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All Journal Primary: Jurnal Pendidikan Guru Sekolah Dasar International Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research Union: Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan IPA (JPPIPA) Journal of Teaching and Learning in Elementary Education Pendas : Jurnah Ilmiah Pendidikan Dasar Wahana : Tridarma Perguruan Tinggi Abdimas Umtas : Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat Jurnal Kejaora (Kesehatan Jasmani dan Olahraga) Pasundan International of Community Services Journal (PICS-J) Jurnal Kewarganegaraan Jurnal Pendidikan dan Pembelajaran Indonesia (JPPI) Journal of diversity in learning Seminar Nasional Hasil Riset dan Pengabdian (SNHRP) NUSRA: Jurnal Penelitian dan Ilmu Pendidikan EduStream: Jurnal Pendidikan Dasar Jurnal Pendidikan dan Sastra Inggris (JUPENSI) Elementary School: Jurnal Pendidikan dan Pembelajaran ke-SD-an Progressive of Cognitive and Ability Sejahtera: Jurnal Inspirasi Mengabdi Untuk Negeri Prima Magistra: Jurnal Ilmiah Kependidikan Journal of Creative Attitudes Culture (JCIC) Action Research Journal Indonesia (ARJI) Journal of Medives: Journal of Mathematics Education IKIP Veteran Semarang Journal of Edukasi Borneo Buletin Pengabdian Multidisiplin Khirani: Jurnal Pendidikan Anak Usia Dini INDOPEDIA (Inovasi Pembelajaran dan Pendidikan) MANGGALI Kanigara Pengertian: Jurnal Pendidikan Indonesia (PJPI)
Satianingsih, Rarasaning
Adi Buana University, Surabaya
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Journal : Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan IPA (JPPIPA)

 1 
Prediction of El Niño La Niña & Indian Ocean Dipole Phenomena Using the ARIMA Model by Prospective Teachers in Indonesia Rosmiati, Rosmiati; Satriawan, Muhammad; Satianingsih, Rarasaning; Hariyono, Eko
Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan IPA Vol 9 No 10 (2023): October
Publisher : Postgraduate, University of Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/jppipa.v9i10.4793

Abstract

The high number of losses and casualties experienced by the Indonesian people is caused by various factors. One of the factors lies in the people who lack knowledge in dealing with climate phenomena. Student-teacher candidates must take an important role in solving climate problems. One solution is to predict climate phenomena. This study uses the ARIMA model to predict the El Niño La Niña & Indian Ocean Dipole phenomenon. The research method is the ARIMA model prediction steps using student worksheets. (1) know the model by determining ACF and PACF. (2) parameter model estimation determines ARIMA on predetermined ACF and PACF. The ARIMA parameter model is the slightest Mean Squared Error (MSE) level. (3) the diagnostic model of the smallest MSE. (4) a measure of predictive accuracy. And (5) Argumentation. Results In the IOD calculation, the correlation between the three-month prediction period is 0.92 and for six months is 0.96. This is the same as in the Nińo 3.4 correlation data. The value is close to 1, which is very accurate and can be used. The predicted value of the IOD index was expected. The resulting values ​​ranged from 0.01 to 0.17. This means that students are proficient in making climate predictions. Because students are enthusiastic and passionate about studying climate, it is a new science
Co-Authors Achmad Fanani Achmad Fanani Ahmad Alwan Nafis Akhmad Qomaru Zaman Akhmad Qomaru Zaman Al Ghozali, Muhammad Iqbal Almira Darlin Amelia Widya Hanindita Anjar Sari, Oktaviana Apri Irianto Arif Mahya Fanny Arif Mahya Fanny Astutik, Erna Puji Athohillah, M. Azmy, Bahauddin Bahauddin Azmy Bramianto Setiawan Cholifah Tur Rosidah Danang Prasetyo Devita Aryana Putri Dian Kusmaharti Dinda Prameswari Eka Octavia Ericha Ristaviana Putri Wahyuni Erlin Ristianti Kusuma Dewi Eronisa, Syahla Muthia Erqie, Kirana Evan Salsabilla Fadiya, Safa Raisa Nur Fajjar Ajrin Astiar Fanani Bagasworo Farahdhiva Qotrunnada Fajrin Fauziyah Fauziyah Hanifah Khoirunnisa Hanindita, Amelia Widya Hariyono, Eko Ida Sulistyawati Ida Sulistyowati Ida Sulistyowati Imas Srinana Wardani, Imas Srinana irianto, apri Ishak, Wan Irham Ismadi, Amirul Iman Bin Baba Istiana, Marita Eka Jauharul Ifadhi Juniarso, Triman Kamaliah, Lutfiyatul Khabib, Samsul Kristiani Lucky Juniar Rachman Luqmanul Hakim M. Athoillah, M. Maulidah, Riswana Maulidya Hunamie Merta Adelia, Cindy Mita Setiya Ningrum Moch Farhan Mohammad Yusuf Muhammad Athoillah, Muhammad Muhammad Muhyi Mu’alifah Mu’alifah Neni Hermita Novi Indria Wardani Nur Rohmah Nurmida Catherine Sitompul Okania Sri Purwaningrum Oktaviana Anjar Sari Oktaviana Azizzatul Munafisah Parichat Pimon Permatasari, Anggun Dwi Prastyo, Danang Prayogo Prayogo, Prayogo Purba, Novia Kristina Putri Wahyuni, Ericha Ristaviana Putri Wihatma Andianti Rachmadtullah, Reza Rachmawati, Wulandjani Rahmatullah, Reza Ramadhan Achmad Dhani Reza Rachmadtullah Reza Rahmatullah Riswana Maulidah Rosmiati Rosmiati Rosmiati Rosmiati Rudy Sumiharsono Rusminati, Susi Hermin Rusminati, Susi Hermin Salsabila Kurnia, Adinda Satriawan, Muhammad Shinta Ika Wati Sinta Imroatul Khusniya Sri Erlinda Subandowo subandowo Subandowo Subandowo Subandowo, Marianus Sugiono, Selina Sulistyawati, Ida Sulistyowati, Ida Sunu Catur Budiyono Sunu Catur Budiyono Sunu Catur Budiyono Susi Hermin Rusminati Susi Hermin Rusminati Susilo Hadi Tasya Maulidia Vahira Agustin Ainia Via Yustitia Vincentia Della Prawesti Wafiq, Ahmad Ahsanul Wahyu Susiloningsih, Wahyu Wardani, Waqiah Nilam Wardhani, Baiq L. S. W. Widiar Onny Kurniawan Yunita Maulidiah Nailufar Yusmaherizam, Yusmahariz Ashraf Bin Zaman, Akhamd Qomaru Zaman, Akhmad Qomaru