dewi Kumala Sari Elvi Idriana Fahrian Roid Fakhruddin Ahmad Nasution Fidyatun Nisa Fuadi, Wahyu Furqan, M Habib Muharry Yusdartono Hanif Hanif Ismail, Muchlis Jufridar Jufridar Kamila, Raisya Khadijah Khadijah Khairawati Khairawati, Khairawati Kurniawati Kurniawati Lisa Iryani Lubis, Muhammad Hanafi Sahar Lukman, Fajar Syahbakti M. Nazaruddin M. Yogi Riyantama Isjoni Maida, Afra Mainisa, Mainisa Marina Marina Misbahul Jannah Misbahul Jannah MT, Ezwarsyah Muchlis Abdul Muthalib Muchlis Muchlis Muhammad Muhammad Daud Muhammad Daud Muhammad Ikhwanus Mujiburrahman Mujiburrahman Mulyawan, Rizka Munir, Kartika Mutamimmul Ula Novianty, Vivi Nurmalita Pramulya, Ravi Andika Praza, Riyandhi Rahmah, Chatrine Aulia Raihan Putri Ramadhansyah, Rizki Ramlan, H. Rian Aryago Hasibuan Richa Meliza Ritonga, Nursakinah Riyandhi Praza Riyandhi Praza Rizki Yaldi Rizki Yunanda Rizki Yunanda Rizki, Dini Roasdiana, Rosdiana Salahuddin Salahuddin Salahuddin Salahuddin Saputra, Sahran Selamat Meliala Sufi Sukmawati, Cut Taufiq Taufiq Taufiq Teuku Kemal Fasya Teuku Multazam Thania, Visty Chifa Wahyu Fuadi Yulisda, Desvina Yusmalinda, Yusmalinda Zulmiardi, Zulmiardi