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ANALISIS CONDITIONAL VALUE AT RISK PORTOFOLIO SAHAM DENGAN COPULA CLAYTON Sela Karlina; Evy Sulistianingsih; Neva Satyahadewi
EPSILON: JURNAL MATEMATIKA MURNI DAN TERAPAN Vol 18, No 2 (2024)
Publisher : Mathematics Study Program, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Lambung Mangkurat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20527/epsilon.v18i2.13261

Abstract

Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) is known as a risk measurement tool to estimate losses in investing. Financial data tends not to be normally distributed so that the flexible Copula method can be used to analyze financial data without requiring the assumption of normality. This study aims to analyze the CVaR of a stock portfolio with Clayton's Copula. The study began with collecting daily stock closing price data for the period October 3, 2022 to November 3, 2023. After the data was collected, the return value of the closing stock price was calculated. Furthermore, autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity tests were carried out on the closing stock price return data. Then, the Kendall's Tau correlation was calculated to obtain the Clayton Copula parameters. After that, the stock weights in the portfolio were calculated using the Mean Variance Efficient Portfolio (MVEP) method and new return data was generated using the Clayton Copula parameters. Furthermore, the portfolio return was calculated to obtain the VaR value of the formed portfolio. Then, it was repeated by generating data up to the VaR calculation 1000 times to obtain the average value of the portfolio VaR. Then, the same thing was done to CVaR. The results of the CVaR analysis of the stock portfolio with Copula Clayton on the two stocks, namely PT Aneka Tambang Tbk (ANTM) and PT Timah Tbk (TINS), obtained losses of 3.04%, 3.56%, and 4.57% with a confidence level of 90%, 95%, and 99%. This value indicates the percentage of investment risk that may be obtained in the next one-day period. This shows that the higher the level of confidence, the greater the CVaR value will be.
Co-Authors . Apriansyah Aditya Handayani Afghani Jayuska Afghany Jayuska Alvin Octavianus Halim Amriani Amir Amriani Amir Amriani Amir Andani, Wirda Annisa Auliarahmi Antoni, Frans Xavier Natalius Apriliyanti, Rita Aprizkiyandari, Siti Ardhitha, Tiffany Ari Hepi Yanti Arsyi, Fritzgerald Muhammad Arti, Reyana Hilda Ashari, Asri Mulya Asri Mulya Ashari Asty Fistia Ningrum Atikasari, Awang Aulia Puteri Amari Bambang Kurniadi Banu, Syarifah Syahr ciptadi, wahyudin Citra Cipta Maharani Cornellia, Amanda Dadan Kusnandar Dadan Kusnandar Dadan Kusnandar David Jordy Dhandio Debataraja, Naomi Nessyana Della Zaria Desriani Lestari Desriani Lestari Desriani Lestari Dhandio, David Jordy Dinda Lestari Dwi Nining Indrasari Dwinanda, Maria Welita Eka Febrianti, Eka Esta Br Tarigan Evy Sulistianingsih Ewaldus Okta Febrant Alfariz Ferdina Ferdina Feriliani Maria Nani Fitriawan, Della Fransisca Febrianti Sundari Fransiska Fransiska Grikus Romi Gusti Eva Tavita Gusti Eva Tavita Hairil Al-Ham Hamzah, Erwin Rizal Hanin, Noerul Harimurti, Puspito Harnanta, Nabila Izza Helena, Shifa Hendra Perdana Hendrianto, El Herina Marlisa Huda, Nur'ainul Miftahul Huriyah, Syifa Khansa Ibnur Rusi Ikha Safitri Ilhan Nail Nabil Imro'ah, Nurfitri IMRO’AH, NURFITRI Imtiyaz, Widad Isra’ Sagita Jawani Jawani Jessica Audrey Valeria Khairina Auliannisa Kusnandar, Dadan Tonny Leona Idilla Louis Putra Jaya Lucky Hartanti Lucky Hartanti Lucky Hartanti M. Deny Hafizzul Muttaqin Maga, Fahmi Giovani Margareta, Tiara Margaretha, Ledy Claudia Marlisa, Herina Marola, Geby Martha, Shantika Maulidya, Gita Arinda Mega Sari Juane Sofiana Mega Sari Juane Sofiana Mega Tri Junika Millennia Taraly Misrawi Misrawi Muhammad Ahyar Muhammad Fikri Muhammad Radhi Muhammad Rizki Muliadi Muliadi Muslimah (F54210032) Nabil, Ilhan Nail Nanda Shalsadilla Naomi Nessyana Debataraja Naomi Nessyana Debataraja Nazwa Nursyifa Noerul Hanin Nona Lusia Novi Novi Nugrahaeni, Indah Nur Asih Kurniawati Nur Asiska Nurfadilah, Kori’ah Nurfitri Imro'ah Nurfitri Imro’ah Nurhalita Nurhalita Nurmaulia Ningsih Oktaviani, Indah Ovi Indah Afriani Paisal Paisal Pertiwi, Retno Pitriani Pratama, Aditya Nugraha Preatin Preatin Putri Putri Putri, Aulia Nabila Qalbi Aliklas R Puspito Harimurti Radhi, Muhammad Radinasari, Nur Ismi Rafdinal Rafdinal Rahadi Ramlan Rahmadanti, Putri Rahmanita Febrianti Rusmaningtyas Rahmawati, Fenti Nurdiana Ramadhan, Nanda Ramadhania, Wahida Regita, Luna Amara Reni Unaeni Resti Arsanti Retnani, Hani Dwi Ria Andini Ria Fuji Astuti Rina Rina Risky Oprasianti Rita Kurnia Apindiati Rivaldo, Rendi Riza Linda Rizki Nur Rahmalita Rizki, Setyo Wira Rosi Kismonika Roslina Rosi Tamara Rovi Christova Safira, Shafa Alya Salsabilla, Arla Santika Santika Sary, Rifkah Alfiyyah Savitri, Dini Dwi Seftiani, Seftiani Sela Karlina Selvy Putri Agustianto Setyo Wir Rizki Setyo Wira Rizki Setyo Wira Rizki Setyo Wira Rizki Shantika Martha Shantika Martha Sinaga, Steven Jansen Sintia Margun Sista, Sekar Aulia Siti Aprizkiyandari Siti Aprizkiyandari, Nurul Qomariyah, Shantika Martha, Siti Hardianti Suci Angriani Sukal Minsas Sukal Minsas Syahida, Murni Syuradi syuradi Tamtama, Ray Taraly, Inggriani Millennia Tiara, Dinda Trifaiza, Fadhela Wahyu Diyan Ramadana Wahyudin Ciptadi Warsidah Warsidah Wilda Ariani Wirda Andani Yohanna Gabriel Richsita Yopi Saputra Yudhi Yuliono, Agus Yumna Siska Fitriyani Yundari Yundari Yundari, Yundari Yuveinsiana Crismayella Yuyun Eka Pratiwi Zakiah, Ainun