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Sudarmin
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Journal : ARRUS Journal of Mathematics and Applied Science

 1 
Analysis of Rice Production Forecast in Maros District Using the Box-Jenkins Method with the ARIMA Model Nurman, Sulaeman; Nusrang, Muhammad; Sudarmin
ARRUS Journal of Mathematics and Applied Science Vol. 2 No. 1 (2022)
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengembangan Teknologi dan Rekayasa, Yayasan Ahmar Cendekia Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35877/mathscience731

Abstract

The Box-Jenkins method is a statistical method used for forecasting time series data. This method uses data in the past as the dependent variable. The data used in this study is data on the amount of rice production in Maros Regency which was taken from 2001 to 2018 which was taken from the Central Statistics Agency of Maros Regency and the Department of Food Security, Food Crops, and Horticulture of South Sulawesi Province. The results obtained show that the ARIMA(0,2,1) model is a suitable model to predict the amount of rice production in Maros Regency. Forecasting results show that the amount of rice production in Maros Regency has increased every year with an average increase of 3807.1 tons.
Co-Authors Adi Nur Cahyono Agung Tri Prasetya Ahmad Farham Majid Amin, Badaruddin Amiruddin Hambali Andi Kusumayanti, Andi Anjarsari, Irna Ari Syahidul Shidiq Arif Widiyatmoko, Arif Ayu Pebriyanti Azqia Noviatun Nisa Baharuddin Baharuddin Abbas, Baharuddin Bambang Subali BENI SETIAWAN Budoyo, Joto Desi Utami Ellianawati Ermina Sari Fathiyah Marsya Tilawah Febriyanto, Hendra Fredy Supriadi Gumilar, Nyi Mas Ayu Ratna Hardianti Hafid Harianingsih Helmiah, Fauriatun Hendra Febriyanto Ibrahim Ike Yunia Meka Jum’anil Agustini Kristanto, Tan Kevin Kurotul Aeni Luky Hidayat Martalasari Masnaeni Mita, Ermita Khoirumminsani Muhammad Naufal, Muhammad Muhammad Nur Hidayat Muhammad Rizki Muhammad Saefudin Nanik Wijayati Neli Syahida Ni'ma Ningtyas, Arin Ika Noening Andrijati Norma Eralia Norma Eralita Nurman, Sulaeman Nurul Rezky Nusrang, Muhammad Purbawati, Sih Yunika Putut Marwoto Rais, Zulkifli Raudhah Awal Ricky Rizaldi Risa Dwita Hardianti Safitriani, Indah Sarwi Siti Anisah Siti Suhartini Sri Anggini Wahyuningsih Sri Endang Pujiastuti, Rr Sri Haryani SRI RAHAYU Sri Sukasih SRI WARDANI Sri Yamtinah Sriwidiastuty, Asi Sukniasih Sulistyo Saputro Sunardi Syahputra, Akbar Tri Joko Raharjo Wahyu Lestari Woro Sumarni