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THE EFFECT OF INVESTMENT, CONSUMPTION, AND GOVERNMENT SPENDING ON POVERTY THROUGH ECONOMIC GROWTH Siti Aisah; Dita Rosyalita; Danil Surasa; Abdul Aziz; Syaeful Bakhri
International Journal of Social Science, Educational, Economics, Agriculture Research and Technology (IJSET) Vol. 5 No. 5 (2026): APRIL
Publisher : RADJA PUBLIKA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20094049

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of consumption, investment, government spending, and poverty on economic growth during the 2014 Q1–2024 Q4 period. The study uses a quantitative approach with secondary data in the form of time series obtained from official sources. The collected data were tested using multiple linear regression, and supported by descriptive statistical tests, stationarity tests, correlation tests, and autocorrelation tests. The results show that consumption, investment, and government spending have a positive but insignificant influence on economic growth. Conversely, poverty has a negative but significant influence on economic growth. Simultaneously, all independent variables do not have a significant effect on economic growth. The relatively low coefficient of determination value indicates that there are still other factors outside the model that influence economic growth. This finding emphasizes the importance of poverty reduction in driving increased economic growth.
THE EFFECT OF INVESTMENT, CONSUMPTION, AND GOVERNMENT SPENDING ON POVERTY THROUGH ECONOMIC GROWTH Siti Aisah; Dita Rosyalita; Danil Surasa; Abdul Aziz; Syaeful Bakhri
International Journal of Social Science, Educational, Economics, Agriculture Research and Technology (IJSET) Vol. 5 No. 7 (2026): JUNE
Publisher : RADJA PUBLIKA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of consumption, investment, government spending, and poverty on economic growth during the 2014 Q1–2024 Q4 period. The study uses a quantitative approach with secondary data in the form of time series obtained from official sources. The collected data were tested using multiple linear regression, and supported by descriptive statistical tests, stationarity tests, correlation tests, and autocorrelation tests. The results show that consumption, investment, and government spending have a positive but insignificant influence on economic growth. Conversely, poverty has a negative but significant influence on economic growth. Simultaneously, all independent variables do not have a significant effect on economic growth. The relatively low coefficient of determination value indicates that there are still other factors outside the model that influence economic growth. This finding emphasizes the importance of poverty reduction in driving increased economic growth.
THE EFFECT OF EXCHANGE RATES AND INFLATION ON THE MONEY SUPPLY IN INDONESIA: AN AUTOREGRESSIVE DISTRIBUTED LAG (ARDL) APPROACH Misbachudin; Fakhri Ahmad Zainunnuri; Neng Ulpa Apipah; Syaeful Bakhri; Abdul Aziz
International Journal of Social Science, Educational, Economics, Agriculture Research and Technology (IJSET) Vol. 5 No. 7 (2026): JUNE
Publisher : RADJA PUBLIKA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effects of inflation and exchange rates on the money supply in Indonesia and to identify the short-term and long-term relationships among these variables. A country’s economic stability is inextricably linked to the dynamics of inflation, exchange rates, and the money supply, which are interrelated within the economic system. This study employs a quantitative approach using secondary data obtained from Bank Indonesia and the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) for the period 2020-2024. The analysis method used is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model, as it is capable of estimating both short-term and long-term relationships simultaneously within a single model. The results indicate a long-term relationship among inflation, exchange rates, and the money supply. Partially, the exchange rate has a positive and significant effect on the money supply in Indonesia. This suggests that changes in the exchange rate particularly when the rupiah depreciates can drive increased liquidity in the economy through monetary policy mechanisms and international trade activities. Meanwhile, inflation does not have a significant effect on the money supply in the short term. This indicates that changes in inflation during the study period did not directly influence money supply policy due to the inflation control policies implemented by Bank Indonesia. Thus, exchange rate stability is a critical factor that must be considered in maintaining monetary equilibrium and national economic stability. Keywords: Exchange Rate, Inflation, Money Supply, Monetary Policy, ARDL
Co-Authors Aan Danuri Aan Jaelani Abdul Aziz Abdul Aziz Abdul Aziz Abdul Aziz Abdul Aziz Abdul Aziz Abdul Aziz Ahmad Abdul Ghoni Abdul Ghoni Abdul Nasir Achmad Otong Busthomi Afif Muamar Afiqoh Agustin Agisti, Salsabilah Fejrinaningtias Agustian, Adheflee Muhammad Agustina Ahmad Amin Mubarok Ahmad Otong Busthomi Ahsin Sakho Muhamad Ahsin Sakho Muhammad Aji Priambodo Alamsyah, Muhammad Fakhri Alda Laudya Alfan, Muh Iqbal Alleynisa, Amanda Amelia Azizah Amir Amir Anggraeni, Devina Anisa Suhada Putri Anton Sudrajat apri, Sesar Aprilliyanto Ardiansyah Ardiansyah Ardli, Arsalan Wilyan Awis Hamid Dani Ayus ahmad Yusuf Ayus Ahmad Yusuf Aziz, Abdul Azizah, Imroatul Bintang Bintang Chintya, Natsya Dewi Dangi Dangi Dangi, Dangi Dani, Awis Hamid Danil Surasa Danil Surasa David Audretsch Dede Komariah Delina Dewi Fatmasari Diana Djuwita, Diana Diana Putri Dini Nadila Sari Dita Rosyalita Dita Rosyalita Dodi Sunanto Edy Setyawan Ega Triyana Enjang Ryan Firmansyah Fakhri Ahmad Zainunnuri Fanther, Refaldo Faridah Nurbaiti Faridah Nurbaiti Faridah Nurbaiti Finita Rahmadhani Firdaus, Ahmad Maulana Fitriyani Tiarawati Futiah, Vuvut Ghofar Saifudin, Abdul Ghozali, Moh Gofar Maulana Sidik Gunawan, Muhammad Fajar Halimatus Sya'diyah Hamiid, Sharyan Haniah Haniah Haryogi, Jeryan Haulah Nakhwatunnisa Hediana, Dika Herawati, Cucu Herlinawati Herlinawati Herlinawati Idzan Ihdil Mar’i Ijah, Siti Rohmatul Indah Nurhaeni Isman Julian Jannah, Isroqtul Kumala, Titi Latip Purnama Layaman, Layaman Leliya Leliya Lilis Banowati Lilis Banowati Lilis Banowati Lina Hanayah llstianah, Esa Ma'ruf, Amar Maman Sulaeman Marhaendro Purno Maulana, Saptaji Mauliandini Mufidah Mauliandini Mufidah Melis Nur Pratiwi Mia Auliah Misbachudin Miyah Listiani Mochammad Imron Awalludin Moh Ghozali Moh. Mabruri Faozi Moh. Mabruri Faozi Moh. Mabruri Faozi, Moh. Mabruri Mohammad Fakhri Al-Farabi Mohammad Hamdan Nurhadi Muhammad Akmal Izzudin Muhammad Nuralam Mu’arif, Azmi Nizham Natsya Dewi Chintya Neng Ulpa Apipah Noval Kurnia Nudza Ainandeka De Fatih Nugraha Nugraha Nuniek Tri Wahyuni Nur Ela Nurfarikhah, Ika Nursyamsudin Nursyamsudin, Nursyamsudin Octaviani, Risthi Dwi Oki Khairul Hikmah Pahrul Fauzi Patimah, Pipin Pradini, Anez Yuniar Putri, Diana R. Ilfan Muhammad Abdurrasyid R. Nur Abdurakhman R. Nur Abdurakhman Rachmawati, Luthfiah Rana, Mohammad Refaldo Fanther Refaldo Fanther Ririn Sarinah Rofiq, Ainur Rosidah Rosidah Saefulloh, Eef Shifa Nurul Hilma Shilpha Dwi Putri Aida Shinta, Nazma Shofi Nurrohmah Sholikhah, Fitrotus Siti Aisah Siti Aisah Sri Dewi Miladiyah Sri Rahayu Sri Rokhlinasari Syahid, Husein As Sya’adatun Munawaroh Tarudi Tarudi Ulfah, Mariyah Umamah Mumtazah Askhiyah Ummah, Gabriel Rosyidatul Ummi Khulsum Vuvut Futiah Wahyuni, Nuniek Tri Wardah Nuroniyah Wartoyo Wartoyo Wasman Wasman Watuniah Watuniah Yayah Khoeriyah Yusuf, Ayus Akhmad Zahra, Dinar Maula