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All Journal Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Jurnal Ekonomi & Bisnis PNJ (JEKBIS PNJ) Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Islam Jurnal Masharif al-Syariah: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Perbankan Syariah JURNAL MUQODDIMAH : Jurnal Ilmu Sosial, Politik dan Hummaniora EKONOMIS : Journal of Economics and Business Dinamisia: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Ganaya: Jurnal Ilmu Sosial dan Humaniora Fair Value: Jurnal Ilmiah Akuntansi dan Keuangan JURNAL MANAJEMEN (EDISI ELEKTRONIK) Neraca Keuangan : Jurnal Ilmiah Akuntansi dan Keuangan Jurnal Maksipreneur: Manajemen, Koperasi, dan Entrepreneurship Jurnal Samudra Ekonomi dan Bisnis Jurnal Review Pendidikan dan Pengajaran (JRPP) CIVITAS: Jurnal Studi Manajemen Jurnal Pendidikan dan Konseling Competitive EKONOMI, KEUANGAN, INVESTASI DAN SYARIAH (EKUITAS) Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika JOURNAL OF BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS RESEARCH (JBE) GUYUB: Journal of Community Engagement Journal of Economics and Business UBS JANAKA : JURNAL PENGABDIAN MASYARAKAT KEWIRAUSAHAAN INDONESIA International Journal of Economic, Business, Accounting, Agriculture Management and Sharia Administration (IJEBAS) JEKKP (JURNAL EKONOMI, KEUANGAN DAN KEBIJAKAN PUBLIK) Journal of Trends Economics and Accounting Research Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Inovasi SENTRI: Jurnal Riset Ilmiah Journal of International Conference Proceedings Media Ekonomi Matriks Riwayat: Educational Journal of History and Humanities Competitive IIJSE Journal of Management and Innovation Entrepreneurship (JMIE) JEBD Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat dan Riset Pendidikan Jurnal Medika: Medika Economic Development Analysis Journal Jurnal Ekonomi Manajemen Dan Bisnis (JEMB) Journal of Business Economics and Management Journal of Management and Economics Research Jurnal Manajemen dan Pemasaran FIMERKOM: Journal of Information Systems and Technology
Ahmad Albar Tanjung
Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Manajemen Sukma
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Journal : Media Ekonomi

 1 
PERAMALAN INFLASI DI INDONESIA: DYNAMIC MODEL AVERAGE M. Rizki Nasution; Dede Ruslan; Ahmad Albar Tanjung
Media Ekonomi Vol. 28 No. 2 (2020): Oktober
Publisher : Lembaga Penerbit Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (226.322 KB) | DOI: 10.25105/me.v28i2.7085

Abstract

This research is to forecast inflation in Indonesia on a national scale. Forecasting use in samples and out of samples as research. Converting results using the Dynamic Dynamic Model can give results. The estimation results are carried out in the BVAR form. In forecasting using time series data for the period 2010 to 2019. Forecasting with the value of RMSE is selected in the IHK_SAND variable and another variable IHK_PROD is accepted; INF; CPI_BM; IHK_PALGBB; IHK_KES; IHK_TKJK; and IHK_MJMRT.
ANALISIS KURVA PHILLIPS DI INDONESIA Ahmad Albar Tanjung; Annisa Anggreini Siswanto
Media Ekonomi Vol. 30 No. 1 (2022): April
Publisher : Lembaga Penerbit Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (603.209 KB) | DOI: 10.25105/me.v30i1.10066

Abstract

This research aims to investigate whether the relationship between unemployment and inflation in Indonesia is by the Phillips curve theory. This research is quantitative. The estimation method used is ECM Two-Step Engle-Granger. in the long term, it is estimated using Ordinary Least Square (OLS), while in the short term it is estimated using the Error Correction Model (ECM). The cointegration test uses the Engle-Granger cointegration test. The data used are secondary level data, wage rate data as a proxy for inflation, and unemployment rates from 1991-2020 obtained from the world bank. The findings of this study are that in the short term, the unemployment rate is negatively related to inflation but is not significant, meaning that a trade-off between the unemployment rate and inflation occurs but the effect is not significant. In other words, in Indonesia, the relationship between the unemployment rate and inflation follows the Phillips Curve theory, but in the long run, there is a positive relationship between the unemployment rate and inflation but it is not significant.
ANALISIS KURVA PHILLIPS DI INDONESIA Ahmad Albar Tanjung; Annisa Anggreini Siswanto
Media Ekonomi Vol. 30 No. 1 (2022): April
Publisher : Lembaga Penerbit Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.25105/me.v30i1.10066

Abstract

This research aims to investigate whether the relationship between unemployment and inflation in Indonesia is by the Phillips curve theory. This research is quantitative. The estimation method used is ECM Two-Step Engle-Granger. in the long term, it is estimated using Ordinary Least Square (OLS), while in the short term it is estimated using the Error Correction Model (ECM). The cointegration test uses the Engle-Granger cointegration test. The data used are secondary level data, wage rate data as a proxy for inflation, and unemployment rates from 1991-2020 obtained from the world bank. The findings of this study are that in the short term, the unemployment rate is negatively related to inflation but is not significant, meaning that a trade-off between the unemployment rate and inflation occurs but the effect is not significant. In other words, in Indonesia, the relationship between the unemployment rate and inflation follows the Phillips Curve theory, but in the long run, there is a positive relationship between the unemployment rate and inflation but it is not significant.
ANALISIS KURVA PHILLIPS DI INDONESIA Tanjung, Ahmad Albar; Annisa Anggreini Siswanto
Media Ekonomi Vol. 30 No. 1 (2022): April
Publisher : Lembaga Penerbit Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.25105/me.v30i1.10066

Abstract

This research aims to investigate whether the relationship between unemployment and inflation in Indonesia is by the Phillips curve theory. This research is quantitative. The estimation method used is ECM Two-Step Engle-Granger. in the long term, it is estimated using Ordinary Least Square (OLS), while in the short term it is estimated using the Error Correction Model (ECM). The cointegration test uses the Engle-Granger cointegration test. The data used are secondary level data, wage rate data as a proxy for inflation, and unemployment rates from 1991-2020 obtained from the world bank. The findings of this study are that in the short term, the unemployment rate is negatively related to inflation but is not significant, meaning that a trade-off between the unemployment rate and inflation occurs but the effect is not significant. In other words, in Indonesia, the relationship between the unemployment rate and inflation follows the Phillips Curve theory, but in the long run, there is a positive relationship between the unemployment rate and inflation but it is not significant.
Co-Authors Abda Abda Abdul Hakim Reza Dalimunthe Abdurahman Adisaputera Ade Firmansyah Tanjung Aiga Fadillah, Rahmanta Ginting, Irsad Lubis Aini, Sri Badrul aisyaturridho Aiyub Yahya Amalia*, Amalia Ananda, Melti Gusti Tri Annisa Anggreini Siswanto Annisa Annisa Apriyani Ripka Yustika Br Tarigan Arif Rahman Arwansyah Arwansyah Arya Ramadhan Ayu Angelina Pasaribu Azhara, Fatia Berkat Juni Krisman Gulo Berutu, Saiful Ragatna Binaria Br Sembiring BR Sijabat, Lastri Putri br Simarmata, Theresia Herdiana Uli Chaniago, Eva Nirmala Sari cici afrianti Dede Ruslan Dede Ruslan Dede Ruslan, Dede Ruslan Desi Indriani Lubis Desi Putriyanti Perangin Angin Perangin Angin Dessy Mirawati Sihotang Dewi Murni Kumala Sari Dewi, Yunita Juniarti Dian Purnamasari Dian Vannysyah Ella Efrisna Ivana Sinuhaji Fahrezi, Alam Halimah Al Zaqi Sembiring Hasibuan*, Saidah Khairiyah Hasyim, Sirojuzilam Hulu, Wilhelmina Ilda Aprisya Pardede Iman Totonafo Saro Hia Indah Permata Sari Pulungan irfan irfan Irsad Irsad Irsad Irsad Lubis Irsad Lubis Irsad, Irsad jeffry sebayang Kartika Sari Lubis Khairani, Nabila Khairul Akbar Khairul Akbar La Ane, La Ane Laila Rohimah Laurensia Putri Lumbangaol, Cindy Lya Novarian Nainggolan M Syafii M. Rizki Nasution Monika Karolina Sianturi Muhammad Arief Tirtana Muhammad Arif Muliyani Muliyani Muliyani Muliyani Muliyani Munajat Munajat, Munajat Murdiah Nainggolan*, Lya Novaria Nasution, M. Ardi Rafian Natasya Kinski Ningsih, Uut Dwi Nova Angelina Nababan Nurhalimah Nurhayati Paidi Hidayat Paidi Paidi Pardede, Ilda Aprisya Pasaribu, Ayu Angelina Perangin Angin*, Sutejo Prakoso, Diki Putri Khoirunnisa Putri, Viona Saskia Raden Mohamad Herdian Bhakti Ramadani, Sindi Ramadhani, Andika Ramli Ramli Rani Padila Ningsih Rani Wahyuni Reka Cintia Renta Ulina Situmorang Riandani Rezki Prana Rifqa Pratiwi Balqish Rifqa Pratiwi Balqish Riyani Butar Butar Riza Fiandi Rizky Darmawan Sabda Dian Nurani Siahaan Saputra, Hendri Andika Saragih, Wike Ardinawati Sari, Nonik Widiya Sari, Rania Linda Sari, Windi Sembiring, Baloura Sembiring, Binaria Br Semi Nur Utami Seprianti, Viola Ditya Silitonga, Susilawati Silvani Nurul Aini Nasution Simanullang, Rahel Sindy Iradilah Sipayung, Selviana Megawati SIREGAR, DWI RAYANA Siregar, Rizky Azlina Siregar, Uli Rohana Sirojuzilam Hasyim Sixson Roberto Simangunsong Suci, Qur’Ayna Permata Sufhia Br Tarigan Sukardi Sukardi Sukardi Sukardi Sukardi Sukardi Sukardi Sukardi Sukardi Sukardi Sukardi Sutejo Perangin Angin* Syafii, M. Syukron Arjuna Tarigan, Apriyani Ripka Yustika Br Thesia, Jesslyn triadiarti, yulita ulfa sururi Valianto, Budi Vania Grace Sianturi Wahyu Ario Pratama Wahyu Ario Pratomo Weni Hawariyuni Widya Astuti Widya Gustriani Harahap Widya Kartika Windi Sari Yahya, Aiyub Yamani, Raisa Yulia Rahma Siregar Z, ANDINI PUTRI Zagoto*, Sri Endang Putri Zendrato, Feronika Zikri Praya