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Journal : Jurnal Informatika Progres

PREDIKSI PEMAKAIAN AIR BULANAN DI PDAM KECAMATAN TAMALATE MENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) Syarifuddin, Nur Annisa; Wahyuni, Titin; Faisal, Muhammad; Syafaat, Muhammad; Syamsuri, Andi Makbul; AM Hayat, Muhyiddin; Anas, Andi Lukman
PROGRESS Vol 17 No 2 (2025): September
Publisher : P3M STMIK Profesional Makassar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56708/progres.v17i2.471

Abstract

Water consumption forecasting is a crucial aspect of efficient water resource management, particularly in urban areas with increasing demand. This study aims to predict the monthly water usage volume at the PDAM of Tamalate District using the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) method. The dataset consists of historical water usage data from January 2022 to December 2024, totaling 36 monthly observations. The analysis process includes stationarity testing using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test, model parameter identification through ACF and PACF plots, and performance evaluation using MAE, RMSE, and MAPE metrics. The results show that the best-performing model is ARIMA, which demonstrates high prediction accuracy, with a MAE of 26,049.80 m³, RMSE of 37,459.00 m³, and MAPE of 4.12%. This model is capable of generating predictions close to actual values and can be relied upon as a basis for PDAM’s water distribution planning. It is expected that this research will contribute to data-driven decision-making and support digital transformation in the public service sector.
Co-Authors Achmad Yanu Aliffianto Aditya, Dwi Martha Nur Adrianingsih, Rizka Agustin Dwi Syalfina Ahmad Faisal Aiman , Ailul Alfina Aisatus Saadah Amelia, Azarine Nahdah Anas, Andi Lukman Anas, Lukman Anif Prasetyorini Anita Dahliana Arfandi, Viki Fahril Arianti, Kencana Indah Arshy Prodyanatasari Arvianda Aswad, Muh. Akhwan Adam Bakti, Riski Yusliana Bakti, Rizki Yusliana Bisono, Eva Firdayanti Christine Christine Dewi, Syamrilla Dzakki Adam, Ahmad Wildan Fadhillatul Lailia, Salsabilla Firdaus , Abidatu Zahrotul Fitrianti, Dwi Framz Hardiansyah Haidul, Haidul Haruna, Hanjas Hayat, Muhyiddin A M Hayat, Muhyiddin A. M Hidayanti, Sukria Hidayat, Andra Dwitama Ilmiyah Rosyiari, Ahniyatul Indriani, Lis Irhamna Rachman, Fahrim Jaelan Usman, Jaelan Kamal, Safutri Khafi, Moh. Zainul Krisnita Dwi Jayanti, Krisnita Dwi Listiawan, Nadhila Lukman Maharani, Eva Ratih Masyfufah, Lilis Masyfufah, Lilis  Maulia, Rizky Mone, Ansyari Muhammad Faisal Muhyiddin A M Hayat Mujadilah, Siti Muslimah, Nurul Aulia Naila, Faiqotun Natsir, Fitra M. Nisha, Khairun Novianti, Siti Nur Alam Nurfadilla, Destiani Irma Octavia, Winda Dwi Pandin, Maria Yovita R. Pribadi, Maylina Surya Wirawati Puryanti, Puryanti Puspadewi, Intan Putra, Yunior Bimasekti Rachman, Fachrim Irhamnah Rachman, Fahrim Irhamna Rahman, Fahrim Irhamna Rahmawati, Ayu Isnaini Ramadhan S, Fahmi Ridwang Ridwang, Ridwang Rosyiari, Ahniyatul Ilmiyah S. Kuba, Muhammad Syafa'at Salsabila, Damai Arsila Sa’adah, Alfina Asiatus Setiawan, Mohammad Yusuf Siti Fatimatuz Zahroh Siti Mujanah Slamet Riyadi Sukmantoro, Agung Anjar SULASTRI Suryadinata, Rivan Virlando Sutha, Diah Wijayanti Syamsuri, Andi Makbul Syarifuddin, Nur Annisa Wibawa. Ar, Arya Wilda Faida, Eka xss, aa xx Yulianita, Novi Eka